The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is highly predicted, as data analysis shows that inflation, unemployment and economic stability all point to the need for a rate cut.

If this happens, it will be good for the bitcoin market and increase risk appetite, even though the dot plot will only be released in December.

In addition, Bao's speech at 3:30 is also critical. The transfer of power after Trump's election may bring him pressure, and the media may raise sharp questions.

Although the election factor exists, data is still the core of decision-making.