When will the altcoin season emerge while the market remains quiet? Can ETH take the lead?

I still hold the view that an altcoin season will arrive.

Looking at the process of Bitcoin rising from 57,000 or 67,000 to 110,000, the market has not yet seen a true altcoin season.

An altcoin season requires leaders like ETH to drive a collective rise, while XRP and others lack this capability.

Currently, ETH is fluctuating without breaking the range; Bitcoin's rise alone does not constitute a bull market.

The daily chart shows that ETH has rebounded with low volume since the 23rd, and a pullback to test support is reasonable; yesterday's downward volume was also not good, with retail investors mostly watching.

Technically, ETH has support around 3360, and if it stabilizes, it has the potential to form an ascending triangle.

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The cryptocurrency market is about to welcome multiple favorable factors. Are you ready to embrace the surge?

FTX's $16 billion repayment: Starting January 3, FTX will initiate a $6 billion repayment. This massive influx of funds into the market is expected to signal a rebound in the crypto space.

Trump's inauguration impact: Trump supports cryptocurrencies, attracting traditional financial institutions and investors. Funds have already flowed in after the election.

Ethereum staking ETF: The Ethereum staking feature is coming soon, enhancing its attractiveness and bringing buy orders. Staking applications may open in January, with a 'false' buy order of $131 million already appearing before the holiday.

Ethereum Prague upgrade: Historically, Ethereum's price has often doubled after upgrades. This time, it is expected to drive price increases within a month post-upgrade.

In summary, Ethereum may outperform Bitcoin in the coming months, and Ethereum along with its four major ecosystem tokens will become the focus. The current dip may be a great opportunity to get on board!

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Bitcoin rose in the early morning of December 26, breaking through $99,900, but the price fell back quickly in the afternoon, falling below $96,000. Since Bitcoin broke through $108,000 for the first time on December 18 and set a new record high, its price volatility has increased significantly. On December 19, it started a high-level diving mode, falling below $100,000 during the session, and fluctuated widely between $92,500 and $99,900 in the following days.

On December 27, $14.27 billion worth of Bitcoin options expired, of which the options with a strike price of $90,000 had the largest open interest. Data from the derivatives exchange Deribit showed that the open interest of call options was $8.45 billion and the open interest of put options was $5.82 billion. Market makers may close hedge positions and short positions on Bitcoin, which may make the market volatile.

Technical level: From a short-term perspective, short-term moving averages such as MA5 and MA10 have shown a downward turning trend in the recent trend, which indicates that the short-term price trend of Bitcoin has begun to weaken. The recent price decline has weakened the support of the short-term moving average system.

Bitcoin's RSI indicator has no clear signal, but combined with the situation in the past few days, when Bitcoin hit the 100,000 US dollar mark, the RSI indicator was once in the overbought range. With the recent price correction, the RSI indicator began to fall from the overbought area. It has now returned to a relatively normal range, but there is still a downward trend, which indicates that the market's bullish power is gradually weakening, and the bearish power is gradually gaining the upper hand.

The MACD histogram continues to be positive but gradually shortens. By the morning of the 27th, the histogram became continuously negative and gradually lengthened, which shows that the long-term power is weakening, the air force is strong, the market's upward momentum is gradually weakening, and the downward momentum is increasing. The overall market trend has turned from strong to weak, and prices may continue to be under downward pressure in the short term.

12.27
Bitcoin: 97,500-97,000 short, target 96,000-93,500, stop 98,000

Ethereum: 3445-3415 short, target 3350-3260, stop 3485

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I personally still think that ETH will continue to rise. It is currently in the middle and low range of this large range. As the daily line rises, the activity of Ethereum addresses begins to increase. This rebound is coming. However, according to the previous trend, Saturday and Sunday are still dominated by fluctuations. However, you can also make arrangements in advance. You can enter the market at any time near 3350. You can eat about 150 points in the short term and get around 3800 in the long term!

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Tonight's unemployment benefits, US stock market opens, there will be significant fluctuations in the market

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In the cryptocurrency world, the "80/20 rule" is prevalent, meaning that 80% of the time the market fluctuates mildly, and real profit opportunities only account for 20%. Since it's impossible to predict when these opportunities will arise, you must always remain in the market. Therefore, position management is crucial; you should not remain fully out of the market while waiting for a rise, nor should you be fully invested chasing highs. The ideal approach is to maintain a heavier position during upward trends and a lighter position during downturns.

