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Is the largest financial bubble of the 21st century forming?
In four years, MicroStrategy's market value has increased nearly 80 times. From being obscure to becoming the most dazzling player at the forefront, MicroStrategy has relied on Bitcoin with one hand and leverage with the other, becoming the new "story king" of US stocks, even overshadowing Nvidia.
But looking back at history, you will find that the company initially had nothing to do with cryptocurrency. Its CEO, Michael Saylor, is a visionary person. At the age of 30, his favorite activity was to bring a date to the office each week and hand her a book to read while she worked.
But looking back at history, you will find that the company initially had nothing to do with cryptocurrency. Its CEO, Michael Saylor, is a visionary person. At the age of 30, his favorite activity was to bring a date to the office each week and hand her a book to read while she worked.
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12.31 Thursday Afternoon Market Analysis
On Tuesday afternoon, after a volatile upward movement, there was no pullback. The original intention remains unchanged as we continue to hold long positions. With the last day of the year, the market trend has begun to slow down. The morning session displayed a volatile pattern, with Bitcoin rising from a low point to around 93000 before facing resistance.
From the 1-hour chart, the price of the currency has shown a series of upward movements. Although the momentum is not strong, there are also no signs of a pullback. The short-term trend still leans towards bullish. Currently, Bitcoin is under pressure at the middle track, and once it breaks through, the price is expected to return to the early morning high.
In the afternoon, Bitcoin is expected to be long in the 93200-93500 range, with a target focus around 94500 #2025比特币价格预测
On Tuesday afternoon, after a volatile upward movement, there was no pullback. The original intention remains unchanged as we continue to hold long positions. With the last day of the year, the market trend has begun to slow down. The morning session displayed a volatile pattern, with Bitcoin rising from a low point to around 93000 before facing resistance.
From the 1-hour chart, the price of the currency has shown a series of upward movements. Although the momentum is not strong, there are also no signs of a pullback. The short-term trend still leans towards bullish. Currently, Bitcoin is under pressure at the middle track, and once it breaks through, the price is expected to return to the early morning high.
In the afternoon, Bitcoin is expected to be long in the 93200-93500 range, with a target focus around 94500 #2025比特币价格预测
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Bitcoin's Five-Year Promise: Will the Next Bull Market in the Crypto Market Come in 2025?
Five years ago, we stood on the cusp of 2019, full of hope, saying: 'Bitcoin, the next bull market will definitely come! In 2020, 2021, or even 2022.' But who would have thought that after several rounds of wild fluctuations, our 'bull market' twirled like a roller coaster, seemingly never showing that legendary 'bullish momentum.'
But what about 2025? Shouldn't we give Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market a five-year promise for a truly meaningful bull market? Let's try to analyze this issue with a humorous and witty perspective, after all, who can guarantee anything in the crypto market?
But what about 2025? Shouldn't we give Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market a five-year promise for a truly meaningful bull market? Let's try to analyze this issue with a humorous and witty perspective, after all, who can guarantee anything in the crypto market?
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Bitcoin Bulls Beware: This Bull Market May Peak on January 17!
According to a report from Caixin on December 30 (Editor Liu Rui), cryptocurrency has undoubtedly been one of the 'hottest' investment categories this year: CoinMarketCap data shows that the total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies rose from $1.65 trillion at the beginning of the year to $3.7 trillion, with Bitcoin's price soaring from $37,700 last December to a historic high of $106,000.
However, if history is any guide, Bitcoin may peak in the next two to three weeks, meaning that Bitcoin bulls may need to act quickly to lock in profits.
Will Bitcoin peak in two weeks?
However, if history is any guide, Bitcoin may peak in the next two to three weeks, meaning that Bitcoin bulls may need to act quickly to lock in profits.
Will Bitcoin peak in two weeks?
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Fighting nation plays with Bitcoin: Digital warmth in the cold winter
Recently, there was a piece of news that surprised people: Russia, a fighting nation, actually began to seriously consider using Bitcoin for international payments! This is no joke, it is a major event related to the international financial landscape. Let's talk about the story behind it today.
Don't be nervous, you don't need to be a cryptocurrency expert to understand this. Think about it, the international situation is a bit tense now, and Western countries have imposed various sanctions on Russia, which is like putting layers of shackles on Russia's international trade. The easy and convenient bank transfers in the past have become difficult and sometimes even impossible. This is undoubtedly a big challenge for a resource-rich, exporting country.
