What constitutes a good target?

Looking back at the last cycle, the leading project in the DeFi space is undoubtedly Uni. Compared to Sushi, it is clear that Uni is the more stable target. However, if we look at the chart, Uni has risen up to 15 times from its bottom, while Sushi has risen 60 times.

I am not saying that Sushi is better, but I want to express that when we discuss which project is better, we must consider multiple factors, such as criteria, time span, and capital volume, in order to draw reasonable conclusions.

Simply comparing price increases is one-sided, and it can even be said to be "playing tricks".
Both Sushi and Uni belong to the targets on the BNB chain and have gone through the processes of distribution and accumulation. They can both accommodate M-level capital, meaning they have sufficient market depth and liquidity.

#市场波动，加仓还是观望？
If someone is confused by market fluctuations and doesn't know how to respond to being trapped, or feels misled during the operation process, I am Brother Jiu, and I welcome communication.

Is goat really the leader of AI?

A pure AI agent is very similar to the rebase of the last bull market. The development cost is low, and any minor change is treated as a rebase. It starts off feeling fresh, but in the end, it becomes overwhelming and chaotic. Ultimately, all those well-designed rebase projects failed, leaving only ampl. From this perspective, there is indeed reason to hold onto goat tightly.

If we look at it from the perspective of utility projects, goat is extremely poor.
The goat project has almost no delivery capability. Currently, there are various AI agents on the market that can sing, dance, create videos, and invest. Goat is significantly lagging in product delivery.

I tend to believe that goat was among the first agents and will always have a place.
However, the entire AI agent space is a huge utility arena and cannot be viewed merely as a meme. Just as the best assets in the DeFi space are not memes, goat is likely not the most attractive option.

Future utility leaders in the AI agent space may surpass goat. A major AI leader worth tens or hundreds of billions, with its own business model, seems much more reasonable.

#市场波动，加仓还是观望？
If anyone is confused by market fluctuations and unsure how to deal with being trapped, or feels misled during their operations, I am Brother Jiu, and I'm open to discussions.

In the current bull market, staying calm and composed is of utmost importance. Holding onto your cryptocurrencies steadily is the broad path to victory.

Impulsiveness is undoubtedly the number one taboo in the crypto world. When the bull market surges, witnessing certain cryptocurrencies experiencing multiple times in price increase, it's normal to feel stirred: should I chase the rise? Will I sell too early? At this moment, it is increasingly necessary to remain calm. Experienced investors know that the secret to profit in a bull market lies in patient perseverance, while the bear market is the perfect opportunity for careful planning.

Do not be governed by the fear of missing out. Although it is hard not to be tempted when seeing prices double, the market follows a rotational pattern. Even if a certain cryptocurrency rises to 5 times or 10 times, the market makers may still hold a large amount of chips and may not continue to push the price higher. Recklessly chasing high prices can easily lead to being trapped. In a bull market, it is essential to lock in profits at the right time and not to take blind risks.

In the face of market fluctuations, it is crucial to act according to the established plan and not to be controlled by emotions. A common pitfall for beginners is impatience; when first entering the crypto market, it is even more important to understand the true meaning of “patience.”

In summary, the key to success in a bull market lies in one word: “endure.” Do not let short-term rises and falls disturb your mood. Missing a sale is just a minor episode; being trapped is the real suffering.

#市场波动，加仓还是观望？
If anyone feels confused due to market fluctuations and doesn't know how to deal with being trapped, or feels misled during the operation process, I am Jiu Ge, and welcome to communicate.

Through the new coins#move#me launched by An An these two days, I found a small pattern.

Check their contracts. If the negative rate is particularly high, a big positive line will usually appear the next day. In this case, it is very easy to get a 10%-30% return!

If An An encounters this situation again next time, you can try short-term small capital operation!

#市场波动，加仓还是观望？
If anyone is confused by market fluctuations, does not know how to deal with the situation of being trapped, or feels that they have been misled during the operation, I am Brother Jiu, welcome to communicate

Is the bull market still on? How will the market move?

