I have taught thousands of people offline and tens of thousands of people online. Thinking about it brings back a lot of memories. We have also contributed to the popularization of blockchain. There are still many newbies in this industry. I look for the right opportunity to share my trading logic and ideas after multiple bull and bear cycles. Maybe I can do something valuable.
In China after the epidemic, there are countless unemployed and bankrupt people. People who didn't buy a house, didn't buy A shares, and didn't do business have become winners in life. People who didn't buy a house at least saved the down payment that would have been lost. As long as you buy a house, the down payment is easy to lose. People who didn't buy A shares also won, because the dealers are losing money. Most people's failures are due to blind optimism. They thought that the economy would soon improve after the epidemic. They thought that the stock market and the property market would soon reverse as soon as the government stimulated. If A shares and real estate can make a lot of money, will it be the turn of retail investors and house slaves? It seems that we who speculate in coins are the same, we are also controlled by capital, we are living a life worse than death, and we lose money in this market. To be honest, I still rarely see people leaving the coin circle with a few sacks of BTC. Otherwise, when people mention speculating in coins, they sneer and call them stinky leeks. $BTC #BTC连续破新高,你看到多少?
During Trump's first term, the relationship between the two sides was very tense, and Powell was even ready to sue the president. Now the talk about whether Trump will fire Powell after taking office has become lively again. In fact, this is an exaggeration. Trump clearly said during the campaign that he would let Powell stay in office until the end of his term in 2026. Now the two have no fundamental disagreement on the general direction of interest rate cuts, and there is no sufficient reason for conflict. Moreover, in two years, Powell can return to work in a financial institution, with a salary increase of 100 times, and be happy and free. Even if Trump still wants him to continue, he must carefully lay out the rules. $BTC #BTC连续破新高,你看到多少?
Everyone has saved their lives by opening short positions. At least at this stage, BTC will not reach 100,000. In the past two days, everyone has been asked to short and set the stop loss at the previous high. No one has been asked to go long, at least the bottom of the big cycle has not been reached. I don’t know if anyone has done this. Yesterday, I went to the square and many KOLs were scolded, including me. There is no way, the emotions are crazy, you can’t say a word of short position. I have always said that although I am under great pressure and facing risks, I can’t help it. In the past two days, I have been saying that everyone should reduce their positions when the market is high. Behind the madness is extreme fear BTC, yesterday’s big negative fell, and a large amount of funds have fled in the past two days. In fact, the purpose of the dealer’s game has been achieved. At this time, it is not the time for you to enter the market to buy the bottom and go long. Hold on. If you are a spot player, then wait patiently until it is like the recent short positions, with countless positions blown up, crying and shouting, and a lot of casualties. When no one dares to shout long, it is time for you to enter the market in batches. In recent days, it should be sideways around 86,000. This time, it should be distributing chips, and many people have entered the market to take over. I believe that it is not retail investors who enter the market, but institutions and national teams. The dealer used to have 15,000-30,000 chips, and it is really fragrant to distribute them at this time. In fact, to put it bluntly, it doesn’t matter whether it is bull or bear, it’s just a cyclical rise and fall. And sometimes, it is indeed a cognitive limitation. Most people also think that 8w is the high point, and the second half has not yet arrived, but now it has arrived in advance, and many people will be at a loss. At the four-hour level, it fell below the middle track of boll and also fell below the rising trend line. The callback has just begun. You can choose to short the currency, such as at the high position of Sui, and set the stop loss at the previous high of 3.5284. After looking at the long-short ratio, many people are still long at this time. I really don’t worry much. But there is one thing about short-term trading. You can enter the market, but you must enter with a stop loss. Facing the present, if you are not sure, you can lie flat. Maybe it is also a way to save your life. Suddenly I thought, Buffett, who sold stocks early in this wave and has 320 billion cash flow in his hands, should have something to do. We are all just small leeks. In this Shura field, where we are on the edge of a knife and where our future is uncertain, we always put risk first and capital first, right?$BTC
Gold has fallen badly enough. I didn't expect Trump's impact to be so great. The dollar has risen too sharply, and there is almost no decent correction. All funds are pouring into the United States, recognizing the future prospects of the United States!
