LIVE白探长日记
@baitanzhangriji
白探长日记创始人，辉升资本合伙人，数字货币量化基金策略师，七年以上投资经验，准确预测17，20年两轮牛市
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The most surprising thing is that when Bitcoin created a new high of 80,000 again, the WeChat group was so quiet...
I recall the last round when it went from 50,000 to 60,000, exchanges couldn't keep up with making posters, red packets were constantly being sent in the group, full of passion, information was coming in so fast it was hard to keep up. It's really, so lamentable. #美降息25个基点预期升温 #BTC突破8W1大关
I recall the last round when it went from 50,000 to 60,000, exchanges couldn't keep up with making posters, red packets were constantly being sent in the group, full of passion, information was coming in so fast it was hard to keep up. It's really, so lamentable. #美降息25个基点预期升温 #BTC突破8W1大关
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The market value of the big brother is indeed too large; this year it has almost drained the entire market. A drop in market value to below 40% is reasonable. Today's trend of the big brother shows that many clones are developing their own markets, which proves that in the future, the market value of the big brother will continue to decline. The season of clones has arrived! The bull is still here, it has always been here, it never left, it's just that this bull is not wild enough! #BTC挑战8W大关
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Historical new high, 73888, this number is auspicious, Chuan Sheng #美国大选后涨或跌？ #美国大选后叙事观察
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God bless Trump, first round 19:3, Bitcoin 71K, historical high is just around the corner. #美国大选后叙事观察 #美国大选后涨或跌？
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If a person has survived three assassination attempts, with bullets narrowly missing their head, and is still alive, besides being a person of great fortune, they are also supported by other fortunate individuals. On the other hand, there is someone who can barely speak, relying on headphones, only able to laugh. Who do you think will win?
#币圈 #美国大选后涨或跌？
#币圈 #美国大选后涨或跌？
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If you take a close look at this election, it is no longer a two-party struggle; more and more, new forces represented by Musk, Zuckerberg, and Apple are challenging the old financial tycoons like Bill Gates and old celebrities. If successful, this challenge will open a new chapter for America, and you will see more new things in the future—new cryptocurrencies, Mars habitation, robots, and artificial intelligence will all advance further. #美国大选后涨或跌？ #美联储利率决议来袭
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In fact, most of the copycats are already cold, but there are always copycats or MEMEs in different sectors that are busy, which overshadows them.
This year's popular VCB is still a copycat that was taken over by Xinzhuang after changing its name. How many high points have not been cut in half again and again?
Funds continue to rotate and then return to the mainstream sector and continue to rotate. This is inevitable in the future. Don't be nostalgic for the copycats after the heat has dissipated. #区块链 #美国大选后涨或跌？
This year's popular VCB is still a copycat that was taken over by Xinzhuang after changing its name. How many high points have not been cut in half again and again?
Funds continue to rotate and then return to the mainstream sector and continue to rotate. This is inevitable in the future. Don't be nostalgic for the copycats after the heat has dissipated. #区块链 #美国大选后涨或跌？
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In the days before and after the new president comes online, the fluctuations will indeed be very large. Just bear with it and it will pass. The fluctuations are just a little bigger. I like fluctuations. Fluctuations are opportunities. Don’t you like them?
Besides, the fluctuations after the new president comes online are upward, so what’s wrong with fluctuations? i love "fluctuations"#11月市场预测
Besides, the fluctuations after the new president comes online are upward, so what’s wrong with fluctuations? i love "fluctuations"#11月市场预测
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Some people always ask some difficult questions, today I will answer them all at once.
The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts will definitely be completed in about a year, because this is a hard and fast rule, regardless of what data comes out, they will continue to cut rates until they reach a level they deem appropriate.
As for who will be the President of the United States, I believe it will most likely be Trump, but everyone needs to understand that U.S. elections are like rolling dice, there is huge uncertainty, and many can turn the tables against the odds. Ultimately, who becomes president still depends on the final election results. However, one thing is certain: no matter who becomes president, the bull market cycle will continue.
If President Trump is re-elected, then it will soar to new heights; if not, then it will only dip for three days, and after three days, the bull market cycle will continue. The difference in choosing a president is only three days; love or don’t love for a lifetime, don’t be so foolish! #美国大选后涨或跌？ #美联储利率决议来袭
The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts will definitely be completed in about a year, because this is a hard and fast rule, regardless of what data comes out, they will continue to cut rates until they reach a level they deem appropriate.
