降息
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As Ethereum loses the critical support level of $3,500, the market sentiment for the largest altcoin in the world has turned bearish.
Last week, we maintained a bearish outlook on the price of Ethereum, with on-chain data indicating that ETH is expected to drop to around $2,800 due to whale sell-offs.
Last week, the members leading the fan group shorted the market around $4,000 and achieved great success.
With such a win rate, who else is there???
The projects laid out earlier: ondo, ena, ave, link, eth, are all projects favored by the Trump family and have been entered, of course, the Trump family wouldn't only be lurking in these 4 projects, right?
Next, we will layout 3 more projects favored by Trump this week, those who need to keep up with the operations, please take your time.
Institutional layouts, institutional news, the same gains, the same opportunities, fan group gets priority.
#特朗普上台
#下次降息
#降息
Last week, we maintained a bearish outlook on the price of Ethereum, with on-chain data indicating that ETH is expected to drop to around $2,800 due to whale sell-offs.
Last week, the members leading the fan group shorted the market around $4,000 and achieved great success.
With such a win rate, who else is there???
The projects laid out earlier: ondo, ena, ave, link, eth, are all projects favored by the Trump family and have been entered, of course, the Trump family wouldn't only be lurking in these 4 projects, right?
Next, we will layout 3 more projects favored by Trump this week, those who need to keep up with the operations, please take your time.
Institutional layouts, institutional news, the same gains, the same opportunities, fan group gets priority.
#特朗普上台
#下次降息
#降息
麻雀5678:
❤️
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In the early morning of the 18th, Fed Chairman Powell's words blew up more than 200,000 people, and the contract liquidation exceeded 4.4 billion. Powell said that the agency had no intention of participating in any government plan to hoard a large amount of cryptocurrency. As soon as the news came out, the crypto market plummeted. Counting the previous two declines, this is the third time. And the previous two sharp declines have consumed a lot of buying. So after this sharp drop, no obvious funds entered, resulting in a weak rebound. It is equivalent to burying another wave of funds for bottom-fishing. In the short term, if you want to strengthen again, new policies are needed to stimulate the market. Those who have experienced it know that before the violent pull of the cottage market, the leverage and contract will be removed. Therefore, the market is likely to borrow Powell's knife to carry out a fierce wash of the cottage market before the bull market. If there is still money, now is the best time for you to enter the market. The bull market is still there. The projects previously deployed: ondo, ena, ave, link, eth, are all projects that the Trump family is optimistic about and has entered the market. Of course, the Trump family cannot only ambush these four projects, right?
Next, we will deploy three more projects that Trump is optimistic about this week. Friends who need to keep up with the operation, hurry up
Institutional layout, institutional news, the same increase, the same opportunity, fan groups are given priority
#特朗普上台
#降息
Next, we will deploy three more projects that Trump is optimistic about this week. Friends who need to keep up with the operation, hurry up
Institutional layout, institutional news, the same increase, the same opportunity, fan groups are given priority
#特朗普上台
#降息
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Just like early November, funds have begun to flow out and observe. Last time it was due to Trump's election, this time it’s the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. Various altcoins have dropped to the support level of this range waiting, and the expectation of interest rate cuts is already well known. Unless a black swan event occurs, it will simply be the results announced at 3 PM, leading to a rebound. I have currently bought up spot at these support levels. Let’s see at 3 PM; if there are no negative news, I will set a stop-loss at the original price and go to sleep.
#降息 #比特币冲向11万？
#降息 #比特币冲向11万？
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#降息
Tonight at three o'clock, the CPI interest rate meeting. According to forecasts, currently 97.1% believe that there will be a 25 basis point rate cut, with the current interest rate at 4.75%, reducing to 4.5%
This rate cut is a positive for the crypto market, but everyone has already traded in anticipation of this good news and predicts that there may be a pause in rate cuts in January, so they may also trade in advance based on the January predictions. Of course, the actual results have not been released, and we should rely on the actual results.
In terms of market performance, apart from Bitcoin reaching new highs, only a few popular altcoins have seen capital inflow to pump their prices, while most other altcoins continue to struggle with no signs of stabilization. Looking at the macroeconomic perspective, by mid-January, the new leader will take office, and their family has been increasing their holdings in DeFi. Therefore, the assets they have previously increased, such as AAVE and LINK, are also in the same situation, and the new leader is strongly supporting the crypto market. Thus, the bull market may be a slow upward process during the years the new leader is in office. This is something to be confident about. As for when the bear market will start, I can be sure that Ethereum at 4100 is not the top!!!
