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HBO Documentary Will Claim Satoshi Nakamoto Is Peter Todd
The HBO documentary will reveal that Satoshi Nakamoto is Peter Todd, a well-known blockchain developer and researcher who developed Bitcoin Core.
The excerpt published by the project has already been blocked at the request of the copyright holder (i.e. #HBO). In short, the author of the film talks to Todd, and he mostly laughs off the author's assumptions.
The excerpt published by the project has already been blocked at the request of the copyright holder (i.e. #HBO). In short, the author of the film talks to Todd, and he mostly laughs off the author's assumptions.
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Increased volatility for BTC should be expected tonight at the release of the film about the creator of Bitcoin
Increased volatility for BTC is expected tonight at the release of the film about the creator of Bitcoin. Not a fact, but a high probability.
Today at 04:00 Kyiv time and Moscow time / 06:00 Astana time, the documentary film “Money Electric: The Bitcoin Mystery” will be released on the American #HBO.
The announcement claims that the film reveals the true identity of Bitcoin's creator, who hides behind the pseudonym Satoshi Nakamoto.
Today at 04:00 Kyiv time and Moscow time / 06:00 Astana time, the documentary film “Money Electric: The Bitcoin Mystery” will be released on the American #HBO.
The announcement claims that the film reveals the true identity of Bitcoin's creator, who hides behind the pseudonym Satoshi Nakamoto.
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The BTC rate has been correcting since yesterday's high signal on the four-hour TF and has gone below EMA 50
The BTC rate has been correcting since yesterday's high signal on the four-hour TF and has gone under EMA 50. The third four-hour candle has already consolidated the price under this moving average.
Sellers' pressure is felt. BUT if the#BTCprice holds EMA 200 of the four-hour TF (currently $61,835) or at least EMA 50 of the daily TF (currently $61,513) today, then we can see a reversal and continued growth on this TF. Despite yesterday's extremely bearish daily candle.
Sellers' pressure is felt. BUT if the#BTCprice holds EMA 200 of the four-hour TF (currently $61,835) or at least EMA 50 of the daily TF (currently $61,513) today, then we can see a reversal and continued growth on this TF. Despite yesterday's extremely bearish daily candle.
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As announced, the early access phase of the "tap" from Dropstab (ex-Etherdrops) has ended
As announced - the early access phase in the "tapalka" Drops (ex-Etherdrops) is over. Those who managed to enter as an early participant via our link - congratulations and there is important news: now you have unlimited referral links. Access to the bot is completely open.
The bot currently has new tasks that will allow you to collect up to 16,000 DPS (maximum bar, when adding 130 referrals). New daily tasks will consistently bring about 300 DPS. Plus, if you do not miss daily check-ins - this is another 300 DPS. Plus, if you subscribe to any Drops bot services (section "Subscription") - you will receive 150 DPS for every $ spent. In short, there is a possibility to farm stably.
The bot currently has new tasks that will allow you to collect up to 16,000 DPS (maximum bar, when adding 130 referrals). New daily tasks will consistently bring about 300 DPS. Plus, if you do not miss daily check-ins - this is another 300 DPS. Plus, if you subscribe to any Drops bot services (section "Subscription") - you will receive 150 DPS for every $ spent. In short, there is a possibility to farm stably.
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Important events for the crypto market on October 8 from the economic calendar.
The day is generally calm in terms of macroeconomics and we do not expect any surges in volatility:
- 15:30 Kyiv and Moscow time / 17:30 Astana time - US export and import volumes for August. Trade balance. Important for assessing the risks of recession.
- 19:45 Kyiv and Moscow time / 21:45 Astana time - Speech by US Federal Reserve member Bostic (a member with "dovish" rhetoric and the right to vote).
Recall that key events for the markets in macroeconomics will begin this week on Wednesday evening - https://www.binance.com/ru-UA/square/post/14554429641114
The day is generally calm in terms of macroeconomics and we do not expect any surges in volatility:
- 15:30 Kyiv and Moscow time / 17:30 Astana time - US export and import volumes for August. Trade balance. Important for assessing the risks of recession.
- 19:45 Kyiv and Moscow time / 21:45 Astana time - Speech by US Federal Reserve member Bostic (a member with "dovish" rhetoric and the right to vote).
Recall that key events for the markets in macroeconomics will begin this week on Wednesday evening - https://www.binance.com/ru-UA/square/post/14554429641114
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Institutional money shows outflow from crypto market for the first time in 4 weeks
Institutional money showed an outflow from the crypto market for the first time in 4 weeks. BUT they continue to form diversified altcoin portfolios, for 4.5 months already. The total amount already exceeds $ 400 million. This is evidenced by the#Coinsharesdata for September 28 - October 4.
