1.3 Morning Analysis

Yesterday, the Bitcoin price rebounded to a maximum of 97,839 and a minimum near 94,392. The opening yesterday was indeed a rebound, and the rebound strength was reasonable, breaking through the life line at 96,200. It reached the second resistance level near 97,500, and the closing price was above the life line. Today, the resistance level is set at around 100,000, which is also our weekly resistance level. Bitcoin is expected to continue wide fluctuations. There is a trend of forming a golden cross at the daily level. We will see whether the closing price in the next three days stays above the life line. If it effectively breaks through the vicinity of the life line and forms a golden cross, there should be a wave of rebound. Today, for the second Bitcoin, a pullback to the life line around 95,800 can be a buying opportunity, with resistance at around 100,000 and support at around 95,800.
The fluctuations of the second Bitcoin are expected to be greater than those of the first Bitcoin. The maximum rebound reached about 3,509, and the minimum was around the opening price of 3,360. The resistance level we provided yesterday was around 3,480, and today's resistance level is set at the weekly resistance level of 3,550, with support at around 3,400. For the second Bitcoin, remember to enter and exit quickly, do not be greedy.
Resistance level at around 3,550, support level at around 3,400 #比特币战略储备 #比特币走势观察

$BTC 1.3 Bitcoin Market Analysis
Currently two trends:
1. White line: ABC downward structure, currently B is rebounding, looking ahead to C wave drop.
2. Blue line: Breakthrough the upper edge of the box, forming a double bottom structure, with a higher rebound height.
Now closely observe whether it can break the neckline, and short when the rebound strength exhausts.

#开单建议
Hold a small portion of long positions, waiting to lay out short positions after the rebound strength exhausts.

#比特币走势分析 #比特币走势观察

#比特币走势观察
Today is January 3, 2025. BTC and ETH are both steadily rising. Continue to hold your coins for further gains.
Today, let's talk about risks. The unchanging BTC and the ever-changing altcoins; buying altcoins at this time requires caution. Many altcoins have already peaked, and the risks outweigh the opportunities. Don't be misled by illusions and lose your head.
So what are altcoins? They are everything except BTC. Always approach altcoins with caution; otherwise, if the coin price falls, you may never be able to break even in your lifetime.
Let me share a few real stories, which can only be called stories now. The BTC fork coin BCH reached over 4000 USD during the last major bull market, while in the latest bull market, it only rose to a little over 1500 USD. Those who got stuck at high positions in the previous bull market have yet to break even today.
Among the altcoins that reached new highs during the last bull market were ETH and the Ethereum fork coin ETC; the rest of the altcoins are just laughable.
This year, I still have high hopes for altcoins, and the king of altcoins is Ethereum. No altcoin can replace Ethereum.
Currently, many analysts are reallocating from Ethereum to SOL. To be honest, I really don't understand their logic. Today, let's talk about SOL, which currently has a market capitalization of over 100 billion USD. If it rises five times, it will have a market cap of over 500 billion USD. What supports such a large market cap? Over 100 billion is already quite large; how much more room is there for growth?
Now, let's discuss the risks. If it drops from over 100 billion USD to over 10 billion USD, that's a 90% drop. If it falls from over 100 billion USD to 1 billion USD, that's a 99% drop. Everyone, please calculate carefully: if you rush in now and it really drops, what will happen? The risks are yours to bear.
The market for the king of altcoins is about to arrive quickly. Ethereum's first target is 6500, and the second target is 10,000. No hindsight comments allowed. Continue to hold Ethereum fork coins.

The current BTC high reached 97800, coinciding with the bearish period on January 3rd. BTC can end this upward trend and turn down at any time.

⏰
Intraday Trend
BTC may weaken after fluctuating below 97800. Pay attention to the potential high point (or turning point) time between 16-18h, with a focus on the volatility at 21h.

Between 0h-4h, a rebound may occur, but there is a possibility of another drop after 4h. At that time, one should pay attention to the strength of the decline and consider whether to continue buying short-term based on the structure.

Initially, focus on the low point around 5h on the 4th, but if you want to be safe, it’s advisable to wait until after 7-8h.