Next year will be the most explosive market, with no missed opportunities in the bull market, and there will be profits every day.
Join Brother Sen in positioning for the upcoming altcoin bull market!!!
If you want to double your investment, want big profits, or want to break even, then find Brother Sen!!
Brother Sen will help you achieve it all; in a bull market, doubling your investment is easy, it just depends on whether you can follow the right person!!!
Get on board at 999 below!!!
Continue to pay attention to: XRP DOGE PNU ENA UNI
#BTC再创新高 #PENGU开盘 #加密用户突破1800万 #市场全线看牛？
Tonight at three o'clock, the CPI interest rate meeting. According to forecasts, currently 97.1% believe that there will be a 25 basis point rate cut, with the current interest rate at 4.75%, reducing to 4.5%
This rate cut is a positive for the crypto market, but everyone has already traded in anticipation of this good news and predicts that there may be a pause in rate cuts in January, so they may also trade in advance based on the January predictions. Of course, the actual results have not been released, and we should rely on the actual results.
In terms of market performance, apart from Bitcoin reaching new highs, only a few popular altcoins have seen capital inflow to pump their prices, while most other altcoins continue to struggle with no signs of stabilization. Looking at the macroeconomic perspective, by mid-January, the new leader will take office, and their family has been increasing their holdings in DeFi. Therefore, the assets they have previously increased, such as AAVE and LINK, are also in the same situation, and the new leader is strongly supporting the crypto market. Thus, the bull market may be a slow upward process during the years the new leader is in office. This is something to be confident about. As for when the bear market will start, I can be sure that Ethereum at 4100 is not the top!!!
Next year will be the most explosive market, with no missed opportunities in the bull market, and there will be profits every day.
Join Brother Sen in positioning for the upcoming altcoin bull market!!!
If you want to double your investment, want big profits, or want to break even, then find Brother Sen!!
Brother Sen will help you achieve it all; in a bull market, doubling your investment is easy, it just depends on whether you can follow the right person!!!
Get on board at 999 below!!!
Continue to pay attention to: XRP DOGE PNU ENA UNI
#BTC再创新高 #PENGU开盘 #加密用户突破1800万 #市场全线看牛？
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This week, the bigwigs of the financial world gathered together.
The Fed maintains a neutral stance, and Powell may adopt a "time for space" strategy, waiting for inflation improvement data to curb US demand and inflation.
This week, a series of important economic indicators will be released, especially Friday's non-farm payrolls report, which will become the focus of the market. Economists predict that slowing job growth, a stable unemployment rate of 4%, and slowing inflation may pave the way for the first interest rate cut in September. In the eurozone, although the pace of inflation has slowed down, it has not derailed, and the economy seems to be stagnant.
#非农就业数据即将公布
#币安合约锦标赛
#以太坊ETF批准预期
#降息
The Fed maintains a neutral stance, and Powell may adopt a "time for space" strategy, waiting for inflation improvement data to curb US demand and inflation.
This week, a series of important economic indicators will be released, especially Friday's non-farm payrolls report, which will become the focus of the market. Economists predict that slowing job growth, a stable unemployment rate of 4%, and slowing inflation may pave the way for the first interest rate cut in September. In the eurozone, although the pace of inflation has slowed down, it has not derailed, and the economy seems to be stagnant.
#非农就业数据即将公布
#币安合约锦标赛
#以太坊ETF批准预期
#降息
See original
#降息 #5月市场关键事件
Powell's speech yesterday was neither dovish nor hawkish, and he seemed to be preparing for a big one, but it doesn't matter anymore. What we need to pay attention to is whether to cut interest rates this year, which is the key to whether the bull market can continue to rise!
Summarize the key points of yesterday's speech:
1: Interest rate outlook: Reiterate that interest rates may remain high for a longer period of time, do not think that inaction may be a rate hike, and are more likely to maintain the policy interest rate level at the current level.
2: Inflation outlook: Confidence in the decline in inflation is lower than before, and the lack of further progress in inflation in the United States in the first quarter is noteworthy: the inflation rate is expected to fall month-on-month.