Don't be nervous, you don't need to be a cryptocurrency expert to understand this. Think about it, the international situation is a bit tense now, and Western countries have imposed various sanctions on Russia, which is like putting layers of shackles on Russia's international trade. The easy and convenient bank transfers in the past have become difficult and sometimes even impossible. This is undoubtedly a big challenge for a resource-rich, exporting country.
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12.26 Thursday Afternoon Market Analysis
On Monday afternoon, the market showed a fluctuating trend with high short and low long positions.
The market on Monday did not experience the large ups and downs as expected. The morning session continued to oscillate around a range, with neither bulls nor bears managing to extend their positions. The high point was around 94200, and the low point was in the 93200 area, with the target price around 93800.
In the 4-hour chart, after a significant drop reaching the lower boundary, a bottom support was formed, followed by a small upward movement, but it did not extend further. Currently, it is showing a range-bound oscillation. In the short term, the 93000 level has certain support below. If it cannot effectively break downwards, it is expected to continue in a bullish and bearish range. This afternoon, we will still treat it as a range.
In the afternoon, short positions in the 94000-94300 area, with the target focusing on around 93000. If it breaks, continue looking down; if not, reverse to long positions. #BTC☀
On Monday afternoon, the market showed a fluctuating trend with high short and low long positions.
The market on Monday did not experience the large ups and downs as expected. The morning session continued to oscillate around a range, with neither bulls nor bears managing to extend their positions. The high point was around 94200, and the low point was in the 93200 area, with the target price around 93800.
In the 4-hour chart, after a significant drop reaching the lower boundary, a bottom support was formed, followed by a small upward movement, but it did not extend further. Currently, it is showing a range-bound oscillation. In the short term, the 93000 level has certain support below. If it cannot effectively break downwards, it is expected to continue in a bullish and bearish range. This afternoon, we will still treat it as a range.
In the afternoon, short positions in the 94000-94300 area, with the target focusing on around 93000. If it breaks, continue looking down; if not, reverse to long positions. #BTC☀
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From hitting a historic high to losing momentum, are Trump's commitments to cryptocurrency unrealistic?
Elected President Trump supports the development of cryptocurrency in the U.S. After his election, Bitcoin entered a new bull market and reached a historic high on December 17.
The good times did not last long; after a surge of emotional buying, Bitcoin's market has recently turned sharply, likely recording its first monthly decline in four months in December. Some market participants believe that Trump's promises regarding cryptocurrency during the election may be difficult to fulfill.
Bitcoin will record its first monthly decline in four months.
In the last days of this record-breaking year for cryptocurrency, Bitcoin's rally suddenly lost momentum. Public data shows that after reaching a historic high of $108,316 on December 17, Bitcoin fell to the $95,000 level last Friday, a decline of nearly 3% from the previous trading day. By noon on the 30th, Bitcoin futures further dropped to $94,128. Other cryptocurrencies, including Ethereum and Dogecoin, are also in a downward trend. This will mark the first monthly decline for Bitcoin in the past four months.
The good times did not last long; after a surge of emotional buying, Bitcoin's market has recently turned sharply, likely recording its first monthly decline in four months in December. Some market participants believe that Trump's promises regarding cryptocurrency during the election may be difficult to fulfill.
Bitcoin will record its first monthly decline in four months.
In the last days of this record-breaking year for cryptocurrency, Bitcoin's rally suddenly lost momentum. Public data shows that after reaching a historic high of $108,316 on December 17, Bitcoin fell to the $95,000 level last Friday, a decline of nearly 3% from the previous trading day. By noon on the 30th, Bitcoin futures further dropped to $94,128. Other cryptocurrencies, including Ethereum and Dogecoin, are also in a downward trend. This will mark the first monthly decline for Bitcoin in the past four months.
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When is the Earliest Time for the U.S. 'Bitcoin Strategic Reserve' to Be Realized? Pay Attention to These Key Time Points
Since early November, when Trump's victory became certain, the cryptocurrency market, especially Bitcoin, has entered a strong expectation for the 'U.S. Bitcoin Strategic Reserve.' It is clear that the market will focus heavily on the implementation of this commitment after Trump takes office in 2025. Some analyses suggest that this will break the Bitcoin bull-bear cycle, meaning that any 'interruption' in the future could lead to significant market fluctuations. What we can do now is to monitor its progress and anticipate potential implementation timelines to prepare accordingly.
