Analysis $BTC 03/01/2025 #BTC, this positive reaction from Bitcoin is really extraordinary and it continues to follow our plan perfectly.
We are almost closing this current 4H candle, and if we are able to close above 98,500 today, then it will be another confirmation that the $100K over the weekend is real.
There is something we should note here: Note that BTC dominance is negative -1% even though it is printing a +2% increase, this is what we would like to see, as this is a good setup for #altcoin to continue rising.
There was a doubt among many analysts about which direction Dominance would take if BTC reacted quickly, now it seems that there is a consensus that Dominance will fall anyway lol, but as always (it seems to me), I have to disagree with my noble colleagues...
I THINK that BTC Dominance will continue to fall, of course, at each important level broken, it will come back to retest (causing fluctuations in Altcoins), so far so good, however, I do not think that we will have a GREAT performance of Altcoins if BTC rises above $108K without sidewaysing a little.
So what I am saying is that for an even more OPTIMISTIC scenario for ALTCOINS, BTC should remain in this range between $98K/$108K as much as possible, giving room for its Dominance to continue falling and Altcoins to continue running quickly.
So my main idea is this: BTC starts working between $98K/$108K until its Dominance drops to 54% and pushes all ALTS up, of course the best and strongest will break key resistances that will put them in line with their ATHS.
After that, BTC rises above $108K, making it difficult for ALTS again and holding back those that are already faster and giving space for the ones that are lagging behind to run.
In the next round, it repeats at higher prices!
* If you have any questions, don't hesitate, go to my INSTA (it's in the fixed image of my profile here), call me and ask your question.
The market is at a standstill, with low liquidity. The whales are in charge. Total 2 and 3 have been trading sideways for almost 2 weeks, following a correction trend, wanting to test the bottom of the channel we are working on. The dominance of #BTC may continue to rise and retest the top of the dominance at 60%. Weak altcoins, testing our patience. For now, everything is normal. For several days BTC insisted on breaking the top of the movement, but if BTC closes below 92k today, BTC may test the 87k range, easing the weekly stochastic, and may also visit the 82k range. A completely normal correction, since most people are enjoying the end of the year, everyone is on vacation and the market is in low liquidity.
#BtcNewHolder With low liquidity, it is easier for whales to manipulate the market and test the patience of new investors, which could lead to a cleanup in the market, leading to continued highs in the coming months.
#BTC had a terrible close today, despite perfectly following the plan I outlined with the black line on the chart from the 28th.
However, I'm not really focused on the price of Bitcoin, but rather on its Dominance. Note that it fell below 58% and even with its price also falling, #altcoin had some good reaction in the first hour of opening.
I know that things can change quickly, but still, as I said in an earlier post, I think we'll have a good week.
The Asian bulls should start to lead here so that tomorrow we'll have a good NY session. Although there are still few people in the market, I think we can have a good day tomorrow.
You don't show that you're a good TRADER when the charts are easy, but when they're HORRIBLE like this.
I am looking forward to seeing BTC Dominance break below 57.71%, we should do it soon. I am very BULLISH!
Surround yourself with good people. Know how to filter information and analysis on Binance Square. If you know how to use this tool, you will learn a lot.
Ualifi Araújo
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Bullish
Analysis $BTC 12/28/2024 #BTC, following the plan perfectly... We found support again in this green region of the chart and we are starting to react here. Things seem to be improving.
It is the weekend, so the daily closes are not as important as they seem, but I still think it will be very good for the BULLS if we close above $95,500 today, note that it is not long before that, but from there we can attack this blue band on the chart again.
This bear market was really overwhelming, but the bull market will be great and if you have not sold until now, then you deserve the rewards, hold on tight because we are almost there.
This bull market will be totally different from the others as we have the liquidity of ETFs being added here, which brings a different dynamic this time, I am excited for the next few months!
Price hasn't moved much since yesterday, so there's not much to add...
We're still following this wedge, but it's very likely that we'll see action between $94K/$97K over the weekend, so relax. A sideways movement here will allow #altcoin to continue reacting and have a significant bounce over the weekend.
The RSI is very good, and leaves us with a good room to bounce from here. Next week should be busy (post-New Year).
We'll reach $110K soon!
* If you have any questions, don't hesitate, go to my INSTA (it's in the pinned image of my profile here), call me and ask your questions.
Tranquility, calm, patience and elegance to live your purpose. 😌
Ualifi Araújo
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Bullish
GOOD MORNING!!!!
We started the WEEKEND still with timid reactions from #BTC and #altcoin , but today it should improve a little more and we should have some upward reaction, especially in Altcoins.
I'm keeping an eye on BTC Dominance, if it starts to work below 58% it will be enough for us to have a good positive weekend.
