$BTC The negative image is getting stronger on the daily chart.
The 20 DMA is down. There has been a limited decline so far, but it looks like we are entering the second wave of the decline.
Especially breaking the first support may lead to a very rapid move to the second support.
We need to pay special attention to volume in the coming days. If we start to see an increase in volume during the decline, we can start talking about around 50k.
There is no serious position change on the futures side, but there is a descending channel image with some short increase.
For now, we are progressing in this channel between 56k-64k.
Normally, descending channels are bullish structures that break upward at the end. However, the momentum required to exit the channel is not yet there. That's why we may see another visit to the bottom of the channel.
In the long term, the movement in the horizontal region that I shared before continues. Under the pretext of the Iran-Israel crisis, the third test took place in the green support zone since April. Now we can see a slow move to the upper band.
In this process, altcoins were crushed a lot. This decline, which came with very little time until the halving, provided a good buying opportunity for altcoins.
There are a few data that I follow in my general market analysis during this process:
- I try to predict the movement of altcoins by looking at Bitcoin dominance and comparing it with previous periods.
- By following open positions and liquidations on the futures side, I estimate how long the harsh movements will continue.
- I analyze the general sentiment by looking at the altcoin-bitcoin season and fear-greed indices. I will continue to share my analyzes regarding these with you throughout the day.
There is no significant change in the #Bitcoin chart.
The price has entered the horizontal zone and it looks like it will spend time there for a while. Volume decreases and the trend image disappears.
In my opinion, there is no obvious situation to trade in terms of bitcoin. In horizontal trends, you can buy close to support and sell close to resistance, but I prefer to trade rising trends.
It is necessary to study the charts of altcoins and look at those that are trending. I'll start looking around that way when I have time.
$BTC had a nice breakout yesterday after the recent sales. However, this release was a reaction to the previous sales and had a limited impact.
If we check the Fibonacci levels, we see that this sale is in the range of 50-60%. Therefore, we have achieved a sufficient lead for a healthy reaction movement.
Again, when we look at the hourly chart, we see that the price could not make a new peak after yesterday's purchases and the peaks are gradually falling. This shows that we need to be ready for a second wave of decline.
If we fall below 60 thousand, it would not be a surprise if the price drops to the 55-56 thousand range.
However, I cannot help but add that the market is still quite positive in the long run.
A strengthening uptrend outlook continues in $LTO.
Due to the break caused by the release of #Bitcoin , the movements of altcoins are also restricted. However, if the market turns a little greener, the outflow potential in altcoins will also increase.
The selling is voluminous, so it takes time for the price to rebalance.
Since there is strong momentum, I expect at least one more wave of decline. These decreases occur in the form of the price becoming horizontal and then decreasing again.
The total size of all cryptos has reached $2.65 trillion.
The size of only the 3 largest coins is 2 trillion $ . These are the biggest ones in the market: #bitcoin and #etherum , and the biggest stable coin, #tether. .
The momentum of recent months has not yet been reflected in altcoins, but when the time comes, we will see how those with very good potential among altcoins will act.
My favourites:
- Major exchange and launchpad tokens - Tokens in trending areas like AI - New games and brc20 tokens to be released - Strong blockchain projects that are still less than $1 billion
Examining past formations on the chart provides insight into future price movements.
$BTC experienced a lag of 2-3 weeks while passing its previous peak during the previous bull period. But when it passed, the price continued rapidly.
Altoins joined the rally later.
As for altcoins, usually 10-20 of the strong ones that existed in the previous period are making new peaks, while more of them were listed during that bull period and the potential of fresh projects is higher.
Examining past formations on the chart provides insight into future price movements.
$BTC experienced a lag of 2-3 weeks while passing its previous peak during the previous bull period. But when it passed, the price continued rapidly.
Altoins joined the rally later.
As for altcoins, usually 10-20 of the strong ones that existed in the previous period are making new peaks, while more of them were listed during that bull period and the potential of fresh projects is higher.