The 50bp rate cut exceeded market expectations and gained hype in the two trading days of the US stock market after the news landed.
But it should be noted that the current market is an emotional market. There is not much bullish momentum at the data level and event level, at least in the short term.
I don’t know whether the market sentiment will continue next week.
From the perspective of the US stock market, if there is no retracement in the next month or so, the subsequent upward momentum will be very exhausted.
I still assume a retracement in October and a rise in the US stock market after the November election. The retracement is about 10 points of the index. Prepare for a 25% upside at the end of the year (November and December). During this retracement, the market will also put pressure on the expectation of a rate cut in November.
Overall, this wave of rate cuts is mild. After the first two rate cuts, the market may become numb to the negative factors of the economy and show a strong bullish sentiment. Funds began to unilaterally capture AI technology giants and the crypto market led by BTC.
From the perspective of US stocks and macroeconomics, this wave of interest rate cuts is more like the situation in 2019 and 1995. Because it is not an Internet bubble, financial crisis, or black swan.
But the trend of BTC will not be like the rate cut rhythm in 2019. Under the premise of a market without black swans, BTC's risk aversion factor is not strong. Under the condition of low liquidity in the market and the lack of strong leaders of liquidity providers in the market, the phenomenon of following the trend of US stocks and running ahead will be very obvious. The divergence phenomenon and the one-sided copycat trend are not persistent.
I am very optimistic about going long on the US stock AI sector and BTC market at the end of the year. Although the probability of Trump's election is not high, it has little impact on macro products such as BTC.
In addition, from a medium-term perspective, Nvidia's growth sustainability will remain strong. The development of large models is still in its early stages. The development of 2D/3D models, video models, and models of the physical world are still in their original state. 交鋶隇：xntm566 These all require computing power as a basis. The interest rate cut in 1995 brought about the explosion of Internet concepts, and the AI ​​financing market and AI stock sector next year will definitely perform better. If OpenAI goes public next year, it is quite possible. It is worth looking forward to the continued emotional stimulation from the capital market. #moonbix #美联储宣布降息50个基点 #美联储宣布降息50个基点 #DODO助力Meme发行

The essence of the narrative of the meme track is how many people believe in and promote a certain coin "it can still rise". In this regard, memes are the best, but unfortunately, they all have a large market value. For example, $pepe $wif$brett and others are all good, but the people who promote them must come up with powerful slogans such as 10 billion or even 100 billion. This kind of coin has the most "people who believe in and promote it", and the chips are fully circulated. It's nothing more than pvp. Overall, it can be considered, but due to the large market value, perhaps some new ones with a smaller market value can be considered. It is worth mentioning that: inscriptions and runes. I personally may have lost a lot of money on runes, so I feel that this sector is very divided. They are not as good as the big memes above in the number of "people who believe in and promote it", and they are more serious about not taking over each other, so I personally may not consider it as the main consideration. I think the new meme is mainly focused on bn, with good liquidity, $bome, $neiro, etc. The lowercase neiro is mainly in uppercase and lowercase and on various chains from the narrative level. It is a bit uncertain. 交⑥崴: xntm566 At the same time, there is no data on whether foreigners play it. If it is like the inscription, the stamina will be weaker, but it is worth continuing to observe
#美国8月零售销售环比好于预期 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #币安上线NEIRO #新币挖矿CATI

Narrative and recommendation of meme track
In fact, the essence of narrative is how many people believe in a certain coin and promote "it can still rise". In this regard, meme is the best, but unfortunately, they all have a large market value. For example, $pepe $wif $brett and so on are all good, but the people who promote them must come up with very powerful slogans such as 10 billion or even 100 billion.
This kind of coin has the most "people who believe and promote it", and the chips are fully circulated. It's nothing more than pvp. Overall, it can be considered, but due to the large market value, perhaps some new ones with a smaller market value can be considered.
It is worth mentioning: inscriptions and runes. I personally may have lost a lot of money on runes, so I feel that this sector is very divided. They are not as good as the big memes above in the number of "people who believe and promote him", and they are more serious about not taking over each other, so I personally may not consider it as the main consideration.
I think the new memes are mainly those on Binance, with good liquidity, such as $bome and $neiro. The lowercase neiro is mainly in uppercase and lowercase and on various chains from the narrative level. It is a bit uncertain, and there is no data on whether foreigners play with it. If it is like the inscription, the staying power will be weaker, but it is worth continued observation. #BananaGun钱包被盗 #特朗普首次使用BTC #moonbix #新币挖矿HMSTR #加密市场反弹