The outflow of capital from the crypto industry during this period amounted to -$147 million. At the same time, the situation was much more optimistic a week earlier - the inflow amounted to +$1.2 billion and was the largest in 10 weeks. According to analysts, “Better-than-expected economic data last week is the likely culprit” for the outflow.
The outflow of capital from the crypto industry during this period amounted to -$147 million. At the same time, the situation was much more optimistic a week earlier - the inflow amounted to +$1.2 billion and was the largest in 10 weeks. According to analysts, “Better-than-expected economic data last week is the likely culprit” for the outflow.
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Economic calendar of events for October 7-13 that could impact the crypto market
Economic calendar of events from October 7-13 that could impact the crypto market.
There are two key macroeconomic events this week - the release of US consumer inflation data on Thursday and US manufacturing inflation data on Friday.
Most of the other events are minor and primarily related to the US Federal Reserve - the publication of the minutes of the last meeting on Tuesday and speeches by Fed members. The "week of glory" will be for the head of the Atlanta Fed, Raphael Bostic. He already distinguished himself last week by his readiness to support a rate cut of 0.5 percentage points in November.
There are two key macroeconomic events this week - the release of US consumer inflation data on Thursday and US manufacturing inflation data on Friday.
Most of the other events are minor and primarily related to the US Federal Reserve - the publication of the minutes of the last meeting on Tuesday and speeches by Fed members. The "week of glory" will be for the head of the Atlanta Fed, Raphael Bostic. He already distinguished himself last week by his readiness to support a rate cut of 0.5 percentage points in November.
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BTC rate showed growth over the weekend and Monday, breaking down the descending candle structures early
The BTC rate showed growth over the weekend and Monday, breaking the descending candle structures ahead of schedule. And we expect a correction. The "did your indicator warn you" column continues 😐
Let us recall what we wrote all last week on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday:
"... The expected timing of the reversal, if the reversal potential is not broken, is the same - October 6-8. And the continuation of the growth of the BTC price volatility index, we recall, is until October 7-9..."
Let us recall what we wrote all last week on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday:
"... The expected timing of the reversal, if the reversal potential is not broken, is the same - October 6-8. And the continuation of the growth of the BTC price volatility index, we recall, is until October 7-9..."
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There is a feeling that after the current improvements, those who liked P73 Trend & Target Dynamics will like it even more 😄
This is a weekly timeframe, that is, a signal for long-term investments. But it has also become better on the lower TFs.
The final improvements are underway before the full release.
Once again, thanks to everyone who not only tested, but also filled out the questionnaire based on the test results. All wishes and ideas were taken into account as much as possible.
This is a weekly timeframe, that is, a signal for long-term investments. But it has also become better on the lower TFs.
The final improvements are underway before the full release.
Once again, thanks to everyone who not only tested, but also filled out the questionnaire based on the test results. All wishes and ideas were taken into account as much as possible.
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The BTC rate has continued to rebound since yesterday, which was allowed before further decline
The BTC rate has continued to rebound since yesterday, which was allowed before the further decline.
Let us recall a quote from the review:
"... the price approached an important resistance, EMA 200 of the four-hour TF (currently $61,646). The inability to break through it on October 1-2 already led to the price going to collect liquidity below. On the rebound on October 3-4, the price again came to this moving average, but on the hourly TF, the asset already has reversal formations in correction. Without breaking them, the move higher, to EMA 50 of the four-hour TF (currently $62,698) and, along the way, liquidity behind the high of October 2 $62,390."
Let us recall a quote from the review:
"... the price approached an important resistance, EMA 200 of the four-hour TF (currently $61,646). The inability to break through it on October 1-2 already led to the price going to collect liquidity below. On the rebound on October 3-4, the price again came to this moving average, but on the hourly TF, the asset already has reversal formations in correction. Without breaking them, the move higher, to EMA 50 of the four-hour TF (currently $62,698) and, along the way, liquidity behind the high of October 2 $62,390."
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We did it, cross-timeframe targets in our P73 Trend & Target Dynamics indicator will be.
When the trend changes on a specific TF, not only the basic movement targets are shown, but also the targets on other TFs, if they are currently available (that is, if the trends on the current and other TFs coincide). At the same time, the label immediately indicates from which timeframe the additional target for movement came. Specifically, on this screenshot you can see how the target of the 12-hour TF worked out on the 2-hour TF.
We struggled with the solution for a week so that it would be calculated correctly and so that the indicator would not slow down. The result will be in its new release!