Now the expectations are full, and once there is a slight disturbance, it will immediately reverse. $BTC #BTC连续破新高,你看到多少?
Biden had a relaxed smile on his face. He was obviously very glad to be replaced by the Democratic Party boss temporarily and did not participate in this presidential election. Biden has no burden facing Trump in the election. What he should be most concerned about now is the neutral position of the United States in the war between Russia and Ukraine. Although no news came out during the more than one-hour secret talks, urging Trump to support Ukraine to win the war was an important content. Trump's return to the White House is also the most urgent and severe challenge facing the direction of the Russia-Ukraine war. Putin is also gambling. ͏
In fact, when pepe broke through the previous high, I thought, will dog also have such a moment? But when I saw the short cycle, the high points were lower and lower, I thought he should really wait for an opportunity. In this kind of day, I dare not mention the word empty, because the people in the square can scold you to death. I have always said that you can enter the market at any time, but please bring a stop loss when entering the market. $DOGE $PEPE
Admitting defeat means losing half, betting means losing 100. It is another shocking rise, and almost every time it is beyond the expectations of retail investors. It is said that people can only make money within their cognition, and most of the money outside of cognition is lost. This powerful rise took two weeks to complete the journey of 4 months. Most retail investors should have made a lot of money in this feast, but only a few made money. Most people either left the market early or had their positions blown up and returned to zero. In this market, if you are short, if you are impatient and want to make money and return your capital immediately, you will go all in and increase the number of orders. But often things go against your wishes, and eventually you will be blown up again and again. Return to zero again and again. Really, stop, if you lose, you lose, admit it. Open orders again with investment or rational thinking. Then through the accumulation of time, the losses will definitely come back again. Don't worry, don't give up. BTC, yesterday, it surged. From the current K-line pattern, the first positive line with a long upper shadow appeared, indicating that a large amount of funds have fled. Stop at this position, don't go long. I'd rather miss it. As for opening shorts, everyone should set the stop loss at the previous high. MACD is extremely overbought, and it feels like it's about to be pulled out of the frame. At this position, seeing the long-short ratio, many people are going long. Maybe they really have advanced cognition, or maybe they are really taking a gamble. It's really recommended that you must bring a stop loss. I don't know if this pull-up, the price of BTC, will be the high point of this bull market. We won't speculate on things beyond cognition. We can only do a good job of system risk control. In this bull market, only BTC, TRX, and pepe have broken through the previous high. There are no surprises for others. However, the breakthrough of the previous high of the altcoin should set an example for some powerful coins. It's really a bit difficult to make a single order at this position, but if you really want to enter the market, you must enter with a stop loss. This year, it can be regarded as seeing history. In fact, there are not many times in life. I don't know whether it is lucky or regretful. The fate of retail investors is sometimes really impossible to control by ourselves. We are just fish raised in the pond by the dealer. $BTC #BTC连续破新高,你看到多少?