01 Latest Developments
01 Latest Developments
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The Federal Reserve, Major Changes! A Storm of U.S. Monetary Policy Reform Approaching in 2025?
As 2025 approaches, global financial markets are once again focusing on the Federal Reserve, the heart of the global economy. Every move the Fed makes, especially adjustments to its monetary policy, not only affects the pulse of the U.S. economy but also shakes the nerves of global markets. This year, the Fed's policy adjustments signal significant changes, with new members joining, external criticism being voiced, and uncertainties surrounding interest rate cuts, all contributing to a complex economic environment.
01 Power Shifts at the Federal Reserve: New Members, New Styles
The rotation of FOMC members at the Federal Reserve indicates that the policy stance in 2025 will be more diversified. The addition of new members, particularly Susan Collins, Alberto Musalem, Jeff Schmid, and Austan Goolsbee, will make the divide between hawks and doves more pronounced, potentially increasing policy uncertainty.
01 Power Shifts at the Federal Reserve: New Members, New Styles
The rotation of FOMC members at the Federal Reserve indicates that the policy stance in 2025 will be more diversified. The addition of new members, particularly Susan Collins, Alberto Musalem, Jeff Schmid, and Austan Goolsbee, will make the divide between hawks and doves more pronounced, potentially increasing policy uncertainty.
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Tracking the movements of giant whales: Two giant whales continue to increase their holdings of ai16z, with unrealized profits totaling nearly $8.5 million
Two whales continue to increase their holdings of ai16z, with unrealized profits totaling nearly $8.5 million
The whale with the address starting with E9uD bought 3.09 million ai16z (worth $2.46 million) 2 hours ago. The whale bought 18.7 million ai16z (worth $15.72 million) at an average price of about $0.45 in the past month, and currently has an unrealized profit of $7.36 million.
The address starting with 6gqH bought 1.4 million ai16z (worth $1.27 million) 15 hours ago. The whale bought 7.2 million ai16z (worth $6.05 million) at an average price of about $0.68 in the past week, and currently has an unrealized profit of $1.13 million.
The whale with the address starting with E9uD bought 3.09 million ai16z (worth $2.46 million) 2 hours ago. The whale bought 18.7 million ai16z (worth $15.72 million) at an average price of about $0.45 in the past month, and currently has an unrealized profit of $7.36 million.
The address starting with 6gqH bought 1.4 million ai16z (worth $1.27 million) 15 hours ago. The whale bought 7.2 million ai16z (worth $6.05 million) at an average price of about $0.68 in the past week, and currently has an unrealized profit of $1.13 million.
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Russia has escaped a calamity, but the U.S. plans to complete the final harvest as the plan for the 'bad check' begins.
Russia seems to have found a shortcut to break through U.S. sanctions. Just recently, the Russian Finance Minister revealed that with changes in domestic legislation to respond to Western sanctions, Russia allows the use of cryptocurrency.
Moreover, Russian companies have already begun to boldly use Bitcoin and other digital currencies for international payments on the international trade stage.
Why has Bitcoin become Russia's 'currency'? The answer lies in the proactive adaptation of power to new technologies.
As a decentralized product that resists traditional power structures, Bitcoin is now being adopted by sovereign states and may be used for reserves, showcasing the adaptability of power.
Moreover, Russian companies have already begun to boldly use Bitcoin and other digital currencies for international payments on the international trade stage.
Why has Bitcoin become Russia's 'currency'? The answer lies in the proactive adaptation of power to new technologies.
As a decentralized product that resists traditional power structures, Bitcoin is now being adopted by sovereign states and may be used for reserves, showcasing the adaptability of power.
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Just now, over 100,000 liquidations!
Recently, cryptocurrency volatility has increased!
Last week, Bitcoin briefly broke through $108,000, followed by a sharp decline in the following days. On Monday, Bitcoin's price dropped to a low of $92,500, rebounding above $98,000 on Tuesday, and reaching $99,900 during trading on Thursday. However, as of the time of this report, Bitcoin has fallen back below $97,000, down nearly 2% in 24 hours.
Under the intense price volatility, many people have faced liquidation. Coinglass data shows that in the past 24 hours, the number of liquidated accounts in the entire cryptocurrency network exceeded 100,000, with a total liquidation amount exceeding $240 million.
