加密红豆加冰
@BCT3568
公众号：加密领袖投研。财经媒体，投研机构。
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The cryptocurrency world in 2025: opportunities, challenges and mental game
1. Looking back at 2024, the cryptocurrency world is full of ups and downs
In 2024, the cryptocurrency market is like a thrilling adventure, full of challenges and opportunities, which will be unforgettable for every participant. This year, the market has been changing like a roller coaster, with ups and downs, bringing unprecedented challenges to investors.
At the beginning of the year, Bitcoin$BTC took the lead and successfully broke through the $100,000 mark, becoming the focus of the market. This breakthrough is not only a leap in numbers, but also a strong proof of the market's recognition of the long-term value of Bitcoin. For a time, investors were full of confidence, as if they saw the dawn of financial freedom. However, the good times did not last long. The market soon entered a period of volatility, and the price of Bitcoin fell sharply to $92,400. This violent fluctuation was like a storm, which instantly made investors' mood fall to the bottom.
In 2024, the cryptocurrency market is like a thrilling adventure, full of challenges and opportunities, which will be unforgettable for every participant. This year, the market has been changing like a roller coaster, with ups and downs, bringing unprecedented challenges to investors.
At the beginning of the year, Bitcoin$BTC took the lead and successfully broke through the $100,000 mark, becoming the focus of the market. This breakthrough is not only a leap in numbers, but also a strong proof of the market's recognition of the long-term value of Bitcoin. For a time, investors were full of confidence, as if they saw the dawn of financial freedom. However, the good times did not last long. The market soon entered a period of volatility, and the price of Bitcoin fell sharply to $92,400. This violent fluctuation was like a storm, which instantly made investors' mood fall to the bottom.
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Hot market dynamics
1. Bitcoin and altcoin market dynamics
•
Bitcoin $BTC continues to fall.
•
Altcoins in exchanges generally decline, and altcoins on the chain generally rise.
•
Profit opportunities are mainly concentrated on the chain, and there is an opportunity to get in touch with early chips.
•
The primary market is volatile, with risks and returns coexisting.
2. US stock market dynamics
•
US stocks continue to fall.
•
MicroStrategy's stock price plummeted.
3. Whales withdraw a large amount of $DOGE
•
11 minutes ago, whales withdrew 26.85 million DOGE from Binance, worth $8.37 million.
4. ai16z leads the AI track market value breakthrough
•
On the last day of 2024, ai16z continues to lead the AI track to break through the market value ceiling.
•
Shaw announced plans to build ai16z into a Layer1 project, and its current market value has reached $1.9 billion.
5. AI sector accelerates growth
•
AI sector including ai16z, zerebro, arc, eliza, griffain, swarms and vapor are accelerating growth.
•
ai16z plans to become an I1-level project in the AI field.
•
eliza has become the top popular repository on GitHub in December.
•
Dragon One Virtual has recently adjusted sideways, and funds have begun to flow to Dragon Two and Dragon Three.
6. Meme sector and exchange rate dynamics
•
In the meme sector, pnut, chiilguy, goat and others have risen.
•
Sol/ETH exchange rate rebounded strongly.
•
Some funds have been transferred from the high AI sector to the low meme sector.
7. On-chain exchange hype launches staking service
•
Hype exchange launches staking service.
•
After locking for 7 days, you can get an annualized return of 2.5% apy.
Musk's avatar has been changed to a $PEPE , you can pay attention to it
1. Bitcoin and altcoin market dynamics
•
Bitcoin $BTC continues to fall.
•
Altcoins in exchanges generally decline, and altcoins on the chain generally rise.
•
Profit opportunities are mainly concentrated on the chain, and there is an opportunity to get in touch with early chips.
•
The primary market is volatile, with risks and returns coexisting.
2. US stock market dynamics
•
US stocks continue to fall.
•
MicroStrategy's stock price plummeted.
3. Whales withdraw a large amount of $DOGE
•
11 minutes ago, whales withdrew 26.85 million DOGE from Binance, worth $8.37 million.
4. ai16z leads the AI track market value breakthrough
•
On the last day of 2024, ai16z continues to lead the AI track to break through the market value ceiling.
•
Shaw announced plans to build ai16z into a Layer1 project, and its current market value has reached $1.9 billion.
5. AI sector accelerates growth
•
AI sector including ai16z, zerebro, arc, eliza, griffain, swarms and vapor are accelerating growth.
•
ai16z plans to become an I1-level project in the AI field.
•
eliza has become the top popular repository on GitHub in December.
•
Dragon One Virtual has recently adjusted sideways, and funds have begun to flow to Dragon Two and Dragon Three.
6. Meme sector and exchange rate dynamics
•
In the meme sector, pnut, chiilguy, goat and others have risen.
•
Sol/ETH exchange rate rebounded strongly.
•
Some funds have been transferred from the high AI sector to the low meme sector.
7. On-chain exchange hype launches staking service
•
Hype exchange launches staking service.
•
After locking for 7 days, you can get an annualized return of 2.5% apy.
Musk's avatar has been changed to a $PEPE , you can pay attention to it
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📈 Cryptocurrency Market Technical Analysis
$BTC 4-Hour K-Line Trend:
Resistance Level: 94104～95760 Support Level: 90988～91958
$ETH 4-Hour K-Line Trend:
Resistance Level: 3444～3508 Support Level: 3258～3333
Specific Technical Analysis:
BTC 4-Hour Cycle: Decreasing volume (as of 7:24 AM), recently in sideways consolidation, need to pay attention to the strong support at the lower band 90988~91958. Trend Judgment: The trend indicator below the 12-hour cycle shows a bearish trend, with prices expected to decline in the future, short-term trading strategy is to short on rallies. MACD Indicator: 4-hour and 6-hour cycle MACD shows bearish divergence, short-term operation also suggests shorting on rallies. When the price pulls back to important moving averages, Bollinger upper band, double top pattern, or neckline resistance level, it is a good opportunity to lay out short positions. If a bottom divergence occurs in the 15-minute or 30-minute timeframe, consider light long positions, quick in and out.