I know most of you are confused by this whole USDT situation, but Gentlemen... a BullRun is never a BullRun without a little USDT FUD lol... so, ignore the noise and BUY!
If you are a pessimist in this market, you will probably leave money on the table for other players.
Good players do not trade news. They trade charts!
Don't know anything about chart analysis? Well... start learning!
If you depend only on other people's analysis, the risk of you getting screwed is high. Studying this market is what will make you prosper. Without the minimum knowledge to trade, your chances of surviving in the crypto market are slim.
Without knowledge, you will think that the crypto market is like a game of luck and chance, like a slot machine, you will consider that the market is all manipulated and that there was no reason or indication of a possible correction or lateralization.
Without knowledge, you will elect any news or publication as a true fact. Sometimes it is just another FUD, created by those who understand nothing about the market. Once the FUD spreads, fear sets in and beginner or inexperienced traders end up leaving the market AT A LOSS!
Learn about this market or any trigger created for the market to correct, you will despair and lose a good part of your crypto assets.
For those who do not know where they want to go, any path will do. Any trigger will do. Any result will do.
BTC dominance is looking to set up a bearish pivot. We could see BTC dominance melt away and altcoins explode soon.
The biggest risk is that you are not positioned. 🤷🏼♀️ Be careful with whales, they often manipulate the market to see you sell your positions and they buy cheaper.
We are easing indicators, TOTAL 2 and TOTAL 3 looking to pop up!
LESSONS FROM THE CRYPTO MARKET: • The market moves in waves. • It is unlikely that a currency will give you 10x, 20x, 50x appreciation in a straight line. Fluctuations and corrections are normal and healthy. • You will only be at a loss if you sell the currency at a loss. Instead of realizing the loss, make more contributions to reduce your average price. • If you believe in the project, there is no reason to sell it. • Diversification protects you from risk. • Invest in good projects. • Make contributions whenever you can, according to your reality. • Manage your risk. • If you are a HOLD, you do not need to worry too much about short-term fluctuations; take advantage of drops to improve your average price. • If you are trading in a currency, enter with a maximum of 10% of your bankroll in each trade. As the currency rises, increase your stop. Depending on how much the currency has already risen, you can increase the stop to your entry price, protecting your capital. • If you don't know anything about graphical analysis, stop getting involved in the futures market. Buying in spot is safer for beginner traders. • Even experienced traders can lose money in the futures market. Futures are not futures for beginner traders, they are the graveyard. It is a quick way to lose your bankroll. • If you want to survive in the crypto market, you need to learn how to analyze graphs, you need to study, because if you depend only on the analysis of others, you will not survive for long in this market. • Choose the people you listen to and the information you receive. • Stop romanticizing futures for beginners, this high expectation that you place on them makes many people enter the market at the top and lose a significant amount of their invested capital. • Beware of euphoria! Stop buying at the top and selling at the bottom. Did you buy an altcoin and believe in it? Hold on. If the price drops, you buy more and improve your average price. • Never enter more than you can afford in a coin, or you will lose sleep over it.
• The market is simpler than you think. If you do the basics (which work), you will profit more than those who hunt for trades every day.
• Do DCA in Dollars (Average Price).
• Do DCA in the cryptocurrencies you chose to invest in (Average Price).
• Make sure you chose good projects.
• Understand which are the strong narratives for this cycle (In my opinion, the key narratives are: RWA, IA, MEMECOIN, DEFI, some DEX and some BLOCKCHAINS).
• Stop inventing trends. If you don't understand anything about futures markets, keep buying SPOT. Futures don't offer a future for inexperienced traders.
• Did the cryptocurrency correct or retreat? Don't sell at a loss. If you have money to invest more, continue with the DCA strategy (Average Price). Don't have more to invest during this decline? Just watch the market and let it make its own move. Do the same with the Dollar.
• Be patient, the market moves in waves. No currency will give you 10x, 20x, 30x or 50x in a straight line!
• The market will always give you opportunities, don't be greedy. Don't be hunting for trades or getting out of currencies all the time, as this will make you miss out on big gains.
• Declines, corrections and fluctuations are normal. Get this into your head! Do the basics well and you will see your portfolio appreciate over time.
THE MOST VALUABLE LESSON I LEARNED IN THE CRYPTO MARKET:
• Patience usually pays off very well. If you don't have patience with the market or the altcoins you're positioned in, you'll most likely only serve as liquidity.
• If you continue to despair every time the market corrects and take a loss because you don't have the patience to let the market make its move, you'll lose a part of your crypto assets. You'll literally leave your money on the table. You'll most likely have to pay a toll to get back to those same coins you got rid of in desperation when they start to soar again.
• Drops are opportunities to improve the average price or buy more tokens of that asset you like.