First, a conclusion: the bull market is still on, but it needs to go through a period of consolidation before rising again.

In the short term, the possibility of BTC breaking through the 100,000 mark and reaching a new high is relatively low!
If it cannot reach a new high, then there are two possible scenarios:
1. BTC will fluctuate between 90,000 and 100,000.
2. Or it may continue to pull back, falling to a stronger support level.
Regardless, BTC is still BTC, and altcoins are still altcoins, trading strategies remain divided into

Two paths: continue to invest in the overall direction of Bitcoin, while altcoins will continue to look for short-term hotspots.
Currently, altcoins have experienced a MEME craze, followed by a secondary hotspot coin craze. The current market state is quite suitable for taking a break, and after the market adjusts, we can choose our investment direction again.

#市场波动，加仓还是观望？
If anyone is confused due to market fluctuations, unsure how to deal with being stuck, or feels misled during the trading process, I am Jiu Ge, and welcome to communicate.

This wave of decline cleared nearly 2 billion leverage, and only 1.1 billion was cleared on August 5, which was the largest liquidation in recent times. After this wave of leverage was cleared, the funding rates of the altcoins have returned to normal.

There is no obvious negative reason for this decline, and the time was chosen at the strange 5 a.m. Comprehensively judging that the main purpose of this wave of decline is to clear leverage, and other so-called reasons are not reasons.

Clearing leverage is to prepare for the subsequent market. After this wave of leverage clearing is completely over, Ethereum and altcoins will usher in an acceleration period. The bull market trend is still there, don't panic, there are negative losses in the spot, just bear it.

Next, if you want to buy the bottom, you should choose two opportunities:
- If Ethereum breaks through 3800 with large volume and stands firm, you can buy the bottom of the altcoin
- If Ethereum hits the bottom for the second time (the second needle before does not count), and falls below 3600 with a small volume, you can buy the bottom of Ethereum or altcoins in batches
When the market is neither up nor down, just lie flat and do not move. Unexplained flash crashes like today are standard in a bull market. It is better to finish the transaction quickly than to be half dead.

#市场波动，加仓还是观望？
If anyone is confused by market fluctuations, does not know how to deal with the situation of being trapped, or feels that they have been misled during the operation, I am Brother Jiu, welcome to communicate

In a bull market, how to proceed step by step to ensure continuous asset growth!

1. Double your investment, gradually sell off your principal
The main purpose of this approach is to reduce the psychological cost to zero, minimizing mental struggles, so that you can hold onto your assets better. If the market declines, your principal has already been withdrawn, and what remains is profit, with the only question being how much you will earn. If the market rises, you still hold more than half of your chips, continuing to profit.

2. Do not completely liquidate good assets during a bull market; you must leave some core holdings
After the first step, the remaining core holdings themselves have zero cost. If the market continues to rise, you can gradually reduce your holdings, but do not liquidate everything. Since the first step has been taken, your mindset will be more proactive, making this step easier to implement.

3. Cycle through, allowing assets to continuously grow
After accumulating from steps 1 and 2, you still have chips in hand, waiting for the opportunity to buy good assets again. If good assets rise, you can cycle through using the strategies from steps 1 and 2.

#市场波动，加仓还是观望？
If someone finds themselves confused due to market fluctuations, unsure how to handle being stuck, or feels misled during their operations, I am Brother Jiu, and I welcome communication.

