The future of Bitcoin is mixed with long and short positions: Saylor is optimistic, the market is skeptical, will MicroStrategy increase its investment?
In an interview with CNBC last week, Michael Saylor, the founder of MicroStrategy, said that Bitcoin will not retreat to $60,000 or $30,000, but will rise from the current level. He also plans to hold a party on New Year's Eve to celebrate Bitcoin breaking $100,000.
Saylor launched a vote on "Will Bitcoin break $100,000 on New Year's Eve?" on X today. In less than 8 hours, 61,938 people participated, and nearly 85.3% voted in favor, which is very optimistic about the future of Bitcoin. Currently, Bitcoin is temporarily reported at $90,536, only 10.45% away from $100,000. However, Saylor is a firm believer in Bitcoin, and his followers may have similar beliefs to him, and the voting results may be biased.
The latest data from Polymarket, which accurately predicted Trump's election as president, shows that the market bets that the probability of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 before November is only 37%, a sharp drop of 24% from the high of 63% on the 14th, indicating that market sentiment has declined.
In addition, Saylor hinted at adding bitcoin early this morning. He wrote, "I think there needs to be more green dots on saylortracker.com." The website is used to track MicroStrategy's bitcoin purchases, and green dots represent new purchase records.
Saylor posted a similar copy on the 10th. The next day, MicroStrategy revealed that it purchased 27,200 bitcoins for about $2.03 billion from October 31 to November 10, with an average price of $74,463. According to bitcointreasuries statistics, MicroStrategy currently holds 279,420 bitcoins, with a holding value of $25.289 billion, a capital cost of $11.929 billion, an average purchase price of about $42,588, and unrealized profits of $13.36 billion. I wonder if Saylor will increase his position again in the short term after this hint.
