【$btc】2025.1.7

① It is near the strong pressure. Is it going to fall? Yes, the price is going to fall. The strong pressure mentioned yesterday, [103000-104000], what is strong pressure? It is the place where the price is particularly easy to adjust. As for the depth of the adjustment, we need to go back to the market and analyze the specific issues. [101200-101500] is the current recent support. This area has been broken. There is also a strong support line of 100500. If this position is broken again, it is basically a door-drawing market. So it can be basically determined that the time level for this adjustment is 4 hours. And the performance reflected on the market is that it goes down as it goes up. On the contrary, if the price can generate a stop-loss signal in the [101200-101500] area in the next few hours, then the price will once again attack [103000-104000]. However, once the attack fails and the energy is exhausted, it is not ruled out that the price will have a large retracement.

② What is the current cost-effectiveness of long and short positions? The current price can only wait and see, and the hourly level is currently adjusting. The support is the two mentioned above. Although it has come to a strong pressure position, the bulls still dominate the market, so low-long positions can still be made. Even if the adjustment is really too large, breaking the support and generating a door-drawing market, you still have the opportunity to take advantage of the rebound to recover your capital. So I will do low-long positions. The high-altitude position can also be arranged. The big pressure is [103000-104000], but the short-term pressure is 102500. But here, please note that if the price stops falling and stabilizes at [101200-101500], it is recommended that the short-selling partners be a little slow, after all, the hourly level can still set a new high.

③Can Bitcoin reach a new high? If it breaks through [103000-104000] effectively, it will probably reach a new high. So yesterday I emphasized that whether it will work or not depends on these two or three days. The key is to observe whether the shorts have the ability to push the price down. At present, there is no sign of any effort from the shorts. In other words, whether the bulls can maintain the price at a high level is very critical. #BTC重返10万 #本轮牛市周期预期 #比特币走势观察 #加密市场反弹