飞龙宝宝
@lf327369
区块链技术密码学资深天才，土狗冲击者，MeMe忠实爱好者。价值投资一场空，梭哈MeMe住黄宫。你我皆是黑马。心有多大，舞台就有多大！只有想不到的，没有做不到的！
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1月份暂停降息，只要不重返加息预期（比如通胀反弹，劳动力市场紧张等反应）对与我的理解来说都无所谓
虽然通胀反反复复可能会影响美联储降息节奏，但是最起码从现在来看美经济还是很有韧性的。
衰退晚点来二季度末在再来，配合一下三季度冰点。
虽然通胀反反复复可能会影响美联储降息节奏，但是最起码从现在来看美经济还是很有韧性的。
衰退晚点来二季度末在再来，配合一下三季度冰点。
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Trading must enter the market in the trend; lying flat and not moving is the essence of all profitable trades. Winning without action is better than winning with action. No matter how spectacular the operation is, it is all ephemeral. A good warrior has no great achievements, and a good strategist has no brilliant moves; this is the principle.
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#币安MegadropSOLV #加密市场回调 #本轮牛市周期预期 #微策略持续增持BTC #币安Alpha上新 $BTC $ETH
Good morning, brothers. A black swan came last night.
It brought the cryptocurrency market down. Will the market be bearish next?
The US job vacancy data released last night far exceeded expectations. This shows that companies have a great demand for recruitment. The labor market has not cooled down. Therefore, the market has lowered its expectations for the Fed's interest rate cut. Now the expectations are very pessimistic: no interest rate cut before July next year. This is what caused the cryptocurrency market to collapse. Binance's 4-hour transaction volume was the largest in 2 months, exceeding 1.2 billion US dollars. The transaction volume was much larger than when it fell to $91,000 two weeks ago. When we doubt the direction, we can only study the on-chain data more and study how big capital operates. From the on-chain data, after yesterday's big drop: (1) BTC flowed out of the exchange, mainly 7,000 BTC flowed out of the exchange, indicating that big investors are still buying at the bottom. (2) Stablecoins did not flow out and remained strong. With such a large transaction volume and on-chain data, it feels like the price has fallen enough. Next, let's look at Friday's non-farm payrolls and employment rate. If it is positive (probability 40%), it will rebound to 100,000 soon. If it is negative (60%), it may fall to $95,000.
Then around the time Trump took office, it began to rebound and return to its high point
Good morning, brothers. A black swan came last night.
It brought the cryptocurrency market down. Will the market be bearish next?
The US job vacancy data released last night far exceeded expectations. This shows that companies have a great demand for recruitment. The labor market has not cooled down. Therefore, the market has lowered its expectations for the Fed's interest rate cut. Now the expectations are very pessimistic: no interest rate cut before July next year. This is what caused the cryptocurrency market to collapse. Binance's 4-hour transaction volume was the largest in 2 months, exceeding 1.2 billion US dollars. The transaction volume was much larger than when it fell to $91,000 two weeks ago. When we doubt the direction, we can only study the on-chain data more and study how big capital operates. From the on-chain data, after yesterday's big drop: (1) BTC flowed out of the exchange, mainly 7,000 BTC flowed out of the exchange, indicating that big investors are still buying at the bottom. (2) Stablecoins did not flow out and remained strong. With such a large transaction volume and on-chain data, it feels like the price has fallen enough. Next, let's look at Friday's non-farm payrolls and employment rate. If it is positive (probability 40%), it will rebound to 100,000 soon. If it is negative (60%), it may fall to $95,000.
Then around the time Trump took office, it began to rebound and return to its high point
See original
Market funds are limited; when Bitcoin rises, it can't pull up Ethereum. Yesterday, when Bitcoin surged, the exchange rate of Ethereum quickly fell back. Therefore, for Ethereum to rise significantly, Bitcoin cannot increase too much. Currently, Bitcoin has already risen, so we can only wait for Bitcoin to pull back, allowing Ethereum and other altcoins to have room for a rebound!