Operational Suggestions:
Short-term: When the price pulls back to important support levels, light long positions can be placed (spot trading mindset). Risk Control: Investment involves risks, enter the market with caution. Be sure to set stop-losses and manage risks well.
The above analysis is for reference only, invest with caution!
$BTC 4-Hour K-Line Trend:
Resistance Level: 94104～95760 Support Level: 90988～91958
$ETH 4-Hour K-Line Trend:
Resistance Level: 3444～3508 Support Level: 3258～3333
Specific Technical Analysis:
BTC 4-Hour Cycle: Decreasing volume (as of 7:24 AM), recently in sideways consolidation, need to pay attention to the strong support at the lower band 90988~91958. Trend Judgment: The trend indicator below the 12-hour cycle shows a bearish trend, with prices expected to decline in the future, short-term trading strategy is to short on rallies. MACD Indicator: 4-hour and 6-hour cycle MACD shows bearish divergence, short-term operation also suggests shorting on rallies. When the price pulls back to important moving averages, Bollinger upper band, double top pattern, or neckline resistance level, it is a good opportunity to lay out short positions. If a bottom divergence occurs in the 15-minute or 30-minute timeframe, consider light long positions, quick in and out.
Operational Suggestions:
Short-term: When the price pulls back to important support levels, light long positions can be placed (spot trading mindset). Risk Control: Investment involves risks, enter the market with caution. Be sure to set stop-losses and manage risks well.
The above analysis is for reference only, invest with caution!
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📅 Special Report on the Last Day of 2024 #GM
This year, we witnessed together:
Global public debt surpasses the $100 trillion mark.
The U.S. debt crisis looms, expected to hit the ceiling as early as between January 14 and 23, 2025. Coincidentally, Trump is set to take office again and may adopt 'special measures' to respond.
A major shift in global economic policy
Major developed economies like the U.S. have entered a rate-cutting cycle, while Japan is raising rates against the trend. China has, after many years, proposed 'moderately loose monetary policy', and although the global approaches differ, the theme of 'change' signifies the arrival of a new cycle.
Global electoral trends
Over 60 countries and regions have completed elections, with the alternation of new and old powers, marking the beginning of reform.
Financial markets repeatedly set new highs
Bitcoin breaks the $100,000 mark for the first time, while the U.S. stock and gold markets also set new records.
AI leads the topic trend
AI and artificial intelligence have become the year's hot topics, setting the tone for this bull market.
$BNB
This year, we witnessed together:
Global public debt surpasses the $100 trillion mark.
The U.S. debt crisis looms, expected to hit the ceiling as early as between January 14 and 23, 2025. Coincidentally, Trump is set to take office again and may adopt 'special measures' to respond.
A major shift in global economic policy
Major developed economies like the U.S. have entered a rate-cutting cycle, while Japan is raising rates against the trend. China has, after many years, proposed 'moderately loose monetary policy', and although the global approaches differ, the theme of 'change' signifies the arrival of a new cycle.
Global electoral trends
Over 60 countries and regions have completed elections, with the alternation of new and old powers, marking the beginning of reform.
Financial markets repeatedly set new highs
Bitcoin breaks the $100,000 mark for the first time, while the U.S. stock and gold markets also set new records.
AI leads the topic trend
AI and artificial intelligence have become the year's hot topics, setting the tone for this bull market.
$BNB
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Weekly Analysis: $BTC ended the weekly trading last week at 8 AM on Monday, and the current observation results show that the weekly closing situation is not ideal. As shown in Figure 1, through analysis, a relatively weak weekly top pattern can be identified. Based on this closing shape, the strategy for BTC this week is: continue to hold existing high-position short positions and do not consider closing them for now. Regarding the long position operations for this week, caution is required, and trading opportunities should only be sought within the 92300-99500 range, focusing on smaller levels (or even smaller levels).
The weekly closing situation for ETH at 8 AM on Monday is actually worse than BTC. Although some investors may be misled by ETH's bullish closing, as shown in Figure 2, in-depth analysis reveals that in terms of weekly trends, ETH is currently still weaker than BTC. The strategy for ETH this week is: continue to hold existing high-position short positions and seek small-level long and short trading opportunities within the 3220-3600 range, while also exercising caution in long position operations.
For trading altcoins, it is recommended to refer to the trend of $ETH . Some strong-performing altcoins are very likely not to break previous low points, such as zen and ssv. If these altcoins break previous low points, it will be an excellent buying opportunity. To capture the seasonal dividends of altcoins, it is advisable to place buy orders in batches for favored altcoin spots to avoid missing market opportunities.
In terms of large-scale operations, we are still waiting for BTC to break below 92230 and ETH to break below 3100, before switching to large-scale long position operations. The market outlook remains bullish, and we have not yet reached the peak of the bull market.
#BTC #ETH$BNB
The weekly closing situation for ETH at 8 AM on Monday is actually worse than BTC. Although some investors may be misled by ETH's bullish closing, as shown in Figure 2, in-depth analysis reveals that in terms of weekly trends, ETH is currently still weaker than BTC. The strategy for ETH this week is: continue to hold existing high-position short positions and seek small-level long and short trading opportunities within the 3220-3600 range, while also exercising caution in long position operations.
