1, Refuse to monitor the market in the bedroom, home, or with any auxiliary tools 2, Do not open positions in the morning; 9 out of 10 mistakes happen in the early session 3, Run at 7:30 AM every day, and run outdoors at midnight regardless of weather 4, Abstain from alcohol, sexual indulgence, and binge eating; maintain a light diet 5, Penalties and Rewards, Destroying the rules results in turning off electronic devices for three days Follow the rules and reward yourself with a three-day trip 6, Open positions at the office or a coffee shop 7, A mandatory three-day cooling-off period after stop-loss or take-profit 8, A mandatory five-day cooling-off period if losses exceed 20% 9, A mandatory one-month cooling-off period if losses exceed 50%
Lagarde, Powell, Bailey, interest rate question and answer session at 3, 4, 5 a.m.
3 a.m.: ECB President Christine Lagarde 4 a.m.: Fed's Powell 5am: Bank of England Governor Bailey BTC is dropping to around 88,000, and the altcoins led by ETH are not following suit. Don't take any chances, maybe the main force is doing this on purpose, or maybe they are waiting for Powell's speech in the early morning. Powell emphasized the independence of the Federal Reserve, but if he does not take Trump's feelings into consideration, his term may be filled with criticism from Congress, led by Trump. Therefore, Powell's speech this time should be more cautious than last time. Trump strengthens the dollar, while the voting committee led by Powell weakens the dollar.
ETH exchange rate has hit the bottom again Last time it bottomed out and rebounded with four daily green bars, it returned to normal today This is a signal 📶📶📶, a rebound or another new low I tend to think it will fall again. When will it fall below 0.3? Pay attention to the opening of US stocks today, and futures are currently going down Gold plunges, dollar strengthens, stampeding out BTC and crypto If this trend continues, we can only hope that SOL will be cut in half before ETH can make a breakthrough. Looking forward to Vitalik’s work and the Ethereum Foundation’s work
BTC Manhattan Project ~ 100,000 by the end of the month
BTC is just one step away from 100,000, retreating 5,000 points at 93,400 in the morning. Will it definitely break through 100,000 by the end of the month, or will it violently retreat? 1. The Fed’s CPI yesterday was in line with expectations The probability of a 25bp rate cut in December is greater than 75%. But the focus will be on the CPI data for November next month (released on December 11) 2. Non-agricultural data will be released at 21:30 tonight It remains to be seen whether BTC will make another roundabout trend 3. Iran withdraws its plan to strike back at Israel Comprehensive assessment of Iran's election by Trump: The consequences of angering Trump are serious Israel and Lebanon expected to reach consensus before Trump takes office Trump's election has restored the situation in the Middle East from turmoil to peace. The next Nobel Peace Prize must be won by Trump (all previous US presidents have won it, but Trump lost the last time)
Is there also a saying that neutral grid can be liquidated? Answer: Yes, I have personally experienced it. I had nothing to do in the afternoon, so I spent half a day playing around with grid contracts and spot trading. It was quite fun. I thought the grid was very stable and would not go bankrupt. I opened a neutral contract with 6 Doge 11 times How many grids do you open? How many times? Oh, I was naive. The grid is not called a margin call, but a forced liquidation of the grid due to insufficient margin allocation.
Whether BTC will go up or down tonight depends on CPI If there is bad news tonight, BTC may have to liquidate a large part of the long positions tonight If there is a bullish trend tonight, BTC will not be able to reach 100,000 even if it tries hard tonight If bad news comes, the copycat currency will be cut in half, and the valuable currency will become waste paper. The big pie will still be the big pie. 1, 21.30 CPI announced, previous value 0.2, expected value 0.2 The Fed seems to have no hope and focuses on core CPI 2. At 3 a.m., Kashkari (hawk) spoke Be careful of a wave of bad news from Cashley at 3am 3. At 6:30 a.m., Barkin, a hawkish voter, gave a speech BTC pulls back in advance after two hawkish speeches
Is BTC going to continue in a one-sided pattern? This morning, over 4000 BTC were distributed to several new addresses If the Biden administration starts a sell-sell-sell mode right now If Mentougou transfers remaining value again If Israel attacks Iran's oil and nuclear facilities this week If this Wednesday's CPI kicks off a crazy mode If NATO directly participates in the Russia-Ukraine training camp If Biden flirts with North Korea's brother and crosses the 38th parallel over the Yalu River If BTC makes a normal pullback or a violent spike If you are currently aggressively bottom-fishing valuable coins and potential coins If altcoins rotate and ETH doesn't pull up to above 4500, that's reincarnation...