Last week, Bitcoin briefly broke through $108,000, followed by a sharp decline in the following days. On Monday, Bitcoin's price dropped to a low of $92,500, rebounding above $98,000 on Tuesday, and reaching $99,900 during trading on Thursday. However, as of the time of this report, Bitcoin has fallen back below $97,000, down nearly 2% in 24 hours.
Under the intense price volatility, many people have faced liquidation. Coinglass data shows that in the past 24 hours, the number of liquidated accounts in the entire cryptocurrency network exceeded 100,000, with a total liquidation amount exceeding $240 million.
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Another $42 Billion to Buy Bitcoin! Microstrategy Plans to Issue More Stock
According to Financial Network on December 26 (Editor: Ma Lan), software provider Microstrategy is increasingly becoming a key player in the Bitcoin market, currently holding Bitcoin valued at approximately $43 billion, accounting for about 2.2% of the total Bitcoin supply.
In a document submitted to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on Monday, Microstrategy hopes to increase the authorized number of Class A common stock and preferred stock to raise more funds to purchase Bitcoin.
This has also pushed the price of Bitcoin to rise on Thursday. As of the time of writing, the price of Bitcoin has rebounded to $98,046, up 0.15% for the day. Other smaller tokens have also seen a recovery, with the broad CMC100 index of cryptocurrencies rising 3% since the beginning of the week.
In a document submitted to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on Monday, Microstrategy hopes to increase the authorized number of Class A common stock and preferred stock to raise more funds to purchase Bitcoin.
This has also pushed the price of Bitcoin to rise on Thursday. As of the time of writing, the price of Bitcoin has rebounded to $98,046, up 0.15% for the day. Other smaller tokens have also seen a recovery, with the broad CMC100 index of cryptocurrencies rising 3% since the beginning of the week.
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Meitu's sell-off of Bitcoin immediately shattered the market manipulation plans of the United States, causing great embarrassment for Americans!
Americans, used to being the boss, always rely on tough measures to control the market. Bitcoin, as a virtual currency, has always been something the U.S. wanted to bring under its regulatory framework. However, due to Bitcoin's decentralized nature, the U.S. has never been able to effectively regulate Bitcoin. What the U.S. wants most is to stabilize Bitcoin first, encouraging more people to invest, and when the time is right, to bring Bitcoin under regulation and conveniently reap a harvest of retail investors. This has been the way the U.S. has operated for many years.
When Meitu sold off, Bitcoin began to fluctuate significantly, indicating that Meitu has absolute influence over the Bitcoin market. This further demonstrates that Meitu's sell-off disrupted the U.S. plans, making Americans very angry. It is important to note that Bitcoin has been in a bull market for the past few years, with the U.S. secretly manipulating it. The significant rise of Bitcoin is precisely because of this manipulation, leading many people to be misled by the U.S. over the years. As a result, Meitu's sell-off broke the upward momentum of Bitcoin, leaving many investors anxious, highlighting Meitu's influence.
After this incident, the global financial community has been buzzing with discussions. Various factions are gearing up, preparing to watch Meitu's next actions. Will Meitu continue to sell off? Will it shake the Bitcoin market? If Meitu continues to sell, Bitcoin will inevitably continue to plummet. At that time, how many investors will be forced to close their positions remains unknown. However, it is certain that if Meitu continues to sell, Bitcoin will inevitably drop significantly, and whether such a drop will trigger a chain reaction is hard to say. Let’s wait and see.
Americans, used to being the boss, always rely on tough measures to control the market. Bitcoin, as a virtual currency, has always been something the U.S. wanted to bring under its regulatory framework. However, due to Bitcoin's decentralized nature, the U.S. has never been able to effectively regulate Bitcoin. What the U.S. wants most is to stabilize Bitcoin first, encouraging more people to invest, and when the time is right, to bring Bitcoin under regulation and conveniently reap a harvest of retail investors. This has been the way the U.S. has operated for many years.
When Meitu sold off, Bitcoin began to fluctuate significantly, indicating that Meitu has absolute influence over the Bitcoin market. This further demonstrates that Meitu's sell-off disrupted the U.S. plans, making Americans very angry. It is important to note that Bitcoin has been in a bull market for the past few years, with the U.S. secretly manipulating it. The significant rise of Bitcoin is precisely because of this manipulation, leading many people to be misled by the U.S. over the years. As a result, Meitu's sell-off broke the upward momentum of Bitcoin, leaving many investors anxious, highlighting Meitu's influence.
