Based on various data analysis, the current market has shown bottom characteristics, indicating that it is expected to usher in 2 to 3 significant rising waves in the future, that is, the main rising wave, pushing the Bitcoin price to gradually approach the previously predicted target area of ​​124,000 US dollars, thus This round of bull market cycle has been successfully concluded.

The growth rate of this round of Bitcoin bull market is estimated to be between 4 times and 8 times, showing strong growth momentum. However, looking forward, as the price of Bitcoin climbs and its total market value continues to expand, it is expected that the increase in the next bull market will converge, roughly between 1x and 2x. Furthermore, as time goes by, the increase in the subsequent Bitcoin bull market may be further reduced to less than 1 times, showing that the market growth momentum is gradually becoming stable and rational. At the same time, this also indicates that the Bitcoin market has become more mature, the magnitude of the correction during the bear market will also be narrowed accordingly, and market volatility will tend to ease. #德国政府转移比特币 #美国6月CPI大幅降温 #美联储何时降息？ $DOCK $FLM $POLS

Fortune magazine reported that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has decided to terminate its in-depth investigation of New York stablecoin issuer Paxos and officially confirmed that the BUSD stablecoin jointly launched by Paxos and Binance does not fall into the category of securities. On July 9, Jorge Tenreiro, acting director of the SEC's Crypto Assets and Networks Division, made it clear in a letter to Fortune magazine that he was not inclined to take any enforcement action against Paxos. This decision marks the end of the SEC's review process of the Wells Notice (a formal notice indicating that enforcement action may be initiated) issued to Paxos more than a year ago, which focused on the dollar-backed stablecoin BUSD launched by Paxos in cooperation with Binance.

Walter Hessert, Paxos's head of strategy, expressed his relief with the result in an interview: "We are deeply relieved because the formal termination of the investigation is exactly in line with our expectations. This not only has a positive impact on ourselves, but more importantly, it is expected to bring more stability and certainty to the entire market. We have observed that with the announcement of this news, more and more large companies are actively considering joining this field." #美联储何时降息？ #美国6月CPI大幅降温 #币安7周年 #BTC下跌分析 $AR $BOND $GAL

The CPI data released last night has significantly enhanced the market's confidence in September and subsequent interest rate cut expectations. Some Wall Street traders have even begun to look forward to the possibility of three interest rate cuts within the year. Although this optimistic expectation is radical, it also reflects the market's appetite for easing. expectations for monetary policy.
Exchange Junyang: 977356059

However, the actual market response appears to be complex and changeable. U.S. stocks fell back quickly after a brief rise at the opening, and the cryptocurrency market also failed to extend its gains at the beginning of the data release and turned downward. This shows that although the expectation of interest rate cuts has brought a temporary boost to the market, the internal dynamics of the market have not been fundamentally changed.
Exchange Junyang: 977356059

For Bitcoin (BTC), despite frequent positive news, it has been unable to effectively break through and stabilize above the psychological $60,000 mark. The persistence of this key resistance not only fails to reverse the downward trend at the daily level, but also indicates that there is still greater downward pressure on the market. It is particularly worth noting that Bitcoin also appeared to be unable to do so when it fell back to the important weekly support level of $57,700, which further shows that the market’s optimism about the benefits of future interest rate cuts may have been overdrawn in advance.

Looking ahead, the market’s focus may turn to Ethereum (ETH) ETFs between this week and next week. Although there are rumors circulating in the market that the ETF may be approved next Thursday (July 18), given that this expectation has been fermenting in the market for a long time, the bullish enthusiasm it can inspire when it is actually passed may Has been heavily discounted. Therefore, even if the ETF is approved, its positive impact on the market may be limited, and there may even be a situation where "all the good is gone and the bad is bad" similar to expectations of interest rate cuts. Against this background, investors should remain cautious, pay close attention to market dynamics, and respond flexibly to possible risks and opportunities. $MDX $PDA $ORN #美联储何时降息？ #币安合约锦标赛 #美国6月CPI大幅降温

A student was sleeping in physics class and was seen by Mr. Luo.