Currently, FTX's compensation has begun, and there are relatively many positive factors in the first quarter. Therefore, it is highly likely to support a wave of profitable market conditions. However, it is also important to manage the rhythm of market fluctuations to maximize profits!
Currently, FTX's compensation has begun, and there are relatively many positive factors in the first quarter. Therefore, it is highly likely to support a wave of profitable market conditions. However, it is also important to manage the rhythm of market fluctuations to maximize profits!
See original
Recent Opportunities in the Crypto World
BTC returning to 100,000, but discussion is extremely low. It feels like this might be related to most people's coins being in other projects — based on vague experience, during times like this, one often needs to be cautious about participating in ultra-high-risk projects or to take profits in a timely manner, converting gains back to BTC or U.
Because if everyone's money is in altcoins, new money in altcoins will be scarce.
AI agents have actually been relatively weak recently, with Virtual and AI16Z still in a pullback, which is quite normal since they had previously risen too much; it's not a big issue as they remain the strongest in ecology, capital, and all aspects.
A clearly noticeable trading opportunity recently is the chance on January 20th when Trump takes office; Trump-related assets have recently seen a huge surge. If you want to buy, try to choose a few with large trading volumes, like LINK, AAVE, or COW, and sell before they explode or before Trump takes office.
The meme sector, such as DOGE and PEPE, has also seen very little increase, but it is said that Twitter will use Dogecoin as payment; if Dogecoin rises, other mainstream memes like NEIRO, BABYDOGE, and WIF will have good opportunities.
Additionally, there is the opportunity with UNI; Unichain should be launching soon, and it should also see some hype.
The Ethereum-related altcoins have had minimal growth, mainly due to ETH not reaching new highs; it hasn't even broken 4,000, and there is a clear lack of interest in ETH from funds. The staking tracks and decentralized exchange tracks have not been hyped.
For Ethereum-related assets to rise, it must be based on the continuous increase of Ethereum, particularly with the upcoming Prague upgrade in March. You can pay attention to ENS, ETHFI, and EIGEN.
All of the above are visible and explicit opportunities.
BTC returning to 100,000, but discussion is extremely low. It feels like this might be related to most people's coins being in other projects — based on vague experience, during times like this, one often needs to be cautious about participating in ultra-high-risk projects or to take profits in a timely manner, converting gains back to BTC or U.
Because if everyone's money is in altcoins, new money in altcoins will be scarce.
AI agents have actually been relatively weak recently, with Virtual and AI16Z still in a pullback, which is quite normal since they had previously risen too much; it's not a big issue as they remain the strongest in ecology, capital, and all aspects.
A clearly noticeable trading opportunity recently is the chance on January 20th when Trump takes office; Trump-related assets have recently seen a huge surge. If you want to buy, try to choose a few with large trading volumes, like LINK, AAVE, or COW, and sell before they explode or before Trump takes office.
The meme sector, such as DOGE and PEPE, has also seen very little increase, but it is said that Twitter will use Dogecoin as payment; if Dogecoin rises, other mainstream memes like NEIRO, BABYDOGE, and WIF will have good opportunities.
Additionally, there is the opportunity with UNI; Unichain should be launching soon, and it should also see some hype.
The Ethereum-related altcoins have had minimal growth, mainly due to ETH not reaching new highs; it hasn't even broken 4,000, and there is a clear lack of interest in ETH from funds. The staking tracks and decentralized exchange tracks have not been hyped.
For Ethereum-related assets to rise, it must be based on the continuous increase of Ethereum, particularly with the upcoming Prague upgrade in March. You can pay attention to ENS, ETHFI, and EIGEN.
All of the above are visible and explicit opportunities.
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Small wins rely on intelligence, big wins rely on virtue, stay away from bands and contracts, diamond hands are not not smart, but have a big picture and ambition.
Opportunity: Every 3 to 5 years, this circle will have a big opportunity for you. As long as you seize this opportunity, you can make more money than you could have made in the past 10 years.
