The USDKRW exchange rate chart has broken through the ascending channel, greatly increasing the likelihood of it rising to the key upper line. This key upper line is 1,600 Korean Won.

This channel was formed in 2020, and the recent rise in the exchange rate may originate from planned fluctuations that started in 2020.

Moreover, since the relevant events involving the International Monetary Fund, the exchange rate has shown a triangular convergence trend. Globally, it is rare for any currency to exhibit such a long-term stable convergence pattern.

While this may have a hint of conspiracy theory, it is undeniable that large financial forces may be manipulating the exchange rate behind the scenes...

#币安Alpha公布第9批项目 #MicroStrategy增持BTC #2025比特币价格预测

The current situation for BTC is not promising; to rise, it must break the 100,000 barrier, otherwise it will oscillate in the range of 99,800 - 92,000.

The 2-hour chart shows fatigue, probing the first minor support at 96,400, with key support at 92,000.

The recent market situation is awkward, making operations difficult, and most people's funds have retraced or principal has been damaged.

As the New Year approaches, both retail and institutional investors are waiting for Trump's performance in office. Before any stimulus policies are announced, large purchases will not occur, and the market may rise and then fall.

It is important to pay attention to the market; if there are stimulus policies, the market will react first. The volume of v-coin and HeYue will rise, especially with institutional involvement. Be sure to be patient and avoid chaotic operations that lead to fund losses.

#BTC上攻11万？ #“圣诞老人行情”再现 #2025有哪些关键叙事？

The upcoming market moves for BTC will primarily feature fluctuations, interspersed with moderate rebound notes. Such a rhythm will pave the way for a vast expanse in the altcoin market.

This week, Bitcoin's key support levels are focused on the 90000 - 92000 range, which is a significant "defensive line." Meanwhile, the short-term support level on the four-hour chart has already shown signs today, around the 94000 area.

From the perspective of the four-hour trend, the upper resistance level is located in the 98000 - 102000 range, resembling a "moat" that constrains BTC's upward momentum.

#比特币市场波动观察 #圣诞行情分析

VC is actually a game of project owners and big investors dividing profits, and retail investors' funds will eventually flow into their pockets.

In short, big funds and project owners use VC to raise money and reap retail investors' wealth.

As for meme tokens, although they are generally not optimistic, looking at the many tokens on other platforms in the token circle, how many can be compared with tokens such as SHIB, PEPE, FLOKI, NEIRO, and PNUT that have spot and practical applications?

Although these meme coins have limitations, they at least have a solid foundation and actual support. Compared with some newly launched virtual tokens, their competitiveness is obviously stronger.

#加密市场盘整 #BTC再创新高 #PENGU开盘

Lowered the daily key focus level for BTC to 94150.

As long as the Bitcoin price remains above this level, our expectations for its upward movement will continue.

The next resistance areas are at levels of 109K to 111K, 129K, 145K, etc.

On the hourly chart, pay attention to the 103.333 level.

If the hourly closing price is below this level, it may indicate the arrival of a price correction.

As long as the pullback can stay above 94150, there is no need for concern.

If the daily closing price is below 94150, we will consider it a signal for the start of a decline, and then track lower support levels.

#USUAL现货开盘预测 #加密用户突破1800万 #比特币冲向11万？

Summary of the Morning Market Analysis:

Historical Highs Conceal Concerns:
Although it has climbed to a historic high today, this round of increase is not purely due to a surge of funds but rather achieved through a combination of market sentiment and accumulation of long positions, which is clearly not a stable and healthy upward trend.

Shanzhai Weakness Shows Lackluster Performance:
The Shanzhai phenomenon has failed to effectively stimulate the market to generate widespread wealth appreciation effects, which fully demonstrates that market demand is rapidly declining, funding conditions are tightening, and this reflects a lack of driving force in the market.

Risks Hidden in the Market:
Within the harmonious market, there has already been a significant accumulation of long positions in the price range above 100,000, which undoubtedly reserves 'fuel' for a potential breakout. This significantly increases the difficulty of further price increases in the short term. Unless there is a massive influx of funds at the opening of the U.S. stock market, such a scenario is relatively rare given that it is the eve of Christmas.