Mr. Luo: This sleeping student, please tell me, what is the second line of "Visiting West Lake, carrying a tin pot. The tin pot fell into West Lake, how sad is West Lake?"

The student answered like this: Physics is like being in the fog. Look at physics in the fog, don't pay attention to physics!

Even Su Shi couldn't answer this sentence, but a student who was sleeping in physics class answered it. #BTC下跌分析 #美国6月CPI大幅降温 #美联储何时降息？ $SOL $MDX $FTT

Is it time for ETH to take off?
Since the start of this round of bull market, Ethereum has performed like a forgotten pearl, and its price trend is in sharp contrast to the brilliant achievements of Bitcoin, which has disappointed many investors. However, the situation has suddenly changed, and the market atmosphere has quietly changed recently, and a renewed enthusiasm for the potential of Ethereum is sweeping in. Investors have looked sideways and talked about it, as if they have smelled the breath of change - could it be that Ethereum, which once led the wave of smart contracts and decentralized applications, is finally going to bloom its own brilliant light in this round of bull market? Every breath of the market is full of expectations and speculation, and a drama about whether Ethereum can make a comeback is slowly opening. Strategy Understanding--Research Institute--236823929#美国6月CPI大幅降温 #美联储何时降息？ #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #德国政府转移比特币 #币安合约锦标赛 $PEPE $BOME $SOL

"The German government's Bitcoin holdings fell to 9,094, and continued selling has attracted market attention"

1. Overview of current holdings
Latest data: According to Lookonchain monitoring of the blockchain network (NFTs), there have been fund flows in the German government wallet in the past 24 hours, but the exact holdings are currently (i.e. July 12, 2024). The latest information shows 9,094 BTC, worth approximately $522.29 million.
2. Historical changes
Sell-off record: The German government has been selling Bitcoin continuously since the beginning of this month (especially since June 19). + Communication Junyang: 954737157 According to data from different sources, the German government transferred a large number of Bitcoins during this period, including 6,500 Bitcoins transferred out on June 19, and a single-day peak of 16,038 Bitcoins transferred out on July 8. These sell-offs resulted in a significant reduction in the amount of Bitcoin held by the German government.
Initial holdings: There are reports that the German government obtained nearly 50,000 BTC by seizing Bitcoin from the pirated film and television website Movie2k.to in January 2024, which was worth approximately US$2.2 billion at the time. This is currently the main traceable source of the German government’s Bitcoin holdings.
3. Analysis of influencing factors
Market dynamics: Price fluctuations and trading activity in the Bitcoin market will directly affect the value of the government’s Bitcoin holdings and its selling decisions.
Policy and Regulation: The government’s policy attitude and regulatory measures towards cryptocurrencies may also affect its behavior of holding and selling Bitcoin.
4. Summary
To sum up, the number of Bitcoins currently held by the German government is 9,094, but this number may change due to market fluctuations and government operations. Because the cryptocurrency market is highly uncertain and volatile, it is difficult to accurately predict whether the German government will continue to sell off or accumulate Bitcoin in the future. However, yes$MDX $PDA $ILV #美国6月CPI大幅降温 #美联储何时降息？ #美国大选如何影响加密产业？

"A ray of hope for crypto voters? Vance, the vice presidential candidate, wears the aura of Bitcoin Holder and draws a blueprint for the future of the industry with a pro-crypto stance"
The cryptocurrency community is basking in an unprecedented political spring breeze. As J.D. Vance, as a vice presidential candidate, publicly disclosed his identity as a Bitcoin holder and showed his firm support for the crypto industry, this signal undoubtedly brought exciting news to crypto voters. Vance not only personally invested in Bitcoin, but also actively promoted more friendly and innovative crypto regulatory bills through his position on the Senate Banking Committee, indicating that the status of cryptocurrency is gradually rising on the political stage.
Historically, the core circle of the US President and Vice Presidential candidates collectively released a clear signal of support for the crypto industry for the first time. This is not only a recognition of the innovative value of blockchain technology, but also an expectation that digital assets will play an important role in the global economic system in the future. Former President Trump + Communication Junyang: The support of 954737157 combined with Vance's specific actions have laid a more solid political foundation for the development of cryptocurrency.
The positive evaluation of Kristin Smith, CEO of the Blockchain Association, further confirms the widespread impact of this trend. She pointed out that supporting encryption has become an important yardstick for political candidates to demonstrate their foresight and innovation, indicating that cryptocurrencies will gain more voice and development space in future policy making. For encryption voters, this is undoubtedly the beginning of a new era full of hope and opportunities. $PEPE $1000SATS $WIF #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #美国6月CPI大幅降温 #美联储何时降息？

