#加密ETF申请热潮涌现 #加密ETF申请热潮涌现 United States: In January 2024, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved a series of Bitcoin ETFs, and in July, Ethereum ETFs also successfully received SEC approval. On October 17, asset management firm Bitwise submitted registration documents for an XRP ETF to the SEC, and asset management firm Canary Capital also submitted a registration statement to the SEC, planning to launch the first spot Litecoin (LTC) ETF. On November 22, the Cboe BZX exchange submitted another listing application for a Solana ETF. In December 2024, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission officially approved the first batch of "Bitcoin + Ethereum" hybrid exchange-traded funds (ETFs), issued by Hashdex and Franklin Templeton respectively. Regulatory environment changes: The U.S. regulatory agencies' attitude towards the regulation of crypto assets is gradually softening, as they have approved Bitcoin, Ethereum, and "Bitcoin + Ethereum" hybrid ETFs, providing a more favorable regulatory environment for the development of crypto ETFs and encouraging more institutions to apply for and innovate related products $BTC

#2025加密趋势预测 Funds continue to flow into spot ETFs: Since the Bitcoin spot ETF was listed in January 2024, it has attracted $36.4 billion in inflows, and the Ethereum spot ETF has also attracted $2.4 billion since its listing in July. Analysts expect the strong inflows of crypto spot ETFs in 2025 to continue in their first year of trading, providing further impetus for the growth of cryptocurrencies12.
Stablecoin market development: The continued issuance of stablecoins has been boosted after Trump's election. As enthusiasm in the industry is rekindled, more stablecoins are entering the market, which may threaten the market share of Tether, the long-dominant stablecoin leader. The diversification of the stablecoin market is seen as a positive factor, and its widespread adoption in use cases beyond crypto trading may be a driver of broader decentralized finance (DeFi) participation. It is expected that the stablecoin market value may double to more than $400 billion in 2025
Crypto ETF product expansion: With the successful launch of the Bitcoin ETF, investors' demand for cryptocurrency ETFs continues to grow. In 2025, popular cryptocurrencies such as Ethereum staking and Solana will also become investment targets of ETF products, providing investors with more investment options and opportunities$BTC $ETH $BNB

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According to the cryptocurrency market research agency Santiment, Bitcoin surged to $99,800 on Christmas, and traders are bullish again, betting on a target price of $110,000.
On December 18, Bitcoin briefly rose to over $108,000, setting a new all-time high for the second consecutive day, with traders now eyeing the $110,000 price level.

Institutional Investors Entering the Market: Well-known companies like Tesla and MicroStrategy are making significant purchases of Bitcoin as corporate reserve assets, while financial institutions like PayPal and Square are offering Bitcoin trading services, gradually bringing Bitcoin into the mainstream investment landscape. The participation of institutional investors has played a crucial role in driving up Bitcoin prices.

On December 24, 2023, the global cryptocurrency market is in a consolidation phase, with a slight decrease in total market value of 0.95% to $3.32 trillion, and trading volume growing by 2.05% to $152.63 billion. The fear and greed index shows a neutral score of 54, highlighting a cautious environment. Below are the specific conditions and related analysis of the recent consolidation in the crypto market:
Overall Market Performance
Bitcoin: As of December 24, the price of Bitcoin has decreased by 1.17% to $94,408.15 in the past day, with 24-hour trading volume significantly increasing by 20.17% to $58.73 billion. The outflow of Bitcoin ETFs is $276 million.
Ethereum: The price of Ethereum has increased by 3.20% to $3,426.68 on the daily chart.
Solana: Solana has risen by 3.56% to $191.40.
XRP: The price trend of XRP has clearly calmed down in recent days, consolidating within a bearish flag pattern, with trading prices close to $2.24, showing obvious signs of indecision.

#加密市场盘整
Periodic Bull and Bear Cycles: Bitcoin price fluctuations are highly correlated with the halving mechanism, with a clear bull and bear cycle occurring every four years. For example, after the first halving in 2012, the price of Bitcoin rose from $10 to $1,100 in 2013; after the second halving in 2016, the price rose from $400 to $20,000 in 2017; and after the third halving in 2020, the price increased from around $6,000 to nearly $69,000 in 2021. However, after each bull market, Bitcoin has experienced remarkable corrections, with price drops of over 80% from historical highs in 2014, 2018, and 2022.
Long-term Perspective: For investors optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term prospects, it is advisable to buy at the cyclical bottom and hold, incrementally building positions during market panic and price undervaluation, patiently awaiting the arrival of the next bull market, with the potential for substantial returns. However, investing in Bitcoin carries high risks, with potentially large price fluctuations; investors should make cautious decisions based on their risk tolerance and investment goals. $BTC