Short-term Market Expectations:
Considering the current price level of 105,000, the likelihood of a short-term pullback to around 100,000 is quite high, but after the pullback, there remains the possibility of breaking through previous highs.
Current market sentiment is forming a 'torturous' situation for harmonious funds, and once there is a clear one-way concentration of funds, it is highly likely to trigger a large-scale market 'harvesting' trend.

Key Points for Risk Management:
Given the current limited volatility in the market, investors should maintain a cautious attitude. For those participating in the speculation of smaller cryptocurrencies, it is essential to set stop-loss levels to avoid being trapped at high market levels and thus prevent substantial losses due to market crashes.

You can adjust the above content according to the actual situation, and if you have any other needs, feel free to ask me.

The overall operational core melody remains to expand the strategy when the price is high.

Currently, there are still two unclear possibilities for the large-scale trend:

Firstly, the upward trend that started from 49000 has indeed ended, and it will subsequently enter a downtrend of the same level;

Secondly, the upward trend that continues from 49000 is currently in the process of constructing another central structure, and higher points will still appear in the future.

From a short-term perspective: 94100 may not be the lowest point of this round of decline, the reason being that no divergence phenomenon has occurred during the decline.

If the rebound cannot break through 100000, then the downtrend may continue.

It is crucial to pay attention to the area between 92000 and 93000. Once it breaks below 90000, the target for the downward move will be towards 85000 to 86000.

If it can break through 100000, then the probability of the market continuing to rise is quite high.

Regarding the strategy: If the price rebounds to the range of 98000 to 99000, one can still attempt to enter short positions with light exposure, setting the stop-loss at 100500. This operation mainly focuses on cost-effectiveness.

Regarding the strategy: If a position has been established at a low level in the morning, protective measures can be taken at cost price or partial profit-taking can be carried out.

If there is currently no position, one can continue to patiently wait for the entry opportunity.

#XRP逆势反弹 #市场调整后的方向 #BTC投资案未获微软股东同意 #市场回调抄底还是观望？

The sideways movement of ETH at a high level has come to an end, and it has started a downward correction journey alongside BTC, exhibiting a tendency of shared gains and losses.

At this moment of price decline, it is important to pay attention to the volume performance during the evening rebound.

From the daily closing situation, if it can stay above 3866, then the resistance levels above to note are 3933 to 4022 and 4084 among other key points.

If the daily closing cannot hold above the 3866 position, the market is likely to continue its downward trend. At this point, the support levels below, such as 3766 and 3672, become key points of focus, which also means that short-term long positions may find an entry opportunity.

#加密市场回调 #市场回调抄底还是观望？ #山寨季将持续多久？

Analysis of long-term bull-bear trend: BTC

Some friends expressed that they are more concerned about the long-term trend, so today we will discuss the long-term market of Bitcoin.

From the monthly level, it experienced a consolidation and decline phase in the middle of the year, thus completing a downward trend of the monthly line, and together with the main rising wave of the last bull market, it built a 1W segment center, which belongs to the quarterly trend center.

If the current weekly rise is identified as the departure segment of the quarterly trend, then there will be a three-buy back test market and a new high trend in the future, so as to complete the upward trend of the monthly line, and then the quarterly trend can be completed.

From the daily level, this upward trend is caused by the three daily buys of the weekly level center, and its upward momentum is extremely strong.

If the special situation of small turning into large is excluded, the growth of the center is needed here to promote the completion of the trend.

As for where the center is formed and where the divergence phenomenon will occur, it is necessary to go deep into the small level for detailed exploration.

The figure is only a schematic diagram, which does not mean that the center will inevitably be formed at the price of 10W.

The trading suggestions are as follows: In view of the strong characteristics of the large level, according to the standard trend, the price of 10W is not the top.

However, this does not mean that you can buy blindly.

Although the trend of the small level is subject to the trend of the large level, the fluctuation of the small level may also have a leveraging effect on the large level.

After all, no one can know exactly when the bull market will end, and there is no limit mechanism in the currency market. It has always been possible to wipe out the gains of several months in one day.