For trading altcoins, it is recommended to refer to the trend of $ETH . Some strong-performing altcoins are very likely not to break previous low points, such as zen and ssv. If these altcoins break previous low points, it will be an excellent buying opportunity. To capture the seasonal dividends of altcoins, it is advisable to place buy orders in batches for favored altcoin spots to avoid missing market opportunities.
In terms of large-scale operations, we are still waiting for BTC to break below 92230 and ETH to break below 3100, before switching to large-scale long position operations. The market outlook remains bullish, and we have not yet reached the peak of the bull market.
#BTC #ETH$BNB
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Market Overview on December 27, 2024
1. Market Trends
$BTC Performance: Bitcoin has significantly dropped, and altcoins generally follow suit, almost erasing all gains made in December.
U.S. Stock Dynamics: The U.S. stock market is experiencing fluctuations. Currency market predictions indicate a high probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by 38 basis points next year, with a 50% chance of a second rate cut of 25 basis points.
2. Market Hotspots
Platform Token Dynamics
BGB and FTT Surge: After the merger of BGB and wallet BWB, its market capitalization successfully entered the top 20.
FTX's compensation plan will be implemented in January. However, it is worth noting that historically, the surge of platform tokens is often followed by a substantial market drop.
BN New Coin Rebound
BN New Coin Performance: The BN series of new coins has rebounded, including ME, VANA, THE, VELO, MOVE, PENGUIN, etc. Before the launch of a new round of Launchpool, the market usually heats up by boosting previously released new coins.
On-chain Project Highlights
MIRA Soars: The on-chain project MIRA has surged significantly; the project has received promotion from $BIO and AI16Z. MIRA is hailed as the Chinese version of Shuidichou, aimed at helping ill entrepreneurs raise treatment funds.
$ETH Hippo on the Chain Surges: The Hippo project on the ETH chain has also seen a significant rise, with the Thai hippo even receiving “adoption” from Vitalik Buterin.
$MEME Project Explosion: The WOULD project within the MEME category has surged 100 times in the past two months and was previously mentioned by Elon Musk.
1. Market Trends
$BTC Performance: Bitcoin has significantly dropped, and altcoins generally follow suit, almost erasing all gains made in December.
U.S. Stock Dynamics: The U.S. stock market is experiencing fluctuations. Currency market predictions indicate a high probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by 38 basis points next year, with a 50% chance of a second rate cut of 25 basis points.
2. Market Hotspots
Platform Token Dynamics
BGB and FTT Surge: After the merger of BGB and wallet BWB, its market capitalization successfully entered the top 20.
FTX's compensation plan will be implemented in January. However, it is worth noting that historically, the surge of platform tokens is often followed by a substantial market drop.
BN New Coin Rebound
BN New Coin Performance: The BN series of new coins has rebounded, including ME, VANA, THE, VELO, MOVE, PENGUIN, etc. Before the launch of a new round of Launchpool, the market usually heats up by boosting previously released new coins.
On-chain Project Highlights
MIRA Soars: The on-chain project MIRA has surged significantly; the project has received promotion from $BIO and AI16Z. MIRA is hailed as the Chinese version of Shuidichou, aimed at helping ill entrepreneurs raise treatment funds.
$ETH Hippo on the Chain Surges: The Hippo project on the ETH chain has also seen a significant rise, with the Thai hippo even receiving “adoption” from Vitalik Buterin.
$MEME Project Explosion: The WOULD project within the MEME category has surged 100 times in the past two months and was previously mentioned by Elon Musk.
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12.27 Market Analysis
Good morning!
As the United States is recovering from the Christmas holiday, many are concerned that the financial markets may experience a significant drop upon reopening. As a result, funds in the cryptocurrency space have sold off BTC, leading to a price decline.
However, it is noteworthy that:
From the ETF data, the market net inflow reached $160 million (Note: The latest data from BlackRock's IBIT and FBTC has not yet been released).
Trend Analysis:
This pullback is a normal retracement within a bull market and does not signify the end of the bull market.
Future Outlook:
With less than a month until Trump's inauguration, new waves and trends are about to unfold. If we fail to view the current trend from a macro perspective, we may easily fall into anxiety or make erroneous judgments.
Policy and Market Expectations:
By 2025, the market has only priced in a 0.35% likelihood of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates. Trump has previously made it clear that he opposes high interest rates; therefore, after he takes office, the new government is likely to seize every opportunity to significantly lower interest rates. This move can effectively reduce the fiscal deficit and avoid triggering a fiscal cliff.
Investment Opportunities:
When there is a divergence between market expectations and future trends, it often presents an excellent entry opportunity. Thus, we should focus more on the trend rather than short-term candlestick fluctuations, which will help us maintain our positions firmly.
Summary:
Stay calm, watch for trends, and seize opportunities. $BNB
Good morning!
As the United States is recovering from the Christmas holiday, many are concerned that the financial markets may experience a significant drop upon reopening. As a result, funds in the cryptocurrency space have sold off BTC, leading to a price decline.
However, it is noteworthy that:
From the ETF data, the market net inflow reached $160 million (Note: The latest data from BlackRock's IBIT and FBTC has not yet been released).
Trend Analysis:
This pullback is a normal retracement within a bull market and does not signify the end of the bull market.
Future Outlook:
With less than a month until Trump's inauguration, new waves and trends are about to unfold. If we fail to view the current trend from a macro perspective, we may easily fall into anxiety or make erroneous judgments.
Policy and Market Expectations:
By 2025, the market has only priced in a 0.35% likelihood of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates. Trump has previously made it clear that he opposes high interest rates; therefore, after he takes office, the new government is likely to seize every opportunity to significantly lower interest rates. This move can effectively reduce the fiscal deficit and avoid triggering a fiscal cliff.
