I sincerely hope to see all of my followers succeeding during this bull run.
Seriously, this isn't something said for convenience.
We all struggle in our daily life.
Bad moments and hard situations that make us wanna cry and throw the towel like Rocky against Ivan Drago are commonplace.
A job that doesn't fulfill our personal and economic satisfaction.
A rising cost of life that puts insurmountable barriers on our decisions.
A lack of time that stops us from enjoying the beautiful things in life, such as family and nature.
There's nothing more rewarding than seeing people grinding hard and pursuing their dreams during the entire bear market and actually changing their lives for the better.
Personally speaking, I always tried to help with the experience I accumulated during these 7 years while maintaining my core values of integrity and transparency.
I'm a strong believer in Bushido and I genuinely think that constantly making good actions, even if they're not instantly appreciated, is the way to follow.
When you make good actions, you provide happiness to people, and this stimulates you to make even more good actions, creating a virtuous cycle that expands like wildfire.
At the same time, you gain respect and trust, something that very few people can boast of carrying, especially in this space.
That being said, I want to renew my sincere hopes of seeing you succeed and improve your quality of life.
Keep grinding, we don't have finished our work, yet.
People very often argue with me because I give conservative targets.
Well, the main reason why I’m so moderate is because this attitude fulfills a healthy and sustainable approach.
You start taking investments for what they truly are and not as lottery tickets.
Yes, I’m also aware of the fact that bull run, euphoria, and greed are 3 ingredients that could disrupt my main thesis, bringing my investments potentially much higher.
But my goal is to be profitable and not wait from the shelter for the “moon train” to arrive.
I can guarantee you that most “passengers” will wait forever and even those who jump on the train will never be able to reach their destinations.
They will remain on board until the train goes back to the starting station.
This content needs to be handled with care as long as we proceed with the bull run.
One of the biggest curses that afflicts financial markets and crypto especially is in fact 𝘀𝗲𝗹𝗹 𝘀𝗵𝗮𝗺𝗶𝗻𝗴.
I want to spend a few words about it, trying to help you by avoiding my mistakes. (read it till the end, it's important)
Future euphoria and current days after the recent pumps, bring with them 2 key aspects.
On one side we have the joy of seeing our portfolios pumping but on the other one the need to capitalize by pressing the sell button, in order to avoid becoming “paper millionaires”.
As if it wasn't already difficult enough for many to click sell, another level of difficulty will be added to the equation.
And I'm talking about sell-shaming.
The “supreme art” of mocking others for taking profits or rotating in more profitable positions.
“𝗛𝗮𝘃𝗲 𝗳𝘂𝗻 𝘀𝘁𝗮𝘆𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗽𝗼𝗼𝗿”
“𝗬𝗼𝘂 𝗱𝗼𝗻'𝘁 𝗸𝗻𝗼𝘄 𝘄𝗵𝗮𝘁'𝘀 𝗰𝗼𝗺𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗳𝗼𝗿 “𝗫” 𝗰𝗼𝗶𝗻”
These are all statements that will act as a huge barrier to your profitability, especially during hotter periods.
I'm telling you this because I fell for this trap too during my first bull run, constantly listening to related coin supporters, missing out on profits hoping for the moon that should have been nourished from “fundamentals.”
The truth is that 99% of coin supporters could be equated with football fans.
Blinded by the love and conviction they have for their favorite clubs, which stop them from rationally seeing what’s truly happening while fulfilling the “hate” for their rivals.
So far, much of #Bitcoin 's history has been told by one indicator: the 2-week volume oscillator.
There are 4 main events that take place per cycle with a negative cross of the 0 Line:
1. (green circle) = cycle bottom 2. (first blue circle) = first mid-cycle sideways period 3. (second blue circle) = second mid-cycle sideways period 4. (orange circles) = cycle top window
Most recently, we have seen a cross into the first mid-cycle sideways period.
This is the first time this signal has come during a higher high, while it typically comes on a lower high or after the correction is complete.
There was one out-of-the-ordinary signal that occurred in March 2022, but this could have been due to the second final top of November 2021 after the April 2021 top.
Every cycle bottom signal has come almost exactly at cycle bottom prices.
Every cycle top signal has come inside the window.
Every sideways period, has been.... a sideways period.
With a sideways period now scheduled, will this time be different?
This began not with GBTC sales, or during the ETF launch, but months before that in October 2023 at prices like 28k.
The Fish, which are addresses that hold between 10 and 100 Bitcoin, have accurately risen sharply at local lows and declined near highs, showing that they are the smart investors.
From the cycle lows of 16 - 18k, these address bands increased rapidly.
Now, even with all of the supposed this time is different talk, they are leaving.
Smart investors say, this is not the time to enter Bitcoin, and hasn't been for quite some time. Lower prices may bring their return.
- A thousand dollars in savings (Could be less though) - Phone/ laptop - internet connection - Time to research in crypto - Patience - Consistency
It's good to have money and the things that money can buy, but it's good, too, to check up once in a while and make sure that you haven't lost the things that money can't buy.
Nothing p*sses me off more than hearing the “KOL” world.
It is usually another way to camouflage the word “sc@mfluencer”.
Dear Friends, in Cryptocurrency world, every opinion counts!! Anyone who has been into the market for a reasonable period of time can make good analysis on his or her own.
