Friends, please note that tonight the US ISM Manufacturing PMI will be released. Pay attention to risk control and set stop losses!

If you are unsure of the direction, feel free to discuss! #马斯克改名 #BTC走势分析

The sentiment of altcoins will bring the market to a higher stage. This higher stage is the rally of leading public chains and value coins in the sector. The increase in on-chain altcoin sentiment and liquidity is enough to trigger a high explosion! Now we should wait for the sentiment to bring narratives, narratives to bring funds, and funds to bring price increases!

The most obvious signal ahead is January 20th, when Trump takes office.

Summary: Altcoins will have a major explosion after the New Year. Since most coin prices are currently low, why not rush in? Pre-emptively entering the market is always the right choice. If you don't know which coin to target, feel free to follow me and let's search for hundred-fold coins together: #XRP重返市值前三 #2025有哪些关键叙事？ #BTC走势分析

Trump will be inaugurated as the President of the United States on January 20, and now it has entered the countdown stage, with only 17 days left.
He will give a speech at the Capital One Arena in downtown Washington, DC in the early morning of January 20, 2025 Beijing time. This is a large public speech before he is sworn in.
The market began to expect whether Trump would mention Bitcoin and cryptocurrency in such an informal occasion.
Now, the main driving force of the crypto market is still emotion, and the biggest source of this emotion is Trump's power transfer.
If the US election is the first wave, the power transfer is the second wave, and then Trump's commitment to the cryptocurrency industry is the third wave.
As long as there is no economic recession in 2025, Bitcoin may have a long-term bull market similar to gold in the four years of Trump's administration.
After Trump takes office, once the Bitcoin Strategic Reserve Act is passed, many countries will follow suit. There are only 21 million bitcoins, and 3.7 million may have been permanently lost. In the future, there may be only 6 million bitcoins left for ordinary investors.
If sovereign funds from various countries follow suit in the future, supply and demand will drive the price of Bitcoin to continue to rise, and it is only a matter of time before Bitcoin reaches $1 million.
In the next 5-10 years, Bitcoin is likely to have a chance of more than 10 times, 10-15 times in 10 years, and 50-150 times in 20 years. It is very difficult to outperform Bitcoin in the long run.
For ordinary people, as long as they hold 0.1 Bitcoin, they have the opportunity to reach A7, and holding one Bitcoin has the opportunity to achieve A8, while large investors can reach A9 by holding 10 Bitcoins.#BTC

In the past 24 hours, the total liquidation across the network reached 200 million USD, mainly from short positions.
Odaily Planet Daily reported that Coinglass data shows that in the past 24 hours, the total liquidation across the network reached 200 million USD, of which short positions accounted for 138 million USD, and long positions accounted for 61.71 million USD. #比特币

Three Iron Rules
Never chase highs, stay calm during FOMO: The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and chasing highs often means facing higher risks and lower potential returns. Smart traders buy when market panic subsides and prices are relatively low, rather than following the crowd during market euphoria and price surges. Patience is key to success; do not let short-term market fluctuations affect you, and stick to your investment strategy. Be flexible – don't let heavy positions trap you: The market changes rapidly, and a single investment portfolio may not cope with all situations. Diversifying investments can reduce risk and improve the overall stability of your portfolio. Always leave room for adjustments, and flexibly adjust your portfolio according to market changes. Being fully invested is a beginner's practice: Being fully invested means putting all your funds into the market, which increases risk and limits future investment opportunities. Diversifying investments allows for greater flexibility and reduces the risk of a single asset. Don't put all your eggs in one basket; this is a fundamental principle of investing.
Key Techniques for Stable Profits
Stay patient in a sideways market: A sideways market is a phase of market adjustment, so don't panic and stick to your investment plan. Many traders lose patience in a sideways market, leading to investment failures. Key ranges = key opportunities: Consolidation at high or low levels often indicates that a significant market change is imminent. Observe market trends and wait for the right timing to trade. Build positions like a pyramid: Gradually entering the market in batches can reduce risk and maintain emotional stability. Do not invest all your funds at once; instead, gradually increase your position based on market conditions. Adjust strategies during market rises and crashes: Adjust your investment strategy according to market rhythms, control emotions, and avoid blindly following the crowd. Avoid heavy buying at high levels, and do not blindly bottom-fish at low levels.