Investment Opportunities:
When there is a divergence between market expectations and future trends, it often presents an excellent entry opportunity. Thus, we should focus more on the trend rather than short-term candlestick fluctuations, which will help us maintain our positions firmly.
Summary:
Stay calm, watch for trends, and seize opportunities. $BNB
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📈 $BTC & $ETH 4-hour K-line Overview:
BTC Resistance Level: 97162～98402, Support Level: 93025～94278
ETH Resistance Level: 3408～3484, Support Level: 3182～3258
📉 Technical Analysis Tips:
BTC is experiencing a volume decrease and is oscillating at a high point in a wedge channel; pay attention to the upper and lower resistance & support! For short-term trades, short on highs, with a bearish trend in cycles below 12 hours.
📉 The MACD indicator shows an acceleration in price decline, a correction is imminent; the trading strategy remains the same; remember to set your stop-loss!
💡 Short-term Thinking:
When the price retraces to the support level, take a light position for long trades {spot thinking} and short on highs; seize the timing to enter the market {contract thinking}.
⚠️ Investing involves risks; proceed with caution! The above analysis is for reference only!
#币安Alpha第7批项目公布
BTC Resistance Level: 97162～98402, Support Level: 93025～94278
ETH Resistance Level: 3408～3484, Support Level: 3182～3258
📉 Technical Analysis Tips:
BTC is experiencing a volume decrease and is oscillating at a high point in a wedge channel; pay attention to the upper and lower resistance & support! For short-term trades, short on highs, with a bearish trend in cycles below 12 hours.
📉 The MACD indicator shows an acceleration in price decline, a correction is imminent; the trading strategy remains the same; remember to set your stop-loss!
💡 Short-term Thinking:
When the price retraces to the support level, take a light position for long trades {spot thinking} and short on highs; seize the timing to enter the market {contract thinking}.
⚠️ Investing involves risks; proceed with caution! The above analysis is for reference only!
#币安Alpha第7批项目公布
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1. $BTC ETF Net Outflow Situation
The BTC ETF has experienced net outflows for four consecutive days. Notably, BlackRock's flagship ETF — IBIT saw an outflow of up to $180 million on December 24th. This marks the first large-scale selling behavior from BlackRock in over a year.
2. $ETH Ethereum ETF Net Inflow Situation
Unlike the BTC ETF, the Ethereum ETF has shown an overall net inflow trend over the past four days. In particular, BlackRock's ETHA continues to steadily increase its holdings, indicating that institutions are preparing for a possible style shift next year.
The BTC ETF has experienced net outflows for four consecutive days. Notably, BlackRock's flagship ETF — IBIT saw an outflow of up to $180 million on December 24th. This marks the first large-scale selling behavior from BlackRock in over a year.
2. $ETH Ethereum ETF Net Inflow Situation
Unlike the BTC ETF, the Ethereum ETF has shown an overall net inflow trend over the past four days. In particular, BlackRock's ETHA continues to steadily increase its holdings, indicating that institutions are preparing for a possible style shift next year.
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2024.12.26 Brief News:
Market: $BTC rebounded after a decline, altcoins generally fell.
Market focus on DeFi and AI.
Sun Yuchen sold $250 million ETH.
US stock market closed for Christmas on Wednesday.
Hot Topics:
$PHA surged significantly, collaborated with Eliza, associated with multiple new AI projects.
Stablecoins Usual and LQTY rose, Usual TVL exceeded $1.6 billion, mining contract hedging was forced to be liquidated.
DeFi project COW rose, speculated as the smallest market cap Trump concept stock.
Platform coin BGB surged, driving BWB to rise, market cap of $12 billion surpassing OKB.
DESCI's $URO and $RIF surged, BNC listed $BIO which will airdrop subcoins URO, RIF, VITA.
Public chain Berachain launched ETH (future includes BTC) deposit mining, 3 months lock-up, airdrop on mainnet launch in Q1 next year.
#“圣诞老人行情”再现
Market: $BTC rebounded after a decline, altcoins generally fell.
Market focus on DeFi and AI.
Sun Yuchen sold $250 million ETH.
US stock market closed for Christmas on Wednesday.
Hot Topics:
$PHA surged significantly, collaborated with Eliza, associated with multiple new AI projects.
Stablecoins Usual and LQTY rose, Usual TVL exceeded $1.6 billion, mining contract hedging was forced to be liquidated.
DeFi project COW rose, speculated as the smallest market cap Trump concept stock.
Platform coin BGB surged, driving BWB to rise, market cap of $12 billion surpassing OKB.
DESCI's $URO and $RIF surged, BNC listed $BIO which will airdrop subcoins URO, RIF, VITA.
Public chain Berachain launched ETH (future includes BTC) deposit mining, 3 months lock-up, airdrop on mainnet launch in Q1 next year.
#“圣诞老人行情”再现
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Binance Staking $USUAL : Pay attention to around 1 US Dollar
Usual pullback support: 1.1 is a key support level, around 1.04 can be considered for spot investment.
Investment heat: Usual recent heat continues to rise, with a clear upward trend.
Operation suggestion:
If the pullback does not fall below 1 US Dollar, consider it a buying opportunity.
If it falls below 1 US Dollar, please implement stop-loss measures.
Historical review: Investors who entered around 1.1 last time are currently seeing about 30% profit.
Please note that the above information is for reference only, and investment should be cautious, and decisions must be made based on personal risk tolerance.
Usual pullback support: 1.1 is a key support level, around 1.04 can be considered for spot investment.
Investment heat: Usual recent heat continues to rise, with a clear upward trend.
Operation suggestion:
If the pullback does not fall below 1 US Dollar, consider it a buying opportunity.
If it falls below 1 US Dollar, please implement stop-loss measures.
Historical review: Investors who entered around 1.1 last time are currently seeing about 30% profit.