3: Economic outlook: The US economy is performing very well, with a very strong labor market, and GDP is expected to continue to grow at a rate of 2% or higher, which benefits from the addition of new labor.
4: Market reaction: Since Powell's speech, gold has basically remained sideways, rising to a maximum of $2,356.72. The three major U.S. stock indices generally showed a V-shaped trend.
5: Latest expectations: The market currently expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by a cumulative 40BP this year, with the probability of rate cuts in June and September at around 50%, which is basically consistent with the situation before Powell's speech.
Powell's speech yesterday was neither dovish nor hawkish, and he seemed to be preparing for a big one, but it doesn't matter anymore. What we need to pay attention to is whether to cut interest rates this year, which is the key to whether the bull market can continue to rise!
Summarize the key points of yesterday's speech:
1: Interest rate outlook: Reiterate that interest rates may remain high for a longer period of time, do not think that inaction may be a rate hike, and are more likely to maintain the policy interest rate level at the current level.
2: Inflation outlook: Confidence in the decline in inflation is lower than before, and the lack of further progress in inflation in the United States in the first quarter is noteworthy: the inflation rate is expected to fall month-on-month.
3: Economic outlook: The US economy is performing very well, with a very strong labor market, and GDP is expected to continue to grow at a rate of 2% or higher, which benefits from the addition of new labor.
4: Market reaction: Since Powell's speech, gold has basically remained sideways, rising to a maximum of $2,356.72. The three major U.S. stock indices generally showed a V-shaped trend.
5: Latest expectations: The market currently expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by a cumulative 40BP this year, with the probability of rate cuts in June and September at around 50%, which is basically consistent with the situation before Powell's speech.
See original
On the 18th local time, the Federal Reserve announced that it would lower the benchmark interest rate target range by 50 basis points to 4.75%-5%, which was the first rate cut since March 2020. In the past four years, the Federal Reserve has raised interest rates 11 times, and the benchmark interest rate has continued to increase from 0%-0.25% to 5.25%-5.5%.
Historically, almost every round of interest rate cuts has been accompanied by a recession in the US economy.
In this chart of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate, the red shaded area is the period when the National Bureau of Economic Research determines that the United States is in a recession.
It can be seen that from the oil crisis in the 1970s, the savings and loan crisis in the 1980s, the Internet bubble at the turn of the century, to the global financial crisis in 2008 and the global COVID-19 pandemic in 2019, every time the Federal Reserve cut interest rates sharply, it was highly coincident with the shadow range of the recession.
This is why rate cuts are sometimes seen as a "signal of economic weakness" - the Fed usually cuts rates when the economy is in trouble, trying to stimulate economic recovery through looser monetary policy
Daily market analysis, high-quality potential currency recommendations. Long-term irregular recommendation of high-quality individual coins and market analysis, follow the homepage Xiaozhi and don't get lost. #token2049 #新币挖矿HMSTR #降息
Historically, almost every round of interest rate cuts has been accompanied by a recession in the US economy.
In this chart of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate, the red shaded area is the period when the National Bureau of Economic Research determines that the United States is in a recession.
It can be seen that from the oil crisis in the 1970s, the savings and loan crisis in the 1980s, the Internet bubble at the turn of the century, to the global financial crisis in 2008 and the global COVID-19 pandemic in 2019, every time the Federal Reserve cut interest rates sharply, it was highly coincident with the shadow range of the recession.
This is why rate cuts are sometimes seen as a "signal of economic weakness" - the Fed usually cuts rates when the economy is in trouble, trying to stimulate economic recovery through looser monetary policy
Daily market analysis, high-quality potential currency recommendations. Long-term irregular recommendation of high-quality individual coins and market analysis, follow the homepage Xiaozhi and don't get lost. #token2049 #新币挖矿HMSTR #降息
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Anticipated once again! Please pay attention to our real-time information, which will be of great benefit to the operation! Regarding the pin, several previous articles have repeatedly mentioned that the position of 6.9 needs to be repeatedly impacted and tested. After it officially stabilizes, there will be no upward pressure, and the first pressure after the breakthrough is 8.2. In addition, it is no longer important to insert the pin. The upside space is opened. If you insert the pin, you will take the pin. This is looking out for you and I will pick you up later!
