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Short-term contract compound interest rolling - 30 times in half a year (original by Ha Ge)
The holy grail of trading must exist, but it is not what we think it is, winning every battle. This is the latest short-term strategy in our community. Let's look at the data first.
In half a year, for BTC contracts, 15-minute orders were made, a total of 72 transactions were made, with a comprehensive winning rate of 72.22% and a profit-loss ratio of 2.915
We conducted a high-leverage stress test on this strategy and concluded that the strategy can achieve a 30-fold profit in half a year at a 50-fold leverage and 25% position ratio. The maximum monthly drawdown is only 7%.
You must be curious about the trading logic of this system.
To sum up in one sentence, this system gives the system enough free space while ensuring a sufficiently low risk of drawdown.
In half a year, for BTC contracts, 15-minute orders were made, a total of 72 transactions were made, with a comprehensive winning rate of 72.22% and a profit-loss ratio of 2.915
We conducted a high-leverage stress test on this strategy and concluded that the strategy can achieve a 30-fold profit in half a year at a 50-fold leverage and 25% position ratio. The maximum monthly drawdown is only 7%.
You must be curious about the trading logic of this system.
To sum up in one sentence, this system gives the system enough free space while ensuring a sufficiently low risk of drawdown.
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How to make good deals - the third-order turtle method (original by Ha Ge)
On the road of trading, everyone is moving forward by summarizing experience. In this article, I would like to summarize my experience in trading.
I summarize it as the "Third Order Turtle Method". Because it follows the underlying logic of the turtle trading method, but it is not a turtle trading method, but a three-stage trading method. This method is particularly suitable for quantitative trading and letting the program run automatically.
1. Entry trial and error stage
To put it bluntly, this stage is about how to find a suitable way to enter the market. In fact, there are many ways to enter the market.
For the "Third-Order Turtle Method", the entry method at this stage will never consider buying the bottom, because whether the price is the bottom or not requires you to predict the market direction. Just because the prediction is correct this time does not mean it will be correct next time. We define the probability of the prediction being correct as X. The third-order turtle method is to wait for the trend to become clear before placing orders following the trend. In this way, I don't need to predict the market, I just need to confirm that the current trend has formed. In this way, the probability that the direction of this order is correct is Y. Although Y cannot be 100%, Y must be greater than X
I summarize it as the "Third Order Turtle Method". Because it follows the underlying logic of the turtle trading method, but it is not a turtle trading method, but a three-stage trading method. This method is particularly suitable for quantitative trading and letting the program run automatically.
1. Entry trial and error stage
To put it bluntly, this stage is about how to find a suitable way to enter the market. In fact, there are many ways to enter the market.
For the "Third-Order Turtle Method", the entry method at this stage will never consider buying the bottom, because whether the price is the bottom or not requires you to predict the market direction. Just because the prediction is correct this time does not mean it will be correct next time. We define the probability of the prediction being correct as X. The third-order turtle method is to wait for the trend to become clear before placing orders following the trend. In this way, I don't need to predict the market, I just need to confirm that the current trend has formed. In this way, the probability that the direction of this order is correct is Y. Although Y cannot be 100%, Y must be greater than X
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$BTC is in the process of washing out. It will rise again. Pay attention to the following positions.
【Today's Market Analysis-BTC-11.15】It is only used as a technical analysis study, not as an investment opening suggestion. Profits and losses are at your own risk
1. Daily line: The price fell yesterday and was inserted. It is currently supported at the 878 position mentioned in yesterday's daily report. I have read many traders' analysis in the past two days and believe that there will be a big correction. What Brother Ha saw from the market is that it is a washing out pattern. After the price reached the 93 position on 11.13, it began to fall. The overall trading volume also showed a gradual decline. The decline in both volume and price is a typical washing out pattern. If there is no good news, 863~868 is a possible retracement position during the washing out process. And continue to accumulate short liquidity during the retracement process. At present, short liquidity is not enough to support the price to rush to 90,000. But it is a matter of time
2. 4H: In the above retracement range, if the 4H closes below 861, it will usher in a larger correction, but it is currently normal overall and the trading volume is continuing to decrease. It is a healthy direction.
3. 15min: The upper 892 position is suppressing the price to break upward, and the price is sandwiched in the range of 86X~892. In the early morning of today, in the test K lines of multiple downward pins, it can be seen that the trading volume has increased significantly. The split trading volume is greater than the short trading volume in the pin K. This means that the 86X position has not yet completed the accumulation of funds. Please wait patiently.
Intraday trading ideas: long-term spot buying at the callback position. Intraday contracts are short today and wait and see
#BTC☀
【Today's Market Analysis-BTC-11.15】It is only used as a technical analysis study, not as an investment opening suggestion. Profits and losses are at your own risk
1. Daily line: The price fell yesterday and was inserted. It is currently supported at the 878 position mentioned in yesterday's daily report. I have read many traders' analysis in the past two days and believe that there will be a big correction. What Brother Ha saw from the market is that it is a washing out pattern. After the price reached the 93 position on 11.13, it began to fall. The overall trading volume also showed a gradual decline. The decline in both volume and price is a typical washing out pattern. If there is no good news, 863~868 is a possible retracement position during the washing out process. And continue to accumulate short liquidity during the retracement process. At present, short liquidity is not enough to support the price to rush to 90,000. But it is a matter of time
2. 4H: In the above retracement range, if the 4H closes below 861, it will usher in a larger correction, but it is currently normal overall and the trading volume is continuing to decrease. It is a healthy direction.
3. 15min: The upper 892 position is suppressing the price to break upward, and the price is sandwiched in the range of 86X~892. In the early morning of today, in the test K lines of multiple downward pins, it can be seen that the trading volume has increased significantly. The split trading volume is greater than the short trading volume in the pin K. This means that the 86X position has not yet completed the accumulation of funds. Please wait patiently.
Intraday trading ideas: long-term spot buying at the callback position. Intraday contracts are short today and wait and see
#BTC☀
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$BTC yesterday's daily report said to buy at 868, and also said that it would reach 90,000 on the same day. It's so annoying.
Overall, remember one thing: don't short in a bull market. It is recommended to buy more when the market continues to pull back.
Overall, remember one thing: don't short in a bull market. It is recommended to buy more when the market continues to pull back.
