If foreign exchange controls are lifted, China's interest rates will become a joke, as the interest rate differential will siphon off all assets, and capital will flow to places with favorable interest rates.
环球投资小顽童
--
Do not expect the domestic market to lift the restrictions on Bitcoin and virtual currency trading, because lifting the restrictions on Bitcoin means free foreign exchange conversion, and many people do not understand what foreign exchange control means at all. In fact, the biggest privilege in the country is the foreign exchange privilege, because the value of the RMB and personal benefits become meaningless once they reach a certain level. There is no limit to how much you can have, but foreign exchange must be earned back through manufacturing, which is also a necessary condition for a smooth landing for future generations. Therefore, foreign exchange control cannot possibly be lifted, and Bitcoin and virtual currencies cannot possibly be released; anyone who dares to bet can try.
In the new year of #2025加密趋势预测 , it should be an important bull market for Bitcoin's fourth halving, with Bitcoin aiming to break the $100,000 mark. The consensus is extremely high, and with Bitcoin ETFs being highly sought after by investors in the US securities market, this undoubtedly brings significant growth to the crypto space. When Bitcoin is consolidating at a high level, it is the time for altcoins to thrive. The altcoin season has arrived. It is estimated that in the next three to four months, the market will be very hot. After reaching a peak, the market will cool down, return to rationality, and enter the bear market of 2026. Many people understand this pattern, but execution is often poor. There is a discrepancy between understanding and action; knowledge and practice do not align. I have similar shortcomings.
The market is still in a state of adjustment. There will be a wave of increase later, but when? Personally, I believe it will be after Trump takes office, that is, after January 20th. BTC will stretch up for a period of time, at least two weeks. Then it will drive the rise of altcoins. I am particularly optimistic about the AI sector. There is also the DEPIN sector. However, it is necessary to combine with some core data indicators. For example, the unemployment rate, interest rates, and non-farm data in the United States. These messages act as a trigger; when the market is at a high level, these messages can trigger a sharp decline. It is essential to manage crises well. Also, continuously waiting to increase positions is important; you can place orders in advance, and patience is key. Position management is crucial.
Non-farm data is released on the Friday of every month
i am回本哥
--
The Road to Recovery in the Crypto Space
I have been in the crypto space for almost a year, and my account has a floating loss of 15,000 USDT... Currently only trading spot, not touching contracts anymore. The money lost before was all from contracts. If spot trading is not done well, don't even talk about contracts. Still have 2200 USDT left. Let's start a record from today. The following statements are purely from a novice's perspective, written for my own reference, and just for fun for everyone. 1. Let's first talk about the current market perspective.
1. The crypto market is currently in the mid-stage of a bull market, still in an adjustment phase, and there will be another wave of increase later. 2. From the fear-greed index, although the market is currently not as enthusiastic as early December, it is still in a greedy cycle. At this stage, after the Federal Reserve has taken a hawkish stance, the market has not yet reached a state of panic, and the chip washing in the early stage of the bull market is not complete, further washing is still needed.
#BTC走势 The overall bull market has not changed. The two recent pullbacks are weaker than the last. From the volume data, it is proved that the supply is gradually weakening. When the volume reaches a new low, it is the time for demand to enter the market, and the bull market pattern starts again. The upper pressure is still 110k, and the support point is at the integer mark 95K. If you want to buy, you can add positions at low prices based on these two supports and pressures. Climb high and sell. The most important thing in trading is emotional management. In the bull market, there are more pins. Do a good job of position management. Crisis management, do a good job of managing the good news of current affairs at key time points. After the entire market rises to a certain extent, it has a downward trend, and the trigger point of this trend is some current affairs news.
#加密市场回调 Yesterday's pullback has fully recovered today. Did you buy spot at the bottom? You need to have enough faith to withstand this pullback. The pullback may seem like a crisis. In fact, it is just an opportunity. This is an opportunity for wealth transfer. Once you see it clearly, you will be grateful for such pullbacks in the future. You need to seize the opportunity. However, after October 1, 2025, another pullback may indicate a change in trend.