Please note that the above information is for reference only, and investment should be cautious, and decisions must be made based on personal risk tolerance.
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$AAVE - Leader in the DEFI Lending Field
Hello everyone, today I want to share a project we are optimistic about—AAVE, the leader in the DEFI lending market.
Market Position: AAVE holds over 60% of the DEFI lending market share, with a TVL stabilizing at 21 billion. Proven Resilience: Through the trials of bull and bear markets, AAVE has demonstrated its value and demand. Key Advantages: Market Leader: Significant market share and influence in the DEFI lending sector. Growing Demand: During the mid-bull market, lending demand surged, benefiting AAVE. Credibility Boost: Backed by Grayscale and Trump WLFI, enhancing AAVE's visibility and credibility.
Investment Reminder: Don't blindly chase highs; it's advisable to buy in batches during pullbacks.
We share this because many friends have inquired about investment options during pullbacks. We hope these insights can provide some reference for everyone.
#比特币市场波动观察
Hello everyone, today I want to share a project we are optimistic about—AAVE, the leader in the DEFI lending market.
Market Position: AAVE holds over 60% of the DEFI lending market share, with a TVL stabilizing at 21 billion. Proven Resilience: Through the trials of bull and bear markets, AAVE has demonstrated its value and demand. Key Advantages: Market Leader: Significant market share and influence in the DEFI lending sector. Growing Demand: During the mid-bull market, lending demand surged, benefiting AAVE. Credibility Boost: Backed by Grayscale and Trump WLFI, enhancing AAVE's visibility and credibility.
Investment Reminder: Don't blindly chase highs; it's advisable to buy in batches during pullbacks.
We share this because many friends have inquired about investment options during pullbacks. We hope these insights can provide some reference for everyone.
#比特币市场波动观察
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BTC/ETH 4-Hour K-Line Analysis
📈 $BTC
Resistance Level: 99917～102288
Support Level: 95707～97359
📉 $ETH
Resistance Level: 3604～3724
Support Level: 3332～3442
Technical Analysis Key Points:
BTC is experiencing a volume decrease while rising, currently forming an 'M' head shape, with neck line resistance at 99917;
The bullish trend is evident, short-term buying on dips is recommended;
KDJ shows resilience against decline, small and medium cycles resonate with bullishness, and MACD indicates a need for a pullback;
A pullback to the 15/30 minute EMA60 or neck line support presents a good opportunity for long positions;
Set a stop loss and operate cautiously!
Operation Suggestions:
Buy on pullback to support level with light positions (spot trading mindset);
Buy on dips, but contract trading mindset requires risk management.
Risk Warning: Investment carries risks, and one should be cautious when entering the market.
#加密市场反弹
📈 $BTC
Resistance Level: 99917～102288
Support Level: 95707～97359
📉 $ETH
Resistance Level: 3604～3724
Support Level: 3332～3442
Technical Analysis Key Points:
BTC is experiencing a volume decrease while rising, currently forming an 'M' head shape, with neck line resistance at 99917;
The bullish trend is evident, short-term buying on dips is recommended;
KDJ shows resilience against decline, small and medium cycles resonate with bullishness, and MACD indicates a need for a pullback;
A pullback to the 15/30 minute EMA60 or neck line support presents a good opportunity for long positions;
Set a stop loss and operate cautiously!
Operation Suggestions:
Buy on pullback to support level with light positions (spot trading mindset);
Buy on dips, but contract trading mindset requires risk management.
Risk Warning: Investment carries risks, and one should be cautious when entering the market.
#加密市场反弹
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Awaiting the January market, corrections present opportunities, do not be pessimistic about the bull market due to recent pullbacks. Bitcoin is nearing 110,000, while altcoins are sluggish.
The pullback reflects Trump's gains and the Federal Reserve's slowdown, but it does not alter the Bitcoin bull market. The bull market is diverging, with Bitcoin shining alone, while altcoins are delayed in entering the bull market due to insufficient liquidity.
Data shows that historically, bull markets start a new trend after Christmas, with the best performance in the first four months after a halving. Trump's presidency marks a new starting point for cryptocurrency. The Trump administration will promote crypto policies, such as spot ETFs, and the issuance of Tether USDT has increased by over 20 billion USD, attracting hot money.
The demand for spot ETFs is suppressing Bitcoin's pullback, reducing the extent of the decline. In this round, 112.6 billion USD worth of Bitcoin has been purchased through spot ETFs, MicroStrategy has accumulated 444,262 coins, and the UAE may hold 400,000 coins.
The altcoin bull market index has found support after a decline, with the upward trend line intact, and may break out a month after Christmas, which is worth looking forward to after the New Year.
Bitcoin's market capitalization accounts for 56.3% at 77,546,166,768, and it may drop below 50% after Christmas, with altcoins taking over the market capitalization, as retail investors look forward to the bull market. Bitcoin is experiencing capital outflow and sector rotation, and after Christmas, Bitcoin's performance is expected to be bright, with ETF inflows clearly directed, and Ethereum purchases changing the grayscale sell-off situation.
Both the exchange rate and trends of Bitcoin and altcoins are worth looking forward to; the bull market is not over, and there may be a final opportunity to get in.
25,473,221,872
The bull market is here, and the altcoin bull market is yet to come.
The pullback reflects Trump's gains and the Federal Reserve's slowdown, but it does not alter the Bitcoin bull market. The bull market is diverging, with Bitcoin shining alone, while altcoins are delayed in entering the bull market due to insufficient liquidity.
Data shows that historically, bull markets start a new trend after Christmas, with the best performance in the first four months after a halving. Trump's presidency marks a new starting point for cryptocurrency. The Trump administration will promote crypto policies, such as spot ETFs, and the issuance of Tether USDT has increased by over 20 billion USD, attracting hot money.
