September 20, Macroeconomics

U.S. stocks rose sharply yesterday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average closing up 1.24% and the S&P 500 closing up 1.7%, both hitting record highs, and the Nasdaq rose 2.51%. The market is digesting the positive impact of defensive interest rate cuts. Even though the Fed directly cut interest rates by 50 basis points this time, the market did not panic about recession. The non-agricultural data released last night exceeded expectations, indicating that the labor market is still resilient. It depends on the new employment data. If the employment data can remain strong, then the price of risky assets will most likely continue to rise in the future! #加密市场反弹 #新币挖矿HMSTR #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #美联储宣布降息50个基点

There are more than 2450 Ether, 2545 comes out, and 95 points are cashed out!

Look long and do long, there is no highest, only higher! #加密市场反弹 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #美联储宣布降息50个基点 #新币挖矿CATI

On September 20, according to Trader T monitoring data:

The BTC spot ETF had a net inflow of $158.2 million yesterday; the ETH spot ETF had a net inflow of $5.25 million yesterday.

Although the outflow of demeanor has slowed down, it is still weak compared to the big pie. We hope to receive supplementary growth as soon as possible! #加密市场反弹 #新币挖矿HMSTR #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #币安上线NEIRO

September 20, Bitcoin

Bitcoin is currently at a high level. After the Fed's interest rate decision adjustment, it stepped back to support and continued to rise without further decline. This shows that it is still in the bullish stage of gaining momentum. If it effectively breaks through 64,000, it will accelerate its rise!

More than 62100-62400, target 64800, defense 600 points! #加密市场反弹 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #币安上线NEIRO #美联储宣布降息50个基点 #新币挖矿HMSTR

Posted on September 9th, now looking back, Bitcoin has not let anyone down, and severely slapped the faces of those charlatans who only look at 40,000 or 30,000! #加密市场反弹 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #token2049 #新币挖矿HMSTR #新币挖矿CATI

September 19, Bitcoin

There is no problem with the trend of Bitcoin on the right side, and the upper pressure level is around 64,000. Before an effective breakthrough, it cannot be concluded that BTC has resumed its upward trend within the shock zone.

There is a high probability that this position will be shaken in the short term. It will not be easy to win overnight. The market demand is not strong enough yet. The current price of 62600 is short for radicals!

62800-63000 empty, target 61300, defense 500 points! #加密市场反弹 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #token2049 #新币挖矿HMSTR #币安上线NEIRO

Ether has slightly made up for the increase, and the publicly given 2440 has arrived!

Ether chased long at 2400, came out at 2435, and cashed in 35 points;

Bitcoin chased long at 62200, exited at 62100, and wiped out 100 points. #token2049 #新币挖矿HMSTR #加密市场反弹 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #灰度将推出首个美国XRP信托

A whale who is good at trading in the market spent $13.04 million to buy 5,659 ETH before announcing a 50 basis point rate cut. After 7 o'clock this morning, the whale cleared 5,660 ETH at a price of $2,355, making a profit of $290,000 in just 8 hours, completing a nine-game winning streak! ! !

Although Ethereum once broke through $2,400 this morning, it is still slightly weak compared to the increase in BTC. Although I am very confident about the future trend, I can't be overly optimistic. Don't bring too much of your own emotions, don't be excited when it rises, and don't panic when it falls! #加密市场反弹 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #新币挖矿HMSTR #token2049 #币安上线NEIRO

Yesterday, a bullish announcement was made publicly, and precise entry and target positions were given. Bitcoin was chasing long at 59,600, exiting at 61,800, cashing out 2,200 points; Ether chasing long at 2,300, selling out at 2,400, cashing out 100 points

Every step we take is publicly announced, and we never comment on it as an afterthought. This time, we stayed up all night on the front line when it came to the news about the Federal Reserve, and it was finally not in vain! #加密市场反弹 #token2049 #新币挖矿HMSTR #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #灰度将推出首个美国XRP信托

September 19, Bitcoin

After the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision in the early morning, the currency price fluctuated greatly, with the highest test of 62600. The expected 61800 was fulfilled, and the long pursuit of 59600 took advantage of the trend to realize 2200 points.

The 4-hour Yang line continues to rise. After the daily closing and early morning recovery, the performance is still relatively strong, and it is running above yesterday's consolidation. It can continue to focus on the long position during the day.

More than 61200-61500, target 62800, defense 600 points! #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #美联储利率决议公布在即 #灰度将推出首个美国XRP信托 #新币挖矿HMSTR #token2049

September 18, BTC

Regardless of whether the interest rate is cut by 50% or 25% tonight, the upward trend has been formed. In fact, short-term fluctuations can be ignored. The Mid-Autumn Festival holiday has reached around 5w7 in three days. I am not worried at all. The reason is that whether it is upward or downward in the short term, it will eventually return. Trend, as expected, it returned to above 6w after the holiday, filling the gap of the previous few days.

Let’s talk about the FOMC interest rate meeting at two o’clock tonight. The big pie has returned from 5w7 to 6w. The most direct driving force is that the market has increased expectations for a 50 basis point interest rate cut tonight. CME’s forecast reached a maximum of 70 yesterday. It has dropped slightly today and reached 61%. It can be said that the current calculation should include part of the effect of a 50 basis point interest rate cut.