PNUT, I have been watching the market for quite a long time. I saw that it has been trading sideways at a high level for 15 minutes and there is no way to break through. I went short. If it continues like this, will it fall to shi$PNUT
PNUT, I heard that Musk called for the order. Quick in and quick out. For this kind of coin, you must set a stop loss when entering the market. Otherwise, you don’t know how you died. The new coin reminds me of the old ICP. It was about 2400u when it was launched. Then it plummeted. I entered the market at 330u to buy the bottom, thinking I made money. Later I found out that I was going to die. New coins entering the market all need gimmicks. You must set a stop loss. Otherwise, you will cry again. $PNUT #PNUT走高
ENA, Take a rebound, make money and run. At this time, you must strictly set a stop loss when entering the market. BTC has effectively fallen below the 2-hour boll middle track, which is the rising trend line. You can guess it yourself. $ENA $BTC
To be honest, BTC, in one week, reached the height that should have taken three months to reach. It makes me doubt whether this wave of 899940 is the high point of this bull market. In fact, to be honest, it doesn’t matter whether it is bull or bear, it’s just a cyclical rise and fall. The monthly line level pattern, if KP is the pattern of the last bull market. This month, there will be a little correction, such as around 82,000. Then it will rush to around 93,000 next month. Then it will start a round of slow decline for 2 years. I hope it’s not like this. Otherwise, many people will be sad. These days, I have been reminding you to reduce your position at highs, which is extremely risky. Sometimes I really feel pressure, because when you post it, someone will call you a stupid dog. You can’t do anything, as an old leeks who have experienced two rounds of big bull markets. Habitual behavior is to always pay attention to risks. Therefore, you can’t make any big money. Old leeks, to put it bluntly, are the shit sticks in this market, that is, they dare not go all-in to get rich, and they dare not do long or short for a long time. If you are not poor, who is poor? But there is one thing, it seems that being cautious can save your life. At least you don't follow Graham's footsteps. At present, if the long-term exchange, or the perspective of big cycle bottom-fishing, the current price is not the time for you to enter the market to bottom-fish. If you are doing short-term, set a stop loss, it doesn't matter. Every day, there are opportunities. You can enter the market at any time, but please enter with a stop loss. To be honest, my short orders are still there, some are trapped and some are newly opened. But this time I was honest and ran away when I made money. Those who were trapped are almost all too greedy. Obviously making money, you have to gamble big, sometimes it backfires. How do you operate, everyone decides for themselves. Emotional indicators are always the final indicators, and I have to study this aspect myself. Because it is invisible, there will be delays. But it will definitely be fulfilled in the end. The road of trading is actually very difficult. For one person, there are really many requirements. Emotional control, indicator management, pattern analysis, human nature homework, etc. We will use them every day and every time we open an order. My personal suggestion for recent operations is to open a short position when the market rebounds, and then set a stop loss. Even if you lose, it is only a small loss. If you have your own strategy, just ignore what I said. Another point, if you disagree, just laugh it off, don't call me a stupid dog.After all, it's all about life. $BTC
Yesterday, a heartbreaking event occurred, Zhuhai, which should have already been trending. In the crypto world, to be honest, we face uncertainty every day, with the K-line fluctuating every second. Winning and losing are actually normal. Just a reminder to everyone, when trading contracts, please do not gamble with your life. If over the past couple of days, you experienced a beating or liquidation, then allow yourself to take a moment to be quiet. Life isn't that bad, at least we still have electric bikes. From the daily chart of BTC, a tentative drop was made and quickly recovered. From the upward and downward patterns, it seems like the big players are creating a formation that cannot drop. I don't know if institutions are bottom-fishing or if retail investors are following in. I have a small mindset, and I do not recommend going long at this position right now. But if you must enter, please set a stop loss. The short-term support below is around 85000. In fact, from the MACD perspective, it is already in the high overbought zone. I actually think that at such a high position, retail investors won't enter the market. The current formation does not seem to attract large institutions or national teams. At this time, altcoins can actually be reduced on the highs. Really, do not be greedy to the point of wanting to eat the last bite of meat. Historically, every time the total market value of the crypto world breaks 3 trillion, there will be a major correction afterward. This time BTC's rapid surge has completed what was to be done in the coming months. I thought it would only reach 85k in March, but it got there in a week. It really slapped me in the face. But it makes