📅
Short-term View
For short-term high points, continue to pay attention to the 6-7th, and observe whether the rebound extends to the 9-10th before turning down again.

Currently, whether in terms of time or space, I do not believe there is a possibility of further significant increases. At that time, make judgments based on the price levels of the high point times mentioned above.

#币安Alpha公布第10批项目 #币安全球用户突破2.5亿 #比特币走势观察 #AIAgent热潮 #XRP重返市值前三

It is now 2 AM, and it just rose to 97650 at a high point, currently retracting back to around 96200 and rebounding again.

The hourly chart has oscillated multiple times in the range of 975 to 960. If the subsequent trend is to rise, currently looking at 95900, which is the low point after the U.S. stock market opens, we should pay close attention here, relying on this position to continue to look bullish, with a defense at 95500.

For friends who are currently in cash, how to position at this hour can be according to the position I mentioned, which can be entered. Today we look bullish all the way, and during the pullback, we are still bullish. Since last night, after dropping to 92800, this upward trend has not decreased, so I don't understand why there are still people who are bearish, especially at low positions!

Of course, there is profit in short positions, and we have to admit that. I have also said, whether it is bullish or bearish, finding the right point can lead to profit!

In the live broadcast last night, I also mentioned that around Trump's inauguration, 105000 is attainable, so let's wait and see! A bull market is inherently a slow rising process; if a stretch of one or two months counts as a bull, then a single piece of news would be more important!

I am Hongding, thank you all for your attention and support, this is also my motivation to move forward! $BTC #比特币走势观察

The medium to short-term pattern resistance for BTC is at 97687, with multiple intraday rebound highs around this level, showing clear resistance. Before a breakthrough is achieved, do not chase the price in this area.
From the 4H to daily range, the market has repaired most of the medium-term indicators' resistance, but has not completed an upward breakthrough. If there is a volume-less upward attack, beware of a potential bearish trap.
Looking at the hourly and lower timeframes, after touching 91772, the local adjustment low has slightly raised, and the price has repaired most of the resistance at this level. However, until a breakthrough occurs at a larger scale, these are just small opportunities. The operational reference points are as follows:
Short-term resistance 97769~99111 (do not chase the price before breaking through this area; a volume breakthrough indicates the end of this phase's correction, and a second retest can be entered) Second resistance 103511~105125,
Medium to short-term support 88655~86863 (1:2, emergency drop alternative)
Aggressive breakout betting: current price 96428~93990 entry (1:2), stop loss 93660 (1H entity or retest cost exit) #马斯克改名 #XRP重返市值前三 #AIAgent热潮 #比特币走势观察 #币安全球用户突破2.5亿

A friend from back then invested a few thousand yuan to buy SHIB tokens, but when the price plummeted, she let go with an open mindset. Later, she got caught in financial difficulties and ended up on an unfortunate path. However, the twists of fate always come unexpectedly; she eventually became wealthy overnight because of the SHIB she held onto, achieving financial freedom. It makes one reflect on the wonders and unpredictability of the world.

I just noticed in my live stream that MicroStrategy has again made a big move, adding 2,138 bitcoins at an average price of $97,837, totaling $209 million. Everyone, buy more! American guys, let's hope to quickly bring the price back to 97K! 😂

Speaking of which, the current price is not that low. As for me, I have already fully invested in these assets. I predict that Bitcoin will soar to 100K next! Everyone, please like, follow, and share, so we can witness this moment in history together! $BTC $ETH #加密货币 #市场洞察 #马斯克改名 #币安Alpha公布第10批项目 #比特币走势观察

🔥Will China start buying Bitcoin in large quantities? Zhao Changpeng's remarks sparked heated discussions around the world

Recently, a statement by Binance CEO Zhao Changpeng caused a stir in the international financial circle. He pointed out that China's cryptocurrency trading volume has accounted for more than 30% of the world's total, and put forward a thought-provoking point: If the United States tries to prevent China from further accumulating gold reserves, China may choose to include Bitcoin in its reserve assets.