The demand for spot ETFs is suppressing Bitcoin's pullback, reducing the extent of the decline. In this round, 112.6 billion USD worth of Bitcoin has been purchased through spot ETFs, MicroStrategy has accumulated 444,262 coins, and the UAE may hold 400,000 coins.
The altcoin bull market index has found support after a decline, with the upward trend line intact, and may break out a month after Christmas, which is worth looking forward to after the New Year.
Bitcoin's market capitalization accounts for 56.3% at 77,546,166,768, and it may drop below 50% after Christmas, with altcoins taking over the market capitalization, as retail investors look forward to the bull market. Bitcoin is experiencing capital outflow and sector rotation, and after Christmas, Bitcoin's performance is expected to be bright, with ETF inflows clearly directed, and Ethereum purchases changing the grayscale sell-off situation.
Both the exchange rate and trends of Bitcoin and altcoins are worth looking forward to; the bull market is not over, and there may be a final opportunity to get in.
25,473,221,872
The bull market is here, and the altcoin bull market is yet to come.
See original
After Trump's election, US crypto policy turned dovish. Where should investors go?
1. Christmas market and market review
1.1 Market Overview
This week, the crypto market has experienced a major adjustment since Trump's victory. Bitcoin fell by 12%, and altcoins were even worse, with many of them halved, and some even giving back all the gains in this round. Market sentiment took a sharp turn for the worse, bullish confidence was hit hard, and investors had deep doubts about whether the bull market has ended. Today is Christmas Eve, the market is trading light, and investors are mostly on the sidelines. The overall market fluctuates within a range of shocks, showing a situation of tranquility and anxiety before the holiday.
1.1 Market Overview
This week, the crypto market has experienced a major adjustment since Trump's victory. Bitcoin fell by 12%, and altcoins were even worse, with many of them halved, and some even giving back all the gains in this round. Market sentiment took a sharp turn for the worse, bullish confidence was hit hard, and investors had deep doubts about whether the bull market has ended. Today is Christmas Eve, the market is trading light, and investors are mostly on the sidelines. The overall market fluctuates within a range of shocks, showing a situation of tranquility and anxiety before the holiday.
See original
🎄 December 24, Tuesday, Merry Christmas!
📊 Market Review and Analysis
The market trend aligns with yesterday's forecast, Bitcoin and Ethereum continue to fluctuate.
Christmas Special Reminder: Trading is not advisable today; the market remains in a fluctuating state.
Current Prices: Bitcoin approximately 94200, Ethereum approximately 3400.
📈 Intraday Resistance and Support
$BTC
Resistance Levels: 94800, 95500, 96200 Support Levels: 94000, 93200, 92500
$ETH
Resistance Levels: 3450, 3520, 3600 Support Levels: 3380, 3300, 3240
📉 Pin Bar Strategy: If there is a pin bar, consider buying.
🔍 Spot and Primary Market
Primary Market: Focus on Alpha projects, especially those that have corrected significantly; small positions can be considered, such as Banana (CA: 0x3d4f0513e8a29669b960f9dbca61861548a9a760, current price approximately 0.0048).
Spot Highlights:
Usual: Influenced by Binance Labs news, rose from around 1 to 1.4, did not reach target price, consider buying after a pullback. Zen & Lpt: Grayscale supports Zen, rising against the trend, close to 40; Lpt rises simultaneously, peaking at 19u, profit approximately 40%. There is still room for market capitalization to rise, target 1 billion USD. Strong coins: Aave, Crv, Zec, Scr, etc. continue to be strong, while the weak remain sluggish; investment mindset needs to change.
💼 Current Holdings: ETH, LPT, SSV, MASK, FTT, DOGE, etc.
🔜 Pullback Buying Opportunities:
Steem: around 0.23 Bat: around 0.24 Lumia: around 1.46
Wishing everyone a Merry Christmas and successful investments!
#加密市场盘整
📊 Market Review and Analysis
The market trend aligns with yesterday's forecast, Bitcoin and Ethereum continue to fluctuate.
Christmas Special Reminder: Trading is not advisable today; the market remains in a fluctuating state.
Current Prices: Bitcoin approximately 94200, Ethereum approximately 3400.
📈 Intraday Resistance and Support
$BTC
Resistance Levels: 94800, 95500, 96200 Support Levels: 94000, 93200, 92500
$ETH
Resistance Levels: 3450, 3520, 3600 Support Levels: 3380, 3300, 3240
📉 Pin Bar Strategy: If there is a pin bar, consider buying.
🔍 Spot and Primary Market
Primary Market: Focus on Alpha projects, especially those that have corrected significantly; small positions can be considered, such as Banana (CA: 0x3d4f0513e8a29669b960f9dbca61861548a9a760, current price approximately 0.0048).
Spot Highlights:
Usual: Influenced by Binance Labs news, rose from around 1 to 1.4, did not reach target price, consider buying after a pullback. Zen & Lpt: Grayscale supports Zen, rising against the trend, close to 40; Lpt rises simultaneously, peaking at 19u, profit approximately 40%. There is still room for market capitalization to rise, target 1 billion USD. Strong coins: Aave, Crv, Zec, Scr, etc. continue to be strong, while the weak remain sluggish; investment mindset needs to change.
💼 Current Holdings: ETH, LPT, SSV, MASK, FTT, DOGE, etc.
🔜 Pullback Buying Opportunities:
Steem: around 0.23 Bat: around 0.24 Lumia: around 1.46
Wishing everyone a Merry Christmas and successful investments!
#加密市场盘整
See original
2024 12 24
Market Trends
1. Overview of Market Trends
BTC prices fell, and BTC dominance fell sharply.
