Trading is not simply drawing a valuation-like icon as a basis for opening a position. The previous article tried to analyze the trading ideas from the perspective of the banker. Without a plan, there is no change. The position was opened at 1.6-1.8. The current price of $STRK is 2.1. Both the spot and the contract have made a profit. We should think about where the change is? How to operate in the future? The more you buy, the more you pocket.
STRK textbook-level trading analysis and subsequent thoughts
I don’t want to show off my profit list too much here. Apart from attracting attention, it has no meaning for me. The number of fans has increased too fast recently, and I don’t want so many fans.
The change is that Shitadako officially postponed the early release of tokens. The significance is that the locked low-price chips that are about to flow have brought essential changes to the overall chip structure.
If I were a market maker or banker, I would really start to support part of the buying orders.
This is also the reason why I would not buy in the past few days. As an institution, in addition to the option guarantee, I still hope to get timely benefits. The current chip structure is that a large number of chips are concentrated in the hands of early releases and project parties. Retail investors do not have many chips. In the early stage, airdrops and bottom-fishing arbitrage acted as liquidity. Now the market maker's buying can support the bottom.
In addition to the actions I mentioned above, institutions also want to dump chips to retail investors so that they can obtain timely benefits and recharge club membership.
At this time, the selling logic is not the so-called full circulation market value table, but the pricing of the chips that are in circulation, that is, the quantity-price model.
The fundamental is that the institution combines its own chip dumping with the price that the current trading volume will reach as the basis for its own selling, so that the odds are greater.
I wrote about the overprice model in the article on establishing a contract trading system. The calculation result is in the range of 3.1-3.6. Here we need to exclude how many liquid chips the institution needs to keep and the market and track factors. This is an extreme value calculation method and cannot be used as a take-profit. Wire. If you are afraid, you can do it at 2.6-2.8. It is safe and reliable to make ten thousand knives.
To be a reliable man, you need club capital.
