I remember that on October 10, after the CPI annual rate was announced, the market fell from 61,300 to 58,900. That was the starting point of the cycle rise in early October, and it fluctuated upward all the way to the highest point of 73,660.

The CPI annual rate in November appeared in the rest period after the sharp rise this month, which is worth pondering. The October CPI annual rate appeared at the end of the September cycle, the beginning of the October cycle, and November rose by more than 20,000 points to 90,000 points. At this time, the announcement of the CPI annual rate will indicate that the high level of the November cycle has come to an end, and the market will blow the horn of a formal decline. Or continue to rise.

I personally am optimistic about the decline, whether it is a pull-up to lure more to smash the market, or a direct smash. I am optimistic about the decline, but I don’t think this is the highest point of the month. There will be a new high at the end of the month. This decline is just a larger correction.

The above is my personal market analysis and prediction. If you follow the contract trend, you should consider it carefully. After all, the distance between the high and low points of Btc is getting bigger and bigger, the trend is getting harder and harder, and it is easier to blow up. I use the "Short Exploration Method" myself, with two layers of risk protection, focusing on the band, and then the profit exploration of the medium and long term, and the stop loss is placed in the profit.

$BTC #CPI年率 #行情分析

$BTC Last night, the market was good after the 4-hour EMA12 support, forming a shock range. Pay attention to the 4-hour EMA12 support today. If it breaks and stands, the market will go to 78000-80000. The whole market began to fluctuate and fall. If the breakout is a rapid callback, the daily KDJ will fluctuate and fall in the past two days, and the J line will return again after the three lines gather. The market is about to start the horn of rising again, but it is likely to fluctuate in the 85500-90000 range and form a triangle shrinking trend with upper pressure and lower support, then the EMA12 track will eventually rise and become horizontal and then negative. In the end, the market will break through the support point and fall.

As for whether there will be a new high in the callback, at present, capital is unlikely to pull up and break through the new high again. The market has been ravaged by capital, and there must be room for the market to recover. We all know that leeks can only grow new leaves if their roots are left. If all the roots are pulled out, the market will be ruined. Capital understands this better than us. Second, even if there is another wave of pull-ups, it will first pull back to 78,000-80,000, and then pull back and rise. As for whether the rise will break the new high, let's not consider it for the time being. Finally, the market will return to the low of the cycle near 82,500 in early December. The final market is nothing more than the market after 316, with a volatile decline and a bear market.

In fact, the August-November cycle has been basically analyzed and predicted, but often some details are too cautious, which leads to the loss of this big rise. For example, eight or nine spot bottom-fishing was successful, but in October, the pursuit of contract bands was too much, and the best spot entry opportunity was missed. And in November, it was nothing more than being a little worried about the market heat and emotionality of Trump and Musk, and missed the spot opportunity again. This year, the market heat and emotions have reversed every time, and this time, coupled with the pull-up of doge before the election, I am even more suspicious. Damn it, in this game, the spot market eventually outperformed the macroeconomic theory players, which is a rare occurrence this year. 😂
On the other hand, the monthly small cycle is definitely profitable, but this time the 23,000-point increase is indeed unsatisfactory.

There is still a long way to go, just live, time is a printing press.

#BTC走势预测 #行情分析📈

$BTC The shorts have been wiped out. At present, the daily KDJ has been flat and started to fall. This is the peak of this wave of pull-up. The MACD fast line dif and multi-column have reached the extreme of the high position. The volume of yesterday's tossing, the short column became a big positive column. Looking at the current liquidation map, the blow-up situation, and the long-short ratio, the market has almost reached the end of the rise.

In this big rise, how many people who followed the trend went from longs to shorts halfway up the mountain and were blown up, how many people held short orders and finally couldn't stand it and were trapped, and how many people hedged and finally didn't land safely. Even the spot was eaten halfway up the mountain and left with a blue thigh.