China's potential connection with Bitcoin

Zhao Changpeng speculated that China may have begun hoarding Bitcoin in a low-key manner and waiting for an appropriate time to announce it to the public. If this speculation comes true, the global financial landscape may usher in huge changes, especially the position of the US dollar in international trade may be impacted.

The rise of central bank digital currency

Zhao Changpeng also mentioned that 109 countries around the world have joined the Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) Alliance, and China is one of the core forces. If China takes a more active attitude in the field of digital currency, it will undoubtedly further promote the reshaping of the global economic landscape.

The new concept of "Bitcoin G7"

It is worth noting that Zhao Changpeng put forward a bold idea: as more and more countries flock to the digital currency track, the current global financial order dominated by the G7 may be broken, and a new "Bitcoin G7" with Bitcoin as the core may replace it. This idea is reminiscent of the "Libra" plan proposed by Mark Zuckerberg in 2018. Although the latter was eventually stranded due to policy resistance, Zhao Changpeng's proposal has once again triggered new heated discussions.

Possible challenges and opportunities in the future

Although the concept of "Bitcoin G7" faces many challenges, especially in the context of the increasing control of cryptocurrencies by central banks and regulators around the world, as more and more countries explore the possibility of digital currencies, this idea may not be out of reach.

Finally, I would like to share a potential Musk concept. You can continue to pay attention to it. There may be surprises in the future. The Ethereum chain's ͜p͜͡u͜͡p͜͡p͜͡i͜͡e͜͡s͡.
#币安Alpha公布第10批项目 #比特币战略储备 #2025有哪些关键叙事？ #比特币走势观察 #币安全球用户突破2.5亿 $BTC $ETH $XRP

1. As the holiday draws to a close, $BTC has rebounded to a high of 98,000, raising the price range to between 92,000 and 99,000.
This increase seems more like a rebound than a reversal, likely oscillating around 95,000 as the central axis.
Today will enter the weekend market, and at most, will clear out short positions above 98,000, after which it may fall again.
2. The current market situation is generally that buying power is weakening, holders are unwilling to sell, and those without positions want to buy at a lower price, resulting in a noticeable decline in investor turnover.
Although the price of $BTC has risen well, the trading volume has not increased, indicating that liquidity has not really improved, and the true market situation will only become clear next Monday.
Strong support levels at 90,000 and 85,000 may still face testing, which is likely the last drop of the bull market.
#比特币走势观察

Today, the surge led by $BTC is mainly due to buying in the Asian market, or it can be said that the retail investors from Dongda have returned from their holiday to buy at the bottom, but the trading volume has not picked up;
Currently, it is just after 5 AM New York time, and American retail investors are still not awake to trade, while the institutional investors on Wall Street are still on holiday (holiday dates: December 22 - January 5).
So, maintain patience and don't rush to chase the rise, especially with leveraged buying.
Buying at the bottom in the spot market is indeed fine, but one must have a good mindset and remain steadfast in the face of subsequent drop scenarios without panic selling.
If the main players didn't take action early, it is likely to trigger a short squeeze since there have been quite a few people yelling to short the market; a short squeeze would also yield profits. Care must be taken as there may be another drop that could trigger a long squeeze, leading to a common double kill of both bulls and bears.
The bull market continues, and 2025 is also a year when the crazy bull market begins, but patience and mindset are very important, especially during this uncertain transitional period. #比特币走势观察

On Friday, Bitcoin fluctuated upward and broke through, showing a strong rebound in the morning!!

The most authentic voice on the internet, I am your old friend Xu Bin. Recently, I have been tirelessly providing everyone with public trades. The year 2025 has already begun, and every day I share real trades with everyone. We do not stick to being old bears or old bulls, adjusting according to the market. Not to say too much, we have recently achieved a short-term winning streak of 28 consecutive wins. How accurate is it? You can judge for yourself.

Currently, Bitcoin is still in a low-level fluctuation, with shrinking trading volume, narrowing price fluctuations, and converging structural patterns. It has not yet established a clear upward trend. Along with the upward fluctuation trend, the overall structure is still in the 4th wave of adjustment, waiting for a clear adjustment structure to emerge. In the short term, focus on the resistance at the 99500 level.

