#Write2Earn - Everything will be decided tonight Today the Federal Reserve will announce its decision on the key interest rate. This is crucial for #BitcoinâŻâŻâŻ -in short, lower rates tend to make #Crypto more valuable đ±
More important is the speech by the head of the regulator, Jerome Powell.
âą Bear year: Fluctuations between -3% and +30%. âą "Normal" or bull year: Gains between x3 and x17. âą "Anomaly" year (e.g., 2021): Exceptionally high performance.
Risks:
âą Risk level 1: Drawdown (DD) of -25% reached 14 times in 5 years (about 3 times per year). âą Risk level 2: DD of -40/55% reached 3 times in 5 years (less than once a year).
Comparison with Bitcoin (BTC):
âą Average annual time where performance exceeds BTC: 77.34%.
Average duration to achieve gain multipliers in non-bear year:
âą For x2: 3.53 months on average. âą For x4: 7.28 months on average.
Temporal Distribution of Trends:
âą Sideways: 73% of the time. âą Rapid Increases: 27% of the time.
Growth periods:
âą Duration: Growth periods range from 1 month to 2.5 months.
Growth Amplitude:
âą Minimum gain in a growth period: approximately +100%. âą Maximum gain (exceptional year, as observed in 2021) in a growth period: about +