- Bitcoin $BTC has broken the $100,000 barrier. Yes, we have heard this number a lot in predictions, but seeing it in reality is something else entirely. This price is no longer just a “prediction” or a “wish,” but rather a reality that is being forcefully imposed on the financial world, forcing everyone to recognize that Bitcoin is not just a digital asset, but a revolutionary financial system that has entered history through its widest doors.
But let's be clear:
You and I are not the type of people who get caught up in flashy headlines. We are not the ones who get dazzled by a number without realizing what’s behind it. We know that the market is a cycle: ups and downs, and numbers are made to be broken.
100k is not the end of the road, nor is it the peak of Bitcoin.
✅ Questions that should be asked now, away from emotion and exaggeration:
1. Where will the real top of Bitcoin be this cycle? (ATH)
2. Are we at the beginning or the end of the Paul Run?
3. When will this cycle end, and when will the landing bell ring?
These are not passing questions, but rather the keys to the future for those who understand the market. I will answer them in the most precise detail, through technical and fundamental analysis, supported by experience that is read between the lines, not on the surface.
I don't sell dreams or flirt with numbers. What I'm going to provide here is an unquestionable analysis, based on the tools of professionals, because that's the difference between someone who understands the market and someone who just watches it.
If you're looking for the truth... focus with me. We're here to read the market, not chase it.
• Anyone who has been following my analyses since the beginning knows very well that I was one of the first to announce and confirm the start of the bull run on October 15, 2023. At that time, we came out of what is known as the “bear trap”, or if we want to call it clearly: the accumulation phase, which is the period in which the market catches its breath and prepares for an unstoppable launch.
• The real bottom of the bear market was formed in November 2022, and everything that followed until October 2023 was just clever accumulation. Here, the scene gradually began to change. Eyes rose, liquidity rose, and candles began to explode with force.
From that moment on, Godzilla candles began to make their way and break records one after another:
$48,000,
Then $76,000,
Until we reached our current number: $108 thousand.
But now, back to the core questions we asked.
1- Where will the real peak of Bitcoin be?
• We start with the weekly time frame analysis using Gann Square, where Bitcoin broke the 315° minor angle at $103,500, and what remains now between us and the end of the cycle is the move towards 360° which represents $115,500. If we calculate the difference between $103,500 and $115,400, we find that the difference is 11.59%, which puts us in the expected trading range during the next stage.
• The Gann Square time equation for the daily cycle suggests that the cycle could end at $118,500. This number is 360° in time, but it is still very close to $115,400. Given the extreme market volatility, we could see movement between these levels very quickly.
• The time analysis is completed by noting that Bitcoin in this wave is moving according to a heptagonal pattern, where the heptagonal angles show that if we exceed $118,500, this trend will end at 900° = $134,900. But the most important thing at this stage is the resistance area between $115,000 and $118,000, which I see as the potential rebound point for Bitcoin’s top for this cycle.
• Let's now confirm these points through classical analysis, where the Cup and Handle pattern appears, which is considered one of the strongest technical patterns. The weekly target for this pattern suggests $120,400, which is in line with the upper area we talked about, which adds more accuracy to our expectations.
🟢 Final conclusion:
Bitcoin’s top for this cycle will be between $115,000 and $120,000, with a strong possibility of a rebound at $118,500. If this resistance is broken, we will have room to extend the move towards $134,900, but the most prominent possibility remains around $120,000 as indicated by both technical and time tools.
2- Are we at the beginning or end of the bull run?
• Let's be clear: 80% of those who entered the market in recent years believe that we are at the beginning of the bull run, and this is a completely wrong idea. I will not talk nonsense, but I will prove it through a logical analysis.
The parabolic acceleration pattern shows that Bitcoin has gone through acceleration phases: Base 1 ➡️ Base 2 ➡️ Base 3 and now we are in the Base 4 range. These phases are what we have been experiencing recently, where prices accelerated rapidly. However, this is the phase before the end. We are now in the final wave that will lead to a market reversal.
🔸 Now let's move on to the Wyckoff Logic pattern, which is one of the most sophisticated analytical methods in the history of the markets. According to this pattern, the market went through an accumulation phase between June 2022 and October 2023, where the market was calm and there was an accumulation of liquidity. After this phase, we entered the second and third phases of the pattern, as shown in the chart.
The current stage we will be living in is the (Distribution) stage, where the market begins to distribute money after collecting it, which means that we are approaching the end. We are now on the verge of the stage of selling the large quantities that were collected.
🟣 Are you still convinced that we are at the beginning of the Pol Run?
If you think so, you are in denial. We are at the end of the uptrend, and the next stage is the big reversal.
3- When will the course end and the landing bell ring?
Time-wise, if we look at the daily Gann square, we notice that the midpoint of the annual reversal cycle begins on March 4. This is a critical point, as we are approaching the beginning of a shift in the general trend of the market, indicating that the period of gains may be coming to an end.
• From the perspective of the weekly Gann square, the time interval that expresses the reversal occurs after the 108 bar on March 31. This indicates that March will be the beginning of the turn, as we will witness the end of the bullish cycle, and the market begins to show signs of discharging that precede entering the bear market phase.
🔹 But let me be more precise with you: when we move into the bear market phase, you will not feel it immediately. The fact is that the market will distract new traders with fake corrections and false rises, which will make them think that the bull run is still in place. What happened in the last bull cycle is a living example: when Bitcoin reached $70,000, we had already exceeded 50% of the bull cycle and then people realized this shift late as usual.
♦ If you think the market will remain bullish until mid-2025, remember that March will be the month when the signs of dissolution will begin, and the market will enter a bearish phase that will distract attention and traders’ expectations.
🟡 Basically you might ask me why didn't you take into consideration that this course might be different?
🔸 You may ask me about the factors that could change our expectations, such as Trump’s support for cryptocurrencies, the possibility of the war ending, the Fed’s monetary policy, or the entry of major institutions and the injection of liquidity. Let me explain simply:
Short answer: The chart is the real news racer.
Regardless of economic or political news, markets move according to traders’ emotions and psychological factors that interact in real time. In the world of trading, the chart is the tool that predicts the future more than any news or statement. When we analyze the chart, we notice that it moves according to mathematical equations such as the Gann square, which considers time as an essential part of the change in price. In other words, the price changes based on time (x,y), and nothing can change it unless this time changes according to cycles.
Therefore, according to the "Great John", when time reaches a certain point, the change in price will occur, regardless of external factors.
🟣 In the end, what has been mentioned are analytical probabilities, not certain facts. We are dealing with complex and changing financial markets, so we must understand that the analyses we provide are tools to help make better decisions, but they are not absolute. Psychological analysis is the most important element in this field, because psychology is what determines whether we will continue to make sound decisions or be carried away by greed or fear.
• If you want to make sure our analysis is accurate, all you have to do is check our account and see how everything mentioned was achieved with 98% of the expectations. Our analysis is not only about Bitcoin, but also includes altcoins and their season, which was published in the previous days, where altcoins have the opportunity to achieve big gains, especially with Bitcoin launching towards 118 thousand and the decline in dominance. Use this period carefully and with a thoughtful strategy, as it may be one of the most important stages of the market this year, and everything is going as previously predicted.
Finally, our thoughts from the future: Based on the time analysis, I expect the next bear market bottom to be in February 2028 at the $32,000 level, take it as information.
We will be with you in new analyses, and perhaps the next analysis will be specific to the $SOL Solana coin.
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