Therefore, we should maintain a cautious and optimistic attitude, mainly do Duo and line goods trading, and pay close attention to the linkage between the large and small levels, and try to avoid the callback market in the bull market, because no one knows which callback will completely end the bull market.

#APT、ADA、ENA大额解锁 #山寨季将持续多久？ #SUSHI价格飙升

Bitcoin BTC

Green area: shows a high probability of rebound or sideways trend.

Red area: There is a high possibility of decline or sideways movement tendency.

The market rose and fell on this day, and the remaining period remains to be observed.

The price trend may be a high rise and then fall back to the bottom and brew a rebound, or it may fluctuate downward to the bottom and then rebound. The top may appear during the US trading session.

The current support level is 987. If this support level cannot be maintained, the price may drop to 964.

#APT、ADA、ENA大额解锁 #山寨季将持续多久？ #PEPE市值新高

Why do voices of "this time is different" appear frequently in the investment market?

Macro laws are like towering mountains, relatively stable, and their changes are extremely slow.

Micro laws are like a lively stream, always in a state of change, flowing continuously and changing course. The continuous changes in the micro level are quietly accumulating energy. Once a certain critical point is reached,

it will cause a qualitative change like a volcanic eruption. This sudden change is difficult to predict in advance, like a reef hidden in the depths of the mind, making it very easy for the ship of rational judgment to run aground.

Many investors are deeply trapped in it and cannot extricate themselves, unable to transcend their own limitations to see the overall situation.

Some investors are bound by the huge influence of macro laws, only focusing on the macro trend, and are completely unaware of the subtle changes at the micro level, just like seeing only the vast land in a dense forest, but ignoring the new buds quietly sprouting under their feet.

Another group of investors are lost in the complicated details of the microscopic world, immersed in it and unable to extricate themselves, completely forgetting the overall operating framework of the macro world, just like focusing on only a twinkling star in the vast starry sky, but ignoring the grand pattern of the entire galaxy.

#比特币回升至97K #ENA突破1美元 #SUI市场新焦点

The Rise of Altcoin Season: In-Depth Analysis of Key Cryptocurrencies

In the wave of altcoin season, some projects stand out due to their innovative characteristics, practical value, and considerable growth potential.

Among numerous altcoins, this analysis focuses on Ethereum (ETH), Stellar (XLM), and Near Protocol (NEAR).

Firstly, Ethereum (ETH): The Backbone of Decentralized Finance
Ethereum continues to hold a key position as the second largest cryptocurrency, with its strength lying in providing a robust and powerful development platform for decentralized applications.

Currently, Ethereum's trading price is at $3,874, facing a key resistance level test at $3,935.
If it can successfully break through this resistance level, it is very likely to trigger a strong rebound towards the $4,000 price level;
Conversely, if it fails to break through, there is a significant probability of a retracement to the $3,000 support level.

Secondly, Stellar (XLM): The Reshaper of Global Payments
Stellar focuses on creating efficient cross-border payment solutions, and with this advantage, it has already won the favor and trust of many financial institutions and remittance service providers.

At this stage, Stellar's value has shown a significant increase of up to 480%, a phenomenon that fully demonstrates the market's growing recognition and acceptance of its blockchain functionality.

As the application scope gradually expands and the core points of payment services become increasingly clear, Stellar has shown a strong trend of breaking out of a descending triangle pattern, likely opening a new upward trend, making its subsequent development worth close attention and expectation.

Thirdly, Near Protocol (NEAR): A Blockchain Model Focused on User Experience
Near Protocol has successfully become a popular choice among developers due to its high scalability and ease of use.

Its current trading range is concentrated around $7 - $8, achieving an impressive 34% increase over the past two weeks.

From the mainstream market perspective and expectations, driven by strong crypto AI applications, its price target range is expected to expand to $16 - $30, undoubtedly providing investors with highly attractive potential investment opportunities and imaginative space.

#比特币回升至97K #ENA突破1美元 #SUI市场新焦点

The moment of risk warning has finally arrived!

Last night during the US trading session, the situation with spot trading showed a rise in both Coinbase premium and prices. In the Asian trading session, however, the premium fell sharply while prices continued to rise.