$BTC The time for mindless long positions is over. However, the crypto market isn't finished yet; take a close look at today's position:
【Today's Market Analysis-BTC-11.13】
This is for technical analysis learning only and should not be considered investment advice. Profit and loss are at your own risk.
Yesterday, if you followed the daily report, you made a good profit on 88 and another on 854; both were very comfortable trades.
1. Daily: Yesterday's daily candle indicated that the bullish trend would continue. It retested the previous day's large bullish candle's FVG around 85. It closed with a pin bar. Today, the price is expected to surge to 90,000, roughly reaching the range of 903~907. During the day, a pullback is expected around 868, and an extreme pullback could go back to yesterday's 85. It’s important to note that you should not go long at the current price; after yesterday's pullback from the FVG, the K-line usually accompanies several consecutive oscillations. A pullback to enter long is more prudent.
2. 4H: It has started to show oscillating patterns, and trading volume is continuously shrinking. Yesterday, the lowest point was around 85, but the K-line's lower shadow from 8 PM last night had significant trading volume, indicating selling pressure above. Without a major positive catalyst, the price will test 868. The test pattern is still similar to yesterday's 85 K-line, with a lower shadow for probing tests. If trading volume remains high, it will continue to pull back to 85.
3. 15Min: The price is currently in a downward channel with declining volume, showing a bearish trend. Caution is advised.
Intraday trading strategy: Today is not the time to blindly buy long; the difficulty has increased. Carefully review the daily report, avoid shorting, and look for opportunities to buy on pullbacks!!!
#BTC☀ #BTC连续破新高，你看到多少？
【Today's Market Analysis-BTC-11.13】
This is for technical analysis learning only and should not be considered investment advice. Profit and loss are at your own risk.
Yesterday, if you followed the daily report, you made a good profit on 88 and another on 854; both were very comfortable trades.
1. Daily: Yesterday's daily candle indicated that the bullish trend would continue. It retested the previous day's large bullish candle's FVG around 85. It closed with a pin bar. Today, the price is expected to surge to 90,000, roughly reaching the range of 903~907. During the day, a pullback is expected around 868, and an extreme pullback could go back to yesterday's 85. It’s important to note that you should not go long at the current price; after yesterday's pullback from the FVG, the K-line usually accompanies several consecutive oscillations. A pullback to enter long is more prudent.
2. 4H: It has started to show oscillating patterns, and trading volume is continuously shrinking. Yesterday, the lowest point was around 85, but the K-line's lower shadow from 8 PM last night had significant trading volume, indicating selling pressure above. Without a major positive catalyst, the price will test 868. The test pattern is still similar to yesterday's 85 K-line, with a lower shadow for probing tests. If trading volume remains high, it will continue to pull back to 85.
3. 15Min: The price is currently in a downward channel with declining volume, showing a bearish trend. Caution is advised.
Intraday trading strategy: Today is not the time to blindly buy long; the difficulty has increased. Carefully review the daily report, avoid shorting, and look for opportunities to buy on pullbacks!!!
#BTC☀ #BTC连续破新高，你看到多少？
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$BTC will continue to surge upwards. It hit 6,000 points yesterday. Pay attention to the callback position:
[Today's Market Analysis-BTC-11.13]
It is only used as a technical analysis study, not as an investment opening suggestion. Profits and losses are at your own risk
If you followed the 868 position yesterday, you would have lost 6,000 points. It's numb.
1. Daily line: It hit a high of 93 yesterday, and the current price is around 898. It is stepping back on the FVG of yesterday's daily line. The price callback position is 878, which is the extreme callback position today. You can rest assured to go long. The upper 907~918~935 can be used as three short-term long stop-profit positions during the day
2. 4H: The trading volume and price show a wash pattern, and the volume and price start and fall. Just pay attention to the 878 position. The overall problem is not big.
3. 15min: Volume and price are sideways. The overall price is currently locked in a narrow range. The dealer's goal is to return to around 878 to continue to step back and absorb funds. However, the current long liquidity is insufficient to support the price to step down, so the long sideways market is waiting for the long army to provide liquidity. Long liquidity is sufficient, stepping down to 878, eating up short-term long liquidity, starting to pull up, and continue to rush to 9
Day trading ideas: Don't short in a bull market, and buy on a pullback.
#BTC连续破新高，你看到多少？ #BTC☀
[Today's Market Analysis-BTC-11.13]
It is only used as a technical analysis study, not as an investment opening suggestion. Profits and losses are at your own risk
If you followed the 868 position yesterday, you would have lost 6,000 points. It's numb.
1. Daily line: It hit a high of 93 yesterday, and the current price is around 898. It is stepping back on the FVG of yesterday's daily line. The price callback position is 878, which is the extreme callback position today. You can rest assured to go long. The upper 907~918~935 can be used as three short-term long stop-profit positions during the day
2. 4H: The trading volume and price show a wash pattern, and the volume and price start and fall. Just pay attention to the 878 position. The overall problem is not big.
3. 15min: Volume and price are sideways. The overall price is currently locked in a narrow range. The dealer's goal is to return to around 878 to continue to step back and absorb funds. However, the current long liquidity is insufficient to support the price to step down, so the long sideways market is waiting for the long army to provide liquidity. Long liquidity is sufficient, stepping down to 878, eating up short-term long liquidity, starting to pull up, and continue to rush to 9
Day trading ideas: Don't short in a bull market, and buy on a pullback.
#BTC连续破新高，你看到多少？ #BTC☀
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$BTC The time for mindless long positions is over. However, the crypto market isn't finished yet; take a close look at today's position:
【Today's Market Analysis-BTC-11.13】
This is for technical analysis learning only and should not be considered investment advice. Profit and loss are at your own risk.
Yesterday, if you followed the daily report, you made a good profit on 88 and another on 854; both were very comfortable trades.
1. Daily: Yesterday's daily candle indicated that the bullish trend would continue. It retested the previous day's large bullish candle's FVG around 85. It closed with a pin bar. Today, the price is expected to surge to 90,000, roughly reaching the range of 903~907. During the day, a pullback is expected around 868, and an extreme pullback could go back to yesterday's 85. It’s important to note that you should not go long at the current price; after yesterday's pullback from the FVG, the K-line usually accompanies several consecutive oscillations. A pullback to enter long is more prudent.