Welcome to come and communicate

Why did DEGEN fall so hard? The combined effect of market fluctuations, project challenges and investor confidence
The sharp decline of DEGEN coins is one of the recent phenomena that has attracted much attention in the digital currency market. The reasons behind it can be deeply analyzed from multiple aspects such as market fluctuations, challenges faced by projects and investor confidence.
First of all, the digital currency market itself is highly volatile and sensitive, and any small market changes may trigger drastic price fluctuations. As one of them, DEGEN is naturally difficult to be immune. With the slowdown of global economic recovery and the tightening of regulatory policies, market sentiment has become pessimistic, + Communication Junyang: 954737157 Investors have withdrawn from the market, causing DEGEN prices to be under pressure.
Secondly, the problems of the project itself are also an important reason for the decline in DEGEN prices. For example, the project party's technical strength, marketing capabilities and team building are insufficient, which has gradually weakened investors' confidence in DEGEN. At the same time, with the intensification of market competition, DEGEN does not have obvious advantages in terms of functions, application scenarios and user base, which further weakens its market competitiveness.
Finally, the tightening of regulatory policies has also had a profound impact on the price of DEGEN. Some countries have imposed strict restrictions on the trading, holding and circulation of digital currencies, which greatly limits the market application of DEGEN in these countries. In addition, compliance challenges may also affect the stability of DEGEN prices.
In summary, the decline of DEGEN is the result of multiple factors such as market fluctuations, project challenges and investor confidence. However, as an emerging token, DEGEN still has great potential and room for development. As long as the project party can actively respond to challenges, strengthen efforts in technology research and development and market promotion, I believe that DEGEN is expected to usher in a better development prospect in the future.

$MDX $CVP $HARD #美国6月CPI大幅降温 #美联储何时降息？ #美国大选如何影响加密产业？

Bitcoin price bottoming out? New market trends under the interweaving of global selling and institutional "bottom-fishing"
Recently, the Bitcoin market has experienced a violent fluctuation caused by the interweaving of multiple factors. As the German and US governments sold Bitcoin obtained from illegal channels, coupled with the shadow of Mt.Gox's bankruptcy and debt repayment, market confidence suffered a heavy blow. The price of Bitcoin plummeted to $53,900 last Friday, the largest drop since the high of $73,700 in March. However, amid the selling, some investors began to celebrate the end of the government's selling and criticized the country's conversion of Bitcoin into legal currency. + Communication Junyang: 954737157 believes that this may be strategic short-sighted.
Will Clemente of Reflexivity Research was even more outspoken, saying that Germany's full selling could become a strategic mistake for decades to come. And Michael Saylor of MicroStrategy also implicitly expressed his dissatisfaction with the government's selling on Twitter, calling for "sticking to Bitcoin."
However, the end of the selling wave seems to have brought new opportunities to the market. On-chain analysts point out that as selling pressure is released, the price of Bitcoin is gradually showing a healthy entry point for new investors. This week, institutional investors snapped up BTC at an alarming rate, showing a strong willingness to "buy on dips." At the same time, the massive selling by short-term holders is seen by analysts as a signal that the market bottom has formed, indicating that market concerns have reached their peak and price adjustments may be imminent. $MDX $DOCK $HARD #美国6月CPI大幅降温 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？