1) Market trend
BTC rose sharply, and the copycats did not follow.
US stocks rose. The US dollar index weakened, and reports said that Trump's tariff range narrowed.
2) Market hot spots:
1. WLD, Render, IQ and other AI exchanges rose, and Sun Ge's JST and BTC rose. Sun Ge wants to all in AI.
2. AI16z, ARC, Swarms, Griffain and other AI sectors on the chain rose. AI16z and ARC have strategic cooperation. Swarms is controlled by a strong dealer. Speculation funds are diverted to the third and fourth dragons.
3. Fartcoin, GOAT, Pnut, Chillguy and other meme stocks fell.
Opportunity: Every 3 to 5 years, this circle will have a big opportunity for you. As long as you seize this opportunity, you can make more money than you could have made in the past 10 years.
1) Market trend
BTC rose sharply, and the copycats did not follow.
US stocks rose. The US dollar index weakened, and reports said that Trump's tariff range narrowed.
2) Market hot spots:
1. WLD, Render, IQ and other AI exchanges rose, and Sun Ge's JST and BTC rose. Sun Ge wants to all in AI.
2. AI16z, ARC, Swarms, Griffain and other AI sectors on the chain rose. AI16z and ARC have strategic cooperation. Swarms is controlled by a strong dealer. Speculation funds are diverted to the third and fourth dragons.
3. Fartcoin, GOAT, Pnut, Chillguy and other meme stocks fell.
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Good morning, brothers. Yesterday, BTC surged,
breaking through $102,000 in one go.
Last week we said BTC would break 100,000 this week, and we hit it accurately!
What will happen next in the market?
There is a significant anomaly in on-chain data:
(1) Over 5,000 BTC flowed out of Binance
(2) A large amount of stablecoins flowed into exchanges
It seems that the whales are still bottom-fishing.
MicroStrategy announced yesterday that it purchased 1,070 bitcoins in the last two days of 2024.
They spent approximately $101 million in cash to buy 1,070 bitcoins,
at an average price of about $94,004 per bitcoin.
When it dropped to $94,000, many thought there would be a big crash,
and said it would fall to the 80s.
But at that time, the whales started bottom-fishing,
and this position was also the bottom price suggested by Bitcoin Eagle at that time.
In the next few days, BTC should start to fluctuate with slight pullbacks,
gathering strength for a few days before attacking. Altcoins are likely to suffer.
We need to pay attention to the unemployment rate and non-farm data on Friday.
If the unemployment rate is high and employment is low, it will be beneficial for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates.
BTC and the crypto market will continue to surge, welcoming the next wave of altcoin season in advance.
Otherwise, a significant BTC surge combined with the chill effect on altcoins
will lead to a certain correction in altcoins.
breaking through $102,000 in one go.
Last week we said BTC would break 100,000 this week, and we hit it accurately!
What will happen next in the market?
There is a significant anomaly in on-chain data:
(1) Over 5,000 BTC flowed out of Binance
(2) A large amount of stablecoins flowed into exchanges
It seems that the whales are still bottom-fishing.
MicroStrategy announced yesterday that it purchased 1,070 bitcoins in the last two days of 2024.
They spent approximately $101 million in cash to buy 1,070 bitcoins,
at an average price of about $94,004 per bitcoin.
When it dropped to $94,000, many thought there would be a big crash,
and said it would fall to the 80s.
But at that time, the whales started bottom-fishing,
and this position was also the bottom price suggested by Bitcoin Eagle at that time.
In the next few days, BTC should start to fluctuate with slight pullbacks,
gathering strength for a few days before attacking. Altcoins are likely to suffer.
We need to pay attention to the unemployment rate and non-farm data on Friday.
If the unemployment rate is high and employment is low, it will be beneficial for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates.
BTC and the crypto market will continue to surge, welcoming the next wave of altcoin season in advance.
Otherwise, a significant BTC surge combined with the chill effect on altcoins
will lead to a certain correction in altcoins.
See original
My own style of playing with knockoffs is relatively aggressive and can easily get me carried away.