December 3, 2024 #今日思路

1. Market Overview
As of December 3, 2024, Bitcoin (BTC) has slightly declined, and the market is experiencing a monthly level adjustment, with BTC's market dominance also fluctuating. Meanwhile, the U.S. government plans to sell $2 billion worth of Bitcoin, which has significantly impacted market sentiment. In contrast, the U.S. stock market is performing strongly, and the trend of a strengthening dollar is becoming increasingly evident, with the RMB exchange rate depreciating to 7.3. President Trump has threatened to impose a 100% tariff on countries that do not use the dollar, which could further affect global market liquidity and stability.
2. Market Highlights

In the current market environment, established cryptocurrencies such as XRP, Hbar, XVC, ZEC, and IOTA have performed well, showing a significant upward trend. Among them, XRP has garnered attention due to institutional ETF applications; if its market cap increases by another 60%, it may surpass Ethereum (ETH) to become the second-largest cryptocurrency in the market. Additionally, Chainlink (LINK) in the Ethereum ecosystem has also seen a substantial rise, as LINK, a decentralized finance (DeFi) oracle, has received enthusiastic support from the market. The recent strong performers in the cryptocurrency space are mostly old coins from 2017, indicating a renewed interest in these assets.

Moreover, animal-themed meme coins such as Moo and Pnut have also seen increases. In particular, Moo's performance on the Coinbase platform has attracted investor attention, while Pnut previously received a retweet from Coinbase. This indicates that Coinbase's wealth creation effect in the U.S. remains strong, and the primary source of speculative funds in the current bull market is still the U.S. market.

In summary, although Bitcoin faces downward pressure, the performance of old coins and emerging assets remains strong, and the trend of diversified investment in the market provides new opportunities for future development.

#市场波动，加仓还是观望？
If anyone feels confused due to market fluctuations, unsure of how to deal with being trapped in positions, or feels misled during their operations, I am Jiu Ge, and I welcome communication.

Everyone should learn lessons from the market. After the rebound, the leverage that makes you panic should be removed, and the leverage that makes you sleepless should also be removed.

Don't guess the market trend. We only know the general trend, whether the trend is up or down. The rest depends on position management.

For example, in the current market, we don't know whether it will rebound all the way to above 3700, or will it pull back again, or even pull back to 3550 or even 3300. Who knows?

For traders, first, they must have a firm judgment on the general trend, and second, they must have room for operation for any trend in the short term. If the market fluctuates, then you must ensure that there is still money on hand for operation. If it really goes down, you can boldly buy the bottom.

Through position management, you can manage your mentality. Eliminating anxiety is the first step. When the opportunity comes, you must be bold.

#市场波动，加仓还是观望？
If someone is confused because of market fluctuations, does not know how to deal with the situation of being trapped, or feels that he has been misled during the operation, I am Brother Jiu, welcome to communicate

Today's adjustment came at just the right time, persuading those hesitant about the altcoin season to back off.
The altcoins that needed adjustment followed Ethereum down for a round of corrections, while those that didn't need adjustment saw minimal declines. It's good to have the necessary adjustments in place.

I didn't take any action during this adjustment, not even a willingness to trade. Adjustments in a bull market lay the groundwork for the next wave of increases; it's time to clear out the leverage and measure what needs to be measured. Then, the new round of altcoins will take off.

#市场波动，加仓还是观望？
If anyone is feeling confused due to market fluctuations, unsure how to cope with being stuck, or feels misled during their trading process, I am Brother Jiu, and I welcome communication.

In the BN gain leaderboard, new currencies are becoming increasingly prominent, with ZRO becoming the leader of the gains.
This is a positive signal that the rotation of old coins is about to end, and the season of new and emerging coins is gradually unfolding.

Once a bull market starts, I don't believe there will be any significant corrections. The probability of acceleration is greatly upward; currently, I judge that next week will not be as sluggish as the previous weeks and will accelerate upward.

Next week will be a watershed; those who haven't boarded will find it very difficult to do so.

#市场波动，加仓还是观望？
If anyone is confused due to market fluctuations and doesn't know how to deal with being stuck in a position, or feels misled during their operations, I am Brother Jiu, and I welcome communication.

XRP broke its historical high today.

This bull market has two completely different aspects compared to the previous one:

1. In the last bull market, old coins almost only broke new highs just before the market completely collapsed; whereas in this round, many old coins, even with a very large market cap, still surged first.