It's not terrible to miss it, but I'm afraid that you will die in it if you make a mistake. There are contract quotations every day, and for spot, I did miss a good opportunity. Anyway, I slapped myself in the face. Although I knew the cycle was on November 5, I was too cautious because of the early rise of Musk's DOGE and the market sentiment brought about by the Trump effect. After looking at the number of liquidated positions and the amount of liquidated positions, I realized that the market sentiment this year brought about a reversal, which made everyone learn to be smart without realizing it. As a result, the number of smart people became the target of capital. On the contrary, those players who followed the market sentiment aggressively and blindly picked up a big bargain this time. Sometimes it is like this, no matter how awesome a person is, he is just a leek in the hands of capital. But I hope that those who blindly follow the spot can sell it, and don't be like 316, who took a roller coaster and got nothing in the end.

There is nothing much to say. The contract is alive and well using the "Short Exploration Method". I didn't eat the big fat meat, but I still ate a lot of small meatballs. Am I considered one of the successful ones in this surge?

$BTC #BTC走勢分析 #行情推演

$BTC The Jewish big brother is indeed impressive. This market reminds me of the situation in February-March, when people generally believed it wouldn't break 6 but also wouldn't break 7, with a large number of shorts from 58,000 to over 60,000. As a result, the market kept rising, squeezing the shorts. When it broke 7, it rose to 73,000, and gradually everyone believed the bull market was here; the bulls rushed in, successfully taking over, and the capital exited successfully.

This time is quite similar, just last night the market liquidated over 600 million USD, indicating there are plenty of shorts at 80,000 points. As it rises to 89,500, the shorts are being gradually exhausted. As long as the market's enthusiasm for chasing longs increases at this moment, a crash is inevitable. What’s concerning is if those surviving shorts at 89,500 continue to short, and if bulls switch to shorts, it could lead to trouble. Without a large number of bulls taking over, the market won't go down; currently, many people are keen to place shorts at 90,000, but the market is now at 89,500, not breaking 90.

Everyone should chase longs, don't hesitate, you are the fuel that gives the market the power to go down. Now this group of Jewish capital is wealthy and extravagant. Taking advantage of Trump's victory, they are manipulating BTC into what kind of shape, with such high and low differences, it will be difficult to play both spot and contract in the future.

In retrospect, capital is indeed powerful, controlling everything. Many spot players should have exited around 78-80; it seems that even following the trend, they wouldn't have made this much. A lot of the shorts at 80,000 are also considerable, and those who retreated from the spot at 78-80 are now afraid to enter the market. Currently, 89,500 is somewhat similar to the 73,880 high in March. But unlike 73,880, which was a small bull peak, 89,500 is likely a midpoint in this bull's pullback, with another wave of rise to come.

Overall, I consider my November rise a failure; although the 'Short Exploration Method' allowed me to profit, I missed the spot opportunity, so everyone should grasp the pullback at 59,500.

#BTC☀

The BTC daily chart shows the KDJ at the top flat, and the MACD indicator's bullish momentum continues to rise, exceeding the levels of recent months, with the DIF soaring high. Additionally, it is worth noting the trading volume (Vol), as a large bullish candle has reappeared after the first bullish decline.

From the high of 87180 on the 9th, the market faces the tail end of a bullish decline. In this situation, even if it doesn't fall, there might be some pullback, but capital is once again pulling up strongly. As a retail investor, I won't speculate too much on where this problem arises.

Currently, there has been a relatively short large bullish candle, followed closely by today's short bullish candle. It is well known that BTC usually experiences upward movement from 4 AM to morning, but recently it is clear that the bullish energy is weakening.

At this current position, combining the analysis of indicators:
The market will either oscillate slightly upwards for a few days before rising again. However, considering the short trading today, this type of food 789, the slight upward oscillation around 76400, 76900, and 77180 is unlikely to occur.

The second possibility is that bearish energy is starting to appear. Coupled with the positions of the KDJ and MACD indicators, the distance between the K line and MA10 and EMA12 is too large, making a significant pullback highly probable.

