It’s now a little past two in the morning, the night is quiet, and there are no fluctuations. My heart can probably calm down. Whether there are wins or losses, it doesn't matter anymore. As someone who has been through it, I’d like to share a few points with everyone in this market. I hope you can take in a little, even if it’s just a bit.

A market trend is not as simple as just going up or down; you have to think about the problem from multiple angles. I talked about this over the weekend, and I’ll say it again now.

Policy, institutions, and underlying logic—these three points extend to the market movements. If you understand these three points, trading won’t be difficult. Even if you can’t make a fortune, you won’t fall into the trap of liquidation.

Policy: You can pay more attention to Trump and the changes in other countries, like interest rate hikes or cuts. These will be reflected in the market movements in real time. Look at how Trump has been pushing the market up since the election; he has an open attitude towards cryptocurrency. You can look this up yourself, so I won’t elaborate further.

Institutions: Recently, large institutions and market makers are buying up Bitcoin holdings like crazy. This is commonly referred to as capital. With capital pouring in like this, shouldn’t we retail investors follow suit? Are we supposed to go against the capital? As the saying goes, it’s good to take shelter under a big tree—think about whether this makes sense.

Underlying logic: I have talked about this countless times. To put it simply, your so-called drop to 80,000 or 70,000 is just a hypothetical condition and doesn’t truly reflect that it will drop. Do you understand? This is an underlying logic issue. This is why most people end up stuck in their positions without understanding.

Today, I set my position at 915, cut losses at 907, positioned at 897 in the evening, and plan to take profit at 925. I have never claimed to be a master of perpetual profits, nor can I go long and short at the same time. But if the market reaches the entry position, I will enter without hesitation. If it doesn’t reach the position, I’d rather wait a day. This is my trading system: trading isn’t difficult; what’s difficult is the human heart!

In the next episode, I will discuss whether contracts can really be traded?

If you enjoy the insights shared by me, feel free to follow #交易所BTC储备量创2018年以来新低 .