This indicates that the first half of this market movement was led by spot trading, while the second half was dominated by futures.

The funding rate maintained a level of 0.02% during the first half, but after the price surge in the second half, it skyrocketed to around 0.1%, strongly confirming the relay situation of futures.

Therefore, from a short-term perspective, the demand for both spot and futures has been released, leading to a certain degree of demand shortage. If small-scale supply situations begin to emerge subsequently, prices may easily experience minor pullbacks or sideways movements.

The target for such pullbacks will at least reach the starting point of the second half of the futures surge.

However, the overall trend remains bullish, and one should only pay attention to the possibility of pullbacks during short-term operations.

This risk warning is primarily aimed at futures trades that have gone long at price levels above 100,000. There are currently no take-profit signals for long-term trades, and bullish positions can continue to be held.

#BTC新高10W #历史见证者打卡 #特朗普将提名亲加密SEC主席

Bitcoin successfully broke through 100,000 US dollars today. How should we evaluate Bitcoin?

From a technical perspective: it is essentially just a computer program, a specific set of algorithms, and a series of encrypted code sequences.

From a cultural perspective: it embodies the aspirations and expectations of individuals who uphold the concepts of individualism, liberalism, and technological determinism in constructing an anarchic state and achieving a utopian society.

In the eyes of liberals, it symbolizes a grand ideal blueprint for humanity's progress.

For those who are solely focused on wealth, BTC is undoubtedly a powerful tool for creating immense wealth.

#BTC新高10W #历史见证者打卡 #加密市场狂热

🔴｜Bitcoin's upward momentum is slowing, altcoin market is rising❗
————————————————————
Since November, driven by the positive factor of Trump's successful election as President of the United States, the cryptocurrency market has shown explosive growth overall.

Initially, Bitcoin (BTC) rapidly climbed from $66,000 to $99,000, nearly breaking through the $100,000 mark.

Previously, Bitcoin had been leading the bull market alone, with many altcoins showing almost no movement; their collective market value remained in the bear market range.

Currently, Bitcoin is hovering around $97,000, stagnating, while at this moment, altcoins and some established cryptocurrencies have been unusually active in recent days.

For example, ALT has risen back to the $0.19 level, achieving a 35.7% increase in just four days. Among the established cryptocurrencies, XRP is the most prominent, with its price soaring from $0.50 to a historic high of $2.90 in just a month❗

Have you noticed that the altcoin market has quietly emerged?

Previously, many complained about Bitcoin's rise while altcoins remained stagnant; in fact, it was the perfect time to position in altcoins.

Just two months ago, I had also pointed out multiple times that most altcoins were severely undervalued at that time.

Moreover, Binance founder CZ and F2Pool co-founder Shen Yu both tweeted, declaring that the altcoin season has indeed arrived. What doubts do you have left?

📍Criteria for defining altcoin season:
If 75% of the top 50 altcoins have performed better than Bitcoin in the past 90 days, it means that the altcoin season has begun.

Currently, the altcoin index shows a sharp rise in just a few days, breaking through the key threshold of 75%, reaching 86%. Official WeChat account: Yunzi Commune, Rabbit Waste County

This indicates that in the past 90 days, 86% of the top 50 altcoins have outperformed BTC, and according to this index measurement, the altcoin season has indeed arrived.

So now, isn't it the perfect opportunity to seek out those altcoins that haven't significantly risen yet and position yourself in advance? Do you still remember the glory of past altcoin seasons?

At that time, casually buying any altcoin could yield joy in price increases the next day.

#BTC新高10W #历史见证者打卡

The continued optimism about BNB is mainly based on the following factors:

First, according to multiple sources, BNB may introduce strategic shareholders, and it is very likely to come from the government level. At present, Abu Dhabi or Dubai is very likely.

Second, the BNB chain has been active recently, such as actively promoting the development and upgrading of the chain. The official also directly participates in operations such as adding pools, and even actively pulls up new coins, which is quite aggressive.

Third, BN is actually focusing on building its own ecosystem and cultivating a batch of Altcoins. These projects are basically derived from the BSC chain or BN's early investment projects.