Who will be waiting at the top of the mountain this day next year😅
This day next year, boldly predicting btc 48888, Let's come back next year to check this post Who has been paying the funding rate for four years😅 As the music ends and people disperse, the small knife has been unleashed The market needs a breakout point, send BlackRock home😎 Today is November 12, 2025, price 86971
Global statistics on futures trading: 99% of people lose money in this market Only 1% of people make a profit Average survival rate for newcomers is six months Most people are heavily shorting near 2450 ETH Ignored 2 important factors 1, 80% probability of market rally during US elections 2, ETH developer conference approaching (12th) A few self-destructive operations: 1, trading against the market 2, long-term trading on short positions, short-term trading on long positions 3, not following the trading stop-loss system 4, counter-trend positions 5, not adjusting and updating the trading system in real time 6, averaging down on losses 7, first position greater than 50% 8, leverage greater than 10 times 9, entered the wrong industry, this is a cannibalistic profession
Bill Huang's legendary life: $15 billion liquidated in three days
Legendary trader Bill Huang made 15 billion US dollars from 200 million, but his account was liquidated overnight He started from scratch, earned $15 billion in 20 years, and lost it all in just one day. As the protagonist of this century's big liquidation, he personally demonstrated to global investors what life is like a dream. This is Bill Huang, the world's biggest loser who created a single-day liquidation of $15 billion in 2021. This also set a record for the largest single-day loss in human history. No one cared about making money for 20 years, but once the loss was known to the world. As a risk gambler, he manipulated $160 billion through high leverage. In the end, not only did he lose his tens of billions of dollars, he also owed a large amount of debt and caused heavy losses to financial institutions, mainly Nomura and UBS.
The fate of Ethereum is entangled, a sorrow for us retail investors Either go to 3500 or pull back from here Short-term traders can go long and short, riding a wave of profits Ethereum is currently on the throne, but she's not wearing any clothes Going long at this moment is fine, going short is also fine Just hedge it well If it were me, I would go long on ETH contracts and short BTC options Probability 60/40
The hype around elections and interest rate cuts has basically come to an end, btc 77,180 Why is btc still rising at a high level? On the 12th, the Ethereum developer conference pushed ETH out of the sideways range to 2994 If btc continues to consolidate, eth will continue to rise in the range of 3000-3500 There is only one reason, btc is offloading, raising Ethereum to maintain balance If ETH pulls back next week, this round of the market will end, entering a correction After all, the cost of raising ETH is lower than BTC 1, with the election settled, Trump increases uncertainty factors for next year Trump knows very little about cryptocurrencies, early support was limited to the election Early stabilization support in the crypto field is necessary, at least for the previous quarter
Why I continuously bought ETH spot, futures, and contracts in early November
Position built on November 2nd, ETH was still accumulating the day before the election Why didn't I open an ETH hedge this time? It's a unilateral long Spot has been continuously buying on-chain, contract 2444 head position, simultaneously buying options Fear breeds rebellion, Matthew effect A few days before the election, I discussed with everyone why it must be Trump Based on the election and interest rate cuts, I made this move Options expire today, contracts were just manually closed Spot is staking on-chain Preparing to gradually open options to sell puts If BTC consolidates, ETH can still push to 3500 If BTC adjusts, this wave of ETH will also come to an end
ETH is a nightmare for high chasers this week, a trap for shorts
Chasing high costs in ETH is very high and requires great courage, being indecisive will only lead to liquidation (currently chasing highs above 25X) This offensive mainly clears shorts, shorting it will be a nightmare for you your whole life Chasing it but can't catch up, this annoying thing is truly helpless This wave should be able to safely reach 3333, going higher will depend on next year Ethereum series: AVAX ETHFI OP There’s also a double pull in seconds, ETC
Analysis of BTC's Market Trends for the Remaining Days of This Week
1. Watch the ETH/BTC exchange rate continue to decline, feel free to short, about three days. 2. Refer to the Binance square voting BTC daily long-short ratio, and count according to three days. This ratio shows a real long-short difference. 3. Look at the trends of BNB and TRX, about three days. 4. Pay attention to Mr. Trump's change of attitude after the election. Regarding BTC, at most propose one or two motions, and finally leave it to the House and Senate to veto, or simply ignore it. If you choose Trump, be mentally prepared. 5. Decide after the interest rate decision on the 8th. 6. See if Mr. Biden does anything major before leaving office. 7. The Federal Reserve's Powell cannot be replaced by Trump. Capital gives you a name; the president then nominates and appoints. Presidential resolutions need to pass the House and Senate, it's not just about wanting to do something.
ETH exchange rate is rising, daily chart expects to break 0.37 The altcoin carnival season is coming, the big ones are coming The accumulation of Ethereum is nearing its end, don't miss out when passing by Missed BTC, there's still ETH Ethereum Series: OP ETHFI ETC