• Crises and panic are nothing more than wealth changing hands. Are you sure you want to leave your money on the table? Think carefully before taking a loss, because once you sell at a loss, you're accepting that loss.
• Drops and price fluctuations do not mean a loss. It's only a loss if you make a loss.
• Beware of supposed crypto mentors and supposed senior traders, most of them have no basis whatsoever for what they say. Learn from this: not everyone wants to see you prosper. If you're a newbie, you've probably despaired at some point after reading a post on Binance Square. Obviously, there are experienced people trying to convey their market vision, but there are many people who post even without having the slightest knowledge of the market, leading many people to despair and get rid of their crypto assets.
Most people are too worried or anxious to see that we are forming a double BOTTOM here at #BTC , and before that we have already formed at some good #altcoin .
I know that MOST people are still calling for CHAOS, but let's be honest here, most Analysts change their opinion with every movement on the chart, so we are not going to take that into consideration.
Remember that the crowd is usually wrong!
We are very close to Christmas and Powell may have taken us out of the Christmas RALLY, but that doesn't mean we won't have some upside to improve things. So, I am particularly interested in the NY session tomorrow.
If you are still holding your coins, keep holding on and you will have great profits in the coming months. Remember that you invested waiting for the 2025 bull market, so... stick to the plan and trust the process, let's go together!
In a market correction, the rule is clear: buy and hold.
Take advantage of the market drop to increase your position in the cryptocurrencies you like. Improve your average price. Many cryptocurrencies are still at rock bottom. Many cryptocurrencies are still offering opportunities.
Be very patient because the market moves in waves. And make no mistake, only those who are patient will surf this market.
Don't leverage yourself, don't go to the futures market if you have no experience or little experience in this market, because the chances of you being liquidated and losing your entire bankroll are high.
Futures don't offer a future for inexperienced traders.
Futures are the graveyard.
Money doesn't accept disrespect, never forget that. Invest your money wisely and responsibly.
If you don't have patience with the crypto market, if you despair every time you see a correction, maybe you're in the wrong place, maybe you should go back to investing your money in CDB, in fixed income.
Don't get upset when someone tells you this. It's for your own good!
Start studying the crypto market, because without knowledge you won't make it to the end of this cycle with money in your pocket. Either you will learn through love, or you will learn through pain. It is you who will choose the path. And the path, in turn, will determine your result.
I believe that#BTCcould reach the 120k level this month.
At the moment, the price of BTC is taking off. There is a lot of demand for little supply. BTC is increasingly scarce on exchanges.
On Wednesday, we could see another interest rate cut and this could trigger a new appreciation of the asset.
BTC is within a short-term rising channel. BTC has broken out of a consolidation and is now testing the top of the channel. We are heading towards 100% of the pivot (120k and 121k range).
December is marked by big increases.
History does not repeat itself, but it always rhymes.
Most people are still too inattentive to #altcoin , the vast majority don't realize what we are about to witness.
The next move upwards will be something really significant, I know that many think that these increases we had were something big, but in fact it is just a small movement compared to what we will see in the coming months.
I am particularly watching the Altcoins in the /BTC pair and what I see here is obviously an incredible devaluation, but it shouldn't last much longer.
This coming week is an incredible week, and even though I can't predict any result of the economic data we will have, I am really optimistic about ALTCOINS.
You don't need much, you just need to survive this week and you can make great profits.
We will have some volatility this week, so don't keep looking at the charts every 10 minutes, looking at them won't change the price at all, stick to the plan!
This market only recognizes those who are patient and do not panic, remember that!
Good luck to all of you, and let's go together...no matter the direction! ✊🏻🚀
#BTC is within a short-term rising channel, within an accumulation range. The indicator is easing. The Relative Strength Index is heading towards the 50% range. Completely normal movement. Nothing to worry about. BTC tested the bottom of the channel. If it breaks the top of the channel along with the 8-month average, we can test 107k - 108k with the aim of reaching 100% of the pivot, potentially testing 120k in the coming weeks. BTC movement corroborating with highs.
For a consistent rise in altcoins, we need to break today's high along with the 8-month average.
What many people see as something negative, I see as an opportunity to invest more in the coins I like.
The more you invest, the greater the variation in PNL.
Dropouts are opportunities (if you are investing in good projects).
Therefore, this "drop" doesn't scare me. I haven't lost anything, because I'll never realize at a loss. My focus is on the next 6 to 8 months.
"Wow, but you lost 500 USD", I didn't lose anything because I didn't sell. Drops and devaluations are part of this market. I'm still holding the same number of tokens. I don't care about the price now, I care about the value I'll be trading at in 6 months.
Ps: even with this correction and with a negative PNL, I'm still in profit, considering my initial investment.