My account often doubles or loses 30%-50% in a week, so after making a profit, I need to withdraw and isolate the funds.
Withdrawing profits and isolating funds is a very correct operation system,
The problem is
I overestimated my abilities, thinking that I could make money in the stock market as easily as I did in the cryptocurrency space, not realizing how fundamentally different the two are.
Moreover, my investments in the stock market are not small [tears]
I'm not blaming myself for the losses, but reflecting on why I didn't realize this simple truth sooner:
1. Investing too much money in an unfamiliar field,
Having never made significant profits in the stock market, yet investing several million all at once.
2. Not being responsible enough for my own 💰,
In the future, I will carefully research any investment over 100.
🚩 In 2025, I must immediately correct any mistakes I discover, and I need to sell any wrongly purchased assets immediately; I cannot hold onto losing positions.
My account often doubles or loses 30%-50% in a week, so after making a profit, I need to withdraw and isolate the funds.
Withdrawing profits and isolating funds is a very correct operation system,
The problem is
I overestimated my abilities, thinking that I could make money in the stock market as easily as I did in the cryptocurrency space, not realizing how fundamentally different the two are.
Moreover, my investments in the stock market are not small [tears]
I'm not blaming myself for the losses, but reflecting on why I didn't realize this simple truth sooner:
1. Investing too much money in an unfamiliar field,
Having never made significant profits in the stock market, yet investing several million all at once.
2. Not being responsible enough for my own 💰,
In the future, I will carefully research any investment over 100.
🚩 In 2025, I must immediately correct any mistakes I discover, and I need to sell any wrongly purchased assets immediately; I cannot hold onto losing positions.
See original
If I summarize the logic that has helped me the most in the past two or three years, I think the following are (most of the old group members should have an accurate understanding of the meaning behind them)
1. Only valuation, no prediction
2. Be sure + heavy position
3. Technology is not worth mentioning, consensus is worth a lot of money
4. Go fishing where there are many fish
5. You don’t need to know a lot, just make money on one or two targets that you can understand
6. "I have never encountered a good business with bad people in my 90s"
And so on
Investing is investing in people, because the essence of investment is actually where you put your money
For example, if you put it in USDT, you actually trust the United States and Tether
If you put it in BTC, you actually trust Satoshi Nakamoto and his blockchain philosophy
If you put it in ETH, you actually recognize people and his ideas of Vitalik
Of course, these statements are extremely inaccurate, but they are extremely simple to the point of being suitable for understanding and expression
I currently hold a large position in uni, and ena is actually also an investment in people
AI sector, SWARMS, technology is not my specialty, and the current development is also very good. From a speculative perspective, I think it is better than most of the MEMEs we speculated in the past. But if I were to invest in people, I would not hold a large position - I will not comment on right or wrong here, nor discuss the truth, because after combining all kinds of information, I naturally know whether he is someone I like, and that is enough.
It's like falling in love. You meet a very beautiful girl. Some people say she loves to lie, some say she loves to act, and some say she has a lot of thoughts, but in the end we have to judge for ourselves. Judgment does not necessarily mean verifying all of these things about her, but maybe after some subtle interactions, you find that you are not suitable, so you give up - that's it. This does not mean that I am NB and this girl is not good. It's just that I have my own evaluation criteria. There are three thousand rivers, but I only take one scoop - you don't need to understand many targets, and you don't need to seize every opportunity. Just seize the opportunity that you understand and like.
Investing is investing in people - investing is a reflection of your own personality.
