Currently, Bitcoin is showing strong recovery momentum with almost no signs of stagnation. The resistance area of ​​63,000 to 64,000 mentioned earlier has been successfully broken.

Considering the market atmosphere after the rate cut, the bulls are expected to continue to strengthen, and it is only a matter of time before the impact of 65,000.

Therefore, any pullback in the short term should be regarded as an opportunity to buy on dips.
Short-term operation strategy recommendations:
When the pullback reaches the 63,000 to 63,500 range, you can consider placing long orders with a stop loss below 600 points, and the target is the 64,000 to 65,000 range.

If the price rebounds to around 65,000 (the first touch), you can consider placing short orders, also setting a stop loss below 600 points, and the target is a pullback to the 64,000 to 63,000 range.
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周五午间 BTC 和 ETH 思路解析
最近，比特币持续强势上涨，成功突破 64000，早间布局的多单兑现，短线获利 1300 点！虽然短期节奏在冲高后略显承压，但目前的跌幅并未破坏强势结构，操作上继续保持低多思路。

从日线级别来看，虽然尚未完全向上突破，但也没有出现明显的回调。

如果午后能持续台阶上升并稳固在 64000 之上，那么有望进一步突破 65000，日线也将迎来新一轮上涨。

短线上，早间在 64100 附近回落，依然是熟悉的节奏，回调后再反弹。

继续做多是主流思路，关键在于选择合适的进场位置。小时线的支撑在 63000 附近，这也是阻力转换位。

午间 BTC 短线操作建议：
回踩 62500-63000 区域做多，目标看向 64000-65000。

以太坊短线操作建议：
与比特币保持同步操作即可。
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Going long at 53,000, and holding on to it until now, can be said to be very painful and tormenting, but hard work pays off, our current floating profit is close to 10,000 points, which is the market's reward for those who control their emotions! ​​​​
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The current price of CYBER is 3.69. You can consider opening a long position with a stop loss of 3.1 and a take profit target of 4.6.

From the macro-level trend, CYBER is performing well and is expected to usher in a strong positive line. It is suitable to wait patiently.

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BTC is currently testing the mid-line pressure level of the weekly line. Whether it can break through the upper line next week is crucial.

The defensive node can focus on 61500. If it does not fall below, the possibility of an upward breakthrough is still there.

Judging from the performance of altcoins, market sentiment has been completely guided by Bitcoin, but the continued rise still needs to pay attention to the performance of Ethereum.

ETH rose more significantly than BTC yesterday, but it still needs to increase its strength. The key pressure levels are 2550 and 2760. If it can break through this week, it will be expected to usher in a rebound next week. I look forward to its exchange rate with Bitcoin returning to normal.
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According to the analysis of the four-hour chart of Bitcoin, the three tracks of the Bollinger Bands are currently on an upward trend, and the price of the currency is close to the upper track.

The three lines of the KDJ indicator show signs of turning downward at a high level, which may form a dead cross. MACD also began to fall back from a high level, and the trading volume has slightly decreased. The price of the currency may have peaked. Therefore, intraday operations need to be cautious to prevent short-term retracements.

Key technical levels:
Upper pressure levels: 64,000 and 65,000 Lower support levels: 61,800, 61,300 and 60,800
Operation strategy:
Short order ideas:

Short around 64,000, and consider adding short orders at 65,000. The target is set around 63,000-62,500-62,000. If it breaks, hold it according to the situation.

Long order ideas:
Look for long order opportunities in the 62000-61000 range, and consider covering positions at 59000-59500 below. The mid-term target is set at 65000-68000.

Ethereum operation ideas:
Short order:
Short around 2500, target 2450-2400, if it breaks, pay attention to 2380.

Long order:
Leverage mid-term long orders in the 2300-2350 range, and set the target at 2450-2500-2600.
Combined with the market reaction after the previous interest rate cuts, it usually brings a surge in the price of the currency.

This time may also follow a similar rule. After the interest rate cut, there may be a wave of sharp retracements. After the retracement, you can consider bottom-fishing and layout mid-term. Please be prepared for the upcoming market opportunities! #美国8月零售销售环比好于预期 #特朗普首次使用BTC #美国大选如何影响加密产业？

From the heat map analysis, the liquidity of small levels is relatively stable, which is why the price has not fluctuated much in the past day.

