Recently, more and more new projects have emerged in the AI track, and attention is not enough. In fact, every wave of popularity is like this. At this time, I have a few past experiences for reference. I will also think and operate in this way. There are only a few. First, the main funds are on the earliest, most focused, and most mature projects. At present, there are three virtual ai16z swarms. The market value of the first two is large, and the market value of the latter two is smaller in turn. The smaller the market value, the more violent the rise will be. This is normal. Among these three, only virtual has a top agent like aixbt. The other two need more time. Second, a wave of big trends in large-scale land. Is this wave over? I think there are some staged signals not long after the beginning. 1. B installed on B 2. up on B 3. cb on B I mean the three giants above. When these signals appear, if there is a short-term surge, you can do a wave of shipments, and don’t care about other times (you can do this yourself, and it is right to ship at any time). In fact, because AI is the main narrative, as long as BTC does not enter a bear market, funds will continue to speculate. So you can do small bands, and for large bands, just look at the big market! 3. The more new B types, the more traps there are. So, for new projects, especially refurbished projects (that is, those who did that before, now the agent is popular, and they jump out to do chains, infrastructure, and pads are basically pitfalls), because like virtual, they have been doing it for a long time to get the current harvest, and the new ones are in a hurry to release them, and their purpose is only one-your usdt. You can participate in new projects, and it is recommended to use only 1% of the opportunities. If you really want to make money, it is better to focus on the targets I mentioned, and buy more when there is a big drop, and buy less when there is a small drop. The three major platforms are virtual, ai16z, swarms, monomers, aixbt, and infrastructure cookies. They are similar. Others, such as games, are actually clusters, etc. They are all good, but they are all included in others. Focus on the above. Understand the logic, know the target, it’s nothing more than how to get on the bus. I take the one I like and get on the bus. Among the three major platforms, swarms pays more attention. Wang Feng himself is a programmer and has a large team. After he gets on the bus, there is no problem in further verifying the code. In addition: I said that the agent can be implemented. In fact, I don’t know whether this implementation is good or bad, but aixbt has already come out. As for the others, I am not particularly concerned, because I estimate that we will stop hyping it up for a few months. When it is really implemented, such as public chains, then it may be time to ship.
Dogecoin Future Market Analysis Dogecoin DOGE real-time price increased by 3.01% to $0.37213, in an upward trend with strong upward momentum, but the Williams indicator shows it is in an overbought state. Here is a comprehensive analysis of Dogecoin's market in the coming days:
Technical Analysis
According to NetEase news, Dogecoin's Ichimoku chart shows bullish momentum, with DOGE breaking through the red cloud and green cloud indicating further upward movement. The DMI reflects an strengthening trend, with an ADX of 21.5 and +DI dominating, indicating that strong buying activity is driving the upward trend. Meanwhile, a golden cross may be forming, which is a positive bullish signal. Once it successfully breaks through the resistance level of $0.36, DOGE's price may continue to rise to higher resistance levels of $0.387 and $0.415. However, if the upward trend loses momentum and the market reverses, DOGE's price may test its current support level of $0.30. If it fails to maintain this level, the price may drop further, with the next solid support level being $0.26.
Market Sentiment Analysis
Recently, the rise of Dogecoin has attracted more investors' attention, leading to increased market activity. Buyers are actively trading at higher price levels, showing optimistic market sentiment and strong bullish sentiment. However, it is also important to note that when the market is in an overbought state, it often means that the risk of a pullback is increasing.
Risk Factors Analysis
Dogecoin is a meme coin, lacking strong technical support and practical application scenarios. Its price increase is largely driven by market sentiment, making it highly volatile and posing high investment risks. Additionally, the cryptocurrency market is subject to strict regulation, and changes in policies may have a significant impact on Dogecoin's price.
In summary, Dogecoin is currently in an upward trend, but due to market uncertainties and its own risk factors, there are significant variables in the market in the coming days. Investors should closely monitor the breakthrough of key resistance levels and changes in market sentiment, and make investment decisions cautiously.
The following is some analysis of BTC's market in the next few days:
Short-term (next 1-3 days)
• Technical aspect: On January 3, some opinions believed that BTC was in a rebound and repair market. If it could break through 98,000 points, it is expected to further rush up to the 100,000-102,000 range, with the key point near 108,000. However, some analysts pointed out that according to the 4-hour K-line analysis at 16:00 on January 2, the MACD histogram continued to be positive and gradually became shorter, the strength of the bulls weakened, and the KDJ indicator showed overbought.
• Market sentiment: The market is more optimistic about the market on January 3. Some people believe that Bitcoin will break through 98,000 points and rush up to 100,000 again, and altcoins will also follow the rise. However, there is still some uncertainty in the overall market sentiment, and investors have different opinions on whether to chase highs.
