7 years of experience in the cryptocurrency circle, summed up 8 iron rules:
1. If the funds are less than 100,000, only buy one coin; 200,000-300,000, buy two; 500,000, buy 3-4. Even if the funds are more, do not hold more than 5. Concentrate funds in the bull market, and hold a small amount when the market is not good, so as to stop losses in time.
2. The only purpose of reading news and learning technology is to improve the winning rate. Trends determine everything: rebounds in a downtrend are mostly to lure more, and declines in an uptrend are mostly to dig pits. Don't fantasize about buying at the bottom, and don't guess the main trend.
3. Set a fixed stop loss when losing money, and don't move it down. When making a profit, keep raising the exit point to prevent profit taking.
4. Buy decisively and sell resolutely. Hesitation will inevitably miss opportunities.
5. Don't indulge in intraday short-term trading, small fluctuations will disturb the mind. Big money depends on following the trend.
6. Don't buy at the bottom because of a large drop, only 20% of people in the market make money.
7. Only operate when the market is active and remain flexible.
8. Before adding positions, ask yourself: If you haven't bought now, will you buy again? If the answer is yes, you can add positions. It is recommended to fully invest before October and wait patiently for the bull market.
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Since stop loss can be set, why do so many people still have their positions blown up? This is actually a very heavy topic. Isn't it said that stop loss can prevent greater losses! Why do some people still have their positions blown up? There are several reasons. Next, I will try to explain my understanding of stop loss from various angles! It can be seen that the most common way we trade is to bring a stop loss after entering the market, set a certain position, and control the loss of a single transaction, thinking that this will prevent ourselves from suffering greater losses. In my opinion, bringing a stop loss will not cause a position blown up instantly, so the final reason for the position blown up is not the stop loss, because you think if you trade heavily, you will blow up sooner or later. This is determined by human nature, because you can't bear the psychological pressure brought by heavy positions, and you can't stop loss or not. It can be said that if you start trading heavily, your stop loss and stop loss will not be of much help, because this approach is destined to end in a position blown up! What if it is a light position transaction? Then there is no substantial difference between stop loss and no stop loss. Because you are trading with a light position, you do not need to stop loss continuously, because the tolerance for error of a light position is larger. You can wait until the market really reverses before considering closing the position, instead of constantly stopping loss in the process! So, stop loss and no stop loss are not the most fundamental reasons for the explosion. The fundamental reason for the explosion is heavy positions, continuous heavy positions, and continuous trading against the trend! If you don’t believe it, you can pull out your account or look at those accounts that have exploded to see what exactly caused the account to explode. In fact, it has nothing to do with stop loss at all, because whether the explosion is not based on whether you stop loss, but on your position and your emotions!
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What Heyue plays with is human nature. You cannot overcome your own character weaknesses. For example, if you occasionally lose a little, you can't help but cut your losses immediately. After cutting, you immediately open a reverse order. After opening, continue to cut. If your money is not blown by the wind, don't touch it. Just play with spot trading for a relaxing time.
In a volatile market, the same point is profitable in the hands of some people, and it is a loss in the hands of others. This is normal. Because some people can't even hold a 12-hour order, staring at the floating K-line on the market all day and night in panic, cutting short orders when the rebound is a little, and cutting long orders when the decline is a little, how can that work? Then you are only suitable for a unilateral rising market, keep a short position 90% of the time in a month, and only do right-side transactions.
In a non-unilateral market, as long as you can't hold it, you will be slapped up and down. Usually, buy more on dips, control forced liquidation, and stop profits in batches, and you don't need to bring stop losses. But when there is a divergence between long and short positions, and when there is a short short order, you must bring a stop loss nearby to explore the way with small losses. This is a trading habit that must be developed at this stage. If you don't like to set stop loss and pursue eternal profit, then there is no way, even Buffett can't save you.
