ETH has really been on the rise recently; there’s nothing that a big upward candle can’t resolve, and if it doesn’t work, then two will do. Ethereum went from 2350 to 3200 in just 5 days, plus Bitcoin has already broken through, so there’s still room ahead!
BTC officially breaks through 80,000 USD. From a timeline perspective, it recently reached a new high on November 6, which aligns closely with the normal timeline! As predicted in previous analyses!
So when might BTC price peak?
In the 2015-2017 cycle, Bitcoin reached its peak 518 days after the halving.
In the 2019-2021 cycle, Bitcoin peaked 546 days after the halving.
If history repeats itself, the peak of this bull market is likely to occur between 518-546 days after the halving.
BTC may reach the peak of this cycle in mid-September or mid-October 2025, which aligns with the macro dollar cycle! Let's wait and see! $BTC $ETH #BTC突破8W大关 #BTC创历史新高
Bitcoin has risen like this, many brothers are still holding their short positions, thinking about the price dropping every day, but unfortunately, things are contrary to their wishes. Don't short just because it drops a little; the bullish trend is still there, sometimes it's just a normal pullback, and don't short when looking bearish. The white line position given every day is used to distinguish between bullish and bearish trends. If it stays steady above the white line position, it means it's going up again!
Today's market analysis: Bitcoin dipped down to around 75683 in the early hours and then rebounded to break the previous high. If it continues to rise today, pay attention to the 80000 position; after breaking through, it will continue to move upwards!
If it pulls back, pay attention to the 77000 position below. If it doesn't break below this position, it will continue to rise; if it breaks below, a 1-hour level pullback will start, and pay attention to strong support at 76500. Ethereum broke below the white line position at night but immediately closed back above it, consecutively breaking through 3 resistance levels. Today it continues to rise; watch for resistance around the 3300 position!
If it pulls back, pay attention to the support level near 3100! #BTC挑战8W大关 $ETH $BTC
Map (1) How are the friends of Huobi? This is shamelessly cutting leeks [cover face] 87686 really bold. Map (2) (Cooperation location) How important is a reliable exchange $BTC $ETH #BTC挑战8W大关 #山寨季分析
Ethereum is currently holding above 3000, and the spring of Ethereum is about to arrive after Trump takes office. Below 3000 for Ethereum, a medium-term target can be set at $BTC $ETH #BTC创历史新高 #贝莱德比特币ETF交易量创纪录 .
The market's attention is firmly focused on December, speculating whether there will be new interest rate cuts. Powell has indicated that the decision on rate cuts will be based on economic data and adjusted flexibly according to actual circumstances. In my opinion, as long as inflation data does not experience a significant rebound, the likelihood of a rate cut in December is very high. The Bank of England has already announced a rate cut of 25 basis points, and expectations for the U.S. to follow suit with easing policies are also rising.
Against the backdrop of widespread easing by global central banks, Trump's election may bring new opportunities for Bitcoin to rise, especially if he incorporates Bitcoin into the U.S. strategic reserve assets, further expanding the potential for Bitcoin's price increase.
I hold an optimistic expectation for Bitcoin's price after Trump's inauguration, believing that Bitcoin is likely to break the $100,000 mark. This confidence is based on the fact that the Republican Party, to which Trump belongs, has already controlled both the House of Representatives and the Senate, making him one of the most powerful presidents since World War II, fully controlling the executive and legislative branches, and having significant influence in the Supreme Court. The Republican majority in Congress provides a solid foundation for the implementation of Trump's policies. In his victory speech, Trump promised to fulfill his commitments to the cryptocurrency industry during his campaign, further enhancing the optimistic outlook for Bitcoin's future. December may directly impact the $100,000 mark.
From a technical structure perspective, it still remains a strong unilateral structure. After the bulls attempted to push higher in the early morning, they have now fallen back into a period of fluctuation. Here, we need to pay attention to the continuity of the bulls. At present, the bulls have made multiple attempts to continue but have stopped around the 77000 position. Therefore, the subsequent bullish momentum has increased, and at least there are no direct conditions for a short position. From the smaller time frames, we can also see a rebound after touching the middle track, and overall it is still in an upward center. So currently, the strategy is to go long once and then observe the continuation strength before following up with a short position!
Recommendation for Bitcoin: 76000, Target at 78000 $BTC $ETH #大盘的下一步?
After a 25 basis point rate cut, the market has not immediately surged, but there has been a slight daily increase, overall showing that bulls are stronger than bears. The market structure is gradually moving upward, laying a foundation for a potential high. The moving average system is trending upward with strong support. The exchange rate of Ethereum is recovering, showing upward potential, making it a good opportunity to add positions during pullbacks. The trading strategy is to buy on retracement.
Saturday Afternoon Trading Recommendations: ETH: Buy at 3000, target 3150
Yesterday we mentioned that Trump's confirmation of victory is relatively favorable for the sentiment, as the current sentiment price is quite low. Additionally, with the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting result of a 25 basis point rate cut meeting expectations, the sentiment did not rise much, and conversely, there is a certain downward trend. So we boldly imagined that Ethereum might drop in the short term.