2L2 Empowers Ethereum Ecosystem: Beyond Token Value, Building a New Era of 'Effective ETH'
Before we delve into the economic potential of L2 tokens, let's focus on how they quietly reshape the broad picture of the Ethereum ecosystem. L2 solutions, as a key driver of Ethereum's scalability, have an impact far beyond the rise and fall of a single token. A unique perspective to measure their true contribution to the Ethereum ecosystem is to observe how these L2s work together with ETH to jointly raise the market value baseline of the entire ecosystem.
To this end, we abandoned the limitations of the value of a single token and adopted a more comprehensive evaluation method: the market value of the top 10 L2 tokens with the leading market value was included in the ETH market value, + communication Junyang: 954737157 to construct a new indicator called "Effective ETH". This innovative perspective not only captures the value of the Ethereum mainnet, but also incorporates the vitality and growth potential brought by the L2 layer, thereby more accurately reflecting the comprehensive value and market trends of the entire Ethereum ecosystem. Through this mirror, we can get a glimpse of how L2, as an indispensable cornerstone of the Ethereum ecosystem, jointly promotes "Effective ETH" to a new peak of value and opens a new era of Ethereum ecosystem development. $HARD $BTC $DOCK #美国6月CPI大幅降温 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #德国政府转移比特币

"Votes or Bullets" in the Cryptocurrency Era: From Malcolm X to Modern Political Gaming
Back in the 1960s in the United States, Malcolm X shocked the world with his "Votes or Bullets" speech, calling on black people to unite and change the political landscape through voting. Today, in 2024, when cryptocurrencies are surging, this historical echo has once again aroused thinking-can cryptocurrency holders also become a key force in determining the direction of politics as advocated by Malcolm X?
Malcolm X's speech profoundly reveals the awakening and unity of minority groups under political oppression, + Communication Junyang: 954737157 emphasized the urgency of changing destiny through voting. In the field of cryptocurrency, whether you are a Bitcoin believer, Ethereum supporter or Solana supporter, in the face of common "politician" hostility, we also need to put aside differences, build consensus, and use the "votes" in our hands-that is, the collective influence of cryptocurrency holders, to strive for a more favorable policy environment from the government.
The 2024 US election is not only a contest of traditional political forces, but also a new stage for political gaming in the cryptocurrency era. There are many tentative statements on cryptocurrencies in the campaign strategies of Trump and Biden, but just as Malcolm X criticized politicians' false promises, we need to remain vigilant and not be fooled by superficial efforts. Cryptocurrency holders should realize that their political influence should not be underestimated. Through organized and strategic voting actions, they are fully capable of influencing policy making and promoting the healthy development of the cryptocurrency industry.
At the same time, Malcolm X's harsh criticism of symbolism also sounded the alarm for us. Cryptocurrency holders should not be satisfied with the government's superficial support gestures, but should pursue substantive legislative guarantees. As he pointed out in his speech, the real victory lies in turning promises into legal provisions to ensure that the legitimate rights and interests of the cryptocurrency industry are effectively protected.
Therefore, in the new journey of the cryptocurrency era, let us learn from the spirit of Malcolm X, unite, and use our "vote" power to strive for a brighter future for the cryptocurrency industry. This is not only a tribute to history, but also a powerful challenge to the real political landscape. $MDX $DOCK $HARD #美国6月CPI大幅降温 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？

ETF Store President optimistically predicts: SEC may approve ETH spot ETF S-1 application next week
Under close attention from the cryptocurrency market, the president of The ETF Store recently issued an optimistic statement, firmly believing that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) will formally approve the S-1 registration application for Ethereum (ETH) spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) within the next week. This news is like a spring breeze, injecting a shot of confidence into the market, and heralding that the long-awaited ETH direct investment channel for investors is about to open a new chapter.
As a leader in the field of digital currency, + Communication Junyang: 954737157The approval of the ETH spot ETF will not only greatly simplify the path for retail and institutional investors to enter the Ethereum ecosystem and lower the threshold, but may also attract a large amount of capital from the traditional financial market, further promoting the integration of the cryptocurrency market with the traditional financial system. The president's prediction, based on his in-depth understanding of the SEC's regulatory trends and his keen insight into market demand, paints a picture of a future full of hope and vitality for the entire industry. As the approval date approaches, global investors are eagerly waiting to welcome this historic moment.
$MDX $CVP $HARD #美国6月CPI大幅降温 #美联储何时降息？ #美国大选如何影响加密产业？

Major benefits! Asia Pacific News: JP Morgan predicts Bitcoin will rebound in August, and market net inflow expectations are lowered

JPMorgan Chase’s latest research report optimistically predicts that Bitcoin is expected to rebound in August, and the current market liquidation activities are expected to be settled by the end of July. This positive outlook was endorsed by well-known financial writer Robert Kiyosaki, who called on investors to seize the increasing trend of Wall Street and increase their allocation of gold and Bitcoin.