#BTC #非农数据 #降息 $BTC
#BTC #非农数据 #降息 $BTC
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On the 19th, the Federal Reserve announced a decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis points. That night, U.S. stocks rose and then fell, and Bitcoin was also affected. After the U.S. stock market closed, Bitcoin began to exert its strength and closed with a positive line. Due to Powell's speech after the interest rate decision, the market generally believed that this rate cut was a positive signal. On the evening of the 20th, the U.S. stock market opened higher and the trend was stable.
Observing the current market performance of Bitcoin, the previous decline led to divergence in various cycles. Coupled with the warming of the news, it is expected to maintain a steady upward trend in the short term, and the main pressure is at $64,000 and $67,000.
Next, let's talk about the situation of altcoins. Most altcoins have experienced a deep correction and are basically at the bottom of the weekly level. It seems that there is not much room for decline. Therefore, in this Bitcoin rebound, altcoins performed strongly, and many currencies have risen by more than ten points. This strong momentum is expected to continue in the next few days. In particular, the bitcoin ecosystem-related currencies and several meme currencies we mentioned earlier have performed well, especially CKB, which has risen by nearly 300% driven by the news of landing on South Korea's largest exchange UP, which is amazing! The market for altcoins still has room to rise, so just hold it. Japan will announce its latest interest rate decision on the 20th. The last interest rate hike in Japan caused a sharp drop in the market. This time, investment banks including Bank of America Merrill Lynch, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs and 53 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg generally predict that the Bank of Japan will keep the interest rate unchanged at 0.25%. If so, the market should remain stable on the 20th. As long as there is no external black swan event, Bitcoin should be able to rise steadily.
In the long run, does this mean that a bull market is coming? I don't think so. A 50 basis point interest rate cut is a more radical measure, and the US economy may not be as optimistic as Powell said. Historically, a 50 basis point interest rate cut at the beginning often indicates that the economy may have a hard landing and a financial crisis may occur in the future. We must be vigilant about this. Although the specific time cannot be predicted, we need to remain vigilant. After all, even Buffett is holding a large amount of cash in case of an emergency. We expect the market may experience another sharp drop, and then with the help of the Federal Reserve's printing press, the bull market may really come!
#降息
Observing the current market performance of Bitcoin, the previous decline led to divergence in various cycles. Coupled with the warming of the news, it is expected to maintain a steady upward trend in the short term, and the main pressure is at $64,000 and $67,000.
Next, let's talk about the situation of altcoins. Most altcoins have experienced a deep correction and are basically at the bottom of the weekly level. It seems that there is not much room for decline. Therefore, in this Bitcoin rebound, altcoins performed strongly, and many currencies have risen by more than ten points. This strong momentum is expected to continue in the next few days. In particular, the bitcoin ecosystem-related currencies and several meme currencies we mentioned earlier have performed well, especially CKB, which has risen by nearly 300% driven by the news of landing on South Korea's largest exchange UP, which is amazing! The market for altcoins still has room to rise, so just hold it. Japan will announce its latest interest rate decision on the 20th. The last interest rate hike in Japan caused a sharp drop in the market. This time, investment banks including Bank of America Merrill Lynch, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs and 53 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg generally predict that the Bank of Japan will keep the interest rate unchanged at 0.25%. If so, the market should remain stable on the 20th. As long as there is no external black swan event, Bitcoin should be able to rise steadily.
In the long run, does this mean that a bull market is coming? I don't think so. A 50 basis point interest rate cut is a more radical measure, and the US economy may not be as optimistic as Powell said. Historically, a 50 basis point interest rate cut at the beginning often indicates that the economy may have a hard landing and a financial crisis may occur in the future. We must be vigilant about this. Although the specific time cannot be predicted, we need to remain vigilant. After all, even Buffett is holding a large amount of cash in case of an emergency. We expect the market may experience another sharp drop, and then with the help of the Federal Reserve's printing press, the bull market may really come!
#降息
See original
Talk about the short-term impact of interest rate cuts on the cryptocurrency industry
#降息 #降息预期 #降息期待
The short-term impact of this interest rate cut on cryptocurrency, especially in the current complex global economic environment, may bring about the following significant changes:
Liquidity increases, funds flow into the crypto market: interest rate cuts mean lower yields in traditional financial markets, investors may seek higher-yielding assets, and the cryptocurrency market becomes one of the targets of capital inflows. In this case, major cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum are likely to gain more capital favor, driving their prices to rebound in the short term.