Recently, the cryptocurrency circle has been stirred up by a move by Musk - Musk changed his name on Twitter (now X) to "#Bitcoin". This simple name change instantly triggered a strong chain reaction in the cryptocurrency circle. The price of Bitcoin fluctuated greatly, and the entire cryptocurrency market also fluctuated accordingly.

The number of initial unemployment claims in the U.S. for the week ending December 28 is 211,000, expected to be 222,000
According to BlockBeats news, on January 2, the number of initial unemployment claims in the U.S. for the week ending December 28 is 211,000, expected to be 222,000, with the previous value revised from 219,000 to 220,000.
As soon as this news was released, Bitcoin directly fell below 96,000, a drop of nearly 1,000 points, and Ethereum dropped more than 30 points. Brothers, did you catch it???
For those who didn't catch it, don't be discouraged. Look forward to our major news at 00:00 on January 3! #比特币 #比特币合约 #以太坊合约

Market trends are always as unpredictable as the tides, and this is normal. We cannot control the fluctuations of candlestick charts, but we can control our strategies. The following suggestions can help us avoid detours and achieve better returns:

1. Stick to low-priced assets: Don't be easily deceived by the market; be firm in your judgment and beware of tricks from market makers.

2. Avoid chasing highs and cutting losses: Full position trading carries significant risks. When the overall trend is bullish, building positions in batches can lower costs and increase returns.

3. Allocate profits reasonably: Don't blindly increase investments; learn to let funds circulate to fully realize their potential.

4. Have a strategy for sudden rises and falls: During rapid increases, first ensure that you break even; during sharp declines, stay calm and avoid emotional trading.

5. Layered strategy for trading: Initial low-price positioning relies on experience, while later market trading requires technical skills and information; the two should not be confused.

6. Build positions in layers: By buying and selling in batches, you can widen the price range and effectively control risks and profits.

7. Understand the interconnected effects: Pay attention to the dynamics of the entire market, not just the cryptocurrencies you hold, as interconnected effects can impact your decisions.

8. Reasonable allocation: Balance between popular cryptocurrencies and value assets ensures profits while mitigating risks.

9. Invest with spare money: Ensure you invest with funds that you can afford to lose; reasonable risk control and fund management are key to success.

Bitcoin has become strong today, with the current price reaching 96,700 at one point. Is it trying to push up to 100,000 in one go, or is it just a false move to lure in buyers? This remains to be verified over time. I think it's reasonable to go short around 96,000, with a good stop loss in place. My view remains unchanged from the afternoon; until there is an effective breakthrough and stabilization above the resistance level, the main strategy will be to short from a high position. At 21:30 tonight, initial jobless claims will be announced, so pay close attention to this data. It is possible that they might first push the price up to lure in buyers before hitting hard to clean out the buyers, as long as the market can get moving. Breaking out of the range and shaking things up is a good thing; only when movement occurs can the trend become clearer, providing more opportunities for short sellers!

How to Unwind a Position?
1. Active Unwinding
1. If you bought incorrectly, especially after chasing a high price on a large increase, be decisive, cut your losses early, and protect your wallet. There are many opportunities in the market, and as long as the money is still there, recovery will be easier. #CryptoCircle#
2. If the coins in your hand are not performing and continue to drop, look for other coins that are about to rise, and quickly switch over, using the new profits to cover old losses.
3. If you're deeply trapped and think it will continue to fall, sell a portion and wait to buy back at a lower price, which will lower your cost.
2. Passive Unwinding
1. If you bought at a low position and believe the market will improve, consider adding funds in several increments, but don't add too many times; timing is crucial.
2. If you're fully invested and trapped, with no money to add and reluctant to cut losses, then just wait. As long as the money is yours and not borrowed, be patient; who knows when you might unwind your position. #Cryptocurrency#
Remember, being trapped is not the end of the world. Don't act impulsively, maintain your mindset, and opportunities will always arise. #Bitcoin #数学货币

Recently, the Ethereum market has undergone a deep adjustment for half a month, with trading volume hitting a new low since Trump's election as President of the United States, while the fear index also set a record low since October.

With frequent price fluctuations and 'painting the tape' behavior, the market washout seems to be nearing its end.

This series of actions aims for a dual purpose: first, to clear floating chips through violent fluctuations.

Second, to test the loyalty of remaining holders, ensuring that there will be no large-scale sell-offs during subsequent rallies.

Ultimately, these efforts are reflected in a significant decrease in trading volume, and the market is gradually stabilizing.

Navigating the cryptocurrency and US stock markets requires a solid understanding of the US macroeconomy as an essential key.