2. 4H: It has started to show oscillating patterns, and trading volume is continuously shrinking. Yesterday, the lowest point was around 85, but the K-line's lower shadow from 8 PM last night had significant trading volume, indicating selling pressure above. Without a major positive catalyst, the price will test 868. The test pattern is still similar to yesterday's 85 K-line, with a lower shadow for probing tests. If trading volume remains high, it will continue to pull back to 85.
3. 15Min: The price is currently in a downward channel with declining volume, showing a bearish trend. Caution is advised.
Intraday trading strategy: Today is not the time to blindly buy long; the difficulty has increased. Carefully review the daily report, avoid shorting, and look for opportunities to buy on pullbacks!!!
#BTC☀ #BTC连续破新高，你看到多少？
【Today's Market Analysis-BTC-11.13】
This is for technical analysis learning only and should not be considered investment advice. Profit and loss are at your own risk.
Yesterday, if you followed the daily report, you made a good profit on 88 and another on 854; both were very comfortable trades.
1. Daily: Yesterday's daily candle indicated that the bullish trend would continue. It retested the previous day's large bullish candle's FVG around 85. It closed with a pin bar. Today, the price is expected to surge to 90,000, roughly reaching the range of 903~907. During the day, a pullback is expected around 868, and an extreme pullback could go back to yesterday's 85. It’s important to note that you should not go long at the current price; after yesterday's pullback from the FVG, the K-line usually accompanies several consecutive oscillations. A pullback to enter long is more prudent.
2. 4H: It has started to show oscillating patterns, and trading volume is continuously shrinking. Yesterday, the lowest point was around 85, but the K-line's lower shadow from 8 PM last night had significant trading volume, indicating selling pressure above. Without a major positive catalyst, the price will test 868. The test pattern is still similar to yesterday's 85 K-line, with a lower shadow for probing tests. If trading volume remains high, it will continue to pull back to 85.
3. 15Min: The price is currently in a downward channel with declining volume, showing a bearish trend. Caution is advised.
Intraday trading strategy: Today is not the time to blindly buy long; the difficulty has increased. Carefully review the daily report, avoid shorting, and look for opportunities to buy on pullbacks!!!
#BTC☀ #BTC连续破新高，你看到多少？
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$BTC Caution against risks, do not short in a bull market, the following are the buy positions:
【Today's Market Analysis - BTC - 11.12】This is only for technical analysis learning, not an investment opening suggestion. Profits and losses are at your own risk.
1. Daily: Let me tell you an interesting thing, every day there are bears providing liquidity, and the support at 80500 shot up yesterday. Thanks to the bears. Currently, 898 seems to be a temporary top, whether it breaks through this top depends on whether the bears continue to provide liquidity. However, overall bearish liquidity is indeed insufficient. The price will have a significant pullback, and I do not know when it will happen. Once it starts, the 78~80 range is highly likely to be a pullback position, and it will definitely return to the 7xxx range. The intraday pullback at 88 is the first pullback position, and 854 is the second pullback position.
2. 4H: The current K is closing, currently showing a significant downward spike, which is a phenomenon that often occurs during a strong bull market surge. Just hold onto it when you see it. Moreover, this is currently a strong one-sided market, and the price will not have a significant pullback in a short time.
3. 15min: After the K spiked downward at 8:15 AM, it has been pulled up, and now it is starting to consolidate, with trading volume also decreasing. Brother Ha's judgment is that this is waiting for the bears to short and provide liquidity fuel. If there is not enough fuel for the continuation, there will be further panic selling to induce shorts.
Intraday trading mindset: Do not short in a bull market!!! Buy on pullbacks!!! Manage your positions well, do not rush, and be aware of the risk of significant pullbacks.
#BTC☀
【Today's Market Analysis - BTC - 11.12】This is only for technical analysis learning, not an investment opening suggestion. Profits and losses are at your own risk.
1. Daily: Let me tell you an interesting thing, every day there are bears providing liquidity, and the support at 80500 shot up yesterday. Thanks to the bears. Currently, 898 seems to be a temporary top, whether it breaks through this top depends on whether the bears continue to provide liquidity. However, overall bearish liquidity is indeed insufficient. The price will have a significant pullback, and I do not know when it will happen. Once it starts, the 78~80 range is highly likely to be a pullback position, and it will definitely return to the 7xxx range. The intraday pullback at 88 is the first pullback position, and 854 is the second pullback position.
2. 4H: The current K is closing, currently showing a significant downward spike, which is a phenomenon that often occurs during a strong bull market surge. Just hold onto it when you see it. Moreover, this is currently a strong one-sided market, and the price will not have a significant pullback in a short time.
3. 15min: After the K spiked downward at 8:15 AM, it has been pulled up, and now it is starting to consolidate, with trading volume also decreasing. Brother Ha's judgment is that this is waiting for the bears to short and provide liquidity fuel. If there is not enough fuel for the continuation, there will be further panic selling to induce shorts.
Intraday trading mindset: Do not short in a bull market!!! Buy on pullbacks!!! Manage your positions well, do not rush, and be aware of the risk of significant pullbacks.
#BTC☀
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$BTC New High, Surpassing 80,000, Don't Get Too Overexcited, Be Careful of Pullbacks, Pay Attention to These Levels:
【Today's Market Analysis-BTC-11.11】
For technical analysis learning purposes only, not as investment opening advice. Profit and loss are at your own risk.
1. Daily: Finally, the bull has returned, but this is just the beginning. Until it reaches 100,000, don't talk about a big bull. Of course, don't get overly excited and trade randomly. In the short term, support is at 80,500 and 79,000, currently the upper limit is 814, and prices will consolidate around 81X. If there continues to be selling pressure providing liquidity, prices may consolidate and then continue to rise. Extreme support is at 74.
2. 4H: Continuing with a top divergence, 80,000 is a milestone new high, beware of pullbacks within the week. Prices will pull back near 80,000.
3. 15Min: Currently, trading volume is low, and we are in consolidation. If a large bullish candle appears, and the trading volume is not high, it indicates a pullback.
Intraday Trading Strategy: Do not short in a bull market!!! Buy the pullbacks.
#BTC突破8W1大关 #BTC☀
【Today's Market Analysis-BTC-11.11】
For technical analysis learning purposes only, not as investment opening advice. Profit and loss are at your own risk.
1. Daily: Finally, the bull has returned, but this is just the beginning. Until it reaches 100,000, don't talk about a big bull. Of course, don't get overly excited and trade randomly. In the short term, support is at 80,500 and 79,000, currently the upper limit is 814, and prices will consolidate around 81X. If there continues to be selling pressure providing liquidity, prices may consolidate and then continue to rise. Extreme support is at 74.
