FedRateStrategy
TD Securities has adjusted its forecast for the Federal Reserve's interest rate strategy, expecting 25 basis point cuts in Nov, Dec, and Jan, followed by a pause in March. Rising inflation and policy shifts under Trump’s election win have influenced this revised outlook, with the rate now anticipated to reach 3.5% by end-2025. How will this impact the market? Let’s discuss!
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Fed's Interest Rate Strategy Adjusted Amid Inflation Concerns
According to Odaily, TD Securities has revised its forecast for the Federal Reserve's interest rate strategy following market reactions to Trump's election victory. The market anticipates a combination of tax cuts and tariffs, which is expected to elevate the Fed's neutral rate. This adjustment comes as rising inflation is projected to slow the pace of rate cuts in 2025.
TD Securities now predicts that the Federal Reserve will implement a series of 25 basis point rate cuts in November, December, and January, followed by a pause in March. The Fed is expected to continue this 'cut-pause-cut' approach throughout 2025, ultimately reducing the interest rate to 3.5% by the end of the year. This is an upward revision from the previous expectation of a 3.0% rate.
In the first half of 2026, the Federal Reserve is anticipated to lower the interest rate further to 3.0%. This indicates that while the neutral rate remains unchanged, the Fed is expected to reach this target later than initially projected.
TD Securities now predicts that the Federal Reserve will implement a series of 25 basis point rate cuts in November, December, and January, followed by a pause in March. The Fed is expected to continue this 'cut-pause-cut' approach throughout 2025, ultimately reducing the interest rate to 3.5% by the end of the year. This is an upward revision from the previous expectation of a 3.0% rate.
In the first half of 2026, the Federal Reserve is anticipated to lower the interest rate further to 3.0%. This indicates that while the neutral rate remains unchanged, the Fed is expected to reach this target later than initially projected.
WILL $BTC ENTER A LENGTHY CORRECTION PHASE?
Bitcoin has recently hit an impressive peak, surpassing $76,000, fueled by a bullish surge in the U.S. stock market following Trump’s election as the next president. However, this sharp rise may soon face a significant pullback. Current analysis suggests a potential decline below the $72,000 mark, possibly even lower. It’s time to brace for impact and consider short positions as the market signals a correction phase.
Every substantial rally is eventually followed by a correction, and Bitcoin's rapid climb could be no exception. The saying "what goes up must come down" holds true in volatile markets like crypto. The swift upward momentum indicates a likely reversal, so taking profits and preparing for a strategic re-entry could be a prudent approach.
Investors should exercise caution, remain vigilant, and anticipate a potential buying opportunity after this expected dip. The market’s cycle of pumps and dumps calls for patience and strategy. Selling now and waiting for the next entry point may allow for a better position once stability returns.
#Trump47thPresident #MicrosoftBitcoinRejection #FedRateStrategy #NovemberMarketAnalysis
Bitcoin has recently hit an impressive peak, surpassing $76,000, fueled by a bullish surge in the U.S. stock market following Trump’s election as the next president. However, this sharp rise may soon face a significant pullback. Current analysis suggests a potential decline below the $72,000 mark, possibly even lower. It’s time to brace for impact and consider short positions as the market signals a correction phase.
Every substantial rally is eventually followed by a correction, and Bitcoin's rapid climb could be no exception. The saying "what goes up must come down" holds true in volatile markets like crypto. The swift upward momentum indicates a likely reversal, so taking profits and preparing for a strategic re-entry could be a prudent approach.
Investors should exercise caution, remain vigilant, and anticipate a potential buying opportunity after this expected dip. The market’s cycle of pumps and dumps calls for patience and strategy. Selling now and waiting for the next entry point may allow for a better position once stability returns.
#Trump47thPresident #MicrosoftBitcoinRejection #FedRateStrategy #NovemberMarketAnalysis
🟢WIF LONG | Market Order
📍Entry $2.311
🚫Stoploss $2.736
🎯Target $2.438 - $2.736
*Margin/leverage as per your risk and portfolio
$BTC $WIF $ETH #MicrosoftBitcoinRejection #EthereumRally #Trump47thPresident #AltcoinsAreBack #FedRateStrategy
📍Entry $2.311
🚫Stoploss $2.736
🎯Target $2.438 - $2.736
*Margin/leverage as per your risk and portfolio
$BTC $WIF $ETH #MicrosoftBitcoinRejection #EthereumRally #Trump47thPresident #AltcoinsAreBack #FedRateStrategy