me wonder, has this bull market peaked? Such a high price is not beneficial for big players to operate, nor is it advantageous for institutional gaming. Everyone is cautious and afraid of being trapped at the peak. From the four-hour perspective, the MACD has a death cross downward, BTC is consolidating at a high level. Actually, I'm not a bear, but at this position, you can make a small short at market price. Set a stop loss near the previous high of 89940. The upper side has attempted to break through multiple times but has come down. In any case, at this position, most bulls do not dare, and bears do not dare either. How to act, you should grasp it yourself. In this market, without experiencing big ups and downs, hesitation and beatings, one cannot grow. Learning may not be useful, but not learning will certainly lead to a burial without a grave. Greed is always the great enemy of us traders, so everyone should be cautious. $BTC #加密货币总市值破3万亿美元
In the past few days, I have been shorting the air force and have been scared by being beaten. There is no longer the arrogance of last month. It is not a mistake in my own market observation, but rather a flood brought about by my emotional predictions. The rationality that sweeps everything. I have seen too much in these days, KOLs, almost none are spared. A plunge will come, but most people died last night. Holding positions, liquidation, that feeling of helplessness, anxious and helpless. This kind of thing has really been experienced many times. To say something unpleasant. The more funds you have in your account, the more you will lose one day. Those who think their skills are better, one day will jump off buildings or commit suicide, are all of us gamblers. Target BTC, at the four-hour level, a large amount of funds have fled, part of the funds should have gone abroad. If they made profits, they should have made enough. A pullback is also normal, at present, it does not seem to be a major drop, many people say this is a trap to short, but I see it as a trap to long with slight declines, continuing to rise, thinking long is certain, then the next plunge will catch everything. Looking solely from the short-term support perspective, there is support around 82000. But whether you enter short or long, please make sure to set a stop loss. If you lose a little, we can still start over in this market. In the financial market, if you lose everything, you will feel worthless. As for altcoins, it goes without saying, as long as BTC pulls back, they immediately drop like crap. It's all the same, the higher it rises, the more brutal the harvest at the end. Recently, I have been reminding everyone of risk areas, advising to reduce positions at highs. No one dared to call for shorting. But you find that when most analysts do not dare to call for shorts, or do not dare to short, it is when the big players are opening short positions themselves. Where there is sunshine, there must be shadows; the more euphoric it was at the beginning, the more desolate it will be later. As for BTC, pulling so high, beyond the understanding of most people, it should be almost impossible to get retail investors to buy. In the future, it will definitely be a game between capital and capital, a contest between countries. Under the fallen nest, there are no complete eggs. In the battles of the big players, it is generally us small fries that die. In this market, you really need to strictly manage your positions. Saying strict stop losses, I think it’s just talk, otherwise, how can so many people get liquidated? I want to ask, after liquidation, how do you all rise again, has anyone borrowed money from their wife? Never mind, you bunch of gamblers. $BTC
Now it has started to pull back, and the strength of the short side is increasing. It is not recommended that you enter the market and go long immediately after the pullback, because the positive pole will be negative, and the positive and negative poles will be interchanged. The short side was beaten up, and it has not recovered yet. Don't open a long position now, it's better to miss it. If you want to take a risk, just ignore what I said. If it really goes down this time, then it will be fun later. Maybe the long side is like the short side, being repeatedly dawdled and beaten. $BTC #BTC何时破9万?
At this time, it reminds me of 5.19, 9.18, 3.20. The decline will definitely return, it will never be absent. Everyone at this time, whether long or short, should be cautious. Sometimes, lying flat is also a way to preserve life. $BTC #DOGE看涨情绪飙升
I believe many friends have seen this little story told by Buffett himself: "When I was 11 years old, I bought my first stock: Cities Service Preferred, at a price of $38. My sister and I each bought 3 shares. The stock price quickly dropped to $27. That was in June 1942, and the Dow Jones index was at 92 points. Every day on our way to school, my sister would tell me the latest price. I was very unhappy about it, so when the stock price rose back to $40, I sold it, and she sold it too. We each made $5. Not long after, the stock price rose to $212. From that moment on, I decided not to discuss my trades with anyone, just to think for myself."
Selling stocks too early is really not worth worrying about. Each of us is creating our own investment model, a machine with operational logic. That is what is most valuable, right? $BTC #BTC连续破新高,你看到多少?