2. 4H: Continuing with a top divergence, 80,000 is a milestone new high, beware of pullbacks within the week. Prices will pull back near 80,000.
3. 15Min: Currently, trading volume is low, and we are in consolidation. If a large bullish candle appears, and the trading volume is not high, it indicates a pullback.
Intraday Trading Strategy: Do not short in a bull market!!! Buy the pullbacks.
#BTC突破8W1大关 #BTC☀
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$BTC Don't chase the highs, pay attention to these three levels:
【Today's Market Analysis - BTC - 11.7】
For educational purposes in technical analysis only, not as investment advice. Profit and loss are your own responsibility.
1. Daily Chart: You have to thank the bears who went all in short yesterday; they provided liquidity that pushed the price up, with the previous high reaching 76. The current price is consolidating around 75, because of a large bullish candle yesterday that created an FVG. Today, the daily chart is retracing to the FVG. As I said, don't guess the top in a bull market and don't short! From a liquidity standpoint, 765 is a temporary top, but you can't stop the bears; they will continue to contribute liquidity today. The more they contribute, the higher it will go. Of course, the price will also pull back. Three levels to watch: 743, 734, 723 are the three retracement levels. For spot trading, without a doubt, place orders at all three levels.
2. 4H: There is a slight divergence between volume and price; the large bullish candle at midnight had a bit low trading volume. Overall, still pay attention to retracement levels. Don’t chase the highs at market price, and don’t short!!! You might get lucky betting on shorts, but money earned by luck must be repaid with skill. If you act like a bear, it's hard for me to be friends with you.
3. 15min: Consolidating, waiting for the big bears to enter the market. Otherwise, there won't be enough fuel for liquidity. (What is the purpose of consolidation? It’s because liquidity is insufficient; waiting for one side to provide liquidity.) If the bears have enough liquidity, it will continue to rise; if not, the daily retracement levels will need to clean up a batch of bulls, and then after the bears enter on a large scale, it will continue to rise.
Intraday trading thought: Buy at the retracement levels, and don't do anything else. Don't short!!! Big bull, don’t be a victim!!!
#BTC创历史新高 #BTC☀ #BTC走势预测
【Today's Market Analysis - BTC - 11.7】
For educational purposes in technical analysis only, not as investment advice. Profit and loss are your own responsibility.
1. Daily Chart: You have to thank the bears who went all in short yesterday; they provided liquidity that pushed the price up, with the previous high reaching 76. The current price is consolidating around 75, because of a large bullish candle yesterday that created an FVG. Today, the daily chart is retracing to the FVG. As I said, don't guess the top in a bull market and don't short! From a liquidity standpoint, 765 is a temporary top, but you can't stop the bears; they will continue to contribute liquidity today. The more they contribute, the higher it will go. Of course, the price will also pull back. Three levels to watch: 743, 734, 723 are the three retracement levels. For spot trading, without a doubt, place orders at all three levels.
2. 4H: There is a slight divergence between volume and price; the large bullish candle at midnight had a bit low trading volume. Overall, still pay attention to retracement levels. Don’t chase the highs at market price, and don’t short!!! You might get lucky betting on shorts, but money earned by luck must be repaid with skill. If you act like a bear, it's hard for me to be friends with you.
3. 15min: Consolidating, waiting for the big bears to enter the market. Otherwise, there won't be enough fuel for liquidity. (What is the purpose of consolidation? It’s because liquidity is insufficient; waiting for one side to provide liquidity.) If the bears have enough liquidity, it will continue to rise; if not, the daily retracement levels will need to clean up a batch of bulls, and then after the bears enter on a large scale, it will continue to rise.
Intraday trading thought: Buy at the retracement levels, and don't do anything else. Don't short!!! Big bull, don’t be a victim!!!
#BTC创历史新高 #BTC☀ #BTC走势预测
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$BTC takes off, the win rate belongs to Trump
【Today's Market Analysis - BTC - 11.6】
For technical analysis learning only, not as investment opening advice. Profit and loss are self-responsible.
1. Daily: As mentioned yesterday morning, the market showed signs of manipulation from the big players, and they started pushing it up at night; the election is no longer uncertain. The bull is taking off. The current price is already around 71. It is not recommended to chase long positions. Instead, look for pullback longs; the range of 687~693 is the position for retracement, which may also dip down to this range. Currently, overall short liquidity is low, insufficient to support a price increase; wait for a pullback to chase longs.
2. 4H: There is resistance around 717 above preventing price breakout; the price is trapped in a wide range of 68~717, and temporarily the price will not break 717, but overall it remains a strong bullish trend.
3. 15min: The price is consolidating around 71. During the consolidation process, if short liquidity continues to increase, the price will first move towards 717, then pull back.
Intraday trading thought: Be cautious and enter long at the pullback position; the big bull is about to start, do not short.
#美国大选后涨或跌？ #BTC☀
【Today's Market Analysis - BTC - 11.6】
For technical analysis learning only, not as investment opening advice. Profit and loss are self-responsible.
1. Daily: As mentioned yesterday morning, the market showed signs of manipulation from the big players, and they started pushing it up at night; the election is no longer uncertain. The bull is taking off. The current price is already around 71. It is not recommended to chase long positions. Instead, look for pullback longs; the range of 687~693 is the position for retracement, which may also dip down to this range. Currently, overall short liquidity is low, insufficient to support a price increase; wait for a pullback to chase longs.
2. 4H: There is resistance around 717 above preventing price breakout; the price is trapped in a wide range of 68~717, and temporarily the price will not break 717, but overall it remains a strong bullish trend.
3. 15min: The price is consolidating around 71. During the consolidation process, if short liquidity continues to increase, the price will first move towards 717, then pull back.
Intraday trading thought: Be cautious and enter long at the pullback position; the big bull is about to start, do not short.
#美国大选后涨或跌？ #BTC☀
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$BTC has no favorable news from the leader, shorting. Sorry, I want to play the air force for a few days.
【Today's Market Analysis - BTC - 11.4】
Only for technical analysis learning, not as investment opening advice. Profits and losses are at your own risk.