2. Among the top five market caps, the only old coin that is still far from its new high is ETH; even XRP has reached a new high, while Ethereum hasn't even hit 4000 😂😂.

#市场波动，加仓还是观望？
If anyone is confused due to market fluctuations and doesn't know how to deal with being stuck, or feels misled during their operations, I am Brother Jiu, feel free to reach out.

Why do all senior traders talk about execution and discipline?

For planned trading, there is no rule without rules.
If you make some mistakes, you will not change them tomorrow if you don't change them today.
If you don't do some things today, you will not do them tomorrow.
Laziness will accompany you for life, so you must learn to suppress yourself and redeem yourself!
Motivation and sense of urgency are given by yourself!
In this round, everyone, work hard!
All beautiful expectations will eventually come true, and all humiliation will eventually be proud.

You don't work hard at this stage? When are you going to work hard?
You don't work hard at this stage? When are you going to work hard?
You don't work hard at this stage? When are you going to work hard?

#市场波动，加仓还是观望？
If someone is confused by market fluctuations, doesn't know how to deal with the situation of being trapped, or feels that he has been misled during the operation, I am Brother Jiu, welcome to communicate

BTC short-term market judgment:

1. Bitcoin is still dominated by wide fluctuations. From the perspective of fluctuation time, volume, space, and market sentiment, Brother Jiu believes that it is not yet time to break through 10w. It will have to fluctuate downward for a while.

2. There is a pattern in the rise and fall of the market during this period. The big rise will rise first, and then Ethereum and the cottage will make up for it; Bitcoin falls, and Ethereum and the cottage will not follow, or the follow-up is not large. From the perspective of Ethereum exchange rate, this feature is also reflected. The cottage is simply sideways.

3. According to this rule, Ethereum and the cottage are expected to make up for the rise tomorrow and the day after tomorrow, and the water level will rise. Bitcoin fluctuates widely, and there is no need to worry about the blood collapse of Ethereum and the cottage if it fluctuates downward.

This is the market observation that Brother Jiu sees now. Let's see how Ethereum goes tomorrow. I will share the details in the design drive. The general trend is there, there is nothing to worry about.

#市场波动，加仓还是观望？
If anyone is confused by market fluctuations, doesn’t know how to deal with being trapped, or feels that they have been misled during the operation, I am Brother Jiu, welcome to communicate

Musk responded to Opus' post yesterday, saying that he is also paying attention to the concept of AI Agent.
Now it seems that this concept is one of the most persistent, imaginative and rapidly developing new concepts in recent times! This is also a brand new application scenario for AI technology.

With the continuous maturity of technology and the attention of more celebrities, I think this concept has a good chance of becoming the mainstream of the second half of the bull market. Related AI Agent tokens include: GOAT, ACT, ai16z, eliza, luna (on-chain meme coin), ava, lum, etc.

#市场波动，加仓还是观望？

If anyone is confused by market fluctuations, does not know how to deal with the situation of being trapped, or feels that he has been misled during the operation, I am Brother Jiu, welcome to communicate

Many people earn money but can't distinguish whether it's due to their ability or luck, especially with certain cryptocurrencies. The simplest way to distinguish is, if a similar opportunity comes again, would you still be able to seize it?

With the same cryptocurrency, some people grasp it without understanding, while others capture it under confirmed trends and sectors. Although both largely rely on luck, the latter has a much higher probability of success in the same market conditions, making it a vague correctness.

Why is it important to distinguish between luck and skill? Gains and losses originate from the same source; if you earn money but your understanding doesn't keep up, you might eventually lose it back. Most people in the crypto space who have made significant profits have experienced making money, going bankrupt, reflecting on their mistakes, studying diligently, and then making money again, often consistently. At least I, Jiu Ge, have personally gone through this.

#市场波动，加仓还是观望？
If anyone feels confused due to market fluctuations, unsure how to deal with being trapped, or feels misled during their operations, I am Jiu Ge, and I welcome communication.

What is trend trading?