This is the eighth time in the past six months that it has reached and exceeded $64,000. Since the fourth time, we have been saying that this is a support position, but this support is not the price support seen by many technical friends, but the support area of ​​dense chips seen through on-chain data. This time it is not just the support of $64,000 to $69,000, and we often say that investors at this position are basically no longer considering leaving.
And from the current URPD data, the entire range between $56,500 and $69,000 is a concentrated area of ​​dense chips. Of course, the range between $56,500 and $61,500 still belongs to short-term holders. The#BTCin this range is likely to decrease with price changes. Only after a longer period of fluctuations can it be determined whether it is a support level.
Back to the data itself, as the price of BTC rises, short-term investors have shown signs of leaving in large numbers, especially short-term profit-making investors have accelerated their departure in large numbers. I have also heard many voices saying that $65,000 may be a hurdle.
I don't know whether it is or not, but judging from the current trend, the market has accepted the Fed's 50 basis point rate cut and accepted Powell's current stable economic situation. Through the price, we know that investors' sentiment is stable and optimistic about the economy. 6️⃣隇: xntm566 may be worried about whether the Bank of Japan will adjust the interest rate on Friday.
Theoretically, the possibility of the Bank of Japan adjusting the interest rate in September is not great, but if it really adjusts, it may not be a good thing for the short-term market, but even if it is adjusted by 25, to 0.5%, it is still a low interest rate and will not have a significant impact. So even if it is really adjusted, the market may have short-term fluctuations, but it is likely to be understood by investors in the end. #BananaGun钱包被盗 #特朗普首次使用BTC #moonbix #新币挖矿HMSTR #加密市场反弹

This post may be the most comprehensive and in-depth analysis of the structure and trend of PIZZZA chips on the entire network.
1. Thinking: The largest BRC20 coin holding address is SATS with 53,000 addresses and ORDI with 26,000. When PIZZA first came out, the airdrop address was close to 200,000. Why are there so many more? Even if the users of ORDI and SATS do not overlap, the total number is only 80,000. Whose are the extra 100,000 addresses?
It can be basically confirmed that it is UNISATS's own wallet address, which means that it also has a large number of airdropped chips. Otherwise, does the dealer work for retail investors? It is easy to deal with it after confirming that there is a big dealer. Just don't be washed down.
2. TOP5 chips:
The first place has been collecting more than 1,000 wallets of PIZZA since September 18th. The dealer has started to take action and also bought tens of thousands of pizzas from the exchange.
The second place is the GATE exchange address.
The third place bought 90,000 on the big crash on August 5th and withdrew to the wallet on the same day.
The fourth place bought about 85,000 PIZZA on September 12th.
The fifth place bought 80,000 PIZZA from the exchange on July 31st.
3. The market maker of PIZZA trades on the HTX exchange. From the lowest point of the pin on September 3rd, 2.66U, it can be found that the main force has placed a large amount of funds at this position to support the bottom, which is the same as the opening price of the big positive line on August 6th.
4. Future prediction: Exchange: xntm566. PIZZA and ORDI have surprisingly similar situations. The issuance volume is 21 million. The lowest price of the big wash on the GATE exchange is between 2-3U. I personally guess that they may be the same trading team. If the trend and increase of PIZZA are close to the trend of ORDI in October last year, it can prove my analysis is right or wrong, provided that PIZZA can be listed on Binance. #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #币安上线NEIRO #新币挖矿HMSTR #token2049