1. Daily: The market will not be calm for a few days before and after the election. There will be violent fluctuations. The recommendation is to hold a large position, and during stable periods, it is necessary to be in cash. Today's market is currently consolidating around 69. There is a high probability it will continue to drop from this position between 69 and 695. The lower position around 675 is a high probability area that will be revisited. Note that the above positions are only applicable today. As the election approaches, the volatility is intense. Be sure to pay attention to the leader's favorable news. No news means negative. Positive news may lead to a price surge.
2. 4H: There are large short positions hanging above 695. Currently, it is in a downward channel, with no large capital participation, and is in a narrow range of fluctuations.
3. 15min: The price is fluctuating between 686 and 692. Without favorable news from the leader, technically, shorting can be considered.
Intraday trading thought: Cautiously hold a large position and observe. No favorable news from the leader, shorting.
#BTC☀
#美国大选后行情预测 #美国大选后涨或跌？
【Today's Market Analysis - BTC - 11.4】
Only for technical analysis learning, not as investment opening advice. Profits and losses are at your own risk.
1. Daily: The market will not be calm for a few days before and after the election. There will be violent fluctuations. The recommendation is to hold a large position, and during stable periods, it is necessary to be in cash. Today's market is currently consolidating around 69. There is a high probability it will continue to drop from this position between 69 and 695. The lower position around 675 is a high probability area that will be revisited. Note that the above positions are only applicable today. As the election approaches, the volatility is intense. Be sure to pay attention to the leader's favorable news. No news means negative. Positive news may lead to a price surge.
2. 4H: There are large short positions hanging above 695. Currently, it is in a downward channel, with no large capital participation, and is in a narrow range of fluctuations.
3. 15min: The price is fluctuating between 686 and 692. Without favorable news from the leader, technically, shorting can be considered.
Intraday trading thought: Cautiously hold a large position and observe. No favorable news from the leader, shorting.
#BTC☀
#美国大选后行情预测 #美国大选后涨或跌？
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$BTC suggests holding cash, there will be a significant performance tonight.
【Today's Market Analysis-BTC-11.1】
Only for technical analysis learning, not as an investment opening suggestion. Profit and loss are self-responsible.
1. Daily: Although yesterday's spike reached 69, the daily chart is still in an upward channel. This round of pullback to 676~683 is an extreme retracement zone. Important data will be released tonight, if the data is negative, this price range will definitely be tested. The upper levels of 715 and 725 are significant short liquidity areas; if the data is positive, these two levels will surely be broken through, and there is hope for a surge to 75.
2. 4H: Starting from the 8 PM K yesterday, a volume-price washout pattern has emerged. There is no need for panic in the larger cycle; the direction remains unchanged. Currently, the bullish liquidity has been thoroughly washed out. Waiting for favorable data, the bearish liquidity will also be exploded. It is currently in a phase of declining trading volume and consolidation; it is recommended to hold cash and observe the direction tonight.
3. 15Min: Prices are consolidating around 70. Throughout the day, the overall market is likely to be in a consolidation oscillation and has reserved sufficient liquidity for tonight's performance.
Intraday trading thought: Hold cash and observe! Or go long on retracement positions.
#BTC☀
【Today's Market Analysis-BTC-11.1】
Only for technical analysis learning, not as an investment opening suggestion. Profit and loss are self-responsible.
1. Daily: Although yesterday's spike reached 69, the daily chart is still in an upward channel. This round of pullback to 676~683 is an extreme retracement zone. Important data will be released tonight, if the data is negative, this price range will definitely be tested. The upper levels of 715 and 725 are significant short liquidity areas; if the data is positive, these two levels will surely be broken through, and there is hope for a surge to 75.
2. 4H: Starting from the 8 PM K yesterday, a volume-price washout pattern has emerged. There is no need for panic in the larger cycle; the direction remains unchanged. Currently, the bullish liquidity has been thoroughly washed out. Waiting for favorable data, the bearish liquidity will also be exploded. It is currently in a phase of declining trading volume and consolidation; it is recommended to hold cash and observe the direction tonight.
3. 15Min: Prices are consolidating around 70. Throughout the day, the overall market is likely to be in a consolidation oscillation and has reserved sufficient liquidity for tonight's performance.
Intraday trading thought: Hold cash and observe! Or go long on retracement positions.
#BTC☀
See original
$BTC is flying, or is it crashing? Everything will be revealed tomorrow, Friday.
【Today's Market Analysis-BTC-10.31】
For technical analysis learning only, not as investment opening advice. Profits and losses are your own responsibility.
1. Daily: As mentioned in yesterday's report, the lowest was 714x, the report indicated 715, with a deviation of a few points. After a pullback, it came back up. Today, it is generally in a consolidation phase. The upper side still needs to break through the previous high, while the lower side is still pulling back to 715, which will give another chance. Brother Ha's judgment on the overall script: If tomorrow's Friday data is not significantly favorable, then this time there is no hope of breaking through the previous high, or it may spike above the previous high, trapping a batch of bulls, and then pull back to the 600s. The 676 mentioned yesterday is a relatively important position.
2. 4H: It is currently not falling down, and the bulls are relatively strong. Brother Ha observed on the K-line at 8 PM last night, the trading volume was large, but the K-line showed a short body with long upper and lower shadows. This is the K-line that hit the lowest point of 714 last night, indicating that the buying pressure is relatively strong, and there is a battle between bulls and bears, with the bulls achieving a temporary victory. However, the current price at 72 is quite awkward, not up or down, so trading volume and liquidity will decrease. Everyone is watching.
3. 15min: It is already evident that there is a clear consolidation oscillation price between 71 and 72, and the current price is trapped in the consolidation range of 721~725. Brother Ha judges that today, apart from possibly pulling back to 715, there is temporarily no major trend. However, there will be a major trend tomorrow.
Intraday trading thoughts: Do not short!!! Do not go long at the current price!!! Today, only support level short-term long is allowed.
#BTC☀
【Today's Market Analysis-BTC-10.31】
For technical analysis learning only, not as investment opening advice. Profits and losses are your own responsibility.
1. Daily: As mentioned in yesterday's report, the lowest was 714x, the report indicated 715, with a deviation of a few points. After a pullback, it came back up. Today, it is generally in a consolidation phase. The upper side still needs to break through the previous high, while the lower side is still pulling back to 715, which will give another chance. Brother Ha's judgment on the overall script: If tomorrow's Friday data is not significantly favorable, then this time there is no hope of breaking through the previous high, or it may spike above the previous high, trapping a batch of bulls, and then pull back to the 600s. The 676 mentioned yesterday is a relatively important position.