A huge public thank you to our coder for not going crazy and never sending me). He really deserved it 👏
When the trend changes on a specific TF, not only the basic movement targets are shown, but also the targets on other TFs, if they are currently available (that is, if the trends on the current and other TFs coincide). At the same time, the label immediately indicates from which timeframe the additional target for movement came. Specifically, on this screenshot you can see how the target of the 12-hour TF worked out on the 2-hour TF.
We struggled with the solution for a week so that it would be calculated correctly and so that the indicator would not slow down. The result will be in its new release!
A huge public thank you to our coder for not going crazy and never sending me). He really deserved it 👏
See original
Strong US labor market data has reshaped expectations for the Fed's interest rate.
After the release of the data, according to #CMEGroup, market expectations for the US Fed's interest rate decision on November 7 look like this:
- 0% - there will either be a pause or a decrease of 0.25 percentage points.
- 91% - there will be a decrease of 0.25 percentage points (before the release of macro data it was 69.5%).
- 9% - there will be a decrease of either 0.5 percentage points (before the release of macro data it was 30.5%).
Loud headlines from media outlets like#Bloombergare forcing market players to change their expectations. Gold is falling, and the US Dollar Index#DXYis growing on this data and aiming for the volume level of 103.374, where the EMA 200 of the daily TF is located. it has even broken through the trend since the end of July. But overall, it is still in a downtrend and we are expecting a correction to start next week.
We are waiting for the opening of trading on the stock market, but the S&P 500 futures show that the stock market is also reacting positively, there will be a gap in trading. And the picture of #BTС has already been shown, technically, arguments for correction remain. Let's see if the figure will be broken. The correlation of the stock and crypto markets remains high now.
After the release of the data, according to #CMEGroup, market expectations for the US Fed's interest rate decision on November 7 look like this:
- 0% - there will either be a pause or a decrease of 0.25 percentage points.
- 91% - there will be a decrease of 0.25 percentage points (before the release of macro data it was 69.5%).
- 9% - there will be a decrease of either 0.5 percentage points (before the release of macro data it was 30.5%).
Loud headlines from media outlets like#Bloombergare forcing market players to change their expectations. Gold is falling, and the US Dollar Index#DXYis growing on this data and aiming for the volume level of 103.374, where the EMA 200 of the daily TF is located. it has even broken through the trend since the end of July. But overall, it is still in a downtrend and we are expecting a correction to start next week.
We are waiting for the opening of trading on the stock market, but the S&P 500 futures show that the stock market is also reacting positively, there will be a gap in trading. And the picture of #BTС has already been shown, technically, arguments for correction remain. Let's see if the figure will be broken. The correlation of the stock and crypto markets remains high now.
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US Labor Market Shows Strength - All Data Beats Forecasts
The US labor market is showing strength, with all data coming in better than expected. The nonfarm payrolls figures are particularly notable.
- Average hourly earnings (MoM) (September) 0.4% vs. 0.3% forecast and 0.5% previous.
- Average hourly earnings (year-over-year) (September) - 4.0% vs. 3.8% forecast and 3.9% previous.
- Average hourly earnings (MoM) (September) 0.4% vs. 0.3% forecast and 0.5% previous.
- Average hourly earnings (year-over-year) (September) - 4.0% vs. 3.8% forecast and 3.9% previous.
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Important events for the crypto market on October 4 from the economic calendar
Important events for the crypto market on October 4 from the economic calendar. In less than 30 minutes, the crypto market expects increased volatility based on US macroeconomic data:
❗️- 15:30 Kyiv and Moscow time / 17:30 Astana time - Large pool of data on the US labor market for September: Average hourly earnings, Change in the number of people employed in the non-farm sector, Share of the economically active population, Unemployment rate.
❗️- 15:30 Kyiv and Moscow time / 17:30 Astana time - Large pool of data on the US labor market for September: Average hourly earnings, Change in the number of people employed in the non-farm sector, Share of the economically active population, Unemployment rate.
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BTC rate yesterday updated the low in the decline, $59,828, our expectation is that the price will go lower after a rebound
The BTC rate yesterday updated the low in the decline, $59,828, our expectation is that the price will go lower through a rebound. But the rebound is also questionable if the price cannot break through the high of the day $61,646 in the coming hours.
Now the price has approached an important resistance, EMA 200 of the four-hour TF (currently exactly $62,646).
The failure to break through it on October 1-2 already led to the price going to collect liquidity below. On the rebound on October 3-4, the price again came to this moving average, but on the hourly TF, the asset already has reversal formations in correction.