Although there are multiple opportunities for both sides during this large increase in contracts, as we have reached this critical position, it is advisable to focus on short positions. Of course, going long at lower levels is also acceptable, but please set stop-losses to prevent getting trapped if a pullback occurs.

If you have the "Short Exploration Method," then these are all easy to grasp.

Now we need to keep an eye on the trading volume of this bullish bar on the daily chart. If it remains short this evening, then there is no need to say more about tomorrow; a significant pullback will begin.
$BTC #BTC走势预测 #分析行情

In fact, the current market is most suitable for contract swing trading, with stable profits from long and short operations. Since the rise on the 6th, the entire support level has been centered around the 15-minute, 1-hour, and 4-hour Vegas channels.

After the big rise on the 6th, there was a 1-hour EMA double support. This morning, both the 4-hour EMA12 and the 15-minute EMA double support were at 78400. For those who observe indicators, it's wise to anticipate the market; if it reaches this point, look at other indicators before choosing the entry timing. This morning, after a pullback at 78500, starting from the 1-minute chart, KDJ and MACD showed a golden cross, and a significant bearish candle appeared under the bearish premise, followed by a double golden cross in KDJ and MACD on the 5-minute chart, indicating bullish trading volume, and then changes in the 15-minute indicators. Currently, aside from the pullback that can involve the 1-hour and 4-hour indicator connections for analysis, the upward trend essentially finishes within a 1-15 minute short swing.

I really dislike when contract traders ask about market trends; if you're trading contracts, you need to understand that any market does not rise in a straight line. There are many pullbacks along the way, and you might even experience sudden trend reversals. Do you understand what it means to follow a trend? The above is some simple tips from 'Short Exploration Method,' suitable for beginners to avoid some cognitive errors, and also to provide you with some profitable trading techniques.

Big rises and falls actually have no effect on contract trading, provided you seize the timing of the rises and falls. 'Short Exploration Method' is a combination of technology and skills, integrating analytical thinking and operational systems. It is a contract trading strategy and also a means of contract risk management.

$BTC #BTC☀ #BTC突破8W1大关

$BTC btc daily chart has not formed a 'flat top' pattern, capital has repurchased after several attempts to sell off. The weekly Kdj has returned from a high position and has reached the edge of the ceiling, with macd crossing above zero, so the weekly chart indicates a pullback next week, but the extent will not be large.

Keep a close eye on the 4-hour kdj touching the ceiling, and combine it with hourly indicators to choose high short positions.

Regarding contracts, the same advice applies: trade in segments. The recent market has shown slight upward fluctuations, and there are opportunities for both low longs and high shorts. If you miss the spot, wait for a significant pullback before considering entering the market.

Eth will definitely rise more than 100 points again when the big coin rises again, further closing the distance of resonance with btc.

Currently, capital is hanging on without selling, and those who follow the trend with short positions are actually struggling. If forced liquidation occurs at a high, one can still wait comfortably for a significant market pullback. However, those who are forced to liquidate low positions are restless every day.

Again, the safest strategy for trading contracts is to trade in segments. But this year, the overall cycle from October to November has the lowest points at 48900, 52500, 58900, 66800, and the entire cycle is showing a pattern of fluctuating upward. Shorting while following the trend is definitely less safe than going long while following the trend. But the market has already reached this height,

So we wait for the significant pullback this month.

Again, I recommend the contract trading method 'Short Exploration Method', focusing on trading in segments, setting stop losses based on market conditions at profit points for short-term gains, and considering a blend of technical and skillful investment methods for medium to long term.

$ETH #行情分析📈 #BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥

$ETH eth is currently in a position to align with BTC's resonance. In March, BTC was 73880, and ETH was 4098. Now BTC is 77180, while ETH is 3060. According to the resonance theory, ETH should be around 4250 at this time.

Since the 6th, BTC has been in a trend of slight upward fluctuation, with the high-low difference gradually decreasing. ETH is seizing the opportunity during BTC's fluctuations to increase and bridge the resonance gap with BTC. This is what I mentioned in my post yesterday, that we need to be concerned about ETH's performance during BTC's fluctuation phase.

