How to manage positions and ensure winning rate

The first thing to ensure is whether the winning rate of your trading strategy is above 50%.
If you look back at your historical trading process, no matter how much the amount is, you will make money basically 10 times, for example, more than 6 times.

First, then you need to determine your bet amount each time, such as 50,000 U or 500,000 U for each trading opportunity found by the same strategy. In this way, the winning rate of the strategy will directly determine your profit, rather than random betting, so that you will not make 20% when you bet 10,000 US dollars 9 times, and lose 20% when you bet 100,000 US dollars once, and finally lose money in the overall calculation.

Second, for the trading opportunities generated by the same strategy, the stop loss ratio executed in the transaction must also be strictly unified, such as uniformly cutting meat stop loss when the loss is 15%. Different strategies can set different meat stop loss positions and different profit stop profit positions.

Third, a very critical point is that the strategy's take profit point ratio should be higher than the stop loss point ratio, such as 20% profit stop loss and 5% loss stop loss. This will increase the probability of making big money and losing small money.

The fourth and last point is that if the profit has been generated but has not reached the target price of the profit stop point, at least or as far as possible, you should ensure that you stop profit above the cost line to further reduce the probability of loss.

How will the market go next?

Pay attention to Ethereum and altcoins. After the ETH ETF is passed, the logic of ETH has changed, and Grayscale's selling pressure will gradually be digested.

The net inflow of funds from ETFs brings prosperity to the entire altcoin.

There is no altcoin season with a general rise, only the rotation of sectors and the performance of some altcoins.

1. The non-US bull has not come yet, because the US index has not broken 100, but he will definitely come, which is determined by the issuance of US dollars and the tidal mechanism.

2. In the medium term, the number of surrenders on the BTC chain is still insufficient. If the scale of surrender is large, it can be confirmed that the bottom is completed. If it is insufficient, it can only be said that it cannot be determined.

3. The altcoins have reached the previous low, and the emotions have been washed clean. So the summary is that this may be the bottom, or it may not be, but it is definitely not the top of the cycle.

BTC is not cheap at this position, so no one will buy it at a high interest rate, but it is not expensive, so the institutions that have already bought it will not sell it here. This is the equilibrium price, which is equivalent to 10,000 to 12,000 USD in 20 years. For prices to continue to rise, we need to wait for the Fed to expand its balance sheet.

Things to know in the cryptocurrency circle

1. Don’t be easily cheated of low-priced chips, be firm in your faith, and prevent the dog dealers from knocking and smashing the market;

2. Chasing up and killing down, and entering and exiting with full positions are always taboos. The general trend is favorable. Building positions in batches when the market falls has lower risks, lower costs, and greater profits than chasing up;

3. Reasonably distribute profits and maximize the release of funds, rather than constantly adding positions;

4. When the market rises sharply, sell the capital, and when the market falls sharply, keep the currency. At any time, you must have a positive mentality, do not speculate, be impetuous, be greedy, be fearful, and do not fight unprepared battles;

5. The ambush or private placement of low-priced coins in the front is to rely on experience and bet on the future of the coin with the dog dealers. The secondary market game in the back is a process of following the dealers based on technical aspects and news. Don’t put the cart before the horse and end up in a mess.

6. When building a position or shipping a product, you must divide it into different levels, and gradually open up the price level to effectively control the ratio of risk and profit.

7. Be familiar with the linkage effect. When trading coins, look at the market, and pay attention to the trends of other coins. Each coin is not isolated in the market. It seems that there is no connection, but in fact, it is intricate. The linkage effect requires understanding of the coin and making full use of the consulting tool APP.

8. Reasonable allocation of positions. The configuration of hot coins and value coins should be reasonable. Pay attention to the pressure resistance and the ratio of profit intake. Being too conservative will miss opportunities, and being too aggressive may face high-risk risks!

The biggest feature of value coins is stability, and the biggest feature of hot coins is violent volatility. It may rise to the sky or return to zero in one battle.