Now the price has approached an important resistance, EMA 200 of the four-hour TF (currently exactly $62,646).
The failure to break through it on October 1-2 already led to the price going to collect liquidity below. On the rebound on October 3-4, the price again came to this moving average, but on the hourly TF, the asset already has reversal formations in correction.
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The BTC rate has been below the 50 EMA of the daily TF for the third day.
All attempts to break above this moving average and above the neighboring volume level of $61,231 have failed. Yesterday's daily candle for#BTCclosed bearish. If today's also closes below these resistances, a sharp downward impulse may follow the liquidity behind the low of September 18 at $59,174.
The candle structure remains downward, everything else important has already been said in recent days. While the price is below $61,231, we expect the correction to continue and at least a test of the volume level of $59,335. The expected reversal dates, if the reversal potential is not broken, are the same - October 6-8. Don't come and talk about an early breakdown of the downtrend yet. Based on the performance of the 73 Trend & Target Dynamics targets on the 15-minute TF, it is clear that all three basic targets for stable downtrends are being worked out, and only 1-2 basic targets for stable uptrends. Sellers still dominate.
$BTC
All attempts to break above this moving average and above the neighboring volume level of $61,231 have failed. Yesterday's daily candle for#BTCclosed bearish. If today's also closes below these resistances, a sharp downward impulse may follow the liquidity behind the low of September 18 at $59,174.
The candle structure remains downward, everything else important has already been said in recent days. While the price is below $61,231, we expect the correction to continue and at least a test of the volume level of $59,335. The expected reversal dates, if the reversal potential is not broken, are the same - October 6-8. Don't come and talk about an early breakdown of the downtrend yet. Based on the performance of the 73 Trend & Target Dynamics targets on the 15-minute TF, it is clear that all three basic targets for stable downtrends are being worked out, and only 1-2 basic targets for stable uptrends. Sellers still dominate.
$BTC
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This time our forecast of a quick surge in BTC price volatility worked out perfectly
This time, our forecast of a quick surge in BTC price volatility worked out perfectly.
On September 30, we wrote that the Bitcoin Historical Volatility Index was preparing a potential reversal and a surge in BTC price volatility. And we even put a green vertical line on October 1 as a potential reversal date for the Index.
On September 30, we wrote that the Bitcoin Historical Volatility Index was preparing a potential reversal and a surge in BTC price volatility. And we even put a green vertical line on October 1 as a potential reversal date for the Index.
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QCP Capital analysts believe that the situation in the Middle East will not cancel the crypto market bull run
QCP Capital analysts believe that the situation in the Middle East will not cancel the crypto market bull run.
BUT they warn about the risks of a correction of#BTCto $55,000. Plus they note that of all the financial markets, the cryptocurrency market has suffered the most.
But in general,#QCPCapitalhas a positive view of the situation with financial markets and pays more attention not to the Middle East, the actions of China and the US Federal Reserve:
BUT they warn about the risks of a correction of#BTCto $55,000. Plus they note that of all the financial markets, the cryptocurrency market has suffered the most.
But in general,#QCPCapitalhas a positive view of the situation with financial markets and pays more attention not to the Middle East, the actions of China and the US Federal Reserve:
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BTC looks like there will be an escalation in the Middle East. Or another reason will be found for a decline
The BTC rate movements look like there will either be more escalation in the Middle East or another reason will be found. The current chart does not promise growth.
Sellers are still stronger, since the release of the morning review there has been a clear reaction of sellers from EMA 200 of the four-hour TF and EMA 50 of the daily TF. The fight is for the volume level of $61,231. And we bet that the bulls will lose it. The next stop in this case is EMA 200 of the daily TF (currently $59,880) and the volume level area of $59,335.
Sellers are still stronger, since the release of the morning review there has been a clear reaction of sellers from EMA 200 of the four-hour TF and EMA 50 of the daily TF. The fight is for the volume level of $61,231. And we bet that the bulls will lose it. The next stop in this case is EMA 200 of the daily TF (currently $59,880) and the volume level area of $59,335.
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BTC spent the night below the EMA 200 of the 4-hour timeframe, but broke through it on the current candle
The BTC rate spent the night under the EMA 200 of the four-hour TF, but broke through it on the current candle. In addition, the price is currently above the EMA 50 of the daily TF (currently $61,404). As long as the price is above these supports, we can expect further growth.
While the#BTCprice is above the EMA 200 of the four-hour TF (currently $61,737) - it is heading towards the nearest important resistances:
While the#BTCprice is above the EMA 200 of the four-hour TF (currently $61,737) - it is heading towards the nearest important resistances:
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