• Funding: There is no obvious sign of a large inflow or outflow of funds, but some believe that with the possible injection of $15 billion of funds from FTX on January 6, there will be a wave of buying preheating and speculation.
Medium-term (next 4-7 days)
• Macroeconomics: The United States will release unemployment data on January 10. Although the data is expected to perform well, there may be panic and risk aversion in the market before the official release, which will affect the price of BTC. In addition, Trump will officially take office on January 20. The market generally expects that there will be some policy changes after he takes office, which may have an impact on BTC, but the specific direction and extent of the impact are still uncertain.
• Market cycle: Some analysts believe that the downward trend of Bitcoin at the end of 2024 may continue until 2025. Referring to historical patterns, there is a risk of continued decline, but once buyers enter the market, it is expected that Bitcoin will rebound after the New Year and regain the lost ground of $95,400.
• Regulatory policy: There is still uncertainty in the current regulatory policy of the Bitcoin market. If the United States introduces a supportive regulatory framework, it will play a crucial role in the performance of Bitcoin prices. However, if the regulatory policy becomes stricter, it may exert greater downward pressure on BTC prices.
The following is a comprehensive analysis of ETH's market in the coming days:
Technical Analysis
The recent 4-hour K-line for ETH shows a small bullish candle, with the closing price higher than the opening price, indicating a bullish market. The MACD histogram has turned positive from negative, with short-term momentum increasing, forming a golden cross. However, the KDJ indicator shows oversold conditions, and there is a divergence between price and volume, suggesting that upward momentum is weakening. Currently, the nearest support level is at $3309.0, and the resistance level is at $3429.0. If the price can continuously break through and stabilize at a higher level, it indicates the continuation of an upward trend; if the price falls below the support level, it may trigger further corrections.
Market Sentiment and Capital Flow
ETH Ethereum is trading at $3416.62 per coin, with an increase of 1.01%. The trading volume has increased, with both price and volume rising simultaneously, indicating strong upward momentum and optimistic market sentiment with a bullish outlook. Additionally, large whales have bought 5,191.34 ETH in the past 5 hours, amounting to approximately $17.41 million, indicating a certain influx of large capital.
Macroeconomic and Industry Trends
Ethereum plans to integrate artificial intelligence agents into its ecosystem, which is expected to greatly expand its functional boundaries and application areas, thereby enhancing its overall value. Regular network upgrades for Ethereum will also improve the platform's scalability, security, and efficiency, providing long-term support for price formation. Historically, every major network upgrade has been followed by a significant price increase for Ethereum. U.S. regulators are considering implementing clearer classifications and tax guidelines for cryptocurrencies. If the regulatory environment improves, more institutions and investors will flock to the Ethereum ecosystem, driving up its value. The global situation is influenced by trends such as the approval of Bitcoin ETFs and the maturity of layer-two solutions, providing a favorable environment for Ethereum's growth.
Bitcoin is about to face a massive sell-off According to Caixin on January 2, Katie Stockton, founder of independent research provider Fairlead Strategies, believes that Bitcoin's upward momentum after the election has weakened, and a sustained sell-off may occur in the coming weeks, potentially dropping to around $84,500, which is over a 10% decline from current levels. If it continues to fall, the next support level could be around $73,800. The main reason for this is that some technical indicators are showing a bearish trend for Bitcoin in the near future. Bitcoin fell below the 50-day moving average last week, and according to the daily MACD and the 20-day moving average, short-term momentum is currently negative. Although there may be weakness in the short term, Stockton remains optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term prospects, noting that the monthly stochastic indicator and MACD both continue to support a bullish long-term outlook entering the new year.
From a market sentiment perspective, according to Glassnode data, retail investors sold nearly 75,000 BTC in the past 30 days, equivalent to about $7 billion, while Bitcoin whales holding 100 to 1,000 BTC have accumulated over 140,000 BTC. Additionally, according to a report by QCP Capital on December 31, due to weak liquidity, there has been a noticeable gap in BTC spot prices, and any upward rebounds in the past few days have been limited by ongoing selling pressure.
From a macroeconomic perspective, after Trump comes to power in 2025, some of his radical policies may create uncertainty in the global economy, which could also affect the cryptocurrency market.
Overall, Bitcoin's market may primarily experience declines or consolidation in the coming days, but in the long run, some professionals still remain optimistic about its prospects. It is important to note that the Bitcoin market is highly uncertain and risky; the above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice.