Altcoins generally rose, with Defi and AI sectors performing particularly well.
The U.S. stock market rebounded, but was closed all day on Christmas Day on Wednesday.
2. Interpretation of Market Hotspots
Hotspot 1: BIO, a new Desci on BN
BIO is a decentralized scientific DAO organization focusing on the biomedical field.
Hotspot 2: Defi sector soared
Defi projects such as Usual, Aave, Cvx, Crv, Fxs, and Morpho soared.
The reasons for the rise are mainly around the US compliance narrative, such as Aave is related to the Trump concept, and Fxs and Crv cooperate with BlackRock.
BN invested in the Usual project.
Hotspot 3: Platform coin FTT rose
The rise in FTT may be related to the news that Sbf may be pardoned by President Biden.
Hotspot 4: On-chain AI sector rebounds
On-chain AI projects such as Virtual, Aixbt, Game, Goat, and Arc rebounded.
The Sol/Eth exchange rate began to reverse.
The Aipool_Tee project began ICO on the Sol chain, and investors can leave their addresses to participate.
Other important information
MicroStrategy acquired 5,262 BTC for approximately $561 million, at a price of approximately $106,662 per Bitcoin.
As of December 22, 2024, MicroStrategy holds 444,262 BTC at a price of approximately $62,257 per Bitcoin, and the acquisition price is approximately $27.7 billion.
Virtual once again gave the opportunity to pick up goods near 2.1, and the current rebound has reached 47%.
If Bitcoin falls below $92,000, the cumulative long order liquidation strength of mainstream CEX will reach 321 million.
On the contrary, if Bitcoin breaks through $97,000, the cumulative short order liquidation strength of mainstream CEX will reach 353 million.
#币安Alpha公布第5批项目
Market Trends
1. Overview of Market Trends
BTC prices fell, and BTC dominance fell sharply.
Altcoins generally rose, with Defi and AI sectors performing particularly well.
The U.S. stock market rebounded, but was closed all day on Christmas Day on Wednesday.
2. Interpretation of Market Hotspots
Hotspot 1: BIO, a new Desci on BN
BIO is a decentralized scientific DAO organization focusing on the biomedical field.
Hotspot 2: Defi sector soared
Defi projects such as Usual, Aave, Cvx, Crv, Fxs, and Morpho soared.
The reasons for the rise are mainly around the US compliance narrative, such as Aave is related to the Trump concept, and Fxs and Crv cooperate with BlackRock.
BN invested in the Usual project.
Hotspot 3: Platform coin FTT rose
The rise in FTT may be related to the news that Sbf may be pardoned by President Biden.
Hotspot 4: On-chain AI sector rebounds
On-chain AI projects such as Virtual, Aixbt, Game, Goat, and Arc rebounded.
The Sol/Eth exchange rate began to reverse.
The Aipool_Tee project began ICO on the Sol chain, and investors can leave their addresses to participate.
Other important information
MicroStrategy acquired 5,262 BTC for approximately $561 million, at a price of approximately $106,662 per Bitcoin.
As of December 22, 2024, MicroStrategy holds 444,262 BTC at a price of approximately $62,257 per Bitcoin, and the acquisition price is approximately $27.7 billion.
Virtual once again gave the opportunity to pick up goods near 2.1, and the current rebound has reached 47%.
If Bitcoin falls below $92,000, the cumulative long order liquidation strength of mainstream CEX will reach 321 million.
On the contrary, if Bitcoin breaks through $97,000, the cumulative short order liquidation strength of mainstream CEX will reach 353 million.
#币安Alpha公布第5批项目
See original
Morning Brief:
$BTC fluctuating downward, the only drop, may test the $90,000 support again.
$ETH continues to rebound, #DeFi is impressive.
$SOL rebounds strongly, active on-chain.
$BNB launches launchpool, market responds.
@bioprotocol leads #DeSci, $VITA associated rise.
MoonPay plans to acquire Helio for $150 million.
Robinhood CEO talks about Bitcoin holdings and crypto plans.
Uniswap integrates Blockaid to enhance security.
Crypto.com challenges Polymarket, launches US sports prediction market.
North Korean hackers incur losses on Hyperliquid trading, officials deny vulnerabilities.
Binance Labs invests in $USUAL.
Grayscale opens 22 cryptocurrency private placements.
Telegram's annual revenue exceeds $1 billion, with substantial cash reserves.
@binanceALPHA project repeated.
Bitwise CIO says the correction is healthy, bull market remains unchanged.
@virtuals_io ecosystem is good, recommended to pay attention.
@komabnb $KOMA rises after burning tokens.
BTC/ETH pressure and support levels indicated, technicals look bearish, short-term high positions are main, pay attention to stop-loss.
#加密市场盘整
$BTC fluctuating downward, the only drop, may test the $90,000 support again.
$ETH continues to rebound, #DeFi is impressive.
$SOL rebounds strongly, active on-chain.
$BNB launches launchpool, market responds.
@bioprotocol leads #DeSci, $VITA associated rise.
MoonPay plans to acquire Helio for $150 million.
Robinhood CEO talks about Bitcoin holdings and crypto plans.
Uniswap integrates Blockaid to enhance security.
Crypto.com challenges Polymarket, launches US sports prediction market.
North Korean hackers incur losses on Hyperliquid trading, officials deny vulnerabilities.
Binance Labs invests in $USUAL.
Grayscale opens 22 cryptocurrency private placements.
Telegram's annual revenue exceeds $1 billion, with substantial cash reserves.
@binanceALPHA project repeated.
Bitwise CIO says the correction is healthy, bull market remains unchanged.
@virtuals_io ecosystem is good, recommended to pay attention.