Increased safe-haven demand under inflationary pressure: interest rate cuts are usually accompanied by monetary easing policies, which often trigger rising inflation expectations. Cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin, are often seen as assets that hedge against inflation. In this context, investors may regard Bitcoin as "digital gold", which will drive up demand and prices will also be supported in the short term.
The short-term impact of this interest rate cut on cryptocurrency, especially in the current complex global economic environment, may bring about the following significant changes:
Liquidity increases, funds flow into the crypto market: interest rate cuts mean lower yields in traditional financial markets, investors may seek higher-yielding assets, and the cryptocurrency market becomes one of the targets of capital inflows. In this case, major cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum are likely to gain more capital favor, driving their prices to rebound in the short term.
Increased safe-haven demand under inflationary pressure: interest rate cuts are usually accompanied by monetary easing policies, which often trigger rising inflation expectations. Cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin, are often seen as assets that hedge against inflation. In this context, investors may regard Bitcoin as "digital gold", which will drive up demand and prices will also be supported in the short term.
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Urgent Notice⚠️⚠️In the previous article, we analyzed the impact of European interest rate cuts and currency wars on the cryptocurrency market and explored some possible entry points. Now, let's take a deeper look at how to choose an entry point and how to manage risk. Strategy is at the end😂
1. Market Dynamics Analysis
At present, the cryptocurrency market is still volatile. Bitcoin and Ethereum prices have risen recently, but there is still uncertainty in the market. In addition, changes in the global economic situation and policies and regulations may also have an impact on the cryptocurrency market. Therefore, when choosing an entry point, you need to pay close attention to market dynamics and relevant news.
2. Determine possible entry points by analyzing technical indicators such as cryptocurrency price trends and trading volume. For example, you can pay attention to Bitcoin's daily and weekly charts to look for signals that the price has broken through important support or resistance levels.
Support and resistance levels: Support and resistance levels are important concepts in technical analysis. When prices fall to support levels, there may be a rebound; when prices rise to resistance levels, there may be resistance. Support and resistance levels can be determined based on historical price data and market psychology, and entry points can be found near these positions.
3. Set stop loss and take profit. When trading, it is very important to set stop loss and take profit orders. Stop loss orders can help us stop loss in time when prices fall to avoid further losses; take profit orders can help us make profits in time when prices rise to avoid missing profit opportunities.
4. Strategy: You need to consider multiple factors when entering the market, and formulate a suitable trading strategy according to your own situation. Now is the best time to enter the market.
Abi 3738 has entered the market with multiple orders, stop loss: 3675, and stop profit is not set for the time being. Just look at Abi's signal in time! ! Friends who haven't got on the train yet, hurry up! Go, go, go
#新币挖矿 #热门话题 #BTC #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 #降息 $BTC $ETH
1. Market Dynamics Analysis
At present, the cryptocurrency market is still volatile. Bitcoin and Ethereum prices have risen recently, but there is still uncertainty in the market. In addition, changes in the global economic situation and policies and regulations may also have an impact on the cryptocurrency market. Therefore, when choosing an entry point, you need to pay close attention to market dynamics and relevant news.
2. Determine possible entry points by analyzing technical indicators such as cryptocurrency price trends and trading volume. For example, you can pay attention to Bitcoin's daily and weekly charts to look for signals that the price has broken through important support or resistance levels.
Support and resistance levels: Support and resistance levels are important concepts in technical analysis. When prices fall to support levels, there may be a rebound; when prices rise to resistance levels, there may be resistance. Support and resistance levels can be determined based on historical price data and market psychology, and entry points can be found near these positions.
3. Set stop loss and take profit. When trading, it is very important to set stop loss and take profit orders. Stop loss orders can help us stop loss in time when prices fall to avoid further losses; take profit orders can help us make profits in time when prices rise to avoid missing profit opportunities.
4. Strategy: You need to consider multiple factors when entering the market, and formulate a suitable trading strategy according to your own situation. Now is the best time to enter the market.