Price Prediction • Optimistic Prediction: According to Coin Codex, it is expected that pepe will reach $0.00008177 by January 2025 and may climb to $0.000118 by the end of 2025. There are also viewpoints suggesting that pepe could rise by 226% before January 16, 2025, hitting a target price of $0.000074. • Cautious Prediction: Analysts at Changelly predict that pepe will reach $0.0000389 in 2025. Analysis of Influencing Factors Positive Factors • Community Support and Investor Enthusiasm: Pepe has a large and active community, with over 355,300 holders and about 1,000 new members daily, favored by large retail investors, with more than 92,000 investors making significant investments. The community's support and investors' enthusiasm can continuously provide price support and attract more investors.
One Year in the Crypto World: Moving Forward Amidst Opportunities and Challenges
Over the past year, diving into the crypto world has been an unforgettable journey of exploring the unknown and embracing challenges.
At the beginning of the year, I entered the crypto space with curiosity and expectations for this emerging field. With my professional knowledge and keen market insights, I achieved certain results in market analysis and judgment. I accurately grasped the trends of some mainstream cryptocurrencies, entering and exiting the market at the right time, which allowed me to accumulate substantial initial capital and greatly enhance my confidence.
However, the crypto world is ever-changing and elusive. Mid-year, the market experienced severe fluctuations, and multiple rounds of crashes led to a significant reduction in my assets. Some niche cryptocurrencies that were originally promising plummeted due to issues with the project teams or market manipulation. I failed to stop the losses in time, resulting in expanded losses. This painful lesson made me deeply realize that the risks in the crypto world far exceed expectations; optimism and enthusiasm alone are far from sufficient.
In the face of setbacks, I continued to learn and adjust my strategies. I participated in industry seminars, exchanged ideas with experienced individuals, and delved into research on cryptographic technologies and market mechanisms. Gradually, I mastered more scientific risk control methods and learned to allocate funds wisely, setting stop-loss and take-profit points.
This year, I witnessed the frenzy and bubble of the crypto world, while also appreciating the innovative power and immense potential it holds. It has brought me substantial returns, but it has also made me pay the price for impulsiveness and ignorance. In the future, I will carry forward the experiences and lessons of this year, remaining cautious and rational in this uncertain field of the crypto world, and exploring more possibilities.
There is uncertainty about whether Dogecoin can break its previous high. Here are some analyses of factors that support or hinder its potential to break the previous high.
Favorable Factors
• Celebrity Effect: Elon Musk has long supported Dogecoin; he has mentioned Dogecoin multiple times on social media and even stated that it is his favorite cryptocurrency. He has considered integrating it into Twitter's (now X) payment system. If Musk actually promotes the use of Dogecoin on X, it would greatly enhance its visibility and utility, potentially leading to a price increase.
• Market Trend: With the overall warming of the cryptocurrency market, mainstream cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin are seeing price increases, and Dogecoin is also expected to rise. Additionally, Dogecoin has shown strong upward momentum in 2024, with prices soaring over 75% in October, and analysts believe it is in the early stages of a new bull market in November.
This year's slowest purchasing power (PA) action, there isn't much to force here. If BTC's Friday low can hold, then the recent altcoin sell-off may form a decent bottom. Conversely, if any highs above 94k are accepted, our target is the mid-80k range. Only focus on some junk B's movements over the weekend. Having the right mindset does not guarantee profits. There has been some poor execution in the challenges, but the overall plan is unfolding. As long as BTC's range low holds, many altcoins should perform well in the coming days.
The following are the key notes taken on a mobile phone during the usual research a few days ago, which I am sharing with everyone. In short, a stable B with a positive spiral, rwa track, B supports and benchmarks against ondo, where fdv is 20 billion on that side and 4 billion on this side, but the tvl is even larger. In terms of selling pressure or unlocking, ondo is larger, and ondo is an air B, which has dividends and deflation. Rwa concept, combined with defi and stable B expectations. Usual pre-market 0.73 notified on Weibo and the group, the short-term first point 1.3 has already exceeded... The upper limit of stable B can reach 1 trillion US dollars, with a minimum still having government bond interest income—high interest in a bear market, positive spiral in a bull market. A 100 billion scale USDT can be quite pleasant to be torn off. The代B has a positive spiral: that is, high returns attract more people to deposit usual. Rwa and US bond yields, defi ondo 1.35b usual 1.4b frax 1b ena 2.42b, minimum 0.6b, its usde scale is 4.4 billion, which is 10 times that of usual. http://t.cn/A6msZ8m3 Usual's issuance model is designed to be deflationary. To activate governance rights, users must pledge their USUAL代B. Pledging USUAL can earn 10% of the future USUAL issuance, incentivizing long-term participation and rewarding early believers. USD0++ is a liquid staking代B (LST), which can unlock the pledged USD0 before the four-year term by destroying part of the USUAL代B received as rewards. This feature will be implemented starting in the first quarter of 2025. The收益 of代B goes to the users.