9. Investing with idle money is the foundation. Having coins on the market, oil in the account, and money in the pocket is the safest and most secure standard. You can't go all-in. The grasp of risk control and the reasonable allocation of funds are the key to determining your mentality and success or failure

Experience

1. In a bull market, the more popular the coin, the faster and worse it tends to fall.

2. For coins with real potential, such as 100x coins, no one in the market will promote and shout. Instead, only a very small number of people will do so in the early stage.

3. If a coin rises well and suddenly starts to fall, it means that it is time to start harvesting leeks.

4. In a bull market, if you bet on a rebound, choose the current hot coin.

5. Holding the opposite direction of most people's views often leads to independent market trends.

6. In a bull market, the coins that follow the rise and fall of the big cake and rise and fall sharply must be the coins with the greatest potential in this round of bull market.

7. In a bull market, some potential coins performed mediocrely in the first half of the bull market, but they will start a 20-fold increase in the second half of the bull market.

8. In a bull market, after a 10-fold increase, the coins that can remain sideways for several months must be potential coins.

Three things to do in a bull market:
1. Set a stop loss. Champions are common, but victorious generals are rare. If you don't set a stop loss, it's only a matter of time before you return to zero.

2. Watch the market. If you don't watch the market, don't open an order. If you open an order, you must be responsible for your own funds.

3. Manage your positions. Anyone who asks you to buy at the bottom is a rogue. Divide your funds into several parts and allow yourself to fail as many times as you want. As long as you succeed once, you can get a big market.

Three things not to do in a bull market
1. Don't dream of eating from the head to the tail of the fish. That's the dealer's business. The leeks can only go with the flow. If the dealer pulls the market, you help pay. If the dealer smashes the market, you help sell. Only by following the dealer's intention can you get the meat.

2. Don't chase the rise and sell the fall. When you see other people's profit charts, you can't help but rush in. When you enter the market, others have already made money and left the market. Who else should they cut if not you?

3. Don't make orders based on your feelings. If you make orders without any basis, you will only have a fluke mentality. The market is not a casino. It is better to go directly to Macau for a momentary pleasure.

In a bull market, doing these three musts and three don'ts may help you stand out in the market.

What is a bull market?

Any market where you can’t get on the train is a bull market!

What is a bear market?

Any market where you can’t get out of the trap is a bear market!

What is a monkey market?

Any market where you lose money on both long and short positions is a monkey market!

So the current ups and downs chart

It’s obviously a monkey market

The monkey market is a concrete form of extreme emotions

Because there is no expectation when going up, and there are random electric shocks when going down. Market sentiment will continue to fluctuate between being awesome and turning bearish. Once the emotions are high, follow the rush in the morning, and the afternoon is the crematorium...

So sometimes you will know what to do if you think more about it. Let’s not talk about whether it is a bull market or not, this is something that can only be confirmed later. But you can’t say it’s still a bear market, then there will be no communication.

Let’s look at it according to the monkey market, where the probability of rising and falling is half and half.

1. It is not suitable for all-in, and you should control your position reasonably to do it

2. Between the ups and downs, the large volatility is suitable for making swing profits

3. Don’t touch the contract, the difficulty of the contract hell

If you do this, you will win most people

1. The current situation in the cryptocurrency circle is that the patience of retail investors is running out, and there is a lack of incremental large funds.
2. Due to the interest rate hike and stricter supervision by the United States, the previous large funds basically came from American banks, but now there is basically no such thing. In addition, the overall economic environment is not good, and the pockets of institutions are not bulging.

3. Domestic supervision is still strict, and domestic project parties can only keep their tails between their legs.

4. There are not many things that can be innovated in the cryptocurrency circle. There are not enough new things with breakthroughs. It is basically old wine in new bottles. The opportunities for retail investors are still on the chain, and there is not enough incremental funds, resulting in insufficient sustainability of the money-making effect, and it is difficult to cultivate retail consensus.

5. In this situation, the United States needs to release water again to increase market liquidity, and Hong Kong can really relax its policies to allow institutional funds to enter this market from more channels, gather people's hearts and cultivate everyone's consensus. Eth needs to continue to optimize the transaction fees on the chain.

