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Contract market: Find the right rhythm in fluctuations

The contract market is changing rapidly, and each wave of market conditions is a double-edged sword of opportunity and risk. Controlling the rhythm is the key to standing out in the fluctuations. Regardless of whether the market goes up or down, stay calm, strictly adhere to your trading strategy, and don't be swayed by emotions. Real-time guidance: BTC13199, stop profit and stop loss are set in place, which is the guarantee for steady progress. Remember, the core of contract trading lies in accurate judgment and decisive execution. Only by finding the right rhythm in fluctuations can you truly control the pulse of the market.

"In today's market environment, volatility has become the norm. Between ups and downs, what is tested is our patience and vision. Short-term ups and downs may disturb people's hearts, but real investors know how to see the trend behind the appearance. History has repeatedly proved that market fluctuations are adjustments in progress, not the end. Real-time guidance: BTC13199

The most important thing at this moment is to keep the original intention. No matter how drastically the market changes, always maintain trust in the market and adhere to your own strategy. Market fluctuations are opportunities to re-examine investment portfolios and strategies. Adjust, optimize, and start again, and improve yourself in challenges.

The current market may make people doubt, but it is at this moment that the strong have the opportunity to stand out. Stay rational and firm in your beliefs. The future will belong to those who can persevere in the wind and rain."

Views on Bitcoin's trend:
After the past few plunges, Bitcoin has always rebounded and may do so again. I think Bitcoin is expected to fluctuate and rise to 69,000 in the next two weeks.
Due to the large short-term rise, it is expected to pull back to 60,000 or 58,000. If it pulls back to 58,000, it will be a good buying point, and I will consider adding leverage, while 60,000 is recommended to buy in spot.
There is a lack of good news at present, but pay attention to the selling pressure that may be brought about by the Mentougou incident, so it is recommended to focus on spot. Pay attention, V--Exchange--Flow+: wbe3_BTC to learn about the currency circle and lay a solid foundation to go further.

Many people underestimate the importance of Trump's attendance and speech at the Bitcoin Conference on July 27, 2024. Bitcoin is currently mainly controlled by American capital, and American capital values ​​American traffic the most. Trump and Musk are the two top streamers in the currency circle, and Musk also supports Trump's election as US president. This means that the two top streamers will work together to create a strong Bitcoin hotspot at the end of the month, or even a hotspot.

In this case, the main force is of course willing to choose to pull up shipments in such a good situation. Therefore, Bitcoin will not plummet in the near future. Although the Mentougou incident may cause some declines, these are good opportunities to buy at the bottom. From the perspective of the banker's thinking, the logic is very clear: use the influence of Trump and Musk to create market hotspots, take the opportunity to raise prices, and then ship for profit. #美国大选如何影响加密产业？

There are very few coins that have increased by 100 times now, because the market makers have changed their tactics. In the past, the market value increased from 10 million US dollars to 1 billion US dollars, but now the market value of new coins is several billion US dollars as soon as they are launched.
More and more institutions are involved, and the market makers are crushing retail investors. When everyone says "buy new, not old", the market makers will launch new coins with a market value of several billion. This decline shows that market funds have seriously withdrawn, and many coins have fallen by about 50%. The market makers use high-dimensional attacks on retail investors and use their cognition to make money from retail investors.
Be cautious with new coins, most of which are of poor quality.