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During this period, I was reluctant to eat or wear
I saved money to increase my position, and it lasted for a whole bull-bear cycle
Three years later, the bull market came, and my coin became an old coin
Everyone played with new things instead of old ones, and my coin didn't increase at all
But you laughed at me and called me: Old Coin Login
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Characteristics of frequent losses in the cryptocurrency circle, see how many of them you have? 1. Frequent trading not only increases transaction costs, but also easily affects the mentality due to market fluctuations. 2. Chasing to add positions when the price rises: lack of clear investment strategy, which easily leads to buying high and selling low. 3. Not stopping losses when trapped: Failure to stop losses in time may cause greater losses. 4. Blindly and frequently replenishing positions at the beginning of a downward trend: the risk of replenishing positions when the trend is unclear is relatively high. 5. Short holding time: large price fluctuations in the short term, easy to miss the opportunity for long-term rise. 6. Chasing when it rises and cutting when it falls: following the trend without a clear plan, easily influenced by market sentiment. 7. Frequent currency exchange: Frequent currency exchange will increase transaction costs and it is difficult to accumulate experience in in-depth research. 8. Holding a large number of currencies: Although diversified investment can reduce risks, too many currencies increase the difficulty of management and it is difficult to concentrate on in-depth research. 9. Listening to news everywhere: Blindly listening to news is easy to be misled and lacks independent judgment. 10. Self-willed and self-satisfied: unwilling to learn and accept new knowledge, easily fall into their own thinking errors. 11. Lack of courage: lack of decisiveness at critical moments, difficult to seize opportunities. 12. Dare not buy at the bottom, unwilling to sell at the top: lack of judgment and execution of the market. 13. After many failures, do not stick to the original model: frequent changes in strategy lead to lack of system. Be content with small wealth: satisfied with short-term gains and ignore long-term potential.
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In the process of our participation in transactions, we usually have to make a few general directional judgments first.
1. Are we at the bottom, middle, or top of the price position?
2. Is the current market a volatile market or a trend market? If it is a trend market, which stage are we in?
3. Back to the topic, if there is a bullish trend market now, what is the level of the bullish trend (continuity and profit space)?
For the above questions, we can analyze them through macro, data, technical analysis and other means, and then find objective arguments to support our analysis results.
Because our analysis results. Can only be approximate, vague, and inaccurate. Therefore, in the process of trading, we must also avoid unexpected risks that may occur in the process of trading through trading skills, trading discipline, position control and other means. And constantly cross-verify our views in the process of market movement.
Finally, complete the low buy and high sell. These four words are also the essence of trading.
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In the bull market, everyone is smiling like a flower, as if wealth is within reach, but is it really that simple?
Why, when the bear market comes, even if 90% of people lose all their money, everyone still believes that technology can turn the tide. Are they overestimating their abilities?
The truth is, when the bull market comes, choosing the right track is the kingly way! Although the technology is good, it is difficult to match the trend.
Keeping up with the pulse of the industry and insight into fundamental changes are the key to profitability.
Remember, sit tight in the bull market, don't let your impetuous heart lead you off course.
When the bear market comes, learn to short position and wait patiently, which is the choice of the wise.
Don't struggle in despair, because every low point may be the starting point for institutions to quietly lay out, and they are waiting for the market to pick up and pull it up in one fell swoop.
Remember, between the bull and bear transitions, wisdom and strategy are equally important. Stay sober during the bull market carnival and look for opportunities in the bear market trough.
As a senior cryptocurrency investor, I would like to share my experience and insights. Are you interested in the cryptocurrency circle but don't know where to start? Follow me and visit my homepage, I will help you achieve freedom in this bull market. #超级MEME周期? #新币挖矿你参加了吗? $BTC $BNB $BNB
Share your trading experience, friends, remember to like it: 1. I feel that trading should not be too obsessed with predicting the market. Those friends who try to catch the top or bottom are all forced to convert the original short-term trading orders into medium- and long-term orders, or treat the original medium-term orders as short-term orders, causing the entire transaction to be chaotic and disorderly. 2. Any market forecast is subjective, especially short-term forecasts are more difficult to grasp. Once you form a bullish or bearish complex, you will look at the market with a distorted view. If you don’t learn to follow the trend and adapt to changes, your investment will always be at great risk. 3. Once you predict the market, you are reluctant to set a stop loss because you believe that any fluctuations that are unfavorable to you are short-term and the market will eventually return to the direction you predicted. Many friends have suffered heavy losses when trying to catch the bottom or top of the market.
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Don't worry about speculating in cryptocurrencies Don't worry that you can't buy back after selling, and don't worry that you will miss the opportunity to rise if you don't buy now. As long as you are willing to wait, most of the stocks sold during the rise can be bought back on the same day. If you want to buy cheaper, you only need to wait a few more days. It is rare to miss the opportunity when speculating in cryptocurrencies. Most of the time, it is because you didn't sell when it rose, and the result turned from profit to loss. Never be afraid of missing the bull market. Even if the bull market comes, it will be a long shadow in the bull market. Of course, we should not be too greedy. Don't expect that every wave can be accurately sold at a high position and bought back at a low point. Regardless of the bull or bear market, 30% of the bottom position cannot be moved before the market ends.