1. Only valuation, no prediction
2. Be sure + heavy position
3. Technology is not worth mentioning, consensus is worth a lot of money
4. Go fishing where there are many fish
5. You don’t need to know a lot, just make money on one or two targets that you can understand
6. "I have never encountered a good business with bad people in my 90s"
And so on
Investing is investing in people, because the essence of investment is actually where you put your money
For example, if you put it in USDT, you actually trust the United States and Tether
If you put it in BTC, you actually trust Satoshi Nakamoto and his blockchain philosophy
If you put it in ETH, you actually recognize people and his ideas of Vitalik
Of course, these statements are extremely inaccurate, but they are extremely simple to the point of being suitable for understanding and expression
I currently hold a large position in uni, and ena is actually also an investment in people
AI sector, SWARMS, technology is not my specialty, and the current development is also very good. From a speculative perspective, I think it is better than most of the MEMEs we speculated in the past. But if I were to invest in people, I would not hold a large position - I will not comment on right or wrong here, nor discuss the truth, because after combining all kinds of information, I naturally know whether he is someone I like, and that is enough.
It's like falling in love. You meet a very beautiful girl. Some people say she loves to lie, some say she loves to act, and some say she has a lot of thoughts, but in the end we have to judge for ourselves. Judgment does not necessarily mean verifying all of these things about her, but maybe after some subtle interactions, you find that you are not suitable, so you give up - that's it. This does not mean that I am NB and this girl is not good. It's just that I have my own evaluation criteria. There are three thousand rivers, but I only take one scoop - you don't need to understand many targets, and you don't need to seize every opportunity. Just seize the opportunity that you understand and like.
Investing is investing in people - investing is a reflection of your own personality.
See original
Trump will return to the White House on January 20, 2025
The following coins can be preemptively positioned, and there will definitely be a wave of speculation at that time
$RSR: The new SEC head is a former executive of RSR
$ZRX: New advisor for the White House AI department
Coins held by Trump's team: $ENA, $ONDO, $LINK, $AAVE, $COW
$DOGE: The efficiency department is named DOGE, Dogecoin will also be speculated
The following coins can be preemptively positioned, and there will definitely be a wave of speculation at that time
$RSR: The new SEC head is a former executive of RSR
$ZRX: New advisor for the White House AI department
Coins held by Trump's team: $ENA, $ONDO, $LINK, $AAVE, $COW
$DOGE: The efficiency department is named DOGE, Dogecoin will also be speculated
See original
If the market in the next few months goes as I expect, keeping up with my pace and reaching above A7, pushing for A8 or A8.5 should not be a problem.
In fact, when making money, everyone is making money, it's just a matter of how much. In my view, escaping at the peak is the most important thing. Of course, no one can hit the highest point; after meeting the target, one can gradually retreat in a relatively calm manner.
In fact, when making money, everyone is making money, it's just a matter of how much. In my view, escaping at the peak is the most important thing. Of course, no one can hit the highest point; after meeting the target, one can gradually retreat in a relatively calm manner.
See original
After Bitcoin (大饼) found support below #比特币走势观察 , it rebounded and broke through the short-term downtrend line, currently being in an upward trend. The current rise has formed an ascending channel, thus maintaining the view for further rebounds. At the same time, it is necessary to observe whether the already broken trend line and resistance levels can form support, using this as a basis for operations.
Currently, the probability of testing 100K again has increased, but caution is needed due to potential pullbacks caused by profit-taking. It is advised not to chase highs for now, but to wait for opportunities when the price retraces.
If the first resistance level is broken, it will be an important signal of breaking the previous high point, indicating that the key resistance level has been breached. Once 100K is broken, Bitcoin is likely to experience a rapid rise due to bullish sentiment in the short term.
If the test at 99.4K fails, a pullback may occur in the short term. In this case, the 20-day and 60-day moving averages, along with 97.5K, can be considered as phased key support targets, looking for ultra-short-term entry opportunities during the pullback.
The current psychological resistance level of 100K is right in front of us. It is suggested to observe whether the lows continue to rise within sufficient pullback areas, maintaining rebound expectations. If the lows are broken, the testing time for 100K may be delayed. If Bitcoin stabilizes above yesterday's high of 98.5K, the bullish expectation can continue for the day.
Currently, the probability of testing 100K again has increased, but caution is needed due to potential pullbacks caused by profit-taking. It is advised not to chase highs for now, but to wait for opportunities when the price retraces.