The Super Trend daily line status is worth looking forward to! Historically, the number of times this indicator has worn out rarely exceeds 6 consecutive times. Now it is about to appear for the 7th time. As the number of times the trend wears out increases, the probability of a strong trend will become higher and higher!
Today's daily line can close above 61800, which is a key signal!
If it stands up, you can expect a new round of bullish trend. If it can't stand up, it is entirely possible to turn to a bearish trend.
Small-level structures can be ignored. Just keep an eye on the daily line to find a breakthrough or reversal structure and prepare to lay out a trend order.
Explain the principle of continuous wear of trend indicators. If you have done transactions related to trend tracking strategies, you will find that when the trend strategy starts to stop losses for many consecutive times, strong trend markets and large profits will be easier to come!
This is essentially derived from the accumulation of momentum after the market range oscillation. The saying "the longer the horizontal, the longer the vertical" means this.
My idea is to keep an eye on the closing price of the daily line near 61800. If the price breaks through significantly, then turn to the long side and make a trend long order. If the price retreats significantly away from 61800, then turn to the short side and make a trend short order.
If the daily closing price is stuck in a small range around 61800, stay alert and make a slippery move. The next trend will not be small. #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #加密市场反弹 #美联储宣布降息50个基点 #币安上线NEIRO #token2049

《Is ETH overvalued?》
During this period, the community has been talking about Eth going badly.
But few people have recalculated whether ETH's valuation is reasonable based on the current fundamentals.
The value of ETH can be roughly determined by five parts:
1. Gas income. Currently, the annual gas income is 548M per year. If PS is calculated, it is 500. Analogously, the PS of Sol is 300. So ETH is seriously overvalued.
2. The current annual destruction value is 400M per year.
3. The annual additional issuance is 2220M per year.
4. After joining ETF, ETH has certain commodity attributes and a certain market value.
5. ETH's ecological moat. That is, layer2, defi, and the most powerful dev in the crypto circle.
Let's take a look at the analysis:
1. The current low gas income is mainly caused by layer2 almost not paying gas fees. What is layer2? It is a cunning and efficient way to use block space; Jiao鋶隇: xntm566 is eth's initiative to reduce its own income, but increase the ecological moat.
On the surface, PS is very ugly. But this is actually eth's choice to sell block space cheaply by sacrificing short-term interests and giving 80% discount for the sake of ecological moat.
From the internal perspective of the foundation, this choice is more advantageous than maintaining low PS. Therefore, the real profitability of ETH is far from being reflected in PS. From the perspective of mc/volume, ETH does not have a premium over Visa.
2. Whether it is the cost of additional issuance or the income from destruction, it does not affect the overall interests of the holders who hold the currency as a whole.
Therefore, destruction and additional issuance do not have a significant impact on ETH's valuation.

3. How much is the ecological moat worth?
Considering it together with PS, it means that ETH's concessions can withstand higher PS. The ecological moat is the most complete and is the best target for selling block space.
4. At this time, ETH is far from looking overvalued. But there is still a certain degree of overvaluation.

The market expects that on-chain activities can increase by 2-3 times to break even in terms of cash flow. The market also has the risk of losing patience. However, historically, once the market picks up, on-chain activities can increase by 10 times or even dozens of times in a short period of time. In the future, ETH can take over the interest rate cuts and balance sheet expansion. It is reasonable that ETH has some premium at this time.
Conclusion:
The price of ETH at this time is moderate, and there is no obvious overvaluation, but it is not very cost-effective at this moment.

This 50-point cut is a bit like compensation for the lack of a rate cut in July. Because after the lack of a rate cut at the end of July, there was a very bad non-farm payrolls data, and then the market fell sharply until August 5. So this 50-point start has a compensatory meaning. Since the rate cut cycle has begun, the conspiracy theory between China and the United States can be put aside. The Fed needs to find a balance between employment and inflation, and the normal situation will be 25. If inflation is high, the rate cut will be lowered, and if employment is poor, the rate cut will be increased.

For BTC, this month still maintains the pattern of falling at the beginning of the month and rising from the beginning of the month to the end of the month. It is very important whether the height in the end of the month can exceed the high point in August. Once it exceeds, it will form a situation where the daily lows are getting higher and higher, and the highs are getting higher and higher for the first time, then it is confirmed that 4.9 is the bottom and 52,500 is the second bottom.
#token2049 #新币挖矿HMSTR #币安上线NEIRO #美联储宣布降息50个基点 #加密市场反弹