6. Last year was difficult, and I didn't expect it to be even more difficult this year. Retail investors also lost a lot of money by airdropping or buying local dogs, and buying spot holdings also shrunk by 60%-90%. The market will not become active again until the Americans start to cut interest rates.

7. This is the trend and rhythm of the next bull-bear cycle in the cryptocurrency circle. We are optimistic about the fourth quarter. If we grasp this, there will be basically no problem. The rest is a matter of faith in the cryptocurrency circle!

Now is the best time to buy the bottom.

I spent a week at home carefully studying 200 cryptocurrencies and found 4 tokens that may have a 50-100 times increase in the bull market in 2024.

Which five are they? Like and follow me, share them one by one for your family, and be sure to see the end!

The first RNDR, RNDR is a distributed GPU rendering network that uses the Ethereum blockchain to connect artists and studios with unused GPU capacity. Essentially, RNDR creates a market for rendering tasks, allowing artists to get powerful processing power without a large upfront investment. Platforms and analysts predict that RNDR's upward trajectory may exceed $100 in 2030.

The second, TAO, Tao also facilitates external access, enabling users to gain insights from the network while customizing its operations to meet their specific requirements. The field of artificial intelligence is currently experiencing unprecedented growth, and the integration of artificial intelligence and blockchain technology has brought attractive opportunities. As more and more developers participate in the Tao platform and more and more users take advantage of its network, the potential for Tao's value is quite large.

The third XEC, XEC's relative strength index RSI performance is currently in an oversold state, indicating the possibility of an upcoming rise. XEC has shown significant growth this year, and the project's adoption rate and community participation are also increasing, two factors that indicate that EOS has the potential for further success. The fourth GMT, GMT's market growth over the past year has been very significant, with an astonishing increase of 277%. In addition, it has outperformed 76% of the top 100 cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, which can be interviewed. The trading price of GMT is higher than the 200-day simple moving average. 332.26%, this strong performance emphasizes the potential of this token as a cryptocurrency investment opportunity.

Aave also provides an advanced loan mechanism - flash loans. Flash loans allow any available amount of assets to be borrowed without providing collateral, and only require a flash loan fee of 0.05%. To conduct a flash loan, the borrower needs to establish a contract to request a flash loan and follow the official instructions.

Flash loans restrict borrowers from repaying loans within one transaction, which means that the borrowing and repayment of loans must be completed within the same block. Ethereum's current block time is 12-14 seconds, which means that borrowers need to complete it within this time.

The dark cloud hanging over the cryptocurrency world has lasted for nearly 4 months. This extreme market has made some people happy and some people sad.

Try to accept and face it. No matter what the result is, it has happened and cannot be changed. If you make money, you must continue to maintain it, and if you lose money, you must analyze and summarize it.

The cryptocurrency world is magical. You may be happy in the previous second, but you may be extremely sad in the next second. If you stretch it out for 3 or 5 years, the truth is actually the same.

Some people choose short-term happiness at the moment, while others choose long-term happiness in the future. Different angles and goals, everyone just needs to do their part.

There are 29 days left in August, a new beginning, it must be You should look at it with a pessimistic eye, because it's just one day, there's no need to embarrass yourself like that

The key is: looking at everything with a pessimistic eye can easily trigger a chain reaction

Because the heart is the origin of everything, it seems that this obsession only lasts for a moment, but when it comes to making decisions about currency trading, many people often make it within three seconds

So, you must pay attention to these subtleties, the market is changeable and alive

You can think of it as a rabbit, one or two, two or three failures are nothing to be discouraged

Some people may catch it once or twice by chance and eat meat, don't envy others, but let it trigger your own thinking, why? What can I learn from it
The most important thing is to build your own confidence, not to boost others' ambitions and destroy your own prestige
Investment is a long-term thing. You choose to eat rabbit meat now, or hope to have rabbit meat for a long time. These are two completely different life directions

Every event will not happen for no reason. It must be to make you know yourself better. If you turn it into the power of sad thoughts, the evil side of human nature will be nourished; if you turn everything into the power of altruism, you can nourish the good side of your heart
The reason why people can change their destiny comes from the change of their thoughts, seeing good from sadness, and then using it little by little in real life

Different perspectives, different latitudes, different cognitions, it will become simple to deal with current problems; don’t think that you can change your wealth and destiny by lying down to maintain the reality unchanged. That is something that others can do, but it may be a tragedy if it happens to you.