As for who will be the President of the United States, I believe it will most likely be Trump, but everyone needs to understand that U.S. elections are like rolling dice, there is huge uncertainty, and many can turn the tables against the odds. Ultimately, who becomes president still depends on the final election results. However, one thing is certain: no matter who becomes president, the bull market cycle will continue.
If President Trump is re-elected, then it will soar to new heights; if not, then it will only dip for three days, and after three days, the bull market cycle will continue. The difference in choosing a president is only three days; love or don’t love for a lifetime, don’t be so foolish! #美国大选后涨或跌？ #美联储利率决议来袭
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CZ's first interview after being released from prison, recharging faith:
Long-term very optimistic, short-term unpredictable, there will be more and more use cases for encryption technology in the future. #美国大选后行情预测 #CZ314印记传承区块链致敬英雄CZ贡献
Long-term very optimistic, short-term unpredictable, there will be more and more use cases for encryption technology in the future. #美国大选后行情预测 #CZ314印记传承区块链致敬英雄CZ贡献
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ETH rose from 200 to 1400, and its market value rose from 20 billion to 140 billion in 2 months.
Then it fell for more than 2 years, and fell to 8 billion in market value in 790 days, a drop of 93%.
After that, it rebounded all the way, from 80 to 4300, an increase of dozens of times, in less than a year. #美国大选后行情预测 #市场关注美国非农数据
Then it fell for more than 2 years, and fell to 8 billion in market value in 790 days, a drop of 93%.
After that, it rebounded all the way, from 80 to 4300, an increase of dozens of times, in less than a year. #美国大选后行情预测 #市场关注美国非农数据
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The Hidden Hope in Scarcity of Liquidity
To summarize this year's cryptocurrency market briefly.
This year, the liquidity in the cryptocurrency market is noticeably scarce, with funds primarily concentrated in two areas: one is the leading BTC, and the other is the bottom MEME coin segment.
The remaining mid-to-low old altcoins and concept coins are basically a mess. You can imagine this state of capital distribution as an hourglass, with BTC at the top, where there is much capital but limited driving effect, able to maintain high positions and can quickly rebound if it falls, but the increase is not significant.
This leads to a phenomenon where every time BTC rises, other altcoins merely catch up, but once it declines, BTC can quickly return while many altcoins will repeatedly hit new lows.
This year, the liquidity in the cryptocurrency market is noticeably scarce, with funds primarily concentrated in two areas: one is the leading BTC, and the other is the bottom MEME coin segment.
The remaining mid-to-low old altcoins and concept coins are basically a mess. You can imagine this state of capital distribution as an hourglass, with BTC at the top, where there is much capital but limited driving effect, able to maintain high positions and can quickly rebound if it falls, but the increase is not significant.
This leads to a phenomenon where every time BTC rises, other altcoins merely catch up, but once it declines, BTC can quickly return while many altcoins will repeatedly hit new lows.
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Recently, the FOMO sentiment for MEME has eased, mainly due to external environmental influences. The old MEMEs have experienced significant corrections, while the new MEMEs have skyrocketed. The capital hasn't changed, but the players have. Find what suits you, buy what you understand and are confident in, and only then can you win in MEME. #美国大选后行情预测 #市场关注美国非农数据
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The current 70K of the big brother is definitely much healthier than the 70K from half a year ago,
First, the market average cost has risen a lot, thanks to the major shakeout in the middle and the turnover of chips. The price may seem the same, but the players have changed a lot;
Second, the contract market has cooled down a lot. The last round was rising under the pressure of daily fees exceeding a hundred percent and borrowing rates, which was quite unsettling;
Third, indeed, there are fewer voices from our fellow countrymen, which can be considered a good thing.
In summary, 98K
#区块链 #meme板块关注热点 #美国大选后行情预测
First, the market average cost has risen a lot, thanks to the major shakeout in the middle and the turnover of chips. The price may seem the same, but the players have changed a lot;
Second, the contract market has cooled down a lot. The last round was rising under the pressure of daily fees exceeding a hundred percent and borrowing rates, which was quite unsettling;
Third, indeed, there are fewer voices from our fellow countrymen, which can be considered a good thing.
In summary, 98K
#区块链 #meme板块关注热点 #美国大选后行情预测
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If the older brother's strength now is because of the expectation of the so-called 'Trump announcing the older brother as the national reserve at the successful campaign rally in the future', then a significant drop could start tomorrow.
Because this news will not exist for the time being, but it feels like the group behind the older brother has been wildly releasing various positive news recently, including this one, along with various predictions, etc.