If the rate is only reduced by 25 tonight, then the short-term currency will have to spit out some of the price. If the interest rate is cut by 50 as scheduled, then it is possible to go to 6w3 tonight. Considering that the rate has been close to a one-year decline before, has changed, so the first drop in this round is definitely attracting global attention. At the same time, this time is also the most prone to black swans. Surprises or shocks can happen at a moment's notice. #加密市场反弹 #token2049 #新币挖矿HMSTR #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #灰度将推出首个美国XRP信托

Bitcoin chased short at 60200, sold out at 59550, and cashed out 650 points; Ethereum chased short at 2330, sold out at 2290, cashed out at 40 points

Accurately capture opportunities, strive to hit the target with one hit, and join in the great event. The strength of the counterattack is also within expectations. 59300 has reached #加密市场反弹 #token2049 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #灰度将推出首个美国XRP信托 #新币挖矿HMSTR

September 18, Macro:

Last night, the August retail sales data, which is known as the horror data, was released, which exceeded expectations. This has injected a shot of adrenaline into the market, and the expectation of funds for recession has weakened.

Tonight at 2 a.m. will usher in an important moment. The Federal Reserve will hold an interest rate decision meeting, and Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will hold a press conference at 2:30. At present, the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut given by CME has reached 66%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut has been reduced to 34%.

Nick, the "mouthpiece" of the Federal Reserve, has published another article. If this article is instructed by the Federal Reserve, then the market will have a greater probability of a 50 basis point rate cut. The article implies that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 50 basis points.

If the current round of interest rate cuts is 25 basis points, the differences in funds will be smaller, and the expectation of recession will also be weakened. However, if the interest rate is directly cut by 50 basis points, it may cause panic in the persimmon market, causing funds to leave the market and wait and see, which is not conducive to the price trend of risky assets.

For the first interest rate cut, the smaller the better. Compared with a large interest rate cut, a smaller interest rate cut will relieve market concerns and be more conducive to the stable operation of the capital market. So based on this logic, a 25 basis point interest rate cut would be relatively better.

On September 18, according to Coinglass data:

If BTC exceeds $62,000, the cumulative short order liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach 1.049 billion.

If BTC exceeds $59,000, the accumulated long order liquidation intensity of mainstream CEX will reach 1.056 billion. #加密市场反弹 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #新币挖矿HMSTR #美联储利率决议公布在即 #灰度将推出首个美国XRP信托

Bitcoin chased short at 60850, sold out at 60,000, and cashed out 800 points; Ether chased short at 2370, sold out at 2320, cashed out at 50 points

Don’t panic when it goes down, don’t inflate when it goes up, this should be the case every time, be calm and objective! #加密市场反弹 #token2049 #新币挖矿HMSTR #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #灰度将推出首个美国XRP信托

September 18, Ethereum

High-level shocks will only weaken the momentum of the upward attack too much, and face the risk of exhaustion and decline, especially since the current market is not stable, and both bulls and bears are playing games.

The bulls rely on the fundamentals and the current "buy expectations" of the Federal Reserve, so the technical and fundamental aspects are doing mutually contradictory movements.

After the early morning surge yesterday, it did not stabilize, and the rebound highs gradually moved down. The recent rebound highs were 2465 and 2395, and the rebound highs were lower every time.

The real support has been in the 2250-2270 range, and today we need to prevent the situation of "selling facts". In terms of operation, follow the big cake synchronization and end before the data! #加密市场反弹 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #灰度将推出首个美国XRP信托 #新币挖矿CATI

September 18, Bitcoin

Bitcoin's 4-hour level temporarily supports around 59300. The support is still valid. We will first look at the rebound in the short term during the day. It rose to 57500 yesterday and broke through 61300 in the early morning. The rebound was close to 4000 points. The current price of 57700 was publicly offered at midnight to chase the longs. Take profit and exit at 1450 points

Fundamentals look at the evening meeting on interest rates; a 25 basis point interest rate cut would be a small gain; a 50 basis point cut would be a larger gain; a hike or keeping the interest rate unchanged would be a negative; this is a normal behavior, but if market capital intervenes in the transaction, then the market will be shaken up and down. The game is beyond our control

More than 59,300-59,600, target 60,800, defense 600 points! #新币挖矿HMSTR #加密市场反弹 #灰度将推出首个美国XRP信托 #新币挖矿CATI

The current price order laid out publicly at midnight yesterday:
Bitcoin 57750 is chasing the long, 59200 is out, and the cash is 1450 points;
Ether chased long at 2280, came out at 2315, and cashed in 35 points;
SOL, 130.6 chasing long, 132.6 out, cashing in 2 points. #加密市场急跌 #新币挖矿HMSTR #美国8月核心CPI超预期 #灰度将推出首个美国XRP信托 #新币挖矿CATI

September 17, Ethereum

Yesterday, the lowest hit near 2250. The price is stagflation in the short term, but the extent of short-selling is still relatively limited. Especially after a long period of sideways consolidation, there is a chance to form a new round of bottom, and the price has initially stabilized.

We will continue to be bullish during the day. We need to pay attention to the 2300 line as the watershed between bulls and bears on that day. After the bottom stabilizes and rises above this level, the price will accelerate significantly. It is expected that there will be a good rise, and the target is as high as 2420!

More than 2340-2360, target 2420, defense 30 points! #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #灰度将推出首个美国XRP信托 #特朗普哈里斯辩论未提及加密货币 #新币挖矿CATI #新币挖矿HMSTR

September 17, Bitcoin

Last night, the currency price fell back to the 57500 line and did not fall sharply. Even if the hourly line was negative, there were only two negative lines. Then it continued to turn positive and run back and forth. It is a correction form among bulls.

It has not destroyed the momentum of rising again. The lower support is around 57,000, but it does not necessarily have to be stepped back. It does not rule out continuing the cycle of time and form, just respond flexibly.

More than 57,000-57,500, target 59,200, defense 600 points! #加密市场急跌 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #特朗普哈里斯辩论未提及加密货币 #灰度将推出首个美国XRP信托 #新币挖矿HMSTR