After this incident, the global financial community has been buzzing with discussions. Various factions are gearing up, preparing to watch Meitu's next actions. Will Meitu continue to sell off? Will it shake the Bitcoin market? If Meitu continues to sell, Bitcoin will inevitably continue to plummet. At that time, how many investors will be forced to close their positions remains unknown. However, it is certain that if Meitu continues to sell, Bitcoin will inevitably drop significantly, and whether such a drop will trigger a chain reaction is hard to say. Let’s wait and see.
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Is the 'Trump Effect' Already Making Waves? Several U.S. States Are Considering Establishing Strategic Bitcoin Reserves
According to a report on December 26 (Editor: Liu Rui), since the U.S. election day, Bitcoin has become one of the hottest commodities in the investment market. President-elect Trump has promised to become the 'cryptocurrency president' and is said to build 'the most supportive government for Bitcoin in history', leading to a continuous rise in Bitcoin prices.
During the campaign, Trump stated that if he returned to the White House, he would classify Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset for the U.S. Although Federal Reserve Chairman Powell recently indicated that the Fed does not intend to hold digital currencies, it still does not prevent people from imagining Bitcoin as a national reserve.
During the campaign, Trump stated that if he returned to the White House, he would classify Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset for the U.S. Although Federal Reserve Chairman Powell recently indicated that the Fed does not intend to hold digital currencies, it still does not prevent people from imagining Bitcoin as a national reserve.
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12.26 Thursday Afternoon Market Analysis
Yesterday, the market continued to fluctuate within a range, with prices consistently staying between 99500-97500. Both bulls and bears failed to break out, and the current coin price is fluctuating around the 98000 area. In the future, key attention should be paid to the resistance situation at the 100000 line. If it does not break through effectively, it is expected to continue operating in a fluctuating manner.
On the 4-hour chart, the market has repeatedly shown downward probing and rebound. In the short term, we cannot rule out a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. Currently, the coin price is in a fluctuating state, but we can see that after yesterday's significant upward movement, the bullish momentum is gradually slowing down. For today, we will treat it with a fluctuating mindset, and the probability of a unilateral trend is relatively low. It is best to focus on short-term trading.
In the afternoon, the Bitcoin price is in the 97500-97000 area for long positions, with a target focused on the 99500-100000 range. #比特币市场波动观察
Yesterday, the market continued to fluctuate within a range, with prices consistently staying between 99500-97500. Both bulls and bears failed to break out, and the current coin price is fluctuating around the 98000 area. In the future, key attention should be paid to the resistance situation at the 100000 line. If it does not break through effectively, it is expected to continue operating in a fluctuating manner.
On the 4-hour chart, the market has repeatedly shown downward probing and rebound. In the short term, we cannot rule out a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. Currently, the coin price is in a fluctuating state, but we can see that after yesterday's significant upward movement, the bullish momentum is gradually slowing down. For today, we will treat it with a fluctuating mindset, and the probability of a unilateral trend is relatively low. It is best to focus on short-term trading.
In the afternoon, the Bitcoin price is in the 97500-97000 area for long positions, with a target focused on the 99500-100000 range. #比特币市场波动观察
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Can Cryptocurrency Continue to Shine in 2025? Citigroup Identifies Six Key Factors
According to a report last Friday by Citigroup analysts led by Alex Sanders, 'This year has been a strong year for cryptocurrency, with total market capitalization growing by over 90%.' Will cryptocurrency continue the bull market in 2025? The report points out that six key factors will help determine cryptocurrency prices in the coming year, including ETF activity, regulation, and the future market of cryptocurrencies known as stablecoins.
Cryptocurrency has just passed a sensational year. In January, a dozen Bitcoin spot ETFs kicked off the bullish trend in the Bitcoin industry, making trading Bitcoin more convenient for investors. In September, a series of interest rate cuts and other policies from the Federal Reserve paved the way for economic growth, further boosting the crypto market.
Cryptocurrency has just passed a sensational year. In January, a dozen Bitcoin spot ETFs kicked off the bullish trend in the Bitcoin industry, making trading Bitcoin more convenient for investors. In September, a series of interest rate cuts and other policies from the Federal Reserve paved the way for economic growth, further boosting the crypto market.