Don't allow influencers who have been paid to hype a token without function and utility deceive you!!! They just end up getting paid while you are left battling with the messed up coins they are hyping for you. #Write2Earn #TrendingTopic
Share and follow up for more updates friends . We are in this together!!!
Simply put, the Weekly Ichimoku Cloud says that a break of the cloud top point at $52,800 marks the run to #Bitcoin ATHs and the cycle top.
A break of this point now would be almost an entire year earlier than usual, as most occur during the transition from Blue Year (Preparation) to Red Year (New ATHs).
The top of the cloud has twice marked the mid-top, a point of steep rejection and a long sideways period.
Many argue that ETFs have created an entirely new landscape, so I look forward to seeing the continued price action to prove that!
Otherwise, there are still about 8 months to go (November 28th, 2024) before regular cycle timing says we should see new highs. Follow for more updates!!!! #Write2Earn
This breakout has led us toward the first liquidity area (💧🔨) around 52/53K, a zone that I was eyeing after the recent strength, as showcased in the previous update.
Now, what's next?
This area, in my opinion, should be the ideal one from which to see a pullback (ranging in the meanwhile is bringing some altcoins fun) individuated into the 2 PB zone (🧲)
• PB1 ~> retest of January highs • PB2 ~> potential extension till equilibrium point
These 2 retraces would be healthy for the whole structure and would set a macro HL.
I would be very surprised to see another impulse without a correction, to be honest.
In the chart, we can also see the 2nd level (💧) which will act as the last defensive bulwark before the ATH at 60/62K.
Both 2 (💧) levels are crucial to overcome printing an HTF closure above, for testing old and developing a new ATH.
As always, be elastic enough and prepared to consider both sides.
The usual trend for a newly listed token is to be at a high price when listed but dumps after tons of sales are made because people that claimed free pixel coins from the pixel farming are likely to sell today.
I as a Veteran of 6 years experience in crypto would advise potential investors should wait and watch the price movement stabilize first. One thing I don't like involving in my investment plans is 'Emotions'!!!!
Disclaimer: make your own research before any investment Am not a financial advisor.
With the recent move to 52k+ prices, some have claimed the #Bitcoin 4-year cycle is now out of the question.
Their evidence, the .618 cycle retrace.
This retrace has marked the mid-top for each cycle, a point that comes in the middle of the cycle and brings large corrections (40 - 54%) and sideways periods.
Price has now surpassed it seemingly defying the rules.
But what if this is standard? There is a chance it may be.
The best way to measure these retraces is from weekly candle bodies, which allows us to include Cycle 1.
When we do this, we find that cycles have always made two primary tops above the .618.
This would have made 49k the first, and the second is in progress.
The amount that each cycle has risen over the .618 has been between 6 and 26%. This cycle is at 13.5%.
Even a weekly candle close occurred in 2016, making our close above not out of the ordinary.
For the first time in over 1 year, there's been a significant shift to the downside in Long-Term #Bitcoin holder positions.
Crossing below the -50,000 position change line has only occurred during 3 critical moments:
1. Cycle Bottom 2. Mid-Top (only once) 3. Start/End of a cycle top parabola (most frequent)
This just happened recently, leaving only two feasible possibilities: a mid-top, or imminent parabola which is out of the norm for this point in the cycle.
Long-term holders are exiting in droves, and it's time to pay attention.
This is something I already partially covered in my BTC top macro thesis but I think should be a great reminder to help you stay level-grounded.
Spend some time to read it.
The ETF is now the predominant narrative which is causing TradFi demand and slowly attracting interest across the globe.
An epochal event that will have serious backlash when BTC breaks its past ATH: the loudness generated will be insane.
Millions of people will be overwhelmed by the idea that TradFi will continue to nourish the Bullrun given the low supply of the asset and the potential unlimited money that will continue to inflow.
It's easy to forecast the future echo chamber that will be created in such conditions:
Institutions and hedge funds, in fact, operate with a completely different size of retail investors.
Retail investors put the money they save from regular jobs, hoping for moonshots.
They NEED 50/100x minimum to consider an “investment” successful (and even at that moment they will not sell).
TradFi money put gazillions into an asset, and when they’re up a 2/5x they look to secure those profits.
The “moon” isn't necessary, they play in a different league so don't expect they will pump Bitcoin to 250K+, it's highly unlikely If not impossible this cycle.
Don’t search for particular “fundamental connotations” to justify the price increase, most will be end up like a byproduct of your imagination.
Stick to the charts independently and don't get sucked into magnificent prophecies.
$BTC TO $52-59K THEN DOOMSDAY AS 40% DUMP INCOMING 📉📉‼️‼️
I said this once and I'll say it again, #BTC shall touch anywhere in the 50-59K range and dump almost 40% as a big market correction is needed.We are not in a bull run, remember we are still in a pre-bull run stage so do not be too optimistic and have high expectations in these days. You have to be emotionally stronger than the market. 70% people in the market are bullish while 30% are bearish according to the daily bull-bear voting graph. This just means there are still newbies trading who just got into crypto recently.It's gonna cause wreckage for the ones who still believe the market is going to pump way further and the ones who don't care about their initial investment and just suggest to DCA through it. You will be stuck in a loophole of recovering your initial investments rather than making any profits.Just exit the market right now, hold USDT and re-enter in the next 2-3 weeks whenever the market dumps, and that stage my friend that point is going to be the best point for you to make actual money as the market will bounce back within days and the rally will continue.