The Fed cut interest rates by 50 basis points. Is it a positive or a recession? We can only see the performance afterwards. At least from the current performance of the US stock market, there is no recession, but you can also say it is a distribution. If it is not unexpected, the analysts have analyzed three directions.
1. BTC has been going up and down since the announcement of the rate cut. Now it is moving up in small steps and is currently fluctuating at 62,000;
2. ETH follows closely, neither high nor low, no big problem, just likes to follow the big cake;
3. SOL has no independent market, but Solana's memecoin has an independent market, among which $POPCAT has a trend of setting a new high;
Fed Chairman Powell: The Fed will speed up, slow down or suspend rate cuts as needed; Fed megaphone: The first rate cut of 50BP marks a bold start of the rate cut cycle#美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #新币挖矿CATI #美国8月零售销售环比好于预期 #美联储宣布降息50个基点 #新币挖矿HMSTR

According to the latest dot plot,
1. Most FOMC members believe that in 2024, the interest rate will remain between 5% and 5.25%, which is the current interest rate. The dot plot predicts that there may be no subsequent interest rate cuts in 2024.
2. The interest rate in 2025 will remain between 3.75% and 4.25%, and the interest rate cut plan for 25 years is about 100 basis points.
3. The interest rate will further drop to the range of 2.75%-3.25 in 2026, and the interest rate will be cut by 100 basis points again in 26 years.
4. The interest rate will be maintained at around 2.75%-3% in 2027.
5. The long-term interest rate target is around 2.5%-3%.
To be honest, this dot plot is not too optimistic. If the current dot plot is expected, the first interest rate cut of 50 basis points in September will be the only interest rate cut in 2024, and the Fed's interest rate cut plan will last until about 26 years, and the entire 25 years will still be in a high interest rate environment.
There was a 50 basis point rate cut before, but the dot plot did not show any subsequent rate cut plans for 2024. It really feels a bit deliberately hawkish.
In order to prevent the market from expecting a faster rate cut by the Fed, the dot plot was directly used to be hawkish, affecting market expectations. At the same time, after finishing Xuancheng, although I have entered a few dollar cycles, I still have to continue to maintain high interest rates for a long time.
Judging from the current performance, I think it is a bit strong on the outside but weak on the inside, and it is deliberately hawkish.
As for the subsequent rate cut plan, this period of the dot plot is not absolute. After all, there have been many reversals of dot plot expectations this year. Although the dot plot shows that there is no subsequent rate cut plan this year, the market will not so easily give up the expectation of a rate cut in November and December. #新币挖矿CATI #美国8月零售销售环比好于预期 #美联储宣布降息50个基点 #新币挖矿HMSTR #币安上线NEIRO

I was a bit confused about the assignment today, especially the fight between 25 and 50. You say it is good news, right? The US stock market has been going back and forth during Powell's speech. Even though it seems to be over now, the rise and fall of the US stock market is still jumping on the horizontal line. You say it is bad news, but there is still a sentiment of rising every now and then.
Judging from Powell's speech alone, Powell has been emphasizing the relationship between the labor market and inflation, believing that a balance has been reached now, and that the Federal Reserve is currently ahead of the economy (employment), and that a 50 basis point rate cut is still defensive, and no problems are expected in the US economy.
Although the market has expected the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 50, it seems that Powell's explanation is not very popular. In fact, it is quite interesting. After the 50% rate cut, the US dollar index rose back to above 101, and the long-term US bond interest rate rose. So I personally think that the market is still in a game period, and there is no clear answer.
Whether the US economy has entered a recession, whether the Federal Reserve has seen information that investors cannot see and has chosen to prevent problems by "walking ahead", these are all concerns of investors, but it is obvious that Powell's answer today did not give the market a satisfactory answer, so the battle between long and short may not be today, but tomorrow, let the market calm down and see later.
Today, the data of BTC on the chain is more reflected in the data before the interest rate cut. The data after the interest rate cut will not be seen until tomorrow. There is no obvious risk aversion in the data. 6️⃣隇: xntm566 In other words, early investors did not choose to leave because of concerns about interest rate cuts. At present, the highest turnover is still the investors who bought the bottom in the past two days. Recently, there has been a large number of profit-making investors who have reduced their holdings, while there has been no obvious action by earlier investors. #token2049 #新币挖矿HMSTR #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #美国8月零售销售环比好于预期 #新币挖矿CATI