Using Bitcoin moving averages as a basis is also a good method! Inpatient 2025 can multiply 10 times with 10,000!
海绵进化论
--
Can you turn ten thousand into one million in this bull market?
The answer is yes.
I will share a feasible plan. If you follow through, making one million is achievable.
1. Buy coins when Bitcoin is above the MA20 on the weekly chart, buy two to three, and they must be new coins, hot coins in a bear market, like APT before its rise. It emerged from the bear market; as long as Bitcoin rises a bit, it can take off, like OP. Just remember, it needs to be popular and have a story to tell.
2. If Bitcoin falls below MA20, cut losses. Continue to make money during the buying or waiting period, giving yourself two to three chances to fail. If you have twenty thousand in savings, invest ten thousand; you can afford to fail three times.
3. If you buy a coin like APT, aim for a 4-5x return. Keep executing the strategy; remember, you are working with small capital, and you must buy new coins. Don't buy ETH or BTC. Their price increases cannot support your dreams.
4. If you make three 5x returns from a bear market to a bull market, that's about 125 times. This period can take as short as a year or as long as three years.
You have three chances to fail. If you fail all three times, it indicates you lack the ability; stay away from this circle, avoid investing, and especially steer clear of contracts.
Invest your energy into work, cultivate your hobbies, and improve your skills. Earn a good living through work. When you are more mature and stable, around your 30s, if another bear market like 2022 occurs, invest another twenty thousand and try again with the above method. If you still don't succeed, then just work steadily and stay away from the crypto space.
The most important thing about the above methods is to have patience. If you lack patience and get flustered, exit quickly.
In short, remember to enter when it's time to enter, and to cut losses when it's time to cut losses; be patient!
Will the bull market in the cryptocurrency world come again in 2025?
$BTC keeps breaking new highs, and everyone is wondering if the bull market has already arrived? Let's take a look at the timing of previous bull markets:
On November 12, 2012, the halving occurred, taking 92 days to reach the market peak.
On July 9, 2016, the halving occurred, taking 180 days to reach the market peak.
On May 11, 2020, the halving occurred, taking 204 days to reach the market peak.
It can be seen that over time, the duration from halving to the market peak has been gradually increasing. The principle behind this trend is very simple: the market's demand for increased capital is growing exponentially.
First, when the bull market starts, Bitcoin takes off first, and mainstream coins that have dropped significantly double in value. Next, after Bitcoin performs for a while, Ethereum begins its meteoric rise. Then, Bitcoin moves sideways, and altcoins follow Ethereum in a frenzy. After that, lesser-known coins fly around, and the crypto market becomes weak. Subsequently, there is an NFT bull market and a Ponzi scheme in gaming. Finally, there is a crash, altcoins go to zero, and the bear market recycles.
Whether the bull market arrives late or early, it will come, so strategically positioning a potential meme coin is undoubtedly of utmost importance!
This round of bull market ends around October 1, 2025. It’s better to exit in mid-August, and if you wait, you should exit on the right side of November!
优家纯牛奶-HTAA690
--
The Plot of a Bull Market: 1. Just Started Soaring: It's rising so much, could a bull market really be coming? It's rising so fiercely, I'm a bit hesitant to jump in, let's wait and see. 2. Continued Soaring: Wow, the bull market is really here, it has risen so much that I'm hesitant to buy big, let's buy a little to test the waters and wait for a pullback to add more. 3. Soaring to the Peak: Increase positions!! Use leverage, 100,000 is not a dream, if you don't get on board now, it will be too late. 4. Start to Plummet: Technical adjustment, increase positions!! 5. Continued Plummet: Panic and cut losses. 6. Prolonged Decline: Trapped for 3 years.