However, many people tend to adopt the wrong strategy, continuously increasing their positions as prices rise and lightening their positions when prices fall. This inverted pyramid approach can lead to significant losses when the market reverses, akin to gambling: feeling good with small wins but potentially losing all previous profits when making a large bet.

Investing should go against human nature: "Be greedy when others are fearful, and be fearful when others are greedy." At market peaks, when everyone is chasing prices, you should withdraw, and enter the market again at lows. Although this counterintuitive approach may feel uncomfortable, successful investors are often those who can do this.

Greed stems from the hope of recovering losses through the rise of a particular coin, leading to reluctance to sell as prices increase, which is a very dangerous mindset. You need to learn to take profits at the right time, just like eating fish—only eat the middle part; the head and tail are not good.

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I believe the core of this bull market is a temporary climax, and the trend is similar to the last round.

It may seem like carving a boat to seek a sword, but this is the strategy of the main players. Retail investors understand, yet they always fall into the trap.

Looking back at the last market: In March, BTC broke the historical high, and altcoins peaked accordingly; In April, there was a significant drop, and altcoins followed suit;

At the end of May, BTC returned to the high point, and altcoins surged again, completing that round's final climax.

The current situation is similar; BTC is likely to return to the previous high, and altcoins will rise as well, followed by a few months of adjustment.

100,000+ is just the current peak for BTC, not the endpoint.

In terms of making money, Wall Street can be more patient than retail investors.

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ETH：

On the daily chart, this recent decline of Ethereum is relatively weaker compared to Bitcoin, having broken below the short-term low of 3475, confirming my previous statement that in the rise, Ethereum cannot outperform Bitcoin, but as Bitcoin begins to rebound, Ethereum will not continue to decline. From the market perspective, Ethereum's drop has touched the previous accumulation zone of fluctuations and has formed a lower shadow, which indicates effective support. In the future, Ethereum will follow Bitcoin's rebound, but do not have high hopes for the strength of the rebound. Pay attention to whether it can break the level of 4109. In short-term trading, the main strategy is to buy on the pullbacks, positioning around 3340, with a supplemental buy if it goes down, and a stop-loss point recommended around 3200. The target is set at the range of 3720-3890, and once reached, you can decide when to exit. In the future, pay attention to whether the high point of 4109 can be broken, and take your own opportunities to enter; for short-term trading, control the risk and manage your own gains and losses;

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Ethereum has once again climbed upwards, seemingly reaching a rather critical resistance level—around 3550. However, it is worth noting that it has failed to break through this threshold on two attempts. To truly overcome the resistance of the 4h EMA moving average, Ethereum must stabilize above 3600 to confirm the continuation of this trend.

Observing Ethereum's current trend, it is not difficult to see that it is gradually showing a strong posture. Despite fluctuations in the exchange rate, Ethereum's ascent seems inevitable. It's like a rocket ready to launch, just waiting for that moment of ignition to soar into the sky.

In the current situation, we need to closely monitor the support level of 3410 for $ETH below, and the resistance level of 3580 above. These two positions could become the key points for Ethereum's future trend. Let us wait and see, hoping that Ethereum can once again spread its wings and create new brilliance.

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After hitting a bottom yesterday, the market rebounded strongly, fluctuating during the day. After the U.S. stock market opened, Bitcoin surged to around 99,500 in the early morning, while Ethereum reached around 3,540, then retracted after the market closed at 2 AM.

Today, the U.S. stock market is closed for Christmas, which may lower market activity and limit volatility. Currently, Bitcoin has touched 99,000 again, and bulls are expected to exert strength once more!

Trading advice: Go long on Bitcoin at 97,500-98,000, with a stop loss of 600 points and a target of 99,500-100,000.

Go long on Ethereum at 3,450-3,470, with a stop loss of 40 points and a target of 3,550-3,600.

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The distribution of clearing liquidity in the futures market seems to have reached a balance;

It feels like after Christmas, at the latest next week, there should be a strong market trend, with a large number of futures positions being cleared both up and down, really reminiscent of the volatile market from the beginning to the middle of the year;

Currently, I am still looking forward to the complete clearing of bullish liquidity in the 86500 area before setting new highs, while what I least want to see is small range fluctuations;

In the short term, the price above 100,000 may take a test due to the inertia of clearing bearish liquidity, but the original 4-hour bullish trend structure has been damaged in the recent week's pullback, so I personally speculate that after the rebound completes, it will have to go down to test;

Looking back in the end, this will be another long-term large range volatility market;

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The price of Christmas Eve cookies skyrocketed in the short term, and altcoins were also affected. The price correction of Bitcoin led to the exit of some investors, and the support level is between 95k and 100k. Bitcoin will not fall below 90k significantly, and it is recommended to maintain the rebound view. ​​​

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PNUT0.76 has formed a short-term resistance. After a breakthrough, there should be a significant increase. You can wait for the breakthrough to retest before entering, or enter directly if it retests the trend line without breaking it.