The market’s negative digestion is coming to an end
The Mentougou incident has come to fruition: The Mentougou incident has come to fruition, and the related BTC selling pressure is controllable. The market's previous concerns about the Mentougou incident have been gradually digested. With the smooth progress of compensation, the negative impact is gradually weakening.
The panic index is high: The current market sentiment has reached a panic level, indicating that the washout process is coming to an end. Historical data shows that when the fear index reaches a high point, the market usually shows signs of rebounding shortly afterwards, so a recovery is in sight.
On-chain data is sluggish: On-chain activities for BTC and ETH have been significantly sluggish recently, and gas fees are also at a low level. This situation often indicates that market participants have a strong wait-and-see mood. Once market sentiment improves, a rebound may follow.
SEC's attitude softens: The SEC's attitude toward the crypto market has changed positively and it has recently approved multiple ETF applications. This is not only good for Bitcoin, but also for other altcoins, and market confidence in the regulatory environment is returning.
Taken together, the market environment is improving, and the combination of multiple positive factors is expected to promote a market rebound. Investors can pay attention to these positive signals and make corresponding investment arrangements. If you still can't see the market trend clearly, I suggest you follow me first, V--交-流+: wbe3_BTC to learn the knowledge of the currency circle and lay a solid foundation to go further.

Today’s Bitcoin Market: Reversal or Rebound?
Let me talk about the conclusion first. I don’t think the market has completely reversed. You can understand it by looking at the performance of altcoins.
Bitcoin correction: from 53,000 to 63,000, a significant increase.
Altcoin performance: Most altcoins are still oscillating around the daily mid-track, and only a few strong currencies have performed better. This shows that the retail investors in the market have not yet adjusted in place.
Main fund-raising and market judgment
 Main force’s fund-raising strategy: When the main force pulls back to 53,000, the main force can choose to consolidate below 60,000 for a period of time, and then raise the price to 64,500 or even 70,000 after sufficient fund-raising.
Current situation: The current consolidation effect is not enough, and the rise is too rapid, giving people the illusion of a "bull return", but it is actually a rebound market.
Today’s Bitcoin point analysis
Key points: 63500, 63800, 64500.
Observation indicators: When reaching the target point, see whether the hourly K line has a long upper shadow line. If so, there may be a major correction.
expected conclusion
64500 point: If it reaches 64500, this rebound will basically end. Next, we need to observe whether there will be a waterfall decline or a shock decline.
To put it simply, the current market is more like a rebound than a reversal, so be cautious in operations. If you still can't see the market trend clearly, it is recommended to follow me first, V--交-流+: wbe3_BTC. Learn the knowledge of the currency circle and lay a solid foundation to go further.

Pay close attention to the old US CPI, analyze the trend of global assets and China's way out
1. The prospect of the Fed's interest rate cut and the decline of assets: The US CPI will be released at 20:30 tonight, which is crucial to the prospect of the Fed's interest rate cut. If the Fed cuts interest rates, asset prices will inevitably fall.
2. Reasons for the rise of global assets and the decline of Chinese assets: Global assets generally rose, but China fell alone. The reason is that foreign investment is subject to administrative restrictions and pressure from the depreciation of the RMB, which makes foreign investors unwilling to invest in China.
3. The high yield of US bonds is difficult to attract funds: US bond yields have repeatedly hit new highs, but funds are worried that inflation cannot fall, and they have poured into gold, silver and US stocks instead of small and medium-sized enterprises.
4. The impact of the Fed's interest rate cut and the relief of China's pressure: The Fed's interest rate cut will lead to a decline in the stock prices of large companies, and China's pressure will also be relieved. Some foreign investment may flow back to the mainland through Hong Kong and other places, the exchange rate pressure will be reduced, exports will grow, the economy will improve, and enter a positive cycle.
5. The Fed will not cut interest rates in the short term: The Fed will not cut interest rates in the short term. Even if the US economy declines, it will not cut interest rates until it is forced to do so, and will be accompanied by quantitative tightening (QT) to support the US dollar and prevent excessive outflow of the US dollar.
6. China's way out: technological breakthroughs: Only through technological breakthroughs, breaking the blockade and improving labor productivity can the US financial pressure be reduced and stable economic growth be achieved.
If you still can't see the market trend clearly, it is recommended to follow me first, V--Exchange--Flow+: wbe3_BTC to learn about the currency circle and lay a solid foundation to go further. #美国CPI数据即将公布