BTC short-term: 96000 long, target 99500

ETH short-term: 3420 long, target 3575

Each analysis chart is clear and straightforward, refusing to be flashy. Is it accurate? You can judge for yourself. If you have trouble with your operations, you can consult Xu Bin. #MicroStrategy增持BTC #币安MegadropSOLV #2025有哪些关键叙事？ #比特币战略储备 #比特币走势观察 $ETH $BTC $XRP

🚨 The hacker with billions has stolen all my Bitcoin!

In the past few days, Bitcoin has reached a historic high, so I was curious to see how much my Bitcoin had increased tonight. I opened imToken and saw that my wallet balance was zero. Looking back at the transaction time, it was two months ago, and at the time of the transfer, I was buying fruit, so it couldn't have been me who accidentally transferred it.

Tracing the outgoing address, it's a phishing wallet with five transactions. Although the last transaction was only 0.1 BTC, this is just the tip of the iceberg of the hacker's operations.

Continuing to trace the outgoing address's outgoing address, importing the observation wallet reveals that this hacker holds nearly 39,000 Bitcoins, which translates to hundreds of millions in RMB assets.

Impressive, the hacker is formidable, wealthy enough to rival a nation.
Sad, not just because I've lost the money I watched grow from the lowest point at the end of 2022 to now, as if I had raised this money myself, but also because I remember a saying: one cannot earn money beyond their understanding; if someone earns it in the short term, they will eventually give it back.

Pay attention to Elon Musk's concept stock Ethereum ρꪊρρⅈꫀડ, or it may become the next potential Meme coin.
$BTC $XRP $DOGE
#比特币走势观察 #AIAgent热潮 #XRP重返市值前三 #马斯克改名 #比特币战略储备

🚨Zhao Changpeng controls 633,000 Bitcoins, a giant in the crypto world makes a shocking appearance!

The US national debt has reached 36 trillion dollars, and the total supply of Bitcoin is capped at 21 million coins. With the current price of 100,000 dollars per coin estimated, will Bitcoin challenge the peak price of one million in the future?

Or, can Bitcoin issue an additional 100 million coins out of thin air? However, digital currency is not a printed product and cannot be arbitrarily increased or decreased.

It is worth noting that Bitcoin is fundamentally different from physical currency. Once someone completely controls Bitcoin, its value will instantly drop to zero. The Federal Reserve refers to Bitcoin as "virtual gold," but gold reserves total 8,000 tons, valued at 660 billion dollars. Based on gold reserves, each of the 21 million Bitcoins should be worth 31,700 dollars.

However, if all 21 million Bitcoins are sold on the market, their price may plummet to below 100 dollars.

Keep an eye on Musk concept stocks ρꪊρρⅈꫀડ, which could become the next potential Meme coin.

$BTC $XRP $DOT
#币安Alpha公布第10批项目 #币安全球用户突破2.5亿 #比特币走势观察 #AIAgent热潮 #XRP重返市值前三

Initial Jobless Claims Hit Hard! 1.3 Bitcoin Auntie's Evening Analysis

Today's cryptocurrency price continues the rebound from yesterday, with basically no pullback during the day. The resistance at the 96500 line has been broken, and the current upper pressure is in the 97500-97800 range. If it continues to break through this evening, the price will open up space above!

However, Conan has reviewed a large amount of information and currently does not see any significantly positive news to support this! Therefore, it is crucial to focus on the U.S. stock market this evening. Based on the current trend, the U.S. stock market will undoubtedly open high, but whether it will follow the same pattern as before New Year's, opening high and rising further, is still uncertain.

Recently, the U.S. stock market has been on a downward trend, with funds flowing out of the spot ETF market since December last year. In the first year of the new year, only a mere 5 million dollars have flowed in. Currently, there is no very positive news for cryptocurrency prices, so Conan believes this rebound may have the suspicion of luring traders in. Everyone should be cautious when chasing long positions! The evening strategy is as follows:

1.2 Bitcoin Trading Strategy: Aggressive traders can short one contract near the current price of 96600, add positions near 97300, with a stop-loss around 97800, targeting 96000-95500-95000, with a breakdown target of 94500-94000.