However, based on BTC's trends and cycles, a correction is needed in the early part of this month. The overall BTC trend has reached the end of its reversal correction. Yesterday's high of 76900 was actually within a decline range, but capital once again pushed up, forming a second wave. Yet this fluctuation provides ETH with another opportunity to rise. Therefore, ETH will only fall if it officially declines. Otherwise, ETH will continue to surge alongside BTC's slight upward trend.

So regardless of whether you buy contracts for ETH to go up or down, you must consider BTC's indicators. As for spot ETH, this month it will definitely pursue BTC's resonance position, so breaking 4000 for ETH is a certainty. However, BTC has reached the end of its correction phase, so I personally still suggest waiting for this correction to buy at a lower price, which would be more appropriate.

#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 #行情分析📈

From the K-line trend and the difference between the high points on the 6th, 7th, 8th, and 9th, it can be seen that capital is already probing for selling, which can also be understood as the interval point where the market is about to decline.

Relative to the entire market in November, this decline also serves the purpose of a correction, washing out positions, and attracting investment. The final trend is still expected to rise.

【BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF assets have surpassed its gold ETF】Cailian Press, November 8 - According to Nate Geraci, president of The ETF Store, the assets of BlackRock's Bitcoin exchange-traded fund iShares Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) have surpassed those of its gold exchange-traded fund iShares Gold ETF (IAU), achieving this in just 10 months. The iShares Gold ETF (IAU) was launched by BlackRock in January 2005.

$ETH Compared to BTC, everyone is paying more attention to ETH. ETH surged on the 6th and 7th, with a price increase greater than BTC. I mentioned in my last post that in March, when BTC was at 73800, ETH reached 4000 points, and when BTC was at 76900, ETH did not break through the 3000 mark. After all, it is the second-ranked mainstream coin by market cap, and it still has a solid foundation.

7th-8th:
High Point:
BTC rose from 76400 to 76900, an increase of 500 points.
ETH rose from 2669 to 2958, an increase of 289 points.
It can be seen that ETH is gradually increasing in price, reducing the gap with BTC's synchronous resonance.

So when BTC is in the process of rising and then shows a correction, ETH will generally display one of three types of movements:
First: BTC falls, ETH falls less.
Second: BTC fluctuates, ETH rises.
Third: BTC completes its correction and rises, ETH surges.
In summary: when BTC rises again in the second half of November, ETH's increase will be even more pronounced.

Currently, around 2960 is a historical resistance level, and around 28 is a support level. As BTC is expected to correct next, ETH is likely to come down to 2770-2745.

What needs to be considered now is that BTC is currently in a slight upward correction trend, similar to wave theory, where capital is testing the area for selling. However, whether ETH will break through the 2960 resistance during this fluctuation period is uncertain, as the title of the altcoin leader is not empty. If it breaks, will ETH's support point move up again during a significant BTC correction?

Solid: To play ETH well, it must be viewed alongside high-quality altcoins. During the rise in the second half of this month, you can consider buying some ETH spot, as its increase will be greater than that of BTC.

#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 #行情分析📈

Currently, the BTC trend shows a slight upward fluctuation, similar to wave theory. This type of trend appears at the peak, indicating a potential downward trend later, which is a significant correction in a major upward movement chart. However, the overall trend remains upward.

Based on the current market situation, there should still be a second wave, meaning after a slight increase, there will be a decline. This situation can also be observed from the 'flat top cap' pattern on the daily chart.
$BTC #BTC☀ #行情分析

$BTC reviewed the trend of this year's market, especially the market trend from August to November. Except for 48900 and 52500, the low points in August and September were accurately predicted. The low points in October and November were 2000 points apart.

First, the lowest point in October was 58900. I see the first target as 60500 and the second as 56500. The gap is 2400 points.

Second, the lowest point in November was 66500. I see the first target as 67500 and the second target as 64700. The gap is 1800 points.