2. 4H: It is currently not falling down, and the bulls are relatively strong. Brother Ha observed on the K-line at 8 PM last night, the trading volume was large, but the K-line showed a short body with long upper and lower shadows. This is the K-line that hit the lowest point of 714 last night, indicating that the buying pressure is relatively strong, and there is a battle between bulls and bears, with the bulls achieving a temporary victory. However, the current price at 72 is quite awkward, not up or down, so trading volume and liquidity will decrease. Everyone is watching.
3. 15min: It is already evident that there is a clear consolidation oscillation price between 71 and 72, and the current price is trapped in the consolidation range of 721~725. Brother Ha judges that today, apart from possibly pulling back to 715, there is temporarily no major trend. However, there will be a major trend tomorrow.
Intraday trading thoughts: Do not short!!! Do not go long at the current price!!! Today, only support level short-term long is allowed.
#BTC☀
See original
Can $BTC continue to soar? This week may see extreme fluctuations in the 60s, pay attention to the positions below
【Today's Market Analysis - BTC - 10.30】
For educational purposes only, not as investment opening advice. Profit and loss are at your own risk.
1. Daily: To conclude, it won’t go down for now, don’t short. Last night it almost broke the previous high, but did not create a doorway. Pay attention to support at 721 and 715, after a pullback to these two positions, it will continue to surge, preparing to challenge the previous high. There is an extreme support level around 676 on the daily, unless there is significant negative news, this level won't be reached during the day. Pay attention to various data on Friday; if there is a significant discrepancy from expectations, it might spike down to the extreme support level.
2. 4H: It has entered a strong bullish phase. From the trading volume, it has formed a very nice volume-price uptrend, showing signs of a strong bull market. Brother Ha believes that the price will still consolidate in the 70s and will pull back to the daily mentioned support level in the 70s.
3. 15min: At a smaller timeframe, Brother Ha observed that since the K starting at 03:15 last night, it has begun to show a washout pattern. The price dropped from 73760 all the way down to around 722. In the range of 729~733, there was capital pressure preventing the bulls from breaking through. However, the upper shadow line test K at 06:45 showed that the selling pressure in this range was not significant. This is also a good phenomenon, so Brother Ha speculates that the scenario is as follows: The dealer is suppressing the price in the 729~733 range, beginning to wash out, and using the upper shadow line test K to check that there are not many sellers above. Therefore, the price will consolidate around 72, with multiple tests of the upper range. If the selling pressure remains low, it will rise; otherwise, it will pull back to the daily 715 to accumulate.
Day trading thoughts: Don’t short!!! The current K is performing normally. If the test K shows serious selling pressure, then go short at the current price. Short to 715, then you can switch to long.
【Today's Market Analysis - BTC - 10.30】
For educational purposes only, not as investment opening advice. Profit and loss are at your own risk.
1. Daily: To conclude, it won’t go down for now, don’t short. Last night it almost broke the previous high, but did not create a doorway. Pay attention to support at 721 and 715, after a pullback to these two positions, it will continue to surge, preparing to challenge the previous high. There is an extreme support level around 676 on the daily, unless there is significant negative news, this level won't be reached during the day. Pay attention to various data on Friday; if there is a significant discrepancy from expectations, it might spike down to the extreme support level.
2. 4H: It has entered a strong bullish phase. From the trading volume, it has formed a very nice volume-price uptrend, showing signs of a strong bull market. Brother Ha believes that the price will still consolidate in the 70s and will pull back to the daily mentioned support level in the 70s.
3. 15min: At a smaller timeframe, Brother Ha observed that since the K starting at 03:15 last night, it has begun to show a washout pattern. The price dropped from 73760 all the way down to around 722. In the range of 729~733, there was capital pressure preventing the bulls from breaking through. However, the upper shadow line test K at 06:45 showed that the selling pressure in this range was not significant. This is also a good phenomenon, so Brother Ha speculates that the scenario is as follows: The dealer is suppressing the price in the 729~733 range, beginning to wash out, and using the upper shadow line test K to check that there are not many sellers above. Therefore, the price will consolidate around 72, with multiple tests of the upper range. If the selling pressure remains low, it will rise; otherwise, it will pull back to the daily 715 to accumulate.
Day trading thoughts: Don’t short!!! The current K is performing normally. If the test K shows serious selling pressure, then go short at the current price. Short to 715, then you can switch to long.
See original
$BTC If you didn't catch this wave of 71K, it's recommended to stay in cash. The reasons are as follows:
【Today's Market Analysis - BTC - 10.29】
For technical analysis learning purposes only, not as investment opening suggestions. Profit and loss are at your own risk.
1. Daily Chart: Do not go long at the current price, do not short!!! There is completely no liquidity above. The price may not drop temporarily, but it won't continue to rise either. After consolidation, there will be a pullback. 686~69 is a relatively ideal retracement position.
2. 4H: A bullish trend is gradually forming, overall moving in an upward channel, but there are signs of divergence in overall trading volume. The price is rising, but trading volume is decreasing. Based on the liquidity at the daily level, the subsequent scenario, Brother Ha predicts as follows: The price will start to consolidate in the 7 range. If there is significant short liquidity, the price may continue to rise. Otherwise, the price will start to pull back, and the pullback position should refer to the daily chart.
3. 15Min: At a smaller level, it can be seen that there is very strong bullish momentum, indicating that it is in a one-sided market, so shorting is not advisable, nor do we recommend chasing longs. This level has already shown multiple instances of volume-price divergence. Caution is needed, refer to the 4H scenario.
Intraday trading thought: Brother Ha reminds that in a one-sided market, one can only pull back to buy.
#BTC触及7W #BTC☀
【Today's Market Analysis - BTC - 10.29】
For technical analysis learning purposes only, not as investment opening suggestions. Profit and loss are at your own risk.
1. Daily Chart: Do not go long at the current price, do not short!!! There is completely no liquidity above. The price may not drop temporarily, but it won't continue to rise either. After consolidation, there will be a pullback. 686~69 is a relatively ideal retracement position.
2. 4H: A bullish trend is gradually forming, overall moving in an upward channel, but there are signs of divergence in overall trading volume. The price is rising, but trading volume is decreasing. Based on the liquidity at the daily level, the subsequent scenario, Brother Ha predicts as follows: The price will start to consolidate in the 7 range. If there is significant short liquidity, the price may continue to rise. Otherwise, the price will start to pull back, and the pullback position should refer to the daily chart.