If the first resistance level is broken, it will be an important signal of breaking the previous high point, indicating that the key resistance level has been breached. Once 100K is broken, Bitcoin is likely to experience a rapid rise due to bullish sentiment in the short term.
If the test at 99.4K fails, a pullback may occur in the short term. In this case, the 20-day and 60-day moving averages, along with 97.5K, can be considered as phased key support targets, looking for ultra-short-term entry opportunities during the pullback.
The current psychological resistance level of 100K is right in front of us. It is suggested to observe whether the lows continue to rise within sufficient pullback areas, maintaining rebound expectations. If the lows are broken, the testing time for 100K may be delayed. If Bitcoin stabilizes above yesterday's high of 98.5K, the bullish expectation can continue for the day.
See original
"Four Three Three System",
Four layers of long positions, three layers of short positions, three layers left empty for maneuvering
1. In a bull market, four layers of long positions are enough; two to three layers of mainstream positions do not need to be adjusted.
Selecting ten potential altcoins with one or two layers of pressure is sufficient; if one out of ten becomes ten times, even if the others go to zero, there is no loss, and having 30% of the bets right is pretty good! The rest is left to fate.
2. Use the three layers of short positions to find opportunities for hotspots!
Otherwise, if the long positions are fully loaded and continue to drop daily, you won't even have a place to cry!
3. Leaving 30% of the positions empty is to leave a way out for oneself,
A man with money is a man, but a man without money is difficult,
To prevent being caught off guard by unexpected events and becoming helpless!
Four layers of long positions, three layers of short positions, three layers left empty for maneuvering
1. In a bull market, four layers of long positions are enough; two to three layers of mainstream positions do not need to be adjusted.
Selecting ten potential altcoins with one or two layers of pressure is sufficient; if one out of ten becomes ten times, even if the others go to zero, there is no loss, and having 30% of the bets right is pretty good! The rest is left to fate.
2. Use the three layers of short positions to find opportunities for hotspots!
Otherwise, if the long positions are fully loaded and continue to drop daily, you won't even have a place to cry!
3. Leaving 30% of the positions empty is to leave a way out for oneself,
A man with money is a man, but a man without money is difficult,
To prevent being caught off guard by unexpected events and becoming helpless!
See original
25 years will be a good year for the entire industry. Seize this year! You may get the result that you have worked hard for 10 years! Therefore, I hope that all the partners who see this can grasp this round of big market! You must know that even if you are trapped now, it is only 10-20 points. Ask yourself, is the floating loss of 10-20% in the currency circle a loss? But once you miss the opportunity, you will miss this whole bull market, and even more partners will rush in to take over, and you will lose money if you miss the whole bull market. At the same time, I also suggest that you touch less contracts! In the bull market, do more pins, don't lose your position, and no matter how big the bull market is, it will have nothing to do with you!
Cryptocurrency currently supports 97,000 and the pressure is 102,000. In the recent market, the price of Bitcoin is mainly volatile!
Maybe everyone has limited funds, and most of the holdings are mainly cottages. As for when the cottage market will start, it mainly depends on ETH. ETH is the leader of cottages. When the exchange rate strengthens, funds will overflow to cottages and emotions will flow to cottages! I am more optimistic about the market in January-April! ETH will be upgraded in March, algo will be pledged in the first quarter, and it is also a US compliance board. Find high-quality targets for layout! Be patient and hold positions!
Cryptocurrency currently supports 97,000 and the pressure is 102,000. In the recent market, the price of Bitcoin is mainly volatile!
Maybe everyone has limited funds, and most of the holdings are mainly cottages. As for when the cottage market will start, it mainly depends on ETH. ETH is the leader of cottages. When the exchange rate strengthens, funds will overflow to cottages and emotions will flow to cottages! I am more optimistic about the market in January-April! ETH will be upgraded in March, algo will be pledged in the first quarter, and it is also a US compliance board. Find high-quality targets for layout! Be patient and hold positions!
See original
Good morning, brothers. A new week has begun.
Last week we experienced a major rebound in the crypto market.
