Merry Christmas 🎁🎄 Wishing y’all a wonderful time with y | Ben Walther on Binance Square

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Merry Christmas 🎁🎄 
Wishing y’all a wonderful time with your friends and family.
Much love and peace,
Ben

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Disclaimer: Includes third-party opinions. No financial advice. May include sponsored content. See T&Cs.

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Altcoin Season? Not Yet—But Here’s What the Data Says 👇 I've seen many posts about a looming altseason that did not provide evidence or data-backed insights. Not helpful at all. On the other side, I’ve been sharing content hinting that altseason could be approaching soon too. I looked at BTC dominance and overall market cycles. And yes, the probabilities have supported (and partially still do) that view. But fresh data is always key—and we need to stay flexible. Let’s dig into where we stand now and what could come next. Last Cycle: The Setup for Altseason 🚀 → Nov 2020 — ETH/BTC hit 0.027, with BTC dominance at 65%. → 6 months later — ETH/BTC climbed 196% to 0.08 as BTC dominance fell to 41%. → ETH soared 629% vs. BTC’s 167%, kicking off altcoin mania. 👉 Takeaway: BTC started the move, but altcoins dominated when new money flooded in. Fast Forward to Today 📊 → Nov 2024 — ETH/BTC hit 0.032 and is up 10% since then. → BTC dominance today? 56.5%. → $1.08 trillion was added to the crypto market cap in the last 2 months, and 60% went into BTC. What Does This Mean? 🤔 No altseason yet. BTC is still dominating inflows—just like the early last cycle. But cycles don’t have to repeat perfectly. Key Questions Going Forward 🔮 1️⃣ Is this time different? Are we seeing a structural shift, or is it just delayed? 2️⃣ What triggers the altseason? A major ETH breakout? AI or DePIN hype? 3️⃣ What role does macro play? With rising debt and liquidity concerns, could BTC remain the safer bet? 4️⃣ What about 2025? Does historical data still point to altcoins outperforming after BTC peaks? Final Thoughts 🔑 We can’t predict altseason—we can only assess probabilities. Currently, BTC dominance remains high, but history tells us it doesn’t last forever. What’s your view—are altcoins about to break out, or will BTC keep leading? 👇

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Messari’s Crypto Theses 2025 Just Dropped—10 Trends You Can’t Risk To Ignore 🚨 AI, DePINs, and memecoins are rewriting crypto’s playbook. From Bitcoin unlocking new utilities to Solana challenging Ethereum, the next chapter is already taking shape. Here’s a breakdown of 10 trends shaping 2025: 👇 (If you want the details behind each trend you should check out the complete article: Read here!). 1/ Institutions Go All In on ETFs Crypto ETFs exploded in 2024. Billion-dollar inflows for BTC and ETH are just the beginning. Expect even more adoption in 2025. ▸ Watch: BTC, ETH 2/ Solana’s Breakout Year Cheap, fast, and scalable—Solana rivals Ethereum in DEX volumes and non-trading use cases. ▸ Watch: SOL, RAY, JUP 3/ Memecoins as Onboarding Engines Memecoins made up 11% of all trading volume—AI-driven memes will push this trend further. ▸ Watch: PEPE, WIF, DOGE 4/ Stablecoins Replace Banks In emerging markets, stablecoins are beating banks with faster, cheaper payments. ▸ Watch: TRX, USUAL, USDT 5/ DePINs Prove Themselves Decentralized infrastructure networks (DePINs) hit $40B+ market cap, showing real-world utility. ▸ Watch: HNT, AKT, NKN 6/ AI x Crypto Is Exploding AI agents, decentralized models, and gaming ecosystems are just the start. ▸ Watch: FET, TAO, RENDER 7/ Ethereum Faces Pressure Layer-2s are raising questions while Solana steals liquidity. Can ETH keep up? ▸ Watch: ETH, ARB, OP 8/ Bitcoin Reinvents Itself Programmable layers and staking bring yield and utility to BTC. ▸ Watch: BTC, STX, ORDI, DOG 9/ Regulation May Finally Clear Up A Trump presidency could bring clarity, boosting institutional adoption. 10/ Consumer Apps Go Onchain Forget DeFi complexity—user-friendly wallets are driving mass adoption.

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Messari’s Crypto Theses 2025 Just Dropped—Here Are 10 Trends You Can’t Ignore

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AIXBT continues to move higher in its channel 🚀 The token is already up ~50% since it touched the lower trendline of the ascending channel. However, I am still waiting for a breakout to the top, which will catapult the price to $1.50. Overall, AI agents continue to outperform all other areas (as expected). $VIRTUAL is doing exceptionally well, but also smaller new platforms such as SuiAI. Nonetheless, this is just the beginning of a massive Web3 x AI wave that will dominate 2025 and beyond. AI agents, AI-driven projects (such as $TAO or $RENDER or $PHA), and AI agent meme coins such as $BROT will have a massive run.

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MOVE Update 🚨 It is always tricky to analyze the chart of a freshly launched token. However, in terms of MOVE, things are straightforward. • $1.11 acts resistance and MOVE was rejected at this level several times. • Momentum still looks good, and there's a good chance that MOVE will break the resistance. • Afterward, we should quickly see the price move towards the $1.30 level. • The real party starts once the price moves above 1.30 and confirms. Regarding trading, the area between 1.11 and 1.30 provides a first (smaller) opportunity. Entry once 1.11 gets confirmed with a sharp stop loss below this level—first TP at 1.30. Another opportunity arises once the price rises above 1.30 and confirms the high level. In case you want to know more about MOVE 👉 Here's a detailed article about the projects I wrote once the token launched: Read here! $MOVE

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