Abi 3738 has entered the market with multiple orders, stop loss: 3675, and stop profit is not set for the time being. Just look at Abi's signal in time! ! Friends who haven't got on the train yet, hurry up! Go, go, go
#新币挖矿 #热门话题 #BTC #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 #降息 $BTC $ETH
Breaking news⚠️⚠️A currency war that determines the world economic pattern is about to start❗️❗️❗️
The European Central Bank officially announced that it will announce a rate cut at 22:15 on June 6. Once Europe starts to cut interest rates, it can be announced that the two-year interest rate hike in the United States has completely failed. This means that Europe and the United States are parting ways in finance. There is a huge rift in the capital interests of Europe and the United States. It can basically be announced that the US interest rate hike cycle has completely ended in failure. Once Europe starts to cut interest rates, the exchange rate of the euro and the US dollar will begin to decouple completely, which means that a new round of currency wars around the world is about to begin! ! 😱
So is the European interest rate cut and currency war good news or bad news for our cryptocurrencies? 🤔
On the one hand, it may drive up the price of cryptocurrencies because they are regarded as a safe-haven asset.
On the other hand, currency wars may lead to global economic instability and large fluctuations in cryptocurrency prices.
Therefore, Abi believes that the rebound and pullback last night is also a good time to get on board. Yesterday, Abi publicly published a post to enter the market with a long position at 3739, and perfectly stopped profit at 80 o'clock after 1 o'clock in the morning✌️
So today's strategy: E TH can continue to take long orders when it pulls back to 3740-3650. The position is still the focus.
BTC friends also entered the market with long orders. #热门话题 #BTC突破7万大关 #ETH大涨 $BTC $ETH #降息期望 #欧洲央行降息
The European Central Bank officially announced that it will announce a rate cut at 22:15 on June 6. Once Europe starts to cut interest rates, it can be announced that the two-year interest rate hike in the United States has completely failed. This means that Europe and the United States are parting ways in finance. There is a huge rift in the capital interests of Europe and the United States. It can basically be announced that the US interest rate hike cycle has completely ended in failure. Once Europe starts to cut interest rates, the exchange rate of the euro and the US dollar will begin to decouple completely, which means that a new round of currency wars around the world is about to begin! ! 😱
So is the European interest rate cut and currency war good news or bad news for our cryptocurrencies? 🤔
On the one hand, it may drive up the price of cryptocurrencies because they are regarded as a safe-haven asset.
On the other hand, currency wars may lead to global economic instability and large fluctuations in cryptocurrency prices.
Therefore, Abi believes that the rebound and pullback last night is also a good time to get on board. Yesterday, Abi publicly published a post to enter the market with a long position at 3739, and perfectly stopped profit at 80 o'clock after 1 o'clock in the morning✌️
So today's strategy: E TH can continue to take long orders when it pulls back to 3740-3650. The position is still the focus.
BTC friends also entered the market with long orders. #热门话题 #BTC突破7万大关 #ETH大涨 $BTC $ETH #降息期望 #欧洲央行降息
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Are there any characteristics in the Fed's seven rate hikes? When will it start cutting rates?
1. The seven interest rate hike cycles in the history of the Federal Reserve occurred in the following time periods:
The first round of interest rate hikes:
Time: March 31, 1983 to August 9, 1984
Interest rate change: Federal funds rate increased from 8.50% to 11.5%
Duration: 17 months, 10 rate hikes
The second round of interest rate hikes:
Time: January 5, 1987 to May 17, 1989
Interest rate changes: The interest rate increased from 5.87% to 9.81% (some say it was a 6.5% increase to 9.8125%, the exact figures may vary slightly depending on the data)
Duration: 28 months, 22 rate hikes
The third round of interest rate hikes:
Time: February 4, 1994 to February 1, 1995
The first round of interest rate hikes:
Time: March 31, 1983 to August 9, 1984
Interest rate change: Federal funds rate increased from 8.50% to 11.5%
Duration: 17 months, 10 rate hikes
The second round of interest rate hikes:
Time: January 5, 1987 to May 17, 1989
Interest rate changes: The interest rate increased from 5.87% to 9.81% (some say it was a 6.5% increase to 9.8125%, the exact figures may vary slightly depending on the data)
Duration: 28 months, 22 rate hikes
The third round of interest rate hikes:
Time: February 4, 1994 to February 1, 1995
See original
The Fed wants to cut interest rates, but is afraid that the market will think it doesn’t want to! The Fed’s inconsistent behavior is unusual
The Fed finally managed to hold on in June. It is rare that the CPI data and the interest rate decision are released at the same time. This is because the Fed has made a direct statement before, right? He said that weak employment will make us cut interest rates in advance, but strong employment does not necessarily make us postpone the interest rate cut. What determines whether we will postpone the interest rate cut is the inflation data. This is a typical example of not speaking human language. Although his own logic is fragmented, we can still sort it out for everyone. What exactly is this statement saying?