I strongly support the older brother, but the stranger the situation gets, the more we need to think calmly.#meme板块关注热点
Because this news will not exist for the time being, but it feels like the group behind the older brother has been wildly releasing various positive news recently, including this one, along with various predictions, etc.
I strongly support the older brother, but the stranger the situation gets, the more we need to think calmly.#meme板块关注热点
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Institutions are rushing into the market
#BTC触及7W #meme板块关注热点
Nothing significant happened last week; let’s discuss the news that occurred.
1. The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in November is 97.7%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 2.3%. The last reduction was 50 basis points, and although it was somewhat unexpected, the result was good. This means liquidity will gradually be released; another 25 basis points will provide a strong boost to the market. Next week's meeting is crucial.
2. FTX settles the lawsuit against Bybit exchange for $228 million. This lawsuit was initially filed by the FTX bankruptcy group in 2023, aiming to recover funds to repay former clients and creditors. The settlement will allow FTX to have more funds to distribute, which is good for individuals and the market; most of the funds are expected to flow back into the market, stimulating the big players.
Nothing significant happened last week; let’s discuss the news that occurred.
1. The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in November is 97.7%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 2.3%. The last reduction was 50 basis points, and although it was somewhat unexpected, the result was good. This means liquidity will gradually be released; another 25 basis points will provide a strong boost to the market. Next week's meeting is crucial.
2. FTX settles the lawsuit against Bybit exchange for $228 million. This lawsuit was initially filed by the FTX bankruptcy group in 2023, aiming to recover funds to repay former clients and creditors. The settlement will allow FTX to have more funds to distribute, which is good for individuals and the market; most of the funds are expected to flow back into the market, stimulating the big players.
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The MEME that rises quickly and urgently, if you miss it, you miss it; that kind will cut you without discussion; on the contrary, good MEMEs always come up slowly and steadily, and every time you look back is an opportunity to get on the bus. #区块链 #meme板块关注热点
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Don't just engage in art for the sake of art; it's hard to sustain. Isn't it similar to the wave of NFTs? Just a coincidence? Sotheby's releases, and then immediately invited to participate in a certain event? Ban = a certain event?
Now, focus on continuing to explore AI memes or zoo memes.
Look at election-themed memes before the election, then check out space-themed memes, Christmas-themed memes, etc.
Feel the K-line, sense the strong player #币圈新机遇 #meme #meme板块关注热点 .
Now, focus on continuing to explore AI memes or zoo memes.
Look at election-themed memes before the election, then check out space-themed memes, Christmas-themed memes, etc.
Feel the K-line, sense the strong player #币圈新机遇 #meme #meme板块关注热点 .
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BTCNear82k
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$BTC TRENDING UPWARD POSSIBLE SCENARIOS ✅📈
Bitcoin has been in a strong upward trend, reaching a high of around 81,846.71. This is a bullish sign as the price continues to make higher highs.
The level around 82,000 USDT appears to be a resistance zone, as shown by the recent peak (81,846.71), where selling pressure has emerged.
The price has a visible support around 77,000 USDT, which could act as a safety net if a pullback occurs.
RSI is currently at 82.84, which is significantly above the 70 level. This indicates that Bitcoin is in overbought territory on the 4-hour timeframe.
Overbought conditions often signal a potential price correction or consolidation period before the uptrend continues. The RSI suggests that some traders may soon take profits, leading to short-term selling pressure.
The volume has been high during the recent uptrend, which supports the strength of the movement. However, if the volume starts to decrease while the price stalls, it could indicate waning momentum.
The moving averages are likely trending upwards, indicating a bullish momentum. If the short-term moving average (e.g., MA(5)) crosses below the longer-term moving average (e.g., MA(10)), it might signal a trend reversal.
Bullish Continuation: If the price breaks above the 82,000 USDT resistance with strong volume, Bitcoin may continue its upward movement towards new highs, possibly testing the 85,000 USDT level or beyond.
Due to the overbought RSI, a short-term correction down to 77,000 USDT or even lower (around 71,500 USDT) could occur. This would allow the RSI to cool down before another upward push.
Sideways Consolidation: Bitcoin might also consolidate between 77,000 and 82,000 USDT. This would let the market digest recent gains and build strength for a potential breakout.
given the high RSI, as long as the support at 77,000 USDT holds. Traders may look to buy on dips near support levels or on a confirmed breakout above 82,000 USDT.
$BTC
#BTCNear82k #DogecoinPriceSurge #EthereumRally #DOGEArmy
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