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Mocking Bitcoin is no longer cool: from bubble to digital gold wealth breakthrough, do you still have a chance?
Bitcoin, the 'virtual currency' born in 2009, has transformed from an 'experiment' in the hands of tech geeks into 'digital gold' in the global financial system in just fifteen years.
If someone had told you ten years ago that Bitcoin would become an asset fiercely contested by today's Wall Street financial giants, you might have laughed it off. But by 2024, with Bitcoin prices soaring to $100,000, it no longer seems surprising.
The story of Bitcoin is not just a revolution of wealth but also a mirror reflecting the intertwining of economy, technology, and policy in this era.
If someone had told you ten years ago that Bitcoin would become an asset fiercely contested by today's Wall Street financial giants, you might have laughed it off. But by 2024, with Bitcoin prices soaring to $100,000, it no longer seems surprising.
The story of Bitcoin is not just a revolution of wealth but also a mirror reflecting the intertwining of economy, technology, and policy in this era.
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Digital Currency: The Innovative Force Leading the New Era of Finance
(Digital Currency: The Innovative Force Leading the New Era of Finance)
In today's era, where the digital wave is sweeping the globe, digital currencies, as a significant innovation in the financial sector, are gradually coming into people's view and have a profound impact on the economic and financial systems.
Digital currency, as the name suggests, is a form of currency based on digital technology and exists in electronic form. It differs from traditional physical currencies, such as banknotes and coins, and ensures transaction security and accuracy through encryption algorithms and distributed ledger technology.
Digital currencies possess many significant advantages. First, they greatly enhance transaction efficiency. Whether for domestic or cross-border payments, digital currencies can achieve instant settlement, reducing intermediaries and time costs. Second, digital currencies lower transaction costs. In traditional financial transactions, banks and payment institutions usually charge certain fees, while the use of digital currencies can significantly reduce these costs. Furthermore, the anonymity and security of digital currencies are better guaranteed. Their encryption technology makes the transaction process difficult to tamper with and steal, protecting users' privacy and fund security.
In today's era, where the digital wave is sweeping the globe, digital currencies, as a significant innovation in the financial sector, are gradually coming into people's view and have a profound impact on the economic and financial systems.
Digital currency, as the name suggests, is a form of currency based on digital technology and exists in electronic form. It differs from traditional physical currencies, such as banknotes and coins, and ensures transaction security and accuracy through encryption algorithms and distributed ledger technology.
Digital currencies possess many significant advantages. First, they greatly enhance transaction efficiency. Whether for domestic or cross-border payments, digital currencies can achieve instant settlement, reducing intermediaries and time costs. Second, digital currencies lower transaction costs. In traditional financial transactions, banks and payment institutions usually charge certain fees, while the use of digital currencies can significantly reduce these costs. Furthermore, the anonymity and security of digital currencies are better guaranteed. Their encryption technology makes the transaction process difficult to tamper with and steal, protecting users' privacy and fund security.
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VanEck: By 2049, U.S. Bitcoin reserves could cut national debt by 35%
Asset management firm VanEck stated that if the U.S. establishes a reserve of 1 million Bitcoins according to the bill proposed by Senator Cynthia Lummis, the U.S. could reduce its national debt by 35% over the next 24 years.
VanEck estimates that by 2049, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of Bitcoin will reach 25%, amounting to $42.3 million, while the CAGR of U.S. Treasury bonds will reach 5%, increasing from $37 trillion at the beginning of 2025 to $119.3 trillion.
Matthew Sigel, Head of Digital Asset Research at VanEck, and Investment Analyst Nathan Frankovitz stated in a report on December 20: "By 2049, this reserve could account for 35% of Treasury bonds, offsetting about $42 trillion of debt."
VanEck estimates that by 2049, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of Bitcoin will reach 25%, amounting to $42.3 million, while the CAGR of U.S. Treasury bonds will reach 5%, increasing from $37 trillion at the beginning of 2025 to $119.3 trillion.
Matthew Sigel, Head of Digital Asset Research at VanEck, and Investment Analyst Nathan Frankovitz stated in a report on December 20: "By 2049, this reserve could account for 35% of Treasury bonds, offsetting about $42 trillion of debt."