The event that is really worth everyone's attention and waiting is probably Uniswap, which has been unknown in the corner recently. Whether its governance token Uni dividend will be approved by the SEC is related to whether the copycat bull market will come.
Maybe someone has noticed recently that some tokens supported by real project income, such as BNB, PENDLE, AAVE, etc., have performed very well in the past year. This shows that the market will not kill truly high-quality projects after all, and the commercial essence of traditional business practiced for thousands of years is also true.
Imagine that once Uni can allow dividends, what does it mean? It means that what we hold is no longer air. Many DeFi or games will distribute the protocol income to token holders, so the blockchain spirit of the trinity of users, shareholders and employees can give full play to its power. It also means that many high-quality projects in traditional industries will no longer choose to issue stocks, but will choose to issue tokens to raise funds for exit. Uniswap may become a decentralized Nasdaq, and naturally a lot of funds will rush in to dig for gold. Then the conditions of deposit > withdrawal are met, the bull market arrives, and a huge bubble is born until the next burst#token2049 #币安上线NEIRO #新币挖矿CATI #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #灰度将推出首个美国XRP信托

Systematic analysis of the impact of interest rate cuts on BTC:
First, BTC has experienced a loose monetary policy shift in history. Strictly speaking, it has only happened once, around 2019;
This is also a major reason why the current market trend is highly similar to that in 2019. Both of them went through a bull market at the end of the last round of interest rate hikes (maintaining high interest rates) and fluctuated at a relatively high level for a long time;
As shown in the figure:
When the Fed raised interest rates for the last time at the end of 2018 (reaching 2.5%), BTC's price performance confirmed the bottom of the cycle and went through a bull market in the subsequent 32 weeks when the interest rate remained unchanged;
Similarly, when the Fed raised interest rates for the last time in September 2023 (reaching 5.5%), BTC also confirmed a relay bottom and went through a bull market during the subsequent interest rate maintenance period (54 weeks). A round of bulls;
More interestingly, before the Fed's first rate cut, BTC in 2019 had already peaked 6 weeks in advance and began to form a fluctuating triangle with a continuously decreasing high point;
In 2024, that is, before the Fed's first rate cut, BTC also began to move out of a clear high point reduction pattern 15 weeks in advance (here 72000 is regarded as a double top), crossing 6️⃣蝛: xntm566 and currently forming a potential oscillating triangle;
From the above signs, it can be found that 2024 and 2019 have similar oscillation structures. The reason comes from the similarity of the macro-monetary policy behind them, and the difference in the duration of the oscillation comes from the maintenance time of the high interest rate environment;#美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #新币挖矿CATI #美联储利率决议公布在即 #新币挖矿HMSTR #币安上线NEIRO

September 18th, 5 hours from now, at 2:00 am, the Fed’s rate cut will be announced. Today’s Bitcoin price: 59,900
Today’s contract map update:
Bitcoin long orders: 59,246, 58,738, 58,230, 57,722, 57,214
Bitcoin short orders: 60,262, 60,770, 61,278, 61,786
Ethereum long orders: 2,277, 2,256, 2,234, 2,213, 2,191
Ethereum short orders: 2,320, 2,341, 2,363, 2,384, 2,405
First of all, the second recession was hyped up on September 6th, and the hype failed. Bitcoin rebounded and broke the 61,000 downward trend line.
Then our current market is the market of interest rate cut speculation.
At the beginning, the interest rate cut was hyped by 0.25%, and it was pulled to 60500, and then it fell sharply to 57500. Then the speculation of a large interest rate cut of 0.5% was raised from 57500 to 61300. This is the short-term speculation of interest rate cut, and it is a fierce speculation. The interest rate cut is good. After all, basically everyone agreed that the interest rate cut would be 0.25, and the result might be a large reduction of 0.5%.
For example, at the beginning, Powell's father said that he would give 250,000, and then there were rumors that he would give more to 500,000. So the market speculation is crazy. Originally, you could only buy Japanese cars, but suddenly you can buy German Mercedes-Benz. Isn't it exciting? This is why people who speculate on the 0.5% interest rate cut are crazy until now.
It is useless for you to say anything to these people. No matter who says anything, it is useless. Only when the interest rate cut result is announced at 2:00 a.m. and it is 0.25%, these people will wake up and be hit on the head. So for the current market expectation of a 0.5% interest rate cut, if the interest rate is cut by 0.25%, it will be bad news. If the interest rate is cut by 0.25%, it will be easy to fall by thousands of dollars.
The mantis stalks the cicada, and the oriole is behind. Look at the mantis hyping up the 0.5% interest rate cut. A few hours later, they will be given a list. The budget is 500,000, but they were given 250,000. I will see how they will end up.
At this moment, there are only 5 hours before the interest rate cut result is announced. Let's wait and see.
If the result is a 0.25% interest rate cut at 2:00 a.m., I will do short-term ... I have said it too many times. My point of view is that the 0.25% interest rate cut is also bearish. The 0.25% interest rate cut will be implemented. After the decline, there will be a bull market. At the end of the month and in October, the market is expected to rise sharply. #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #美联储利率决议公布在即 #加密市场反弹 #币安上线NEIRO #新币挖矿HMSTR