First of all, because he discussed the factors that affect whether the interest rate cut is in advance, right? So, the first thing we need to reach a consensus on is to cut interest rates in advance, that is, to cut interest rates in advance is a stimulus policy, which is expected by the market and everyone wants to see, right? Then, delaying the interest rate cut is equivalent to a contractionary policy, which is what the market does not want to see. At this time, let alone continuing to raise interest rates, even delaying the interest rate cut will make everyone feel nervous. Then he mentioned two data indicators, one is the employment rate and the other is inflation CPI. The employment rate is a leading indicator, which usually changes before the economic changes. What does it mean? It means that everyone must first get a job, so that the company can start work, produce products, and everyone can earn money, right? With income, he will spend it. Therefore, the indicator of the employment rate changing in advance, you can also understand it as the employment rate, which is more like a sign. On the contrary, the inflation rate, CPI is a lagging indicator. It usually starts to change after the economy has changed. CPI will only change after everyone has started working and producing, received income, and consumed it. So you can also understand that the inflation rate is already the result.
First of all, because he discussed the factors that affect whether the interest rate cut is in advance, right? So, the first thing we need to reach a consensus on is to cut interest rates in advance, that is, to cut interest rates in advance is a stimulus policy, which is expected by the market and everyone wants to see, right? Then, delaying the interest rate cut is equivalent to a contractionary policy, which is what the market does not want to see. At this time, let alone continuing to raise interest rates, even delaying the interest rate cut will make everyone feel nervous. Then he mentioned two data indicators, one is the employment rate and the other is inflation CPI. The employment rate is a leading indicator, which usually changes before the economic changes. What does it mean? It means that everyone must first get a job, so that the company can start work, produce products, and everyone can earn money, right? With income, he will spend it. Therefore, the indicator of the employment rate changing in advance, you can also understand it as the employment rate, which is more like a sign. On the contrary, the inflation rate, CPI is a lagging indicator. It usually starts to change after the economy has changed. CPI will only change after everyone has started working and producing, received income, and consumed it. So you can also understand that the inflation rate is already the result.
See original
The United States regrets cutting interest rates, but it is too late to reverse the situation!
Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers recently pointed out that the Federal Reserve's 50 basis point rate cut last month may have been a wrong decision. In Summers' view, this sharp rate cut was a mistake, but fortunately the impact has not been serious so far.
The reason is that the non-farm payrolls data released by the U.S. Department of Labor on October 4 was unexpectedly "excellent". Non-farm payrolls increased by 254,000 in September, far exceeding the market's estimate of about 150,000. However, some people questioned the water content of this data, because the data showed that the number of U.S. government employees was as high as 22.216 million, an increase of 785,000 in one month. You know, the total population of the United States is only 342 million, so the ratio of government employees to the total population has reached 6.4%. If the Biden-Harris administration had not tried its best to increase the number of government employees in order to make the employment data look better at the time of the election, then the company would actually have reduced more than 600,000 employees, which is undoubtedly an extremely poor data performance.
The reason is that the non-farm payrolls data released by the U.S. Department of Labor on October 4 was unexpectedly "excellent". Non-farm payrolls increased by 254,000 in September, far exceeding the market's estimate of about 150,000. However, some people questioned the water content of this data, because the data showed that the number of U.S. government employees was as high as 22.216 million, an increase of 785,000 in one month. You know, the total population of the United States is only 342 million, so the ratio of government employees to the total population has reached 6.4%. If the Biden-Harris administration had not tried its best to increase the number of government employees in order to make the employment data look better at the time of the election, then the company would actually have reduced more than 600,000 employees, which is undoubtedly an extremely poor data performance.
