BTC Nighttime Bold Forecast and Analysis
The BTC price is near $90,660, market sentiment is high, and the short-term trend presents the possibility of a strong breakthrough. Forecasting based on technical indicators and market behavior
1. Breakout to New Highs: Strong Bullish Forecast
Supporting views:
1. Market sentiment: The price has been rising steadily for many days and has broken through the key resistance level in the early stage, showing strong financial support and market confidence.
2. Technical: All moving averages (MA5, MA10, MA50, etc.) show "buy" signals, and the price is higher than the short, medium and long-term moving averages, indicating the continuation of the bullish trend.
3. Volume energy observation: The trading volume has increased significantly and the market has entered an active stage. Historical experience shows that this type of volume-price coordination often indicates that it may challenge higher points in the short term, such as $92,500 or even $94,000.
Bold Prediction: BTC may break the $91,000 resistance overnight and test the $94,000 area on bullish strength.
2. Callback risk: short-term overbought signal appears
Warning Signs:
1. Technical indicators are overbought: RSI reached 81.59, STOCHRSI and Williams %R showed extreme overbought status, and short-term correction pressure increased.
2. Macro uncertainty: Fluctuations in global market expectations for the direction of the Federal Reserve's policy may put pressure on BTC at high levels. If capital sentiment weakens, BTC may pull back to support at $88,000.
Possible scenario: If the breakthrough fails, BTC may retreat to the range of US$86,500 to US$88,000, and then gather momentum to rise again.
3. Extreme market hypothesis: breaking through 100,000 US dollars in one fell swoop?
Logical support:
1. Changes in capital structure: Institutional funds are accelerating the entry of funds, and the positions of some large investors have increased significantly, indicating that market confidence is at a high level.
2. Psychological expectation effect: The market's longing for "breaking through $100,000" may drive short-term explosive buying, similar to the rapid rise after "breaking through $20,000" in history.
High-risk prediction: If it breaks through $94,000, BTC will attract more speculative funds and accelerate its sprint to $100,000.
trading advice
1. Activist investors: You can try a breakthrough strategy, chasing long positions with a light position above $91,000, with a target of $92,500-94,000, and a stop loss below $89,000.
2. Steady investors: It is recommended to wait and see, wait for the pullback to the support of US$88,000, and then build positions in batches, with the target also being US$94,000.
3. Those with high risk appetite: If the market quickly breaks through $94,000, consider adding positions $BTC