What needs attention is the liquidation intensity below, which is about 18.82 million US dollars, and the liquidation price is around 61,600;

The liquidation intensity above is US$27.13 million, and the liquidation price is 62656. The current long-short ratio of BTC is significantly unbalanced, but we still need to use the liquidated contract positions in the market as the main reference.

The price is expected to test around 61,600 at least once, and then may reach the liquidation price of 60,756, with a liquidation strength of $24.44 million.
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Looking back at the performance of various assets before and after the announcement of the interest rate cut decision, it is found that Bitcoin performed particularly well.

This shows that Bitcoin is still a liquidity-sensitive asset.

Although the interest rate cut trend is clear, the real liquidity still depends on the funds retained in the market. Before the interest rate drops to neutral, the overall environment is still tight, not to mention that quantitative tightening (QT) has not yet ended.

Therefore, it can be seen that Bitcoin is not only sensitive to liquidity, but also to market sentiment.

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Recommended potential coins in 2024
1.ICP: As an important blockchain platform, ICP supports various online systems and services. Although the price has been volatile recently, it has risen by more than 15% this month and is currently priced at $8.3, making it worthy of long-term attention.

2.AVAX: In the field of decentralized finance (DeFi), AVAX has performed strongly and can efficiently support the construction of decentralized applications. AVAX price has increased by 14.26% in the past month and is currently trading at $25.8. The price has increased significantly in the short term, and holding AVAX in the long term is also expected to yield considerable returns.

3.XRP: XRP aims to simplify international payments and is currently priced at $0.58. The currency has performed well and is a cryptocurrency worth holding for the long term with good growth potential.

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ORDI Daily Analysis
K-line pattern: The current small positive line is accompanied by a long lower shadow, and the trading volume is twice that of the previous day, indicating that the market has a significant increase in volume.

Moving average and MACD: The daily MA30 line began to rise, and the MACD indicator was above the zero axis, showing that the momentum was increasing.

Price performance: The price rebounded after stepping back on the rising trend line at the daily level, and the trend was somewhat correlated with Bitcoin. There may be a callback in the short term, but the overall trend remains optimistic.

Key positions: The current pressure levels are 32, 33.5, 35.6 and 36.7, and the support levels are set at 29.5, 27 and 25.6.

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Bitcoin trend analysis
This week's weekly closing is very critical. If the closing price is below $59,800, the risk of a sharp drop still exists.

We mentioned earlier that the price range of $58,400-59,600-60,600 is the boundary between long and short positions.

At present, the daily chart of Bitcoin shows that the price is fluctuating around $58,000. The rebound has not yet ended and there is still a possibility of further increase. The MACD indicator shows a bottom divergence, and the fast and slow lines show a cross signal.

On the 4-hour chart, the turning point of the AB=CD pattern is after $61,000, and there are signs of a decline.

At the same time, the 4-hour chart also shows a signal of top divergence. Wall Street is closed on weekends, and institutions such as Grayscale are temporarily resting, which may bring a small rebound.
Support level: $60,000
Resistance level: $56,500

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From last night to early morning, the hourly level tried to break through the daily resistance level several times, but failed, and then fell back slightly and stabilized.

Judging from the daily chart, this is the second failed attempt to break through this week. If the market still fails to break through tonight, will there be a third chance?

However, as usual, "once and again, three times, three times exhausted", if it fails to break through again tonight, the market may enter a period of volatility, which will last until next week's interest rate meeting.

During this period, market momentum may gradually weaken, leading to a volatile downward trend. Although U.S. stocks performed well at the close of the early morning, the performance of cryptocurrency markets such as Bitcoin (BTC) appeared to be relatively weak.

In the short term, more funds flowed to markets such as gold, U.S. stocks and U.S. bonds. At present, BTC can attract limited funds.

The challenge facing BTC is that if it fails to break through the current resistance level, its market attention may decrease; if it succeeds, it will need sufficient market attention to drive prices up.

From an optimistic point of view, multiple attempts to break through may have relieved the pressure of some resistance levels, providing a possible basis for the third breakthrough.

However, the sentiment in the Asian market remains low, and it is recommended to pay attention to the market dynamics tonight.

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近期，比特币经历了两次显著的下跌，特别是在8月5日时，价格暴跌近25%，一度降至49000美元。

随后，9月6日，比特币再次出现回调，价格下探至52500美元。

尽管如此，比特币在这些波动中展现了强劲的韧性，显示出其宏观上升趋势线依然获得了坚实的支撑。

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The performance of the meme sector has been relatively weak recently.

