What if they don’t lower the rate?
Now, let’s consider a more pessimistic scenario:
- They don’t lower the rate, and there’s no helicopter money.
In this case, we’ll see a global crisis, and people will have nothing to eat. No one will rush to invest in high-risk assets. Even the stock market will continue to crash — it’s already falling, and everyone sees it.
This scenario is possible, especially with the upcoming U.S. elections. Different forces will pressure the Fed to influence voter sentiment (to anger, radicalize, or give confidence in the future).
Personally, I believe in a bullish scenario, as we’re at the final stage of the crisis cycle (despite the recession talk). Macroeconomics is also starting to get back on track.
Sooner or later, markets will soar so fast that many will miss the entire move while waiting for a dip to buy, but there will only be bullish green candles (or not 😂)
