❗❗❗Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency Market Outlook and Position Planning

On December 31st, the significant drop after the U.S. stock market opened dragged down BTC, which is also a risk asset. However, on-chain data shows two major trends: first, stablecoins are flowing in for bottom-fishing, and second, over 5,000 BTC have flowed into Binance and Coinbase. Regarding ETFs, apart from BlackRock and FBTC data not being released, other ETFs have seen outflows of $200 million.

This correction mainly stems from two aspects: a normal pullback after a substantial prior increase and market fluctuations following the release of expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut. However, from a broader trend perspective, there are many positive factors: first, the Federal Reserve is in a rate-cutting cycle, with a high probability of three rate cuts in 2025, likely in March, June, and September; second, Trump is about to take office, and the expectation of BTC being included in national reserves still exists; third, in the long term, BTC consensus continues to rise, and the tariff policies after Trump takes office will encourage other central banks to buy BTC, while the pressure of U.S. debt will also solidify BTC's position.

Currently, BTC is facing the 60-day moving average and has adjusted for three weeks. A significant rebound is expected after New Year's Day, with hopes of returning to $100,000.

In terms of position planning, allocate Ethereum and Solana spot, and low-leverage contracts in currency-based positions are also necessary. Focus on leading altcoins that align with the upcoming altcoin season, prioritizing coins related to U.S. institutions. The preferred altcoins include UNI, ENA, GALA, PEPE, AAVE, BONK, LINK, AVAX, RENDER, CRV.

As for entry points, first lay out 50% of the position, and for the remaining 50%, follow the principle of 'buy small on small dips, buy large on large dips, and do not buy when it does not dip.' Increase positions by 3 points for mainstream coins and by 5 points for altcoins on dips. In the worst-case scenario, fill the position before New Year's Eve. #币安MegadropSOLV #币安LaunchpoolBIO预测