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Several key points for screening varieties with 100-fold potential: 1. Low market value: Both the circulating market value and the total market value need to be kept low to ensure sufficient room for growth 2. High ceiling: The track has huge potential, and the valuation of the big bull market should reach more than one billion US dollars 3. New narrative: Focus on new areas to solve practical problems and avoid unpopular tracks 4. Hidden places: Dark horses are often hidden in places where no one cares, and high-profile people are difficult to achieve great things 5. Poor early liquidity: In the early stage, it is mostly traded on small jys or chains, and the high threshold is the barrier to block leeks 6. Time to go online: It is best to go online at the end of the bull market or the beginning of the bear market, and go through a full wash 7. Low unit price: The starting unit price is low, which is easier to attract new leeks to enter. 8. Team background: The founder, team, investment institutions and financing amount must all stand up to scrutiny. 10. Leaders in the track: Prioritize leading projects in the track to avoid following the trend.
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Please remember these twelve strategies for cryptocurrency trading:
1. 10% increase, hold 2. 20% increase, hold 3. 30% increase, reduce 10% position 4. 40% increase, reduce 20% position 5. 50% increase, reduce 30% position 6. 60% increase, reduce 40% position 7. 100% increase, clear position 8. 10% decrease, hold 9. 20% decrease, add 10% position 10. 30% decrease, add 30% position 11. 50% decrease, add 50% position 12. 100% decrease, add 100% position
The essence of cryptocurrency trading is to control the position, sell small when it increases, sell big when it increases, add small when it decreases, add big when it decreases, hold firmly after buying, and choose the next target after selling. According to this trading concept, you will be able to listen to the waves in the cryptocurrency circle with ease!
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Let me share with you how to short a Shanzhai coin?
In fact, long-term shorting Shanzhai coins is basically a sure win, with a 99% probability of not losing money. After all, except for BTC and ETH, BNB, SOL, other Shanzhai coins can hardly last forever. So, how can you short-sell steadily and happily?
Shorting without liquidation price is the most stable: try to choose a short-selling method with almost no liquidation price, because the exchange and the market maker (MM) can see all the cards. For one share, shorting with 2-4 times leverage is the most stable, and the margin only needs 10-20 times the principal. Pick high-valuation VC plates, GameFi is the best: Especially for Chinese VC plates, GameFi is the best choice, because these projects usually have obvious conflicts of interest and no long-term value. The project party usually finds an excuse to give everyone an explanation in the end.
Avoid innovative narratives and focus on cognitive biases: Don't short those projects that really have innovative narratives, and pick those with obvious cognitive biases. You can see it with just a little analysis. If you can't see it, don't short it.
Sniper bluff and acting project parties: Specially sniper those who like 618ff, have problems both inside and outside, love to mix Chinese and English in their speeches, and have a vision to "create value", but in fact they are all acting and soft-playing. The project is structurally flat. This type of project party is easy to see through. The smell is too strong, needless to say.
Hit the dog when the trading volume drops: When the project's trading volume begins to decline, it's time to hit the dog when it's down. Because the contract between the project party and the market maker is time-limited, once the time is up, the water begins to recede.
Find the pain points of investment institutions: Now is not a simple lock-up and delivery era. The lock-up period is too long. Everyone is linked to the primary and secondary markets, and hedging operations are already standard. Grasp their pain points and start accurately!
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Forget it, let me explain it to you clearly without playing word games.
During the rise, there will be some downward pins to clean up the high leverage. The probability of this happening is actually quite high. It is not going to go bad or something, just to fall for the sake of falling.
As the market develops, the risk exposure should be gradually reduced, not getting bigger and bigger. A long pin that disappears in ashes is not what you want!
As a senior cryptocurrency investor, I share my experience and insights for free. Are you interested in the cryptocurrency circle but don’t know where to start? Follow me and see my homepage, and I will take you to freedom in this bull market. #新币挖矿&盘前交易USUAL #新币挖矿你参加了吗? $BTC $BNB
If you want to make money by speculating in cryptocurrencies, you only need to do one thing: don't be greedy. I think that if you want to make money in the cryptocurrency circle, you will definitely make money if you are not greedy. If you are greedy, most people will lose a lot of money, and a small number of people will make a lot of money. Why do I say this? Because the cryptocurrency circle is relatively mature at present, and the more mature the market, the fewer opportunities to get rich. First of all, if you are not greedy, it is very easy to make money. In the long run, cryptocurrencies are still developing gradually. In a gradually developing industry, it is definitely possible to gain a certain amount of wealth. Click on the avatar to see the homepage and follow me. The free exchange community shares various potential currencies every day, takes you to ambush various hundred-fold coins, and allows you to make a lot of money in this bull market. #新币挖矿你参加了吗? #新币挖矿&盘前交易USUAL $BTC
According to past experience, the market always follows a cycle with four stages: accumulation, rise, distribution, and decline. Now it has entered an upward trend. There are several important factors driving the market: 1: The interest rate cut is coming. In a low interest rate environment, OTC funds are quite active, and the entry boom is also about to usher in spring 2: OTC ETFs will also increase dramatically to increase market liquidity and information 3: FTX outflows have warmed up, gradually recovered, and inflows have accelerated 4: The election in the United States is approaching, and these changes will also cause market fluctuations 5: At the same time, the monthly line at the end of September is about to close. The main rising wave is likely to start in October in the fourth quarter. When the autumn market arrives, everyone should grasp the main rising wave!