The prediction of the big trend is either accurate or a small range, and the use of the "Short Exploration Method" can easily make profits in the contract area. But in the spot area, two precious opportunities were indeed lost. The pull-up on October 10 and November 6. To be honest, I pursued the extreme too much and made a mistake. The big rise on November 6, the "Trump effect" has many uncertain factors, so it is not a pity to miss the spot. The only pity is the pull-up in October. From the daily EMA support, the double golden cross of kdj and macd above zero, and the increase in vol trading volume of the 4-hour kdj and macd golden cross, it is a pity that the bullish market did not enter the spot. It is also a certain factor with the recent profit of the contract.

In fact, from October 24, 26 and the lowest point of this market, they are all supported by the 4-hour EMA. In fact, on the 4th, it was known that the market was likely to pull back. On the morning of the 6th, the upward trend was already seen. The contract did make some money, but the spot was missed again, mainly considering the uncertainty of the election. I don’t feel much regret for missing the spot this time. But overall, I really missed two opportunities to enter the spot.

There is no such a perfect thing in life. Missing is not terrible, but the most terrible thing is to make mistakes. I am just a retail investor, just like everyone else, a person’s energy is limited. Not only do I have to teach my apprentices technical analysis and the "Short Exploration Method", I also have to do 1-2 contracts every day. There are often fans who are trapped in the square live broadcast. I am willing to help others and spend time and energy to help them get out of the trap. The energy is dispersed step by step.

In fact, every time the market rises in September, October and November, it is ahead of the historical activity trajectory. From the perspective of the rise, it can be seen that if the entire market activity fluctuates upward according to the cycle, it is likely to go to 80,000-85,000 in late November. But after the current big rise, it is likely to fluctuate and wait for a fall. The decline should not be very large, and it will rise in the later period.

#行情分析📈 #BTC☀

The title of ETH as the king of altcoins is not unfounded.
Today, a rise of 140 points in just a few minutes.

When playing with ETH, it must be treated like an altcoin, and contracts should mainly focus on swing trading. Missing out is not scary, just don’t make mistakes.

In fact, from this 'Trump Effect', we can see how crazy the crypto world is. Try to maintain contracts for swing trading; sometimes a clear trend with substantial profits can be wiped out due to one’s own greed.

Additionally, in March, BTC was at 73800, and ETH was at 4000. Now BTC has broken new highs at 76400, while ETH is still starting with a 2. Therefore, BTC can be traded for high shorts and low longs for swing trading, while personally, I still view BTC as mainly for bottom fishing and going long for swing trading. The timing of entry is very important.

Still, it is said: don’t fear missing out, just fear making mistakes. The market has opportunities every day, don’t be too aggressive.

Speaking of my personal situation, I made a profit from 69200 to 71460 yesterday, but I missed the rise from 71500 to 75400. I didn’t bet on the 'Trump Effect', but I did see 72500 at 74800 and exited at 72860. This morning, I took a short position on BTC; my requirements are not high, just stable and safe operations every day. As long as I am still alive in the crypto world, time is the ATM.

$ETH #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 $BTC #BTC☀ #行情分析📈

There is a common belief in the market that if Trump wins, the market will rise, and if Harris wins, the market will fall.

Here are my personal views: firstly, the approval of BTC and ETH ETFs occurred during Biden's term. Biden and Harris both belong to the Democratic camp, which is primarily supported by Jewish capital, and Jewish capital mainly controls the financial sector. The most famous name in the cryptocurrency circle is BlackRock.

Therefore, do not determine the rise and fall of BTC based on who becomes president. Capital seeks to exploit opportunities; everything ultimately returns to the market itself. Do not let public opinion and market sentiment skew your judgment, including Doge!

[BTC Weekly Market Analysis] 11/4
Weekly:
MA20 support at 62800.
MA60 support at 54600.
KDJ 78 point dead cross prototype.
MACD zero positive cross, bullish increment.
From the weekly KDJ, the J line has not yet formed a dead cross with the KD line (downtrend) or is the J line reverting with the KD line (uptrend).

Daily:
The lowest points on October 23 and 25 were both at the MA20 support point, but the lowest point on November 3 has broken this MA20 support.