3. 15Min: At a smaller level, it can be seen that there is very strong bullish momentum, indicating that it is in a one-sided market, so shorting is not advisable, nor do we recommend chasing longs. This level has already shown multiple instances of volume-price divergence. Caution is needed, refer to the 4H scenario.
Intraday trading thought: Brother Ha reminds that in a one-sided market, one can only pull back to buy.
#BTC触及7W #BTC☀
See original
$BTC has not finished dropping, don't get too excited, pay attention to the following positions:
【Today's Market Analysis - BTC - 10.28】
For technical analysis learning purposes only, not as investment trading advice. Profit and loss are at your own risk.
1. Daily: After last week's pullback, the price quickly returned to around 68. Pay attention to the range of 684~69 above. If there are no particularly favorable news in this range, the price will pull back again. On the daily level, stabilizing at 72 is considered leaving the current range. If the price pulls back further, 675 and 668 are two possible rebound positions.
2. 4H: Currently in a sideways consolidation state, with the price rising from 66 to nearly 68 without significant trading volume throughout. This kind of volume-less increase needs attention. Do not go long! The top at this level is around 686, within the daily top's range.
3. 15Min: At 5:45 AM today, a volume-price divergence pattern appeared, and after the price reached around 683, it began to decline without volume. Do not go long at the current price. Today's situation is definitely not a bull reversal. A pullback is still needed.
Intraday trading thought: Key positions for long and short layout.
#BTC☀ #BTC走势预测
【Today's Market Analysis - BTC - 10.28】
For technical analysis learning purposes only, not as investment trading advice. Profit and loss are at your own risk.
1. Daily: After last week's pullback, the price quickly returned to around 68. Pay attention to the range of 684~69 above. If there are no particularly favorable news in this range, the price will pull back again. On the daily level, stabilizing at 72 is considered leaving the current range. If the price pulls back further, 675 and 668 are two possible rebound positions.
2. 4H: Currently in a sideways consolidation state, with the price rising from 66 to nearly 68 without significant trading volume throughout. This kind of volume-less increase needs attention. Do not go long! The top at this level is around 686, within the daily top's range.
3. 15Min: At 5:45 AM today, a volume-price divergence pattern appeared, and after the price reached around 683, it began to decline without volume. Do not go long at the current price. Today's situation is definitely not a bull reversal. A pullback is still needed.
Intraday trading thought: Key positions for long and short layout.
#BTC☀ #BTC走势预测
See original
$BTC continues to pull back, pay attention to this position.
【Today's Market Analysis - BTC - 10.24】
For technical analysis learning purposes only, not as investment advice. Profit and loss are your own responsibility.
1. Daily: The bullish ascending channel continues. Yesterday's daily chart completed a downward spike, and from the trading volume, buying and selling volumes are basically balanced, indicating that buyers remain strong. From the overall liquidity perspective, when the price reaches around 681, it is the intraday top, and there is no liquidity above to support the price for further increases, which means the price will further pull back. 661 is the most likely intraday retracement position, with an extreme position at 646.
2. 4H: The K at midnight last night showed a long lower shadow bullish candle, but with considerable trading volume, indicating that there is still a large accumulation space in the range of 652~662. This means the price will not temporarily move upwards; around 67X, you can see that the market makers are suppressing the price, which is not a sign of selling but rather a way to keep the price from breaking out using smaller chips. This confirms the viewpoint that accumulation is still needed.
3. 15min: The K at 8:45 pulled a bullish K with substantial trading volume, indicating that the price will not drop significantly for the time being. However, the K at 9:15 has shown a top divergence, and when combined with larger time frame K, we can estimate that the approximate retracement position is between 661~664, which also aligns with the daily retracement position mentioned.
Intraday trading strategy: Long at the retracement position and extreme retracement position. Do not short.
#币安累计交易量突破100万亿美元 #BTC☀
【Today's Market Analysis - BTC - 10.24】
For technical analysis learning purposes only, not as investment advice. Profit and loss are your own responsibility.
1. Daily: The bullish ascending channel continues. Yesterday's daily chart completed a downward spike, and from the trading volume, buying and selling volumes are basically balanced, indicating that buyers remain strong. From the overall liquidity perspective, when the price reaches around 681, it is the intraday top, and there is no liquidity above to support the price for further increases, which means the price will further pull back. 661 is the most likely intraday retracement position, with an extreme position at 646.
2. 4H: The K at midnight last night showed a long lower shadow bullish candle, but with considerable trading volume, indicating that there is still a large accumulation space in the range of 652~662. This means the price will not temporarily move upwards; around 67X, you can see that the market makers are suppressing the price, which is not a sign of selling but rather a way to keep the price from breaking out using smaller chips. This confirms the viewpoint that accumulation is still needed.
3. 15min: The K at 8:45 pulled a bullish K with substantial trading volume, indicating that the price will not drop significantly for the time being. However, the K at 9:15 has shown a top divergence, and when combined with larger time frame K, we can estimate that the approximate retracement position is between 661~664, which also aligns with the daily retracement position mentioned.
Intraday trading strategy: Long at the retracement position and extreme retracement position. Do not short.
#币安累计交易量突破100万亿美元 #BTC☀
See original
$BTC will soar, but it still has to drop, pay attention to this position:
【Today's Market Analysis - BTC - 10.22】
For technical analysis learning only, not as investment opening advice. Profit and loss are self-responsible.
1. Daily: After yesterday's signal of a top divergence, the price has been declining. However, on the daily level, it remains in a bullish trend, so there's no need to panic. The current correction's daily pullback position is at 655, with an extreme position at 645. Although it is in a long-term bullish trend, the price will temporarily not break the recent high of 69X. The overall price range will be approximately between 68~685, which will be a phase high. However, the current overall liquidity is poor; it is evident that retail investors are generally observing.
2. 4H: The current level again reveals the accumulation behavior of the market maker through candlestick patterns. The price will consolidate in the range of 666~675 and continue to accumulate. Based on the accumulation situation, we can determine whether it will continue to rise at this position or pull back to the daily correction position. Please wait for the signal.
