BTC Above 100k by Year-End?

With BTC above 73k and pushing towards prior highs, the key 100k milestone is back in sight. For investors expecting a continued bull run post-U.S. election and through year-end, a simple binary call option offers attractive risk-reward.

The Trade
Buy a 100k BTC binary call option expiring on December 27 for just 8.5% (with BTC currently at 73k). Here’s how it works:

Cost: $8.5 upfront per $100 payout
Payout: If BTC >= 100k on Dec 27, you receive $100; if BTC < 100k, you receive 0.
Max Loss: Limited to the initial $8.5 premium
Max Return: 10.75x if BTC >= 100k at expiry

This trade is ideal if you believe the probability of BTC hitting 100k is higher than the market’s current implied 8.5% chance.

For those bullish on SOL, a year-end 275 binary call option is also available at 9% premium.

(not investment advice)

#BTCBreak71K #OptionsTrading

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Options Market Update 10/25

Volumes and sentiment have picked up materially in October while the US election looms on the horizon. Trump is gaining momentum in the polls (or is it just polymarket) and BTC sits on huge levels.

TRADE IDEA
Buy BTC and Sell a 27-Dec 90k Call / 55k Put for Zero Premium (Collar, spot ref 68000)
Payoff is asymmetric at nearly 2:1 with 22k of upside and 13k of downside
Implied rates have blown out higher pushing futures up and giving this better entry
Skew for Calls is bid (4 vols over Puts) on a perceived victory by Trump
Best of all: zero premium for the hedge and zero exposure below 55k

TRADE IDEA
Buy a 15-Nov 60k BTC Digital Put for 23.0% (spot ref 68000)
Nice hedge for anything but a Trump victory over the election
Vols are low and protection is cheap for the uncertainty
Trade pays out nearly 4.5x with spot under 60k

#OptionTrading #BTCOptions