Stay updated on key indicators such as GDP growth rate, the Federal Reserve's interest rate policies, US Treasury dynamics, fluctuations in the dollar exchange rate, and the trends of the dollar index.

Also, pay attention to FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting resolutions and changes in CPI (Consumer Price Index), all of which influence the flow of funds and the fluctuations of financial cycles.

A deep understanding of these macroeconomic factors is like having a navigation chart, helping you accurately judge trends and respond flexibly in the complex and ever-changing environment of the cryptocurrency world, allowing you to seize every investment opportunity with ease. Master the macro, and you can navigate the market's waves!

2024 Global Billionaires List: Total Net Worth of Top 500 Exceeds $10 Trillion for the First Time, Wealth of Billionaires in the Crypto Sector Soars
In 2024, the total wealth of the top 500 richest people on the global billionaires list reached a new milestone, surpassing the $10 trillion mark.
Among this growth, the wealth increase of tech billionaires is particularly significant. Tech leaders such as Elon Musk, Mark Zuckerberg, and Jensen Huang topped the list, collectively increasing their wealth by $903 billion.
After Trump's election victory, Bitcoin first broke the $100,000 mark, and the digital asset market also experienced a historic surge, significantly boosting the wealth of billionaires in the cryptocurrency sector.
Notably, leading figures in cryptocurrency, such as Binance founder Changpeng Zhao (CZ), saw their wealth grow by 60% to $55 billion; Coinbase co-founder Brian Armstrong's wealth increased by over 50% to $11.1 billion. This change not only reflects the strong momentum of wealth accumulation in the tech and cryptocurrency sectors but also highlights the dynamic changes in global wealth distribution and new development trends.
Against this backdrop is the rise of most global stock markets, particularly the strong rebound of U.S. tech stocks, which propelled the soaring wealth of these billionaires. On the day of Trump's election, it also fueled a surge in U.S. stocks; the S&P 500 index not only reached a historic high on the first day after the election but also surged over 2.53%, marking the best post-election day performance in history. Moreover, within five weeks after the election, the total net worth of billionaires increased to $505 billion, accounting for 34% of the annual increase.

These data not only reveal the trend of wealth concentration globally but also highlight the increasing influence of the tech and cryptocurrency industries in the global economy. As wealth continues to accumulate and distribute, the dynamics of the global billionaires list will continue to attract close attention.
With the concentration of wealth and the rise of the tech and cryptocurrency sectors, we cannot help but ponder what profound impacts this trend will have on the development of the global economy and social structure. What does it mean for ordinary people? Is it a new opportunity or serious class division?

Signs of a global economic recession? Apart from widespread weakness in Europe, U.S. manufacturing continues to weaken: Chicago's December PMI dropped to 36.9, the second lowest since 2020, below the expected 42.5. This marks the 13th consecutive month of contraction. The new orders index fell to the second lowest since May 2020, with over 50% of respondents reporting a decrease in new orders. The U.S. December ISM manufacturing PMI national data is about to be released, confirming that the industry is in recession. Can Trump make a difference? #比特币大亨惊爆预言

Odaily星球日报讯 🌟 QCP 在最新发布中指出，比特币（BTC）市场近期流动性较弱，现货市场出现缺口。尽管过去几天有反弹迹象，但持续的抛售压力让上涨乏力。随着年底临近，BTC 的势头有所减弱，自 12 月 19 日以来，现货 ETF 净流出高达 18 亿美元，而 MicroStrategy 的购买速度也放缓了。📉
加密货币市场的疲软反映了更广泛的市场情绪，标准普尔 500 和纳斯达克指数近期多次下跌超 1%。展望 2025 年 Q1，尽管对特朗普就职后可能出台的加密友好政策持乐观态度，QCP 认为关键催化剂或将在 1 月出现，机构资产配置的重新调整可能会提升比特币的市场主导地位。📈
随着越来越多机构，包括大学捐赠基金，加入比特币的行列，预计 BTC 的配置将增加，稳定现货市场走势，并使其波动性更接近股票市场。同时，对冲下行风险的看跌期权需求将增强，而上行看涨期权的卖出将增多。🔍#比特币