On Saturday and Sunday, on-chain data showed
(1) BTC slightly flowed out of exchanges, especially there was no increase in BTC within Binance
(2) Stablecoins did not flow out
The market is still healthy
The decline in December is a continuation of the bull market
After a 3-week adjustment, on-chain data shows two trends
(1) BTC continues to flow out of exchanges
(2) Stablecoins did not flow out in large quantities, maintaining a constant amount
On the last day of last week, ETF inflows reached $900 million
This week, as traditional funds continue to buy in large amounts through ETFs
BTC will return to $100,000
On Friday, non-farm payrolls and unemployment rate will be announced
If there are not many jobs and unemployment is high, then BTC will accelerate back to its peak
Coupled with Trump's election on January 20th, there will be a big surge
Doge is expected to return to its peak
This week, Uni's public chain will welcome more news
Uni's first target is around $20, mid-term $25, long-term above $30
ETH is expected to return to $4000, but the momentum is not very strong
BNB will challenge $800 this week
Last week we experienced a major rebound in the crypto market.
On Saturday and Sunday, on-chain data showed
(1) BTC slightly flowed out of exchanges, especially there was no increase in BTC within Binance
(2) Stablecoins did not flow out
The market is still healthy
The decline in December is a continuation of the bull market
After a 3-week adjustment, on-chain data shows two trends
(1) BTC continues to flow out of exchanges
(2) Stablecoins did not flow out in large quantities, maintaining a constant amount
On the last day of last week, ETF inflows reached $900 million
This week, as traditional funds continue to buy in large amounts through ETFs
BTC will return to $100,000
On Friday, non-farm payrolls and unemployment rate will be announced
If there are not many jobs and unemployment is high, then BTC will accelerate back to its peak
Coupled with Trump's election on January 20th, there will be a big surge
Doge is expected to return to its peak
This week, Uni's public chain will welcome more news
Uni's first target is around $20, mid-term $25, long-term above $30
ETH is expected to return to $4000, but the momentum is not very strong
BNB will challenge $800 this week
See original
I categorize the existing altcoins into four types:
1. Outdated
These coins emerged earlier, have outdated topics, and limited scalability, mostly being mining coins. It is expected that they will not surpass their 2021 peak by 2025. This category includes: $ETC, $FIL, $BSV, $ICP, etc.
2. Conventional
These coins appeared before 2021, have a certain market share, and their projects are still actively operating and developing. The prices of these coins are expected to fluctuate in sync with the overall market, with total market value increasing by 1-2 times. This category includes: $LINK, $CRV, $NEAR, $XRP, $XLM, $AR, etc.
3. Representative
These coins appeared in 2021 and later, representing (recognized) advanced productive forces and future development directions. The upper limit of these coins is higher than that of conventional coins, and they are likely to grow stronger in a bull market. This category includes: $SOL, $OP, $SUI, $WLD, $IMX, $MAGIC, $EIGEN, etc.
4. Dark Horse Prince
Emerging between 2022-2025, these coins do not belong to the mainstream narrative but are gradually coming into mainstream view, with significant room for future development; however, they also have a risk of failing, depending on whether they can become part of the mainstream narrative and continue to be a hot topic.
This category includes: $ORDI, $NEIRO, $PNUT, $BONK, $PEPE, $KAS, etc.
As a prudent leveraged bull, my main positions are in categories 2 and 3, while trying to balance category 4 and avoid category 1 as much as possible.
1. Outdated
These coins emerged earlier, have outdated topics, and limited scalability, mostly being mining coins. It is expected that they will not surpass their 2021 peak by 2025. This category includes: $ETC, $FIL, $BSV, $ICP, etc.
2. Conventional
These coins appeared before 2021, have a certain market share, and their projects are still actively operating and developing. The prices of these coins are expected to fluctuate in sync with the overall market, with total market value increasing by 1-2 times. This category includes: $LINK, $CRV, $NEAR, $XRP, $XLM, $AR, etc.