Yesterday I tried a long TURBO in this sector and set a stop loss of 3 points. It is expected that there will be a rebound in the current price range, and the profit and loss ratio is relatively favorable.

As for the SATS long orders in the inscription sector, they are still held. Compared with TURBO, the performance of this sector is more stable.

BTC is currently in a sideways consolidation stage. It is recommended to try a few small contracts, which is also a good trading strategy in the current market environment.

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September 13 (Friday) BTC
On today's daily chart, Bitcoin closed a big positive line, far exceeding the 57,000 line that has been tested many times before.

This shows that the current trend is bullish, and operating with the trend may bring greater profit space.

From a technical point of view, both the hourly line and the 4-hour line show a continuous rise. We can pay attention to the magnitude and time of the retracement in order to judge the next trend.

In the early morning hours, Bitcoin retraced to a low of around 57,500, and then continued to rise to the 58,500 line on the hourly chart.

This shows that prices continue to hit new highs in the early morning hours, with no signs of significant correction, and the pattern shows strong bullish momentum.

The lack of room for a correction indicates that bulls are currently strong and prices are expected to have room to rise today.

It is recommended to consider long operations in the 57300-57500 area, with a target of 59800.
4omini

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At 8:30 tonight, the United States will release the much-anticipated Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which will become the focus of global cryptocurrency and financial markets.

An increase in CPI usually means increased inflation and a decrease in the purchasing power of money; while a decrease in CPI may indicate an economic slowdown and an increased risk of deflation.

The August CPI data released tonight is expected to show a month-on-month increase of 0.2%, and a year-on-year decrease from 2.9% to 2.5%; the core CPI is expected to increase by 0.2% month-on-month and remain at 3.2% year-on-year.

These data may have an important impact on market trends. Let's wait and see how this data will guide the next change in the market.

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Today's Market Observation
Bitcoin (BTC)
Bitcoin encountered a support level of about 55,600 on the intraday level and rebounded. The current price is close to the double top resistance area at the four-hour level, around 58,500.

Although a false break was formed near 58,000 points, the closing situation at the four-hour level has not yet been determined. At present, we need to pay attention to the trading volume performance on the four-hour chart.

Objectively speaking, it may fluctuate around this position before testing the decline. The first support point during the day is in the range of 56,000-56,500. If it falls below 56,000 points, we need to pay attention to the support situation in the range of 54,800-55,300.

Ethereum (ETH)
Ethereum's trend is relatively weak and is still in the resistance area, which is slightly inferior to Bitcoin's strong performance.

Yesterday's support point was 2,280, but the rebound was limited and failed to effectively break through the current resistance.

Pay attention to 2,320 as the main support line during the day. If it falls below this level, you need to pay attention to the second support line in the 2,200-2,240 range.

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The Fed will get the last two key inflation data this week before the September meeting, which will decide on a rate cut.

The U.S. Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August on Wednesday and the Producer Price Index (PPI) for August the next day, a key measure of wholesale prices.

The market generally expects the Fed to cut interest rates in September, and the only undecided question is the extent of the cut.

The year-on-year growth rate of the CPI in August is expected to slow to 2.6%, lower than 2.9% in July; the month-on-month growth rate is expected to remain at 0.2%, the same as in July.

From a technical perspective, the market is still in a range. If it breaks through the current range, I tend to be bullish and expect it to hit the 6W mark.

It is recommended to consider long positions around 55700, and long positions can also be considered around 2290. The target is set at 58500 and 2420.

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The current WIF spot price is about $1.565, which has broken through the bullish zone.

It is recommended to cover the position when the price approaches $1.645.

The support level is set at $1.596, while the resistance level is at $1.733.

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The interest rate cut in September is almost certain, and I judge that the probability of interest rate cut is close to 99.999%.

Therefore, market fluctuations and pin-spiking phenomena may continue.

Overall trading strategy suggestions: operate according to the positions I provide, and generally there will be no major problems.

For Bitcoin, it is recommended to focus on short-term trading and adhere to the order opening specifications.

Lunch focus: Ethereum, Dogecoin, SOL, Bitcoin, PEPE, SATS. #美联储何时降息？ #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #BTC走势分析