Regardless of whether the interest rate is cut by 50 or 25 tonight, the upward trend of Bitcoin has already formed, and there is really no need to be serious about short-term fluctuations! In addition, do not underestimate the yield of holding Bitcoin spot. Contracts or copycats are like casinos. You win today and lose tomorrow, and you will eventually leave after losing everything. The short-term yield of holding Bitcoin is not high, but it can't stand the continuous rise, and the effect of compound interest is terrible!
The upward trend of the market has been formed, and short-term fluctuations can actually be ignored. Remember I said in my pre-holiday article that a big one was coming, and then the market was slapped in the face during the three-day Mid-Autumn Festival holiday, falling to around 57,000. However, this time I was not worried at all, because I accept the huge volatility of the short-term market, which may go up or down, but will eventually return to the trend. Sure enough, after the holiday, the market returned to above 60,000, making up for the decline gap in the previous few days. Maybe tonight due to the Fed’s interest rate cut, the market will fluctuate, but to be honest, as long as you don’t buy high-multiple contracts and hold Bitcoin spot safely, making money is a matter of time. There are also many friends who underestimate the yield of Bitcoin, thinking that even if it rises to 100,000, the yield will be just over 60%, and there is no way to achieve wealth leap. I think this idea is very Dangerous. First, if you pursue higher short-term returns, such as contracts or cottage, MEME and the like, you are likely to fall into a trap, just like you go to a casino, you will lose money if you gamble for a long time. Second, if you pursue short-term high returns, you will lose the opportunity of compound interest, because frequent operations will automatically switch your assets to U-standard, and you will inevitably fall behind after a few rounds of market conditions. Third, you underestimate the power of compound interest. Buffett's average annual return is only 23%, but after decades of compound interest, this return is definitely more than ten times. The same is true for Bitcoin hoarders, and the rate of return is even higher. The purchasing power of a big cake in ten or twenty years may exceed your imagination. The expected price of big cakes given by MicroStrategy is more than 10 million US dollars. If you still have a few in your hand at that time, do you think it is a wealth leap? #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #token2049 #币安上线NEIRO #新币挖矿HMSTR #加密市场反弹

DOGS

Let's look at its advantages first:

New coin listed on BN, fully circulated, large trading volume

The founder is Black Swan. In the case of unstable market, this one is a bit bearable, and it pulls up against the trend. The dealer is very strong.

Therefore, DOGS coin became the first meme coin to reach 50 million holders before listing.

However, I think it will definitely have a deep correction before it starts to rise sharply. Let's see if it will be slapped in the face.

Reasons:

1. For projects with a large number of airdrops, the dealer must have a long wash process before it can rise sharply

2. The current overall market value is not low,

There will be a big "selling pressure" in the future, because what is sold now is withdrawn to the "exchange". For example, the hundreds and thousands of accounts in the studio are bound to the "on-chain wallet address". Those on the "chain" have not yet received the airdrop. After a few days, there will be another big "selling pressure"! So it will definitely pull back.

It may have a similar trend to strk, first sideways, then pull up, and then fall. So if you sell at a loss, don't be sad, no one can sell at the highest point, it is not easy to make money in this market.