What exactly is the underlying asset usd0 of usual? The usd0 asset package mainly consists of short-term US Treasury bills (tbills) and repurchase agreements (repos). The usdt asset package mainly consists of cash equivalents, government bonds, and precious metals. The ena asset package mainly consists of eth staking and defi integration.
According to the daily and weekly data since 2017, each major upward trend lasted for 100 days (plus or minus 2 days), and then there were different degrees of violent high-level fluctuations or large-scale corrections. This round of rise started on September 6 and will reach 100 days on December 15. Everyone should pay attention to risk control in the future and do not chase high prices.
When the bull market comes, callbacks are inevitable, and the key is not to be washed out ①The key is to hold and hold again! Be patient and avoid frequent operations ②You must seize the bull market that has been waiting for four years ③Long-term holding is the most effective way to achieve substantial profits ④The currently undervalued high-quality coins will eventually rise sharply, it’s just a matter of time ⑤In the bull market, the biggest regret of most people is often not that they didn’t buy it, but that they didn’t hold it firmly! ⑥Finding value coins that have been sideways for a long time is the key, and once it starts, it will rise several times.
——Once again, remind everyone that when playing in the secondary market, the first choice is the cryptocurrencies that are already listed on Binance,
Currently, there are hundreds of thousands of coins on various large and small exchanges and on-chain, with an oversupply leading to many pitfalls. With the 'regulation' from the Americans, those junk coins may exit the historical stage.
——Try to avoid ancient god coins, such as FLF/XRP/LINK/FLOW/ETCS/BCH/HT, which may never reach new highs again.
——The first-level popularity is still in MEME.
Follow me to learn about knowledge and news in the crypto field daily!
Analysis of Cryptocurrency Bull Market Rotation After the U.S. Election —— The rise of mainstream coins boosts market sentiment, as investors are hesitant to touch major coins after the recent bear market; before November, on-chain data shows that over 10% of funds have entered MEME, resulting in some people missing out on mainstream coins, with SOL being the biggest winner, followed by dog coins and smart money.
—— The market capitalization of mainstream coins is too high to drive further; growth coins are starting to take off, marking the beginning of a true bull market, with retail investors rushing in.
—— Growth coins will surge to a certain market capitalization, while smaller coins will explode due to their lower market caps, often experiencing rapid price increases in a short period.
—— This is essentially the effect of capital overflow; major coins can no longer drive the market, capital flows into growth coins, increasing their risk, and then capital floods into smaller coins.
—— When there are no cheap coins left to buy in the market, and even traditional industries start to take notice, with various elderly individuals aware that the market is heating up, this is a signal that the bull market is about to end.
—— This is the process of a bull market; brothers, patiently hold onto your chips, allocate about 20% of your funds for rotation and short-term plays, and strive to take a bit from each sector. For specific operations, refer to the previous article.
Squirrel ($pnut) is the leader of political animals. After the election, only the squirrel survives, while other Trump concept Bs have all fallen. 0xsun: The squirrel should have the opportunity to go to a big school. Other political Bs have a harder time getting in.
U.S. Election, After Trump's Major Victory, Several Events to Watch in the Later Stage That Will Directly Affect Cryptocurrency Trends —— Interest Rate Meeting Dates: November 7-8, 2024 —— According to historical norms, U.S. stocks tend to rise without reason in December —— Presidential Inauguration: January 20, 2025, officially becoming the President of the United States and moving into the White House —— It is expected that the Federal Reserve will consecutively cut interest rates by 25 basis points in the next five interest rate meetings from December 2024 to June 2025, thereby lowering the target range for the federal funds rate to 3.25%-3.5% —— Russia-Ukraine War, Situation on the Middle Eastern Battlefield As long as Trump can live to move into the White House, the bullish outlook will continue Spot trading mindset: Enter at current price, do not worry about short-term floating losses, enter on conservative pullbacks of around 10%-20%
Latest news on the US election, the latest data on the US election is being updated in real-time on Tencent: As of November 6th, 14:00 Beijing time, the latest data,
Trump: Received 247 votes Harris: Received 210 votes Current polling stations in each state are delaying their closing, and the vote counts will be announced by each state in succession.
——The dust of the US election is getting closer and closer. According to current statistics, Trump has a higher chance of moving into the White House. ——Yesterday's article reminded brothers to build positions many times. First of all, congratulations to the brothers who built positions in advance. ——BTC has broken the historical record of 75,000 US dollars. The four-hour line is already dawn. In the later period, I personally recommend continuing to buy the BTC ecosystem at a low level! ——I personally predict that BTC will soon reach a historical high of 80,000-100,000 US dollars. ——Continue to pay attention to the White House chess game this month and the end of the year, and the interest rate cut basis point