$BTC Trading is really about this principle: trading is like hunting, ambush is key, one must be decisive, and always accumulate bullets; always leave one bullet at any time, do not use them all! After this pinning, I truly realized that the pinning in a bull market is all a paper tiger! Next time the pinning for BTC will be 150,000, first a small drop followed by a big drop, or a direct big drop; the reasoning is the same, the form is different.
颜驰Bit
--
Bullish
Trading, we only shoot in key positions!\nToday you are a hunter. When your hands are full of bullets, you shoot at will, regardless of whether it is prey or not. You feel it is, you keep shooting...\nWhen the real prey stops in front of you, the remaining bullets make you hesitate~\nLetting the prey escape, you only realize it later and shoot again, resulting in once more~~ #SUI
The logic for buying is very simple; the coins traded before the market are all from Launchpool, and it's hard to see a big drop in pre-market trading, making the participation odds high. The usual circulating market cap is 100 million USD, with a total market cap of less than 1 billion USD. Compared to similar projects ENA and ONDO, it is undervalued. Thinking about it now, it's truly an excellent opportunity to scoop up; the price hasn't been inflated yet, and there has only been a recent market fermentation leading to a bit of FOMO.
链研社lianyanshe
--
USUAL is still rising against the trend. I bought it during pre-market trading on Binance, and it was less than 4 times; I sold it before it officially launched, but I didn't expect it to still soar 😂. Now I want to place an order to buy it back, but I can't get any. At that time, I could buy a maximum of 40,000 USUAL in pre-market trading, which was about 10,000 U. Based on the current price of USUAL, it is worth over 50,000 U, and it should be the best-performing coin in the secondary market recently.
The logic for buying is very simple: coins traded in pre-market are all from Launchpool, and it's hard for them to drop significantly during pre-market trading, which has a high participation probability. USUAL has a circulating market cap of 100 million USD, with a total market cap of less than 1 billion USD. Compared to similar projects like ENA and ONDO, it is undervalued. Looking back, it was a fantastic opportunity to pick up a bargain; the price has not yet been inflated, and only in the past two days has there been some FOMO in the market.
This time encountering USUAL really highlights the value of Binance's pre-market trading. There are several design guarantees for the return on investment: 1. All tokens traded in pre-market are generated through Launchpool, with no airdrops, so investors wait for the unlocking of Tokens. This avoids many VC coins dropping like Christmas trees after they go live. 2. This time, the limit for USUAL was 40,000, and the buying price when it went live was about 10,000 U, which is sufficient for most retail investors, while market makers and large holders cannot inflate the price in pre-market. 3. It requires better project research capabilities; for those who understand the project, they can get a better price in pre-market trading.
For these tokens with a pre-market trading mechanism, the participation risk is lower than that of other tokens in the secondary market because it avoids the risks of manipulation, low-cost airdrops, and VC unlocks. Even SCR, which actually has an increase during pre-market trading.
So for projects that are not optimistic, the best choice is to sell before the end of pre-market trading due to the issues of manipulation and low-cost token unlocks. For projects that are optimistic, buying in pre-market trading or during significant turnover after the official trading starts has good opportunities. After USUAL opened, it also had large fluctuations, reaching around 0.8.
I personally think that the recent market correction is actually due to the rapid increase in the market trend earlier. According to the reporter, it's just an opportunity to offload based on what Fed Chairman Powell said.
$BNB insists on being bullish. The lows keep reaching new highs, expecting around 800 in the future. Combining political information. Adding positions on dips. Furthermore, with pledged mining, there are one or two occurrences every month. The secondary yield is around 1%. This means a guaranteed annualized return of 12~24%. Even if the currency doesn't rise, there is still a return of 24%. This is very high.