1.2 Ethereum Trading Strategy: Aggressive traders can enter short near 3465, add positions near 3500, with a stop-loss around 3550, targeting around 3400, with a breakdown target of around 3350.

Today, those who are bearish and short have already stopped out. Currently, the price is surging sharply, so everyone should wait to see the initial jobless claims data and the performance of the U.S. stock market this evening. Although Conan is optimistic about the bearish trend, anyone entering a short position at the current price should definitely set a stop-loss! This is to prevent a significant positive surprise in the data from driving bulls! If the data exceeds expectations and significantly boosts the U.S. stock market, everyone should be cautious about shorting!

Today, there is almost no good news, yet it has risen. There are 759 million shorts accumulated around 97537. From a technical perspective, a rebound after a significant drop is normal. Many people are anxiously asking if they should jump in immediately. First, the time for a one-sided rise has not yet arrived; second, we are about to face the U.S. non-farm payroll and CPI data release. If nothing unexpected happens, this time should not be ideal. The overdue interest rate cuts may be reduced. Whether this will happen, we will know in a few days. Anyway, in the recent rounds of adjustments, ETH, SOL, DOGE, and UNI have all been entered into. I will hold a portion and wait for the final spike; let's see if that happens.
1. BlackRock's Ethereum holding as of December 31, 2024, is 1,071,415.22 ETH. Institutions are buying, buying, and buying; did you get on board when it was around 3300?

2. ETH's swing win rate is 82%; whales are starting to borrow coins to short. Two hours ago, they staked 84.46 million USDT on Aave to borrow 10,612.59 WETH (approximately 36.19 million USD). Receiving ETH and shorting ETH is just a way to earn more coins, right? Doesn't this mean that after this round of adjustments, ETH is set to soar?

3. Aave co-founder Stani: optimistic about Ethereum's performance in 2025. It seems that the surge in ETH is a consensus.

4. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in January is 88.8%, while the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 11.2%. Pre-releasing news reduces the likelihood of a sharp drop at that time.

5. It is almost 100% certain that a certain state in the U.S. will start buying Bitcoin within the next four months. Even Trump is buying BTC; it's clear to anyone with discernment that BTC will rise in 2025. There will definitely be more weeks of follow-up.

6. The U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF holds 1,125,698 Bitcoins. BTC will now be a game between major players. Meanwhile, we retail investors can fight in the contract market. $BTC #比特币走势观察 #比特币战略储备

1.3 Early Morning Pancake Market Analysis!

Good evening, brothers. Tonight, as the U.S. stock market opened, the pancake price surged again to the second resistance level near 97579. The small time frame has started to decline. During the night, pay attention to the support zone of 95400-95000. As long as it doesn't drop below this range, the market is still expected to rebound. The upper rebound resistance is at 97500-99871. Only if the four-hour closing breaks below 95000 will this rebound weaken, and the market will enter a consolidation phase again, so keep an eye on the support at 93000-92000.

Auntie also surged to the second resistance level of 3500 given during the day before starting to decline. Currently, the small time frame has begun to adjust. The adjustment support is at 3423-3392. As long as it doesn't drop below these two positions, the market continues to expect a rebound. The upper rebound resistance is at 3500-3550-3622. If the market drops again below 3423-3392, it will enter a consolidation phase again, so pay attention to the bottom support at 3302. #币安Alpha公布第10批项目 #币安全球用户突破2.5亿 #比特币走势观察 $BTC $ETH

Thursday summary, day trading mainly short positions, today’s short selling is targeted. The past 24 hours show that short positions were liquidated at 140 million USD, long positions at 69.35 million USD, with over 76,000 people liquidated! Evening public reminder at 96800, after gaining 800 points, the price rose all the way, reaching the 97822 level. From the current market situation, bulls are indeed relatively strong, but currently facing the daily middle track resistance at 98000, short-term pressure testing sentiment is still present. Therefore, in terms of short-term operations, we need to assess the situation and avoid chasing highs and cutting lows. When reaching a certain rhythm point, we must pay special attention to reversing direction; in a volatile market, focus on support testing and position adjustment.