3. Representative
These coins appeared in 2021 and later, representing (recognized) advanced productive forces and future development directions. The upper limit of these coins is higher than that of conventional coins, and they are likely to grow stronger in a bull market. This category includes: $SOL, $OP, $SUI, $WLD, $IMX, $MAGIC, $EIGEN, etc.
4. Dark Horse Prince
Emerging between 2022-2025, these coins do not belong to the mainstream narrative but are gradually coming into mainstream view, with significant room for future development; however, they also have a risk of failing, depending on whether they can become part of the mainstream narrative and continue to be a hot topic.
This category includes: $ORDI, $NEIRO, $PNUT, $BONK, $PEPE, $KAS, etc.
As a prudent leveraged bull, my main positions are in categories 2 and 3, while trying to balance category 4 and avoid category 1 as much as possible.
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In the cryptocurrency market, the suppression by major funds is often aimed at forcing retail investors to exit. The main players will never allow retail investors to easily build positions at low prices and profit; on the contrary, they will pressure retail investors to cut losses and exit, and then raise the price to get retail investors to buy high.
Trading is essentially a contest of patience and financial strength. Before the main players are ready to lift prices, they typically use their deep financial resources to repeatedly push down the coin price to clean out floating capital in the market. During this phase, we must avoid panic selling at low prices; instead, we should be skilled at gradually adding to our positions as prices fall, seizing every opportunity for high selling and low buying to reduce our holding costs. The key is to operate rationally, control our positions, and adopt a strategy of 'light positions for testing and heavy positions for low buying.'
As retail investors, it is unrealistic to compete head-on with the main players in terms of financial resources; this is our disadvantage. We should choose to patiently wait in the oversold area, using time to gain space and wear down the patience of the main players. Only in this way can we achieve higher returns when the coin price warms up, while also avoiding being washed out.
Trading is essentially a contest of patience and financial strength. Before the main players are ready to lift prices, they typically use their deep financial resources to repeatedly push down the coin price to clean out floating capital in the market. During this phase, we must avoid panic selling at low prices; instead, we should be skilled at gradually adding to our positions as prices fall, seizing every opportunity for high selling and low buying to reduce our holding costs. The key is to operate rationally, control our positions, and adopt a strategy of 'light positions for testing and heavy positions for low buying.'
As retail investors, it is unrealistic to compete head-on with the main players in terms of financial resources; this is our disadvantage. We should choose to patiently wait in the oversold area, using time to gain space and wear down the patience of the main players. Only in this way can we achieve higher returns when the coin price warms up, while also avoiding being washed out.
See original
When super consensus emerges, the community will experience an extraordinarily strong expectation of rising consistency. This sentiment is quickly amplified and spread by social networks, creating a breakout effect, with a new level of holders flocking in.
This is a force much more powerful than a single trader driving the market, which we often refer to as reaching "escape velocity," breaking free from gravitational pull and heading towards the moon.
In this cycle, the most likely candidate to replicate this phenomenon will be $PEPE .
This is a force much more powerful than a single trader driving the market, which we often refer to as reaching "escape velocity," breaking free from gravitational pull and heading towards the moon.
In this cycle, the most likely candidate to replicate this phenomenon will be $PEPE .
See original
Investing in short-term means one thing: do not chase highs, enter at the right position, which is inherently speculation.
For long-term investments, it's clear: do not miss out, actively buy into a position. If you are optimistic, you may get stuck buying a starter position, and then buy more when the price drops. With long-term investments, you should at least hold until you achieve substantial results before exiting.
Being stuck represents your courage in believing in it. The most worrying thing is when you are particularly optimistic and want to buy at the lowest point, and you might end up missing out.
For long-term investments, it's clear: do not miss out, actively buy into a position. If you are optimistic, you may get stuck buying a starter position, and then buy more when the price drops. With long-term investments, you should at least hold until you achieve substantial results before exiting.
Being stuck represents your courage in believing in it. The most worrying thing is when you are particularly optimistic and want to buy at the lowest point, and you might end up missing out.