See original
神话社区
--
January 6, 2025.
Be cautious and don’t be aggressive
At this moment in the last bull market, everything was going well. All the currencies in the market, including Bitcoin, value coins, and altcoins, were flying.
In the first quarter of this bull market, my judgment was exactly the opposite.
Bitcoin fell slightly sideways (sideways instead of falling), value coins rose, and altcoins were bleeding. There was no alt season, only alt festival.
Of course, my judgment may be wrong.
But the main positions are placed in ETH and BNB, which can not only prevent missing out, but also prevent assets from being cut in half by the "alt festival".
If it is cut in half by 50%, it must rise by 100% to return to the previous high.
If it is cut in half by 60%, it must rise by 150% to return to the previous high.
If it is cut in half by 70%, it must rise by 240% to return to the previous high.
Asset security always comes first.
Besides, so many people are betting on the alt season with leverage, so the probability of my being right is higher and the probability of others being right is lower.
Be cautious when everyone is aggressive, and be aggressive when everyone is cautious.
In a bull market, you should also enter the market at the right time. For example, buy the altcoin below the annual line, and buy the value coin close to the annual line.
If the position close to the annual line is similar, you must choose the more valuable one.
If the prices of BNB and UNI are equally close to the annual line, then I will definitely choose to buy BNB on a dip. If UNI and EOS sink below the annual line at the same time, then I will definitely choose to buy UNI on a dip.
Unless the altcoin sinks below the annual line, it is not worth the risk.
Even if it is a value coin, it is not worth buying if it is too far away from the annual line. You can relax the boundaries of value and buy it close to the annual line.
Don't underestimate the power of mean reversion.
All assets will fluctuate around the annual line. Continuously deviate from the annual line too high, then return to the annual line, and then continue to deviate.
When you forget common sense, you will have to bear a great price.#比特币走势观察 #币安全球用户突破2.5亿 $BTC $ETH $BNB
Be cautious and don’t be aggressive
At this moment in the last bull market, everything was going well. All the currencies in the market, including Bitcoin, value coins, and altcoins, were flying.
In the first quarter of this bull market, my judgment was exactly the opposite.
Bitcoin fell slightly sideways (sideways instead of falling), value coins rose, and altcoins were bleeding. There was no alt season, only alt festival.
Of course, my judgment may be wrong.
But the main positions are placed in ETH and BNB, which can not only prevent missing out, but also prevent assets from being cut in half by the "alt festival".
If it is cut in half by 50%, it must rise by 100% to return to the previous high.
If it is cut in half by 60%, it must rise by 150% to return to the previous high.
If it is cut in half by 70%, it must rise by 240% to return to the previous high.
Asset security always comes first.
Besides, so many people are betting on the alt season with leverage, so the probability of my being right is higher and the probability of others being right is lower.
Be cautious when everyone is aggressive, and be aggressive when everyone is cautious.
In a bull market, you should also enter the market at the right time. For example, buy the altcoin below the annual line, and buy the value coin close to the annual line.
If the position close to the annual line is similar, you must choose the more valuable one.
If the prices of BNB and UNI are equally close to the annual line, then I will definitely choose to buy BNB on a dip. If UNI and EOS sink below the annual line at the same time, then I will definitely choose to buy UNI on a dip.
Unless the altcoin sinks below the annual line, it is not worth the risk.
Even if it is a value coin, it is not worth buying if it is too far away from the annual line. You can relax the boundaries of value and buy it close to the annual line.
Don't underestimate the power of mean reversion.
All assets will fluctuate around the annual line. Continuously deviate from the annual line too high, then return to the annual line, and then continue to deviate.
When you forget common sense, you will have to bear a great price.#比特币走势观察 #币安全球用户突破2.5亿 $BTC $ETH $BNB
Disclaimer: Includes third-party opinions. No financial advice. May include sponsored content. See T&Cs.
0
0
Replies 0