In the evening, we continue to look bearish on sentiment: Around 2960 🈳 Target at 2850$BTC $ETH #BTC创历史新高 #特朗普加密政策承诺
Fast rise, slow fall; the market maker may be accumulating If the coin price rises rapidly but the pullback appears slow, it is likely that the market maker is quietly accumulating to prepare for the next round of increases.
Fast fall, slow rise; beware of market maker unloading If the coin price drops quickly while the rebound seems slow, this usually indicates that the market maker is gradually unloading, and the market may enter a downward trend.
Don't rush to sell when volume increases at the top; run quickly when there's no volume When the coin price reaches a peak and the trading volume increases, don't rush to sell, as there may still be another wave of increases. However, if the trading volume shrinks, indicating weak buying interest, caution is necessary, and it's best to withdraw early.
When volume increases at the bottom, observe more; take action only when volume continues to rise When the price falls to a low point and the trading volume increases, do not rush to buy temporarily, as this may just be a short-term rebound signal. If the trading volume continues to rise, it indicates that funds are starting to flow in, and at this time, one can consider bottom fishing.
Trading cryptocurrency is about trading emotions; consensus reflects trading volume
Essentially, trading cryptocurrencies is about trading market sentiment. When investor emotions fluctuate, the coin price will also fluctuate accordingly. Trading volume reflects the market consensus, and changes in trading volume indicate the market's attitude towards price changes. $BTC $ETH #BTC创历史新高
The recent market trends have been evident to all, as BTC has soared from around 65,000, driven by favorable news, reaching a new height of 76,900 this morning. However, the impact of the interest rate cut in the early hours was unexpected; although the results announced were positive for the crypto market, the price actually dropped by a thousand points. The saying that the end of good news is always bad news holds true.
After the K-line surged, there hasn't been much upward fluctuation, but rather a slow decline to around 75,600 currently, indicating that there is still pressure above. The market sentiment generally anticipates a downward correction. In the short term, the coin price may not continue to rise, and today's operation will focus on short positions.
Short near 76,000, target at 74,000 $BTC $ETH #BTC创历史新高
The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points, in line with market expectations. Additionally, the advance in the market has already anticipated the rise, and there are concerns about the number of future rate cuts; it is possible that rate cuts may slow down or even reverse to rate hikes in the future! The second contract has reached a recent new high, making a reversal easy, so proceed with caution!
The Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points, which is positive on the surface, so I believe that most people are optimistic about breaking new highs today.
The authorities are confused, but the bystanders are clear. The end of the good news is all bad news. $BTC $ETH #特朗普宣布胜选
How long does it take to turn 10,000 yuan into 50,000 yuan? It takes (4 days) Some people find it surprising. Is it really so easy to change cabins? In fact, it is not. On the surface, there are only a few pictures. Behind the scenes, it is the result of staying up late these days. It is a mutual trust. It is also a manifestation of execution. There are often good horses, but it is difficult to find a good horse trainer. The price of the currency is breaking new highs every day. With the blessing of the air situation of thousands of round trips every day, it is really not difficult to change cabins. The important thing is to see how you do it and who you choose to follow [sun] (There are still places for the club skirt) $BTC $ETH #特朗普宣布胜选
How long does it take to turn 10,000 yuan into 50,000 yuan? It takes (4 days)
Some people find it surprising. Is it really so easy to change cabins? In fact, it is not. On the surface, there are only a few pictures. Behind the scenes, it is the result of staying up late these days. It is a mutual trust. It is also a manifestation of execution. There are often good horses, but it is difficult to find a good horse trainer. The price of the currency is breaking new highs every day. With the blessing of the air situation of thousands of round trips every day, it is really not difficult to change cabins. The important thing is to see how you do it and who you choose to follow [sun] (There is still room for the club skirt) $BTC $ETH #特朗普宣布胜选
Having experienced two rounds of bull markets, I would like to share my experience: There are three situations:
1. Being trapped at a high position There are two ways to go: either you wait for the market to rebound and quickly withdraw when you see the opportunity; or you sell when the price is high and reduce your position.
Once the market changes, the trapped orders must stop loss immediately. Do not hesitate to do a reverse operation directly, buy the opposite position, and you can get some money back.
2. Being trapped at the middle price First of all, don't be anxious, don't rush to cut your losses! The key is to see how the market will go later. Once the opportunity appears, the trapped orders can be slightly reduced.
According to the market trend and combined with technical analysis, find a good time to add some positions and slowly make up for the losses.
3. Being trapped at a low position One word: wait! When the market pulls back, find an opportunity to get out of the trap, or reduce the position when the price is low. Once the market changes, the trapped orders must also stop loss quickly, don't linger. Then do the opposite, buy the opposite, and try to recover the previous losses.
If you don’t know how to do it, come to me directly at $BTC $ETH #BTC创历史新高 #解套