KDJ dead cross position at 19,
MACD dead cross bearish increment.
VOL has seen a continuous three-day bearish increment followed by another two-day bearish increment, with no significant bearish candlestick.

From the combination of KDJ and MACD, there is still room for a downturn, and VOL is currently concentrated on bearish energy release, with no significant bearish candlestick, and the recently increasing bearish candlesticks are not long enough, indicating that the bearish energy has not been fully released.
Combining historical candlestick activity trajectories and cycles, the market is bearish with a target near 64700.

4 Hours:
EMA12 pressure becomes horizontal,
EMA dual track support.
KDJ golden cross currently high around 80.
MACD golden cross prototype, bearish decrement.
VOL bullish trading volume decrement.

From the market trend, on October 24 and 26, the market was supported by the 4-hour EMA dual track, and the most recent significant pullback rose to the highest point of 73660. Last weekend and this Monday, the market has not successfully broken through the EMA dual track support.
KDJ and MACD are bullish, but the decrement in bullish trading volume (VOL) suggests insufficient upward energy, and the oscillating upward market has already moved KDJ from a low position to a high position near 80. Therefore, from the 4-hour perspective, although KDJ and MACD are bullish, the final market trend leans more towards a downturn based on trading volume (VOL), KDJ position, and the oscillating upward trend.

Summary:
Based on the indicator analysis of the weekly, daily, and 4-hour cycles, the market leans towards being bearish, with a target at 64700.

However, it is important to note that the recent market downturn trend has stopped and started to rise, all at the 4-hour support point. Given the current small capital structure, we must avoid shorting at the bottom and try to short at high positions to prevent capital from prematurely reversing and rallying, which could lead to being trapped.

Additionally, there is only one day left until the November 5 election. If Trump wins, will there be a capital rally aimed at inducing buying before a sell-off? This is also a consideration we should take into account.

$BTC #Btcoin #行情分析 #短探法

The 4-hour EMA support is indeed strong, and the market has once again played with everyone's mentality at the EMA support. The capital certainly has its ways. The specific market trends will be discussed in the upcoming market analysis, but considering the elections on November 5th, everyone should focus on short-term trades. Secure the profits that can be harvested first.

$BTC #Btcoin #行情分析📈

67500, 4-hour support point analysis and prediction are successful. That is, the 4-hour support point in October is 63000, and after 65500, the 67500 support point has been reached. Next, it depends on whether this support point can be broken through and the pressure level of 64700 in the 8-9-10 period is reached. There is a chance, and the 4-hour and daily indicators indicate that there is still room for decline.

Remember the strong support point of the contract, and you should choose to exit with profit when you reach it, that is, you should close the position near 67500. At this point, whether the callback is smashing the market or the callback is rising, this point is the point where you should exit with profit. Later, choose according to the changes in indicators. "Duan Tan Fa" is in operation.

$BTC #行情分析📈 #合约战神

The non-farm employment figures were released, far below expectations. The low employment rate indicates that the economy is in a recession, and the decline of US stocks is inevitable. If US stocks continue to fall significantly, then the market will inevitably panic, and BTC won't fare much better. If you interpret the non-farm data release as indicating a recession in the US economy, which leads to a decline in the dollar, and is bullish for BTC, then you might be falling for the data's trap.

Personally, I still see BTC declining. If US stocks continue to fall, the probability of retail investors selling and cutting losses in BTC is quite high. If BTC capital does not sell off in advance, then the entire bullish trend is still supported by capital chips. This is not a rational approach.

On November 5th, the election, if capital is thinking clearly, the probability of selling off in the evening is particularly high, and it is not advisable to chase for more.

Lastly, a reminder: high short operations, 'Short Probe Method', even if capital is not thinking clearly and really pulls up, it still won't trap you.

#行情分析📈 #BTC☀ #大选 #非农就业数据 $BTC

$BTC 64700 Not far away, brothers and sisters. 💪#行情分析 #Btcoin #合约战神