Fourth, XRP and BTC have risen rapidly and broken through the previous highs, while BNB has just broken through the previous high. From the perspective of market value and technical indicators, there is still a lot of room for further growth.

However, can we only choose to chase BNB?
In fact, it is not. On the one hand, you can wait for its short-term correction to a suitable position before entering the market.

On the other hand, you can also focus more on the altcoins that have been newly launched on Binance and Huobi in the past two years and whose market value is after 100 (you can directly filter by market value, but the project itself should have certain fundamentals, which means that the team or product is in continuous iteration and construction),

such as $THE $REZ $Puffer $SAGA $DYM $ALT and the meme $NEIRO $PUNT $ACT with a large market value that has not yet been pulled up.

However, there is a prerequisite, that is, their narrative is not short-term, but can be developed continuously. This is why I regard this type of meme coin as having fundamentals. After all, their narrative is equivalent to fundamentals.

#bnb创历史新高 #小非农数据即将公布 #Layer1公链普涨

😎BTC news is here!

$BTC
Bitcoin has once again returned to the four-hour support level of 96000.
If this price can hold steady and not drop further, then the market might just kick off a small surge at the four-hour level.
The resistance levels above are at 97417 and 98231.
If it can successfully break through these two resistance points today, then the chances of hitting a new high tomorrow will greatly increase. The key support level where both bulls and bears are contesting remains at 96000.
If the market drops below 96000 again, then the daily level will likely continue to oscillate, and at that time, we need to pay attention to the two support levels below at 94700 and 93600.

Now let's talk about ETH! $ETH
Ethereum has completed its pullback on the four-hour chart.
The support level below is at 3630. If this price can hold during the retest, then the market will still favor the bulls.
The resistance level above is 3766.
If the four-hour line closes below 3630, it will indicate that the bullish momentum has weakened, and we need to watch the two support levels below at 3570 and 3530.

And let's not forget SOL! $SOL
SOL surged to 227 on the four-hour line and has started a four-hour level rebound.
However, it is currently just a rebound; after reaching the daily resistance level of 238, it began to pull back.
The support levels below during the retest are at 233 and 230. As long as these two positions hold, there is still a chance to continue towards the daily resistance level of 238.
If the four-hour line closes below 230, then this rebound will end, and it will continue to explore downward. For friends who want to trade cautiously, it is advisable to wait until the daily line firmly stands above 238 before considering entering the market.

#bnb创历史新高 #下一个换谁涨？ #微策略持续增持BTC

The daily condition of Bitcoin is like this: its highest price soared to 97300, while the lowest price was 94400, and it precisely tested the support point of the EMA12 trend line.

Compared to last week, the support level of EMA12 has moved up a bit, and this week it has risen to 94500, creating a good opportunity for entry.

The current trend indicator seems bullish, but the MACD is decreasing in volume, and there is a situation of divergence at the top, with both DIF and DEA declining from a high position.

The Bollinger Bands have been in a state of contraction, with the pressure on the upper band reaching 100800, and the support on the middle band is around 94100.

KDJ shows a contracting shape, which indicates that the market trend may still be in the process of finding a bottom.

Now let's look at the four-hour level: the four-hour K-line has produced a long bearish candle; previously, there was a bullish candle that tried to pull the price up to 97000 but failed, then it dropped down to test the bottom at 94400.

Now the K-line has returned to the Bollinger channel, but the lower band at 95400 (it could also be 95500, as there are slight differences in data over time) can no longer hold.

The MACD is also decreasing in volume, and both DIF and DEA are approaching the 0 axis line.

We need to focus on whether 97000 can break through; if it cannot, those holding long positions can take some profits and withdraw; if it can break through, then hold on for better returns.

#Layer1公链普涨 #下一个换谁涨？ #微策略持续增持BTC

Bitcoin is red, and it started to exit at the top, waiting to catch the bottom of altcoins, to see how many tokens can be optimized... I hold tokens, so I am very sensitive to the ups and downs of this part, when there is no trend, and there hasn't been any altcoin Xnxx growth for 1-2 consecutive months, so for me, 🤑🤑

When BTC is red,

I don't think it's altcoin season.

#微软比特币投资投票案 #NFT市场回暖