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What stage is the current bull market in the cryptocurrency market? ? ?
Personally, I think it is in the mid-term stage of the cryptocurrency bull market.
The reasons are as follows:
1. Bitcoin accounts for 59% of the market value, which will fall below 50% at the end of the cryptocurrency bull market.
2. Ethereum or Sol has not yet broken through the previous high. If the previous high has not been broken, what is the bull market at the end of the bull market?
3. After a long period of volatility, Bitcoin has just started to rise.
4. The stimulus to the cryptocurrency market after Trump's victory may reach a climax when he takes office.
In general, there is still a lot of room for Bitcoin to rise, but the process will be difficult.
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Will this pullback be the beginning of the alt season?
If this pullback is big enough and does not break, it will be an opportunity for alts.
From the perspective of others.d, the alt season has not come at all, it is just that market makers (very reluctantly) follow BTC to push up the price.
The increase of many alts is much lower than that of Bitcoin.
Bitcoin has fallen from 90,000 to 87,000 (5% drop), and others can fall from 290b to 250b (14%).
The real alt season is still far away from us. It is only a Bitcoin bull market at present.
By the way, I will scold the alt market and market makers, you are really stupid.
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Coins that can be bought at the bottom of the correction in the past few days
Meme sector: doge neiro bonk pnut wif
Defi sector is strong, such as ena uni aave
Ai sector: wld, io, arkm, phb
There is no sector rotation in the market at present, which belongs to the collective soaring state, but the strong ones are still meme-type doge neiro, etc., but defi-related ones are also very strong, focusing on ena ai sector. ?
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The copycat has returned to its original position. This is the current market. BTC doge is the protagonist, and other memes follow closely. Every pullback can show who is stronger.
Last night's pullback shows that memes such as pnut neiro act pepe bonk are relatively strong. Some are new highs, and some are V-reversals. Pullbacks are the best opportunities to get on board.
In the bull market, you must remember that every pullback is the best opportunity to get on board, but remember not to blindly increase leverage or open contracts. First, ensure the safety of the principal, and then make money.
Pnut is the hot meme of the past two days. Musk has completely opened the ceiling for peanuts. The original words are that squirrels and meme coins saved the United States. According to this narrative, the ceiling of peanuts has been opened again, and FDV is not excessive to give 1 billion+.
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In the world of investment, it’s not about how much you make, but about keeping your wallet safe and not losing too much!
Now there’s a Layer-1 token called SUI, and it’s awesome! Not only does it solve a major problem of global usage, it’s also risen by more than 111% in just one month, which has really blown up the crypto world.
Let’s first look at SUI’s technical analysis and future trends. Did you know that SUI is now on a tear, and on-chain indicators are saying “buy”! From the beginning of September to now, it’s up 175%, and investors and traders are eyeing this big piece of cake.
According to CoinPedia’s analysis, SUI has broken through the $2.3 barrier and is heading for new highs. Moreover, it’s trading above the 200 exponential moving average every day, which is a guarantee of growth!
Let’s talk about on-chain indicators, which are even more impressive. According to Coinglass, SUI’s long/short ratio is as high as 1.688, which is a new high since September! Traders are so confident about SUI that they are rushing to buy it.
Moreover, the open interest has also increased a lot, which shows that everyone is optimistic about the future of SUI. The top traders are also, 62.8% of them hold long positions, and it seems that they are all ready to make a fortune.
However, there are always risks in the market. Although SUI has risen fiercely, the price has also fluctuated. It has risen by 60% in the past few weeks, but it has fallen by 4.4% in the last 24 hours. So, when we consider buying, we must be cautious and pay more attention to market sentiment and price fluctuations.
But then again, SUI's current price momentum is really strong, and trading volume and participation are increasing. By 2025, it is predicted that the price of SUI may rise to a high of $3.56!
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