In the past couple of days, BTC has been consolidating above 100k. Honestly, whenever this kind of time occurs, it definitely means that the big players are orchestrating and planning something. During this time, one must be particularly cautious when making trades. The big players need to celebrate holidays, pay salaries to employees, provide benefits to shareholders, and reserve funds for the coming year, so when they manipulate the market, the price fluctuations can be quite large and extreme. Currently, from the perspective of long and short liquidations, there are approximately 713 million long positions that need to be cleared near 10504. Meanwhile, there are 343 million short positions that need to be cleared at 103024. BTC has accumulated 2 billion contracts that can be liquidated within a range of 50,000 points. From the current two-day pattern, there is a significant increase in volume during declines and a decrease in volume during rises, indicating a potential for enticing more buyers. Additionally, there is a violent downward spike every 8-10 days. For those recently going long, be very careful. Set stop losses. Although we are currently in a bullish pattern, the support trend line below is at 98376. If a hunt is to be carried out, the big players will likely spike down to around 96000. There hasn't been a corrective trend yet; it typically involves a rapid drop followed by a violent reversal. The resistance above is near 105000, and for the shorts, there are indeed significantly fewer compared to the longs. Because at this price level, the stubborn shorts have all been wiped out. Continuing to clear shorts above this level is not very cost-effective. What you've seen recently has been violent downward moves, rather than a slow upward trend. Recently, just recently, I personally suggest that everyone consider primarily shorting near 103000, with a stop loss set at 105000. Perhaps the returns from trading long at this position could be better. What do you think? $BTC #BTC重回关键位置后走势 #比特币战略储备
Binance Square's monthly essay contest is definitely a hidden 'wealth code'.🍯
Following last month's frequency of three contests, the maximum reward per contest is nearly 1500u, and just from the essay contest in a month, one could earn over 4500u! $COS #重大空投观察
In a bull market, many insertions lead to losses, and the losses in a bull market are due to many insertions without risk control!
海绵进化论
--
In a bull market, plugging is actually a normal behavior. Whether it is for washing, shaking, or deleveraging, the methods of dog dealers are often the same.
The emergence of plugging seems to make the market full of uncertainty and risk, but from another perspective, it is also a way for the market to adjust itself. Through plugging, some unstable chips can be effectively cleared and obstacles can be cleared for subsequent rises.
Only when these shackles are removed can the market take off better. In this process, we investors need to remain calm and rational, and not be affected by short-term fluctuations. It is important to understand that plugging is just a small episode in the bull market, and the real trend is still upward.
Any sudden wealth is an illusion. Even if you become lucky, you will still lose it tomorrow! You must set a simple trading rule for yourself.
Crypto交易员朱一旦
--
Major Benefit! Phantom will increase support for the Sui blockchain, which means enormous opportunities and challenges for Sui as a leading chain. As more and more Solana developers move to the Sui ecosystem, Sui is likely to become the next Solana. Let's wait and see! #sui
The bull market will naturally not end easily, but there have always been pullbacks. Here are a few key references: 1. On the 10th, there will be a Microsoft shareholder fund meeting, which is also very important. It will decide whether to invest in purchasing Bitcoin, with about $20 billion in funds at stake, which is a significant amount. If this comes in, it will definitely be a positive for the crypto market.
2. Christmas is approaching, and historically, the market tends to drop during this period, so caution is warranted.
3. From the data, the U.S. will lower interest rates on the 18th, while Japan will raise rates on the 19th, which is quite contradictory. We cannot avoid sharp fluctuations, and our community always provides timely points for trading.
4. As the year-end approaches, it also means there is a probability of capital fleeing. Every year during the New Year, there tends to be a drop. Everyone needs cash.
5. Next year, Trump will take office, and Bitcoin will be included in the U.S. strategic reserves. This will be beneficial for the entire crypto sector.
Is it both bearish and bullish at the same time? Institutions want this effect to catch people off guard. It is even more necessary to grasp the direction of the market at all times, especially for friends trading contracts. One should reduce positions if needed, and not make a flurry of operations before the bull market has even arrived, resulting in the loss of all capital. A Bitcoin price of $100,000 is merely a stepping stone, a new starting point.