From a short-term structural perspective, we cannot view bullishness with a dual approach today, adhering to the principle of no rebound without a break. The upper pressure is at 98000; if it doesn't break here and fails to stabilize, we won't chase the rise. The market has already pulled back again, and continuation at midnight is key; if it can't rise, it is still a technical inflection point. Support is at 95800, this point should be tested. In terms of operations, it is recommended to focus on short positions first, and consider arranging a short long after testing support.

Midnight BTC short-term operation: rebound in the 97500-98000 area, target looking at 95800-94500.
The situation is very large, the winning streak continues, if you can't gauge long or short positions, stick to your strategy and move forward together! Create brilliance again!
#比特币走势观察 #比特币战略储备 #2025有哪些关键叙事？

The second day of the New Year, Bitcoin begins to gain momentum. Here is an interpretation of the cryptocurrency market:

After several days of volatile consolidation, Bitcoin finally shows an upward momentum. There is a sense that the volatility is about to end, and a new trend may emerge in the coming week.

From the daily candlestick chart, bulls are starting to gain strength, with the low points of the pullbacks gradually rising. The key now is whether the high points of the rebound can break through, allowing for further upward movement.

On the 4-hour level, the Bollinger Bands are opening up, and the price is testing the upper resistance. Both the middle and upper bands are showing an upward opening trend. The key level above is 96,000; if it stabilizes above this, there is potential to test the 100,000 mark; if it does not stabilize, then high short opportunities may emerge. Therefore, the area around 96,000 is worth testing for short positions.

Bitcoin has pulled back about 15% from its peak, while Ethereum has seen a larger pullback of 25%. From the market perspective, Bitcoin is taking a corrective route, while Ethereum seems to be undergoing a washout.

In December, the net inflow of funds into the US Ethereum spot ETF exceeded $2.1 billion, almost double that of November, setting a new historical record.

Additionally, the Elon Musk-themed dog token ρꪊρρⅈꫀડ on the Ethereum chain, as one of the strongest concepts, is beginning to emerge. Its future development potential is enormous, and it may have the opportunity to become the next phenomenon in cryptocurrency assets, like SHIB. Investors should pay close attention and conduct in-depth research.

The most stable way to trade contracts
In a rising market, go long on the strongest coins; conversely, in a falling market, short the weakest coins.
For example, at the beginning of a bull market, the strongest performers are Bitcoin and Ethereum. When there is a pullback, these two coins are the first choice for going long. In a downturn, the first choice for shorting is Bitcoin. Even if the final result shows that mainstream coins have larger declines than Bitcoin, only shorting or chasing Bitcoin can greatly avoid the risk of violent rebounds. Most traders in the crypto space are short-term traders. When trading, it is difficult to stick to ideal exit points, and they may not be very skilled at position control or rely on fluctuations to average prices. Given this situation, a good entry price is more important than anything else for most traders. Once there is profit, take some off the table to secure gains, and set the remaining portion to stop-loss at the cost price.

The essence of contract trading strategy
(1) Identify the main trend and trade in the direction of the main trend; otherwise, do not enter the market.

(2) If you are trading in the direction of the trend, entry points: 1. A new breakout point in the trend; 2. A breakout point from consolidation moving in a certain direction; 3. A pullback point in an uptrend or a rebound point in a downtrend.

(3) Positions that align with the trend will bring you substantial profits; do not exit prematurely;

(4) If the entry aligns with the larger trend and the paper profit proves you are correct, you can use a pyramid-style technique to increase your position.

(5) Keep the position unchanged until the trend reverses and you close the position.

(6) If the market trend is opposite to your entry, cut losses and run quickly.
Summary: The way of trading is to accumulate little by little, with compound interest being king. If you move away from your cost, you must not turn back into a loss. If you have made a profit, definitely take some off the table to avoid working for nothing. In summary: If you make a profit, be bold in your actions, and let the remaining amount be at the original price loss. $BTC $ETH $BNB #比特币走势观察