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【BTC Price Hovers Around $94,000, While Altcoins Dominate with Stunning Gains】

As Bitcoin continues to hover around $94,000, the market's focus has quietly shifted to the impressive performance of altcoins! Despite BTC facing adjustment pressure, well-known altcoins like ETH, BNB, XRP, and DOGE have seen astonishing gains, rising 2-3% within just one day, prompting investors to refocus on these highly promising alternatives.

Even more surprising, some lesser-known altcoins such as AVAX, LINK, SUI, and HBAR have seen gains exceeding 5-6%, with some coins like VIRTUAL, PENGU, and BGB recording strong double-digit increases. The flow of market funds seems to be undergoing profound changes, shifting from BTC's dominance to the rise of altcoins, as many investors have begun to reassess the potential of these "new star" projects.

With the total market cap surpassing $3.46 trillion, the performance of the altcoin market undoubtedly brings new opportunities for investors. While Bitcoin shows volatility in price, the strong rise of altcoins injects more vitality into the market. In the coming days, there may be more eye-catching upward potential, and investment opportunities in altcoins are definitely worth paying attention to!

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Last year, the TVL of US debt RWA grew sixfold, with ONDO and OM being the top three in this field. Crypto giants like TETHER and Matrixport have also begun to actively enter the RWA space.

Moreover, traditional capital like BlackRock and Fidelity are lining up to enter, along with stocks, commodities, etc. This sector has just begun and has enormous potential, with absolutely no ceiling.

After RWA, there will also be a need for supporting stablecoins, lending, staking, and other financial derivatives, which will drive DEFI to experience prosperity once again.

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The new public chain twins do not require much explanation. Regardless of team background, ecological development, research and development strength, or resources behind them, they are almost on par with APT and SUI.

1. APT's historical high was 20.39 USD, currently at 9.44 USD, with a total market value of 10.6 billion, circulating market value of 5.2 billion, ranked 30th in market value.

2. SUI's historical high was 4.95 USD, currently at 4.65 USD, with a total market value of 46 billion, circulating market value of 13.5 billion, ranked 14th in market value.

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Let's set up another spot code--RSR

Current price 0.01236 for the initial position, add position at 0.011, upper target at 0.016

Currently, RSR has broken the downtrend and is also an American coin. The advisor for RSR will take office as SEC chairman in January, with an extremely strong background! Before taking office, it's a good time to position yourself for speculation.

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Several sectors' tokens that must be held in the future market!!!

They must be RWA, AI, DeFi

The TVL of m-debt RWA grew by 6 billion last year, ONDO and $USUAL are types I have been consistently recommending.

Traditional capital like Beida and Fidelity are queuing to enter, along with ancient tickets and commodities. This is a newly started sector with no ceiling.

After RWA, various financial derivatives such as stablecoins, borrowing substitutes, and collateral will need to be matched, which will bring DeFi back to prosperity.

AI, artificial intelligence itself is a hot speculative narrative, combined with other hot speculative narratives like AI + MEME, the future is definitely promising.

AI is the hottest topic with the highest exposure in this bull market and is also a key narrative in this bull market.

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Regarding the claim that USUAL will be dumped

When it comes to the trend of USUAL, some people talk about how staking will lead to a price crash because of initial rewards, which is simply nonsense!

Those who are willing to stake USUAL truly believe in the potential of this token; they are not the kind of short-term traders who buy high and sell low, and they won't be easily scared away.

Moreover, the project team is not idle; they have been prepared. If someone really wants to create trouble, the project team will definitely be the first to step up and resolve the issue.

The price has already dropped to the floor. If anyone still wants to sell, those long-term believers in USUAL, large institutions, and big holders will surely take the opportunity to buy at the bottom and at low prices.

In fact, the biggest beneficiaries of staking rewards are still the project team and the Binance platform. How could they possibly sabotage themselves?

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Spot code
apt is currently at 9.1763. The price has almost fallen.

The target position is 13. ​​​

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