@komabnb $KOMA rises after burning tokens.
BTC/ETH pressure and support levels indicated, technicals look bearish, short-term high positions are main, pay attention to stop-loss.
#加密市场盘整
See original
December 23rd I wish you all a peaceful Christmas Eve!
✅Market review and analysis
The market trends in the past two days are basically consistent with expectations. It has been emphasized many times in the community that the market is volatile before and after Christmas, and the market has not given a clear rebound signal. Therefore, it is recommended that everyone reduce transactions in the near future and do not rush to make money, especially since most investors are currently facing the situation of being trapped in the spot.
The market continues to fluctuate, with Bitcoin prices fluctuating in the range of 94500-97000 and Ethereum in the range of 3250-3400.
Pay special attention to the pin-in phenomenon in the near future. If the pin-in behavior occurs, you can consider taking more spot orders year-on-year. The specific entry position shall be based on the market and community notifications.
Intraday pressure and support
$BTC:
Pressure level: 96000/96800/97500 Support level: 95500/94800/94000
ETH:
Pressure level: 3350/3420/3500 Support level: 3300/3240/3180
✅Primary market and spot sector
The primary market performed well, and many Alpha projects achieved pull-ups after the callback. The following are several projects that I am concerned about:
banana, bbt, mdoge, bob, monky
In terms of secondary spot, Lpt has a good rise and successfully avoided the callback after the rebound. The current price is around 15.4, and the highest price last night was 16.8. You can consider taking spot in the range of 14.8-15.
In addition, the following projects are recommended for reference:
$Doge: Suitable for medium and long-term holding, you can buy spot in batches around 0.3. Ftt: The current market price is around 3.1, and you can consider taking spot orders in the range of 2.9-3. Ssv: It is recommended to take spot orders around 21. Mask: It is recommended to take spot orders around 3.
#圣诞行情分析
✅Market review and analysis
The market trends in the past two days are basically consistent with expectations. It has been emphasized many times in the community that the market is volatile before and after Christmas, and the market has not given a clear rebound signal. Therefore, it is recommended that everyone reduce transactions in the near future and do not rush to make money, especially since most investors are currently facing the situation of being trapped in the spot.
The market continues to fluctuate, with Bitcoin prices fluctuating in the range of 94500-97000 and Ethereum in the range of 3250-3400.
Pay special attention to the pin-in phenomenon in the near future. If the pin-in behavior occurs, you can consider taking more spot orders year-on-year. The specific entry position shall be based on the market and community notifications.
Intraday pressure and support
$BTC:
Pressure level: 96000/96800/97500 Support level: 95500/94800/94000
ETH:
Pressure level: 3350/3420/3500 Support level: 3300/3240/3180
✅Primary market and spot sector
The primary market performed well, and many Alpha projects achieved pull-ups after the callback. The following are several projects that I am concerned about:
banana, bbt, mdoge, bob, monky
In terms of secondary spot, Lpt has a good rise and successfully avoided the callback after the rebound. The current price is around 15.4, and the highest price last night was 16.8. You can consider taking spot in the range of 14.8-15.
In addition, the following projects are recommended for reference:
$Doge: Suitable for medium and long-term holding, you can buy spot in batches around 0.3. Ftt: The current market price is around 3.1, and you can consider taking spot orders in the range of 2.9-3. Ssv: It is recommended to take spot orders around 21. Mask: It is recommended to take spot orders around 3.
#圣诞行情分析
See original
$BTC Technical Analysis
Bitcoin Retracement Analysis:
The retracement from the highest point of 108,353 can be seen as an adjustment to the blue impulse wave.
Large Scale Trend:
Bitcoin is currently showing strong momentum with limited declines, which is the main reason for market panic. Bitcoin has not dropped significantly, while other altcoins have experienced substantial declines. If Bitcoin were to drop significantly, the altcoin market would face greater pressure.
Wave Type Analysis:
The wave type remains unchanged. If the previous low cannot hold, then 89,600 will be an important support level. The market does not operate on the principle of perpetual rises or falls. It is not advisable to short easily at this time; for example, a friend repeatedly shorted at the 100,000 mark and suffered losses multiple times. The cost-effectiveness of shorting at this position is not high, and it is suggested to refer to the chart only.
Support Level:
The previous low is a key support. If it breaks, then look towards 89,600.
Altcoin Perspective:
All altcoins are oversold relative to Bitcoin. This includes major mainstream currencies such as $ETH , SOL $BNB , etc. If the market experiences a rally of the same magnitude, it will be extremely hot and worth anticipating.
#萨尔瓦多将“加速”增持BTC
Bitcoin Retracement Analysis:
The retracement from the highest point of 108,353 can be seen as an adjustment to the blue impulse wave.
Large Scale Trend:
Bitcoin is currently showing strong momentum with limited declines, which is the main reason for market panic. Bitcoin has not dropped significantly, while other altcoins have experienced substantial declines. If Bitcoin were to drop significantly, the altcoin market would face greater pressure.
Wave Type Analysis:
The wave type remains unchanged. If the previous low cannot hold, then 89,600 will be an important support level. The market does not operate on the principle of perpetual rises or falls. It is not advisable to short easily at this time; for example, a friend repeatedly shorted at the 100,000 mark and suffered losses multiple times. The cost-effectiveness of shorting at this position is not high, and it is suggested to refer to the chart only.
Support Level:
The previous low is a key support. If it breaks, then look towards 89,600.
Altcoin Perspective:
All altcoins are oversold relative to Bitcoin. This includes major mainstream currencies such as $ETH , SOL $BNB , etc. If the market experiences a rally of the same magnitude, it will be extremely hot and worth anticipating.
#萨尔瓦多将“加速”增持BTC