Trend trading is a trading strategy that makes buy and sell decisions based on market trends.
1. Definition: Trend trading is waiting for a confirmed trend to form before opening a position, which can be achieved by going long when prices rise or shorting when prices fall.

2. Features: The core of trend trading is "following the trend", that is, trading in the main direction of the market. This strategy believes that once the market forms a clear trend, this trend may continue for a period of time, and profits can be made by following the trend.

3. Time structure: Trend trading can be carried out in different time frames, including short-term trading, swing trading, and investment in longer time frames. Regardless of the time frame, trend trading aims to accumulate the odds in our favor.

4. Risk control: Although trend trading can increase the possibility of profit, it also comes with certain risks. Therefore, we all set stop loss points to limit potential losses and ensure that the trading strategy is consistent with the risk management plan.

In general, trend trading is a trading strategy that makes buy and sell decisions based on market trends. It emphasizes the principle of "following the trend" and uses various technical analysis tools to judge market trends.

#市场波动，加仓还是观望？
If anyone is confused by market fluctuations, doesn’t know how to deal with being trapped, or feels misled during operations, I am Brother Jiu, welcome to communicate

What is day trading?

Day trading is a trading method characterized by short holding periods and no overnight positions.
1. Definition: Day trading, also known as intraday trading, refers to the buying and selling operations completed within a single trading day, avoiding the risks associated with overnight positions.

2. Characteristics: The main characteristic of day trading is the rapid entry and exit from the market, capturing profit opportunities from short-term price fluctuations. Due to the very short holding periods, day traders need to pay close attention to market dynamics and use technical analysis to make decisions.

3. Operating Principles: The operating principles of day trading include respecting market trends, selecting trading opportunities, controlling risks, and maintaining an objective and calm mindset. Traders should follow market trends without subjective predictions, select opportunities that align with their trading system, and strictly control the risk of each trade to ensure the safety of their capital.

4. Advantages and Disadvantages: The advantage of day trading is the ability to quickly respond to market changes and accumulate profits through multiple small gains. However, this trading method also requires a high level of market analysis ability and psychological resilience, as frequent trading and market uncertainty may bring significant psychological pressure.

#市场波动，加仓还是观望？

If someone is confused by market fluctuations and doesn't know how to deal with being trapped, or feels misled during their operations, I am Jiu Ge, welcome to communicate.

During market pullbacks, focus on two trends of altcoins:

1. Coins that may form a bottom after a pullback: These coins, after a significant rise, may form a bottom after pulling back, and if they successfully establish a bottom, they are expected to rise again.

2. Coins that remain strong during a pullback: Even when the market pulls back, these coins continue to perform strongly, usually receiving strong financial support or market recognition.

Additionally, one should also focus on potential coins that are forming a bottom and those that remain consistently strong. These are coins worth buying and holding.

#市场波动，加仓还是观望？

If someone is confused due to market fluctuations and doesn't know how to deal with being trapped, or feels misled during the operation process, I am Jiu Ge, welcome to communicate.

At present, the old mainstream public chain, meme sector and GameFi sector have entered the stage of pulling up the market. Next, we should focus on the following sectors:

ETH sector:#ENS#PENDLE#UNIare worth paying attention to;
RWA sector:#POLYX#RIO#TRUare worth tracking;
Public chain level:#TIA#SUI and#SEIcannot be ignored;
Solana ecology:#JTO#BOME#BONK#RAY are worth paying attention to;
AI sector:#RNDR#FET#LPT#ACT and other projects have potential, and this sector has not yet been launched on a large scale.

The old mainstream sector has temporarily come to an end recently, while #ACT and #PNUT in the meme sector may still usher in a wave of market. After all, the market is often "a positive line changes the three views", and then the negative emotions will naturally dissipate.

#市场波动，加仓还是观望？

If anyone is confused by market fluctuations, doesn’t know how to deal with being trapped, or feels that they have been misled during the operation, I am Brother Jiu, welcome to communicate