Imagine, with 20,000 U (about 150,000 RMB) on hand, catching up with the bull market, making 5 to 10 times, so cool! If you can accurately catch the next big wave, you can easily become a millionaire from a millionaire! Sounds like a fairy tale? In fact, the opportunity is there! It depends on whether you can catch it!

Why do most people miss it? Because when the bull market comes, greed takes over, always wanting to make more money, and as a result, frequent trading, but being cut off by leeks. In the bear market, you are as anxious as an ant on a hot pot, wanting to get back your capital, but the busier you are, the more chaotic it becomes. In this way, wealth becomes a mirage.

How to make money steadily in the bull market? Simply put, don't be overwhelmed by greed, choose a good project, hold on tightly and don't let go, and wait for it to fly higher. In the bear market, just wait and don't mess around. In this way, you can eat meat in the bull market and protect your capital in the bear market, and your wealth will naturally rise.

Also, don't always think about reaching the sky in one step. Set a small goal first, such as making a million, and take it step by step. Only when the foundation is laid can the building stand steadily.

Attitude is more important than anything else. Stay calm, learn more, and be less impulsive! ! !

The trend of the cryptocurrency market is full of uncertainty and challenges, but it also contains potential opportunities. When participating in cryptocurrency investment, investors should fully understand the relevant risks, stay calm and rational, and respond to market changes with a steady strategy! ! !

Play with new ones instead of old ones, play with leading ones instead of unpopular ones, wait patiently for a big drop, and go all-in on the right currency. According to the above methods, small funds can make a turnaround in spot trading.

1. Play with new ones instead of old ones:
As long as the currency has experienced one or two rounds of bull market, it is difficult to have a good opportunity in the later stage, because retail investors chase high prices in bull market, and there are too many locked-in positions in bear market. The dealers behind them have already made money and left, leaving only retail investors to hold on.
For this kind of cottage, you buy it to take over. For this kind of cottage, any surge will face strong selling pressure, so play with new coins instead of old ones.
For example, don’t play with old mainstreams such as FIL, EOS, and DOT, it’s boring.

2. Play with the leaders, not the unpopular ones:
It is very easy to control the copycats in the currency circle. Many unpopular currencies can be smashed by a large investor. The liquidity is too poor and the risk is too high. As long as the institutions move, it is easy to have a big drop or rise. It is difficult to predict. Retail investors are easily harvested. Therefore, try to play with the mainstream leaders with the highest market value, such as ETH, ARB, SUI, etc., which belong to the leaders of the mainstream sectors and have not skyrocketed. There is a large space in the later stage.

3. Operation method
To do spot trading, you have to wait for a big drop. Opportunities come from the drop. Buy high-quality assets when the price plummets, hold them patiently, and wait for the opportunity to double.

I am optimistic about the outbreak of the Ethereum expansion sector and the public chain sector in the next round of bull market. The new coins and leaders of these two sectors are worth looking forward to!

Focus on BTC ecological projects
In the past two weeks, Merlin TVL has 1.7 billion, ranking 6th among all chains, and Sol ranks 5th
Brc420 has a pledge rate of 80% for its three core assets. The product operation strategy of the entire team is clear, and it is a strong competitor for the 10 billion club.
The lock-up volume of Blue Box, Sapphire, and Music Box is close to 80%. More pledge rewards may be locked up at more than 90% in the future. As long as there is a little bit of good news, it will take off on the spot;
Many of the newly launched projects have started with 10 billion recently. The overall valuation of high-quality projects in this bull market is far higher than the previous round. Everyone will see many projects with a market value of 100 billion in the end. It is not an exaggeration for Merlin to see a market value of 10 billion;
The total market value of these 420 projects is less than 400 million US dollars. It is not certain whether it can be 100 times or not, and dozens of times should be certain; All the overvaluations that seem incredible now are finally underestimated

