#比特币走势观察

This analysis is from before, now it is being posted here

2024.12.11 Market Analysis

Bitcoin broke through the 100,000 mark on December 5th, which is an unprecedented heavyweight milestone. The trend has become unstoppable, and its core idea is: no one can stop life's yearning for freedom.

Bitcoin: The reason Trump and Musk are paving the way is to harvest globally next, as their original economic system has weakened and cannot harvest from other countries. They must find new avenues; the massive amount of U.S. debt also needs new channels for debt relief. We are taking advantage of this tailwind.

If you are still purely obsessed with candlestick charts, then your perspective is definitely too small.

At this price of 100,000, the vast majority of retail investors have been thrown off the bus. If you still hold your chips, then congratulations. Remember, I once told you the exit target was 124,000. It is possible to pull it up to 150,000-200,000 later, but by then it will not matter much. If it's time to get off the bus, then get off; don't try to earn that last penny.

In 2025, Bitcoin will face a significant drop, with an expected range of 70%. Rough estimate:

If BTC rises to 135,000 (let's take a compromise)

135,000 - 135,000 x 0.7 = 40,500

The next round of BTC buy order prices: 45,000 -- 40,500 -- 38,700