3. 15Min: The price is in a downward channel and will continuously test the selling pressure around the key position of 675. If the selling pressure is substantial at this position, the price will pull back to the daily position mentioned. Please pay attention, do not consider the area around 668 as a support level; this is a false support level. After testing the selling pressure above 675, if it drops, it will directly break through this support level.
Intraday trading thoughts: Place buy orders at the daily pullback position. If you want to short, do not place orders; wait for the 675 position to test selling pressure and enter the market at market price.
#BTC要挑战7W大关了吗？ #BTC☀
【Today's Market Analysis - BTC - 10.22】
For technical analysis learning only, not as investment opening advice. Profit and loss are self-responsible.
1. Daily: After yesterday's signal of a top divergence, the price has been declining. However, on the daily level, it remains in a bullish trend, so there's no need to panic. The current correction's daily pullback position is at 655, with an extreme position at 645. Although it is in a long-term bullish trend, the price will temporarily not break the recent high of 69X. The overall price range will be approximately between 68~685, which will be a phase high. However, the current overall liquidity is poor; it is evident that retail investors are generally observing.
2. 4H: The current level again reveals the accumulation behavior of the market maker through candlestick patterns. The price will consolidate in the range of 666~675 and continue to accumulate. Based on the accumulation situation, we can determine whether it will continue to rise at this position or pull back to the daily correction position. Please wait for the signal.
3. 15Min: The price is in a downward channel and will continuously test the selling pressure around the key position of 675. If the selling pressure is substantial at this position, the price will pull back to the daily position mentioned. Please pay attention, do not consider the area around 668 as a support level; this is a false support level. After testing the selling pressure above 675, if it drops, it will directly break through this support level.
Intraday trading thoughts: Place buy orders at the daily pullback position. If you want to short, do not place orders; wait for the 675 position to test selling pressure and enter the market at market price.
#BTC要挑战7W大关了吗？ #BTC☀
See original
$BTC is ready to take off!!! You need to pay attention to this callback position
[Today's market analysis-BTC-10.21]
It is only used as a technical analysis study, not as an investment opening suggestion. Profits and losses are at your own risk
1. Daily line: The price has been pushed all the way to the 70,000 mark by the air force. If the price does not make a sharp correction near 70,000 and stands firmly at 70,000, it will usher in a violent bull market. The daily level callback will go to around 679. At that time, the level has already shown a top divergence. It is necessary to pay attention to the risk of callbacks.
2. 4H: The volume and price have diverged, and the support is at 679, but the overall bullish momentum is strong. The price will not be adjusted down for the time being. It is likely to consolidate for a short time. After accumulating enough short liquidity, it will continue to rise.
3. 15min: The K at 8:15 in the morning is a large positive line with a large trading volume. This line basically determines the subsequent trend, and the price is expected to continue to rise. The market needs a big good news, and then it will soar.
Intraday trading ideas: Buy at the callback position. Shorting is not recommended as the risk is high.
#BTC☀
[Today's market analysis-BTC-10.21]
It is only used as a technical analysis study, not as an investment opening suggestion. Profits and losses are at your own risk
1. Daily line: The price has been pushed all the way to the 70,000 mark by the air force. If the price does not make a sharp correction near 70,000 and stands firmly at 70,000, it will usher in a violent bull market. The daily level callback will go to around 679. At that time, the level has already shown a top divergence. It is necessary to pay attention to the risk of callbacks.
2. 4H: The volume and price have diverged, and the support is at 679, but the overall bullish momentum is strong. The price will not be adjusted down for the time being. It is likely to consolidate for a short time. After accumulating enough short liquidity, it will continue to rise.
3. 15min: The K at 8:15 in the morning is a large positive line with a large trading volume. This line basically determines the subsequent trend, and the price is expected to continue to rise. The market needs a big good news, and then it will soar.
Intraday trading ideas: Buy at the callback position. Shorting is not recommended as the risk is high.
#BTC☀
See original
$BTC is going to have a big correction, it should be soon.
【Today's Market Analysis-BTC-10.18】
This is only for technical analysis learning, not for investment opening suggestions. Profits and losses are at your own risk
1. Daily line: In the bullish trend, the price is expected to go to around 68~686, and the extreme retracement position is 661~665. But you need to pay attention to the wind direction. After yesterday's daily line closed, a top divergence has appeared. This is an uncertain long risk, you need to be careful. The script is: if the price continues to go up, after reaching the 68~686 range, it will start to fall after sideways. In extreme cases, it may induce more to go to around 695. But there is not much liquidity for upward growth. A larger correction is needed, not only to knock out the long retail investors, but also to cultivate a group of shorts to accumulate liquidity for the next high. The expected retracement position is around 65. The extreme position is 616, and these two positions were also mentioned yesterday. Be very careful.
2. 4H: It has been sideways at a high level. If a large positive line is pulled up and there is no trading volume, it is a lure to buy more. You are ready to sell in the 68~686 range. Be careful.
3. 15min: At 9:15 in the morning, a large positive line with no volume has been pulled out, which is quite representative. This is a typical behavior of lure more. Don't do more.
Intraday trading ideas: You can arrange short positions in the high range and arrange long positions in the callback position.
#BTC要挑战7W大关了吗？ #BTC☀
【Today's Market Analysis-BTC-10.18】
This is only for technical analysis learning, not for investment opening suggestions. Profits and losses are at your own risk
1. Daily line: In the bullish trend, the price is expected to go to around 68~686, and the extreme retracement position is 661~665. But you need to pay attention to the wind direction. After yesterday's daily line closed, a top divergence has appeared. This is an uncertain long risk, you need to be careful. The script is: if the price continues to go up, after reaching the 68~686 range, it will start to fall after sideways. In extreme cases, it may induce more to go to around 695. But there is not much liquidity for upward growth. A larger correction is needed, not only to knock out the long retail investors, but also to cultivate a group of shorts to accumulate liquidity for the next high. The expected retracement position is around 65. The extreme position is 616, and these two positions were also mentioned yesterday. Be very careful.
2. 4H: It has been sideways at a high level. If a large positive line is pulled up and there is no trading volume, it is a lure to buy more. You are ready to sell in the 68~686 range. Be careful.
3. 15min: At 9:15 in the morning, a large positive line with no volume has been pulled out, which is quite representative. This is a typical behavior of lure more. Don't do more.
Intraday trading ideas: You can arrange short positions in the high range and arrange long positions in the callback position.
#BTC要挑战7W大关了吗？ #BTC☀
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