#ETHBTC汇率新低 #灰度将推出首个美国XRP信托 #美国8月零售销售环比好于预期 #美联储利率决议公布在即

Is there still a chance for not to go up to 0.3 and 1 USD?
If we follow Binance's method, the first wave of wash and pull has ended. Later, many other ecological coins of TON, such as DOGS, including those being mined, have been listed. Recently, the strength and power of the recent rebound are obviously not very likely in the short term. It is still necessary to build a bottom and absorb funds. This time may take a long time. You don't have to think about the two goals you mentioned in the short term. The first wave of shipments has been completed by the main force, and it will take a long time to trade. In addition, for the main force, it is much more comfortable to do the two newly listed ecological coins than this old one.

Can Sats get on the train now?

It is not suitable to take it in batches near 0.00000026. The right breakthrough point is stabilizing at 0.00000032

ordi
The large cycle adjustment has basically reached the turning point area, and there is still a little time to repair it. 30 is pulled down to open the interval area for indirect delivery.

#灰度将推出首个美国XRP信托 #新币挖矿CATI #美联储利率决议公布在即 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #新币挖矿HMSTR

Let's take a look at the five stages of a bear market and the transition between bull and bear markets.

1. Sharp decline stage:
Everyone made a lot of money in the last round of bull market. This time it turned into a bear market, so it must fall sharply. So the first decline was very fierce.
2. Rapid rebound stage:
The first round of decline was too severe, and many people thought it was not a bear market. They still had the old idea that it would rebound after falling to the bottom. So after the first stage reached the bottom, many people who had previously escaped the top ran back to buy the bottom, which led to a rapid rebound. However, the high point of this rebound will definitely not exceed the high point of the previous round.
3. Oscillation and differentiation stage:
After the rebound in the second stage, some smart people thought that the bear market was coming and ran away quickly. Some people thought that the bull market was not over yet, so they continued to buy. At this time, some people were bullish and some were bearish.
4. Shrinking and negative decline stage:
After a long period of volatility, the market began to break the high point of the previous round, and then slowly fell or fell. At this time, basically no money can be made.
In this wave of decline, it is almost at the bottom of the bear market.
5. Hesitant Rising Stage:
At this time, the market began to rise slowly, but everyone was still a little hesitant and was not sure whether the bull market was really coming. So the rise was not fierce, but it was rising all the time.
This is actually the beginning of the bull-bear conversion, and the bull market has also risen. This is the first stage of the bull market, and no one believes that it will rise.
The market always goes against the thinking of most people, and the result is that it rises all the way. If it rises too much, it will reach the second stage of the bull market, and everyone thinks that it will fall back.
This is also the bottoming stage before the big bull comes, and the market valuation is low again at this time.
Generally, after the bottoming is finished, there will be a new low decline, which completes the bottoming stage. At this time, the market is volatile.
The most important thing at this time is that we have to survive. As long as we can survive, good days will definitely come.
The biggest problem at this stage is how to survive. To be honest, brothers with full warehouses can only bear it hard, and not cutting losses is the best way.
Brothers with funds, buy more when there is a big drop, and buy less when there is a small drop. This is a good way in the bottoming stage.

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Someone asked, at what stage will the market turn around (reverse) this month?

At present, it is hard to say whether the market will turn around. It may be at the end of the month, or after September 18 (if the interest rate is cut by 50 basis points). There may be two opportunities to buy the bottom this month, one before the meeting and one after the meeting. The expectation of interest rate cut may be hyped within a week before the meeting, so it will rebound to one day before the meeting, that is, Thursday and Friday of this week. If it drops to a low point, it will retreat, but it may not necessarily reverse, unless the retracement is very strong, directly breaking through 61,600 and hitting 64,600 or above again. As long as it is below 61,600, it is a bearish trend.

The Fed cut interest rates by 50 basis points for the first time, which has never happened before. The probability is very low. So there is basically no hope. If it is, it will be fun, and it will bury a bomb for the next interest rate meeting, because this time the interest rate was cut by 50 basis points, if the interest rate is cut to 25 basis points next time, there will be a short-term plunge. This logic is like the first time you are given 2 candies, your happiness is 100, and you are full of expectations for the next time; if you are only given one candy the second time, you will not only be unhappy, but will complain. This is human nature, and the market knows human nature, while those who manipulate the market are against human nature.

As long as the trend has not reversed, it is mainly to go short at highs, and to go long at lows with light positions as a supplement. Let's go and see

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