In fact, what everyone is most entangled with are two points.
One is that the country does not recognize it. Of course, the country only does not recognize it as currency, but it does not deny it as an investment target.
The second is to return to the simple level of value investing; virtual currencies are too elusive.
The point of national endorsement is actually a paradox～
Everyone knows that blockchain is the trend of future finance, right?
So once the central bank's digital currency is issued, it will certainly impact the originally circulating digital currencies. But on another level, if the central bank's digital currency is successful, it will actually be beneficial for other virtual currencies that have a first-mover advantage.
Decentralized digital currencies have the greatest advantage in their conceptual flexibility; they can quickly be linked to a certain asset and can also quickly decouple.
These concepts rely entirely on the consensus of the holders to be realized. Even before the concept takes shape, the price can rise first.
Unless the central bank introduces a more advanced algorithmic technology, simply relying on financial strategies cannot strike at virtual currencies with first-mover advantages. Moreover, if there is a full-scale crackdown, how many expected resources would be lost in vain～ At that time, who profits is still uncertain～
So there is a point here that can easily be overlooked. It is the transformation brought about by algorithms, or the wave of thought brought by technological innovation.
Blockchain technology is definitely not just an iteration of algorithms; it brings a completely new way of thinking and exploration in political economy and trade. The government will certainly cater to this major trend, but it will not be petty enough to strike at old coins.
So in the foreseeable future, as long as the technology of old coins is not broken, even if they become antique mascots, they will not be expelled from the trading market.
Another point is about value investing; this is actually very unprofessional.
Supply and demand make up the market, and buying and selling create profits.
There is no concept of 'value' in this.
The concept of value cannot guide investment; investment focuses on profits, and then looks at supply and demand.
Capital efficiency mainly looks at demand expectations, not value expectations.
Unless you really delve into a very professional field and fully understand the projects you are about to invest in.
Otherwise, do not discuss value from a very macro perspective; it is easy to be misled.
Human demand is complex; people do not necessarily value things. #比特币 #以太坊合约

12.31 Morning Market Analysis

Last night, the big pie fell to around 91510 as expected before rebounding, currently running around 92500

From the current 4-hour structure, the big pie is running near the middle track of the Bollinger Bands, the KDJ curve is moving downward, the MACD is moving downward, and 🈳head increasing

Morning personal suggestion
If the big pie pulls back to around 92000-91500, look towards around 93200-94500

If the aunt pulls back to around 3320-3285, look towards around 3370--3400 #比特币

Evening price order for fans
Auntie Xiaocang is shorting
Eating Auntie's 52-point space
Professional解套翻苍认准婷姐婷姐为你保驾护航！#比特币 a #比特币合约

12.31 Early Morning Market Analysis and Trading Recommendations
The major cryptocurrency has declined as expected, currently running around 91950, with a loss of 751 points for Bitcoin and a loss of 30 points for Ethereum

BTC
Bitcoin has seen a significant drop; during the day, there was a small-scale rebound, but it couldn't break through the first resistance level. In the evening, it fell below 93600 and has continued to drop. The first support level at 92482 has been broken, and the next support is around 90286.88069. During the night, watch for a small-scale rebound resistance at 92959.94062. It must break through these two resistance levels again for the market to rebound significantly.

ETH
Ethereum has currently hit the hard support at the bottom of the consolidation zone at 3300. This support is also a weekly level of bullish and bearish support, so it must break below this position to continue looking downward. The lower supports are around 3220.3104.3038. As long as it doesn't drop below 3300, the market remains in a range-bound oscillation. The upper resistance levels are 3383.3445. It must break through these two resistance levels for the market to continue looking upward for a reversal.

The South Korean stock market has suffered a severe impact due to President Yoon Suk-yeol's declaration of "emergency martial law," leaving investors in a state of panic and leading to significant capital outflow from the stock market. In this situation, some investors have begun to look for new investment channels, and the cryptocurrency market has become a highly regarded option.
The cryptocurrency market in South Korea has developed rapidly in recent years, with an increasing number of investors and trading volumes at exchanges hitting new highs.
Currently, factors such as the global economic situation, trade tensions, and geopolitical risks may pose shocks to the cryptocurrency market.
Although the South Korean government is also making efforts to regulate this market to ensure its healthy development, such as strengthening market oversight and increasing transparency, aimed at protecting investors' rights and preventing market manipulation and fraud, a wave of difficulty is inevitable.
In addition to policy factors, South Korea's economic strength and competitiveness also provide favorable conditions for the development of the cryptocurrency market. As one of Asia's "Four Little Dragons," South Korea's economic strength should not be underestimated.
Currently, the market is turbulent, walking alone can be lonely, follow me for daily potential strategies and market operation commentary.