However, based on the recent significant decline in Bitcoin exchange reserves, JPMorgan Chase has adjusted its year-to-date net inflow forecast for the crypto market, lowering it from the original estimate of $12 billion to $8 billion. The analysis pointed out that the reduction in reserves may be attributed to the dynamics of the Gemini exchange, the creditor liquidation actions after the bankruptcy of Mt. Gox, and the Bitcoin sell-off at the German government level. Strategic understanding--Institute--972331171

The analysis team led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou stressed in the report that the downward revision of the net flow forecast mainly reflects the sharp reduction in Bitcoin reserves, and reserved its initial expectations of achieving a net inflow of $12 billion for the full year. They believe that the mining cost of Bitcoin is still high compared to the price of gold, which is an important factor affecting the flow of market funds.

Despite this, the core view of the report remains optimistic, believing that with the end of the liquidation wave, the cryptocurrency market is expected to usher in new growth points, and August may become the starting point of recovery. #美国6月CPI大幅降温 #美联储何时降息？ #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #德国政府转移比特币 #BTC下跌分析 $ZEN $SC $MDX

Breaking news! The German government's Bitcoin liquidation drama has come to an end, and the market focus has shifted to "Mentougou"

The German government's 24-day Bitcoin liquidation operation officially ended in the early hours of today. Since June 19, the German government has begun to gradually sell off its 49,800 BTC. This move has not only attracted widespread attention from the market, but also witnessed the fluctuations and adjustments of Bitcoin prices. In the end, this batch of 49,858.7 Bitcoins were successfully sold at an average price of about US$58,480, which brought back a huge amount of funds of about US$2.915 billion for the German government. Strategy Understanding--Research Institute--972331171

With the perfect conclusion of the German government's Bitcoin liquidation drama, the market's attention began to focus on the next hot spot-the movement of "Mentougou". As a once-famous figure and event in the field of cryptocurrency, every step of Mentougou's actions has affected the market's nerves. Market participants have speculated on how "Mentougou" will affect the trend of Bitcoin and even the entire cryptocurrency market in the future, and a new market drama is about to begin. #美国6月CPI大幅降温 #美联储何时降息？ #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #德国政府转移比特币 #BTC下跌分析 $SEI $ILV $BB

Major good news! US Bitcoin spot ETF holdings hit a new high, with a total of 888,607 BTC

According to the latest monitoring data of HODL 15 Capital cited by Golden Finance, as of press time, the holdings of US Bitcoin spot ETFs have soared to 888,607 BTC. This figure not only indicates that the holdings of Bitcoin by this type of ETF have reached an unprecedented height, but also set a new historical record.

The surge in holdings further highlights the confidence and recognition of institutional investors in Bitcoin and the blockchain technology behind it. With the continuous improvement of Bitcoin's acceptance around the world and the involvement of more traditional financial institutions, Bitcoin spot ETFs, as an important bridge connecting traditional financial markets and the field of cryptocurrency, have undoubtedly become the focus of market attention. Strategy Understanding--Research Institute--972331171

The monitoring results of HODL 15 Capital not only provide investors with valuable data references, but also indicate that the Bitcoin market may usher in more development opportunities and challenges in the future. With the continuous increase in holdings, Bitcoin spot ETFs will play a more important role in promoting the mainstreaming of cryptocurrency assets and promoting market liquidity.

In general, the record high holdings of US Bitcoin spot ETFs are not only a strong endorsement of current market confidence, but also inject new vitality and momentum into the development of the entire cryptocurrency industry.