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Dear family members, the market is ever-changing, but calmness is our shield and strategy is our sword.
It is expected that the market will face a violent fluctuation, and there may be a situation of "downward ⬇️ pin-inducing short selling". This is not only a test of our strategy, but also a moment to show our execution and patience.
The market may suddenly fall 📉 to induce short selling, but remember that this may be a trap 🪤.
Our eyes are locked above 3887, which may be the key resistance level for the market rebound.
We just need to wait quietly for the best time to attack like a crocodile 🐊, and don't be disturbed by market fluctuations. Once the market gives a clear signal of Abi's strategy 📶, execute the operation plan quickly and decisively! ! #热门话题 #5月非农数据即将公布 #MegadropLista $ETH #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 #降息
It is expected that the market will face a violent fluctuation, and there may be a situation of "downward ⬇️ pin-inducing short selling". This is not only a test of our strategy, but also a moment to show our execution and patience.
The market may suddenly fall 📉 to induce short selling, but remember that this may be a trap 🪤.
Our eyes are locked above 3887, which may be the key resistance level for the market rebound.
We just need to wait quietly for the best time to attack like a crocodile 🐊, and don't be disturbed by market fluctuations. Once the market gives a clear signal of Abi's strategy 📶, execute the operation plan quickly and decisively! ! #热门话题 #5月非农数据即将公布 #MegadropLista $ETH #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 #降息
Finally I waited for you, fortunately I didn't give up❗️❗️ I just want to sing a song at this moment🎵At four o'clock in the morning🕓ETH broke through the first pressure level of 3850 and the previous high, until 3887, it began to pull back a little bit. Are you starting to be at a loss now? Don't panic, be sure to read Abi to give you a standard answer!
At four o'clock in the morning, ETH broke through the first pressure level of 3850 with an unstoppable momentum and set a new high of 3887. This is not only a jump in numbers, but also a strong signal of market confidence📶
Although the current price has begun to pull back slightly, those who followed Abi's heavy positions have become headless flies at this moment, and they want to stop when they see the good. At least the current stop profit is also a considerable profit!
But Abi asks you not to panic, this is just the market preparing for the upcoming bigger market. Remember! The drama has just begun, and tonight will be the highlight❗️❗️
In the past few days, the market has been volatile, making many people nervous, but Abi has always believed in his strategy and encouraged everyone to go long, and gave a precise entry point! If you look through Abi's articles in the past week, you will find that my views are consistent and accurate. I have added positions at the lowest point many times. Last night's pullback also clearly told everyone that it was the last chance to get on board.
Now is the time to stay calm, firm in strategy, and continue to follow the pace of the market. Don't be confused by short-term fluctuations, look at the long term, and grasp the big trend❗️❗️
Let's look forward to tonight's market together. Every pullback is the market accumulating strength for our next leap! Abi's position is larger than yours, let's witness 3900-4100 together❗️
Finally, remember to follow Abi! #热门话题 #5月非农数据即将公布 #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 #MegadropLista $ETH $BTC
At four o'clock in the morning, ETH broke through the first pressure level of 3850 with an unstoppable momentum and set a new high of 3887. This is not only a jump in numbers, but also a strong signal of market confidence📶
Although the current price has begun to pull back slightly, those who followed Abi's heavy positions have become headless flies at this moment, and they want to stop when they see the good. At least the current stop profit is also a considerable profit!
But Abi asks you not to panic, this is just the market preparing for the upcoming bigger market. Remember! The drama has just begun, and tonight will be the highlight❗️❗️
In the past few days, the market has been volatile, making many people nervous, but Abi has always believed in his strategy and encouraged everyone to go long, and gave a precise entry point! If you look through Abi's articles in the past week, you will find that my views are consistent and accurate. I have added positions at the lowest point many times. Last night's pullback also clearly told everyone that it was the last chance to get on board.
Now is the time to stay calm, firm in strategy, and continue to follow the pace of the market. Don't be confused by short-term fluctuations, look at the long term, and grasp the big trend❗️❗️
Let's look forward to tonight's market together. Every pullback is the market accumulating strength for our next leap! Abi's position is larger than yours, let's witness 3900-4100 together❗️
Finally, remember to follow Abi! #热门话题 #5月非农数据即将公布 #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 #MegadropLista $ETH $BTC