As the U.S. election nears, crypto events are increasingly focusing on regulation and politics. With less than a month until Americans vote for their representatives in the House, Senate, and the Presidency, the intersection of cryptocurrency and politics has become more prominent. At recent events like Permissionless III in Salt Lake City, Utah, and Ripple Swell in Miami, Florida, panel discussions have centered on predictions for the November election between Democrat Kamala Harris and Republican Donald Trump, and how the outcome could shape the future of the crypto industry in 2025.


Executives at these events suggested that digital assets have entered mainstream political discussions in 2024, with regulations and policies on stablecoins, Bitcoin mining, and blockchain technology being hot topics. Ripple’s head of U.S. public policy, Lauren Belive, commented at Swell on October 16, "Every single panel is talking about regulations." She noted that more policymakers are now delving into the nuances of blockchain and digital assets.

During Donald Trump's presidency (2017-2021), he referred to Bitcoin as “thin air” and later labeled it a "scam." However, both Trump and Harris have since hinted at more supportive stances toward the crypto industry if elected. Jason Allegrante, head of legal and compliance at Fireblocks, stated, "This is technology, and technology shouldn’t be a political issue — it’s become one in the United States."

As the political landscape evolves, industry leaders are optimistic that, regardless of the election’s outcome, the growing number of lawmakers engaged in crypto discussions signals progress. Blockchain Association CEO Kristin Smith remarked at a Permissionless panel on October 9 that Congress in 2025 will be the "most educated" on crypto yet, with many incoming representatives holding pro-crypto positions.

Prediction platform Polymarket currently puts Trump’s chances of winning the presidency at 60%, while the Kalshi marketplace, which now allows election betting after a legal victory over the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, gives Republicans a 42% chance of controlling the House, Senate, and Presidency.

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