Unveiling the AO economic model: In-depth analysis of the developer minting mechanism
In the wave of blockchain technology, AO stands out with its unique economic model and developer minting mechanism, becoming the focus of industry attention. The core of the AO economic model lies in its fair, transparent and highly incentivized token minting and distribution mechanism, which not only provides a strong impetus for developers, but also lays a solid foundation for the healthy development of the entire ecosystem.
The minting of AO tokens follows the economic model of Bitcoin, but innovates in details. Its total supply is set at 21 million, similar to Bitcoin, but the distribution strategy is more flexible and fair. The minting of AO tokens begins at a specific point in time and continues, and is distributed to Arweave token holders every 5 minutes according to the holding ratio, ensuring the interests of early participants. At the same time, about two-thirds of AO tokens will be used to bridge assets into the AO ecosystem to incentivize economic growth and cross-chain cooperation.
The core advantage of this developer minting mechanism lies in its incentive compatibility. By continuously allocating tokens to Arweave token holders, AO not only incentivizes the stability of the existing ecosystem, but also attracts more developers to join and contribute to the development and application of the AO platform. In addition, the introduction of the cross-chain bridge has injected new vitality into the AO ecosystem, allowing different blockchain assets to be seamlessly connected to AO, further broadening its application scenarios and market potential.
It is worth noting that the AO economic model also emphasizes the balance between security and economic efficiency. By introducing a security resource market model, users can purchase specific security levels for messages according to their needs. This customized service not only improves the security of the system, but also ensures the effective configuration and allocation of resources. At the same time, the locking mechanism of AO tokens also effectively prevents excessive circulation and price fluctuations of tokens, providing a strong guarantee for the long-term development of the ecosystem.
$PEPE $WIF $FLOKI #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #美国6月CPI大幅降温 #美联储何时降息？

Revealing the Silicon Valley Elite and Bitcoin Believers: The Rise of Trump's Crypto-Friendly Deputy J.D. Vance"
In the turbulent 2024 US presidential election, former President Donald Trump made a shocking decision - choosing J.D. Vance, a 40-year-old senator from Ohio, as his vice presidential running mate. This move not only marks another strong voice in the Republican "Make America Great Again" (MAGA) movement, but also foreshadows a new round of integration of cryptocurrency and Silicon Valley technology in politics.
J.D. Vance, a rising star in the political arena who combines his experience in the Marine Corps, the aura of a top student at Yale Law School and extensive connections in Silicon Valley, is undoubtedly a clear stream in Trump's campaign team. He not only represents the firm stance of "America First" populism, but also becomes an indispensable crypto-friendly element in Trump's vision of "making America great again" with his deep understanding and enthusiasm for the field of cryptocurrency.
If Trump succeeds in his bid for the White House, Vance will stand at the center of the world stage as one of the youngest vice presidents in American history. His Silicon Valley background and comparison + communication Junyang: Holding crypto assets such as Bitcoin may bring unprecedented innovative perspectives to economic policies in the United States and even the world, leading a new wave of deep integration of technology and finance. This article deeply analyzes the rise of J.D. Vance, giving you a glimpse into the political blueprint and crypto vision of this Silicon Valley tycoon and Bitcoin holder.
$PEPE $1000SATS $WIF #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #美国6月CPI大幅降温 #美联储何时降息？

"Trump embraces cryptocurrency: a new chapter in technology, market, industry, culture, and even the political landscape?"
In today's rapidly changing digital age, cryptocurrency is no longer limited to the scope of technological innovation and market booms. It has quietly penetrated into every corner of the industry ecology, cultural trends, and even the political stage. With Donald Trump officially including it in the scope of support and elaborating on it in his campaign team's "2024 Republican Platform", this move undoubtedly gives cryptocurrency a more profound political significance and opens its exploration journey as an emerging political force.
Trump's decision is not only a recognition of the potential of cryptocurrency technology and market vitality, but also a rethinking of deep-seated issues such as the global economic system, financial security, and even national sovereignty in the digital age. It marks that cryptocurrency is gradually crossing traditional boundaries and becoming a new variable in shaping the future political landscape and international relations. In this context, studying the logic and far-reaching impact behind Trump's support for cryptocurrency undoubtedly provides us with a valuable perspective to understand the political and economic changes in the digital age. $PEPE $1000SATS $WIF #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #美国6月CPI大幅降温 #美联储何时降息？