You know, my blood pressure went up after seeing this answer
Some people ask you to buy various memes, some ask you to buy some pi coins, some ask you to buy some kaspa, dnx
Then they will add a sentence: buy a certain amount of money and see in a few years
So you believe him, buy 10,000 and put it in your wallet. A few years later, you suddenly hear that the cryptocurrency is soaring, and you remember that you also bought some very advanced coins that year
"Has the gear of fate started to turn?"
As a result, when you open your wallet, you see that the coin you bought for 10,000 has become 10 yuan
Let me tell you what not to buy
Animal meme attribute Sex coins: bibi (Iron Countryman CX), babydoge, alpaca coin, pig coin, etc.
This kind of coin is generally just for speculation, quick in and quick out, you still hold it for a long time
You should know that the only meme that can be held for a long time is doge
High-end technology packaged coins: what next generation web network, star chain, the typical representative (pi) is definitely the top CX plate
In the future, when you see a coin, either the whole article talks about "revolution", "next generation", "final form" and "hundred-fold potential", and then use irrelevant endorsements to emphasize this coin
It must be CX! Don't worry, it is impossible for new technology to have a Chinese version at the beginning
The following are kaspa and dnx, to be honest, it's okay
But don't think about revolution, kaspa, dnx can't do anything on the chain, but its community is strong enough, and there are really big players using money to protect the market, so there is no problem holding it for a while

You know, my blood pressure went up after seeing this answer

Some people ask you to buy various memes, some ask you to buy some pi coins, some ask you to buy some kaspa, dnx
And then they will add a sentence: buy a certain amount of money and see in a few years
So you believe him, buy 10,000 and put it in your wallet, and suddenly hear that the cryptocurrency skyrocketed a few years later, and remember that you also bought some very advanced coins that year
"Has the gear of fate started to turn?"
As a result, when I opened my wallet, I saw that the coin I bought for 10,000 has become 10 yuan
Let me tell you what not to buy first
Animal meme Attribute coins: bibi (Iron Countryman CX), babydoge, alpaca coin, pig coin, etc.
This kind of coin is generally just for speculation, quick in and quick out, you still hold it for a long time
You should know that the only meme that can be held for a long time is doge
High-end technology packaged coins: what next generation web network, star chain, the typical representative (pi) is definitely the top CX plate
In the future, when you see a coin, either the whole article talks about "revolution", "next generation", "final form" and "hundred-fold potential", and then use irrelevant endorsements to emphasize this coin
It must be CX! Don't worry, it is impossible for new technology to have a Chinese version at the beginning
The following are kaspa and dnx, to be honest, it's okay
But don't think about revolution, kaspa, dnx can't do anything on the chain, but its community is strong enough, and there are really big players using money to protect the market, so there is no problem holding it for a while

The future investment direction of the cottage market, and the tokens in the optimistic sectors:
①Solana ecology: pay attention to the conference in September, pay attention to SOL, JTO, JUP, PYTH, BOME, BONK.

②BTC ecology: the inscription sector has great potential in the second half of the year, pay attention to ORDI, SATS, RATS, STX, MUBI.

③RWA sector: pay attention to ONDO and TRU.

④Game field: pay attention to IMX, XAI, PIEXL, YGG, GALA, ACE.

⑤New public chain: pay attention to TIA, SUI, SEI.

⑥AI field: GPT-5 conference is coming soon, pay attention to RNDR, FET, LPT, ARKM, NFP, JASMY, WLD.

⑦MEME: pay attention to DOGE, PEPE, WIF, SATS.

⑧L2: ARB, STRK, LRC.

Next Monday, the market will definitely pick up. Brother Qiang will lead the members of the 10,000-person fan club to snipe the coin that has skyrocketed 100 times. Friends who like spot contracts, leave: 888, and I will share the password with you for free