🔥 Binance Launchpool New Coin Analysis: Yield and Risk Coexist
Recently, Binance Launchpool launched BIO, with a strong cz flavor. Looking back, the mining projects under cz's management usually have a cycle of 10 to 30 days, with few being only a few days. This time, the 10-day cycle of BIO makes me a bit concerned. If the future continues to have a 10-day cycle, it might really not be fun. Back to the point, let's calculate the expected yield and opening price of this coin.
Yield Calculation:
Based on long-term mining data from the cz era, the annualized yield is approximately between 18%-22%. We'll take an average value of 20% for calculation, so the yield for 10 days is about 200%.
Assuming you have 100 BNB, considering a total supply of 84,660,000 coins, calculated at a ratio of 18,000,000 BNB, on average each BNB can earn 4.7 BIO coins. Therefore, 100 BNB can mine 470 coins.
Current Market Situation:
The current price of BNB is around $678. Assuming you hold 100 BNB, valued at $67,800. Based on a 0.54% yield rate, the return would be $366. Converted to the value of each BIO coin, it's about $0.77.
Market Risks and Investment Suggestions:
1. Considerations below $0.77:
Based on current market conditions, if BIO coin is below $0.77, the annualized yield for holding USDT is already 20%, so it might be better to sell all BNB and exchange for USDT wealth management. If this coin drops below this price, the investment appeal will significantly decrease.
2. High circulation of the project:
Rumors suggest the private placement price of BIO is relatively low, potentially opening at a premium of 2 to 3 times, with a large circulation. Therefore, I predict its opening price will be between $0.68 and $0.45, and then continue to decline, possibly dropping to $0.06 to $0.08.
3. Mining Suggestions:
If you choose to mine, consider using FU tokens for mining, which is expected to yield 2 times or even more than BNB. Conversely, the allocation of BNB may be reduced.
Summary:
For projects like BIO, if the annualized yield is below 30%, then it's not worth mining. The market's expected risk is relatively high, so cautious investment is recommended. If there are higher annualized mining opportunities, consider other projects.
Finally, I recommend a potential coin in the primary market, the Ethereum chain's pUPP!-Es, which you can keep an eye on; there may be surprises.