#加密市场盘整 Periodic Bull and Bear Cycles: The price fluctuations of Bitcoin are highly correlated with the halving mechanism, with a noticeable bull and bear cycle every four years. For example, after the first halving in 2012, the price of Bitcoin rose from $10 to $1,100 in 2013; during the second halving in 2016, the price rose from $400 to $20,000 in 2017; and after the third halving in 2020, the price increased from around $6,000 to nearly $69,000 in 2021. However, after each bull market, Bitcoin has experienced remarkable corrections, with drops of more than 80% from historical highs in 2014, 2018, and 2022.
Long-term Perspective: For investors optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term prospects, it is advisable to buy at cycle bottoms and hold, gradually building positions during market panic and price undervaluation, and patiently waiting for the next bull market to arrive, with the potential for substantial returns. However, Bitcoin investment carries high risk, as price fluctuations can be significant, and investors should make prudent decisions based on their risk tolerance and investment goals.
Pay Attention to Policy and Market Changes: Investors need to closely monitor global monetary policy, regulatory trends, and potential market risks, as well as information on technological innovations and project fundamentals, to enhance their judgment and help capture signals of cyclical turning points, allowing for timely adjustments to investment strategies.
$BTC $ETH $XRP $BTC

#比特币市场波动观
Periodic Bull and Bear Cycles: Bitcoin price fluctuations are highly correlated with the halving mechanism, with a noticeable bull-bear cycle occurring every four years. For example, after the first halving in 2012, the price of Bitcoin rose from $10 to $1,100 in 2013; during the second halving in 2016, the price increased from $400 to $20,000 in 2017; and after the third halving in 2020, the price rose from around $6,000 to nearly $69,000 in 2021. However, after each bull market, Bitcoin has experienced remarkable adjustments, with declines of over 80% from historical highs in 2014, 2018, and 2022.
Long-Term Perspective: For investors optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term prospects, it may be beneficial to buy at the bottom of the cycle and hold, gradually accumulating during market panic and undervaluation, and patiently waiting for the arrival of the next bull market, with the potential for substantial returns. However, investing in Bitcoin carries a high level of risk, and price fluctuations can be significant. Investors should make cautious decisions based on their own risk tolerance and investment goals.

Pay Attention to Policy and Market Changes: Investors need to closely monitor global monetary policy, regulatory trends, and potential market risks, as well as keep an eye on technological innovations and project fundamentals, which can enhance judgment and help capture signals of cyclical turning points, allowing for timely adjustments to investment strategies.
$BTC $ETH $XRP

#比特币市场波动观

Cyclical Bull and Bear Alternation: The volatility of Bitcoin prices is highly correlated with the halving mechanism, with a noticeable bull and bear alternation every four years. For example, after the first halving in 2012, the price of Bitcoin rose from $10 to $1,100 in 2013; after the second halving in 2016, the price rose from $400 to $20,000 in 2017; after the third halving in 2020, the price increased from around $6,000 to nearly $69,000 in 2021. However, after each bull market, Bitcoin has experienced significant corrections, as seen in 2014, 2018, and 2022, when Bitcoin fell more than 80% from its historical highs.
Long-term Perspective: For investors optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term prospects, it is advisable to buy and hold at the cycle's bottom, gradually building positions during market panic and price undervaluation, and patiently await the arrival of the next bull market, with the potential for substantial returns. However, investing in Bitcoin carries high risks, as price fluctuations can be significant, and investors need to make cautious decisions based on their own risk tolerance and investment goals.
$BTC $ETH $XRP

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Sharp decline after fluctuations rose: This week, Bitcoin's price experienced significant volatility, dropping by 7% early on Friday before regaining upward momentum, and once again breaking above the $100,000 mark in the early hours of December 20, recovering most of the losses since the sharp decline after hitting a new high, but then experiencing another drop on the 20th.
Some investors are cautious: There have been consecutive large net outflows from Bitcoin spot ETFs, and investors' cautious attitude has significantly increased, but some capital inflows have also been attracted recently.
Factors influencing the trend
Policy and regulatory factors: The International Monetary Fund approved a $1.4 billion extended fund loan to El Salvador but restricted its public sector from participating in Bitcoin-related economic activities and trading and purchasing Bitcoin, which has had a certain impact on Bitcoin. Additionally, changes in the policies and regulations of various governments towards cryptocurrencies directly affect Bitcoin's price, such as a shift in attitude from the U.S. government and regulators, which has brought positive effects to the cryptocurrency market, but there is still uncertainty surrounding Bitcoin's regulatory policies.
Macroeconomic factors: The U.S. inflation rate is expected to drop to 2% in 2024, which may benefit Bitcoin's price. The uncertainty of the global economic situation often increases investors' demand for safe assets like Bitcoin, but changes in the economic situation may also lead to shifts in investors' risk preferences, affecting Bitcoin's price.
Market sentiment factors: Market sentiment is greatly influenced by Bitcoin's price fluctuations, and investors' emotions are also quite evident. On one hand, the significant volatility in Bitcoin's price has led to a heightened cautious attitude among some investors; on the other hand, its price increase has attracted attention from some investors. The CMC Cryptocurrency Fear and Greed Index once reached 83, indicating an extreme greed range, reflecting investors' optimistic expectations for Bitcoin's future performance, but this sentiment can change at any time.

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