$BTC $NOT The month is coming to an end, so it makes sense to summarize how it went and think about how the next one will go.

Bitcoin has reached the targets I set a month ago - September 30. 70k was easily achieved. The first cryptocurrency even managed to crawl under the ATH boundary, showing a growth of more than 20% over the month. There is nothing surprising here, as I have been saying since mid-September that the bull run has already begun. Updating the ATH is just the first step. Next will be 80, 90, or maybe even higher. There is still plenty of time. In the first half of November, I would like to see a new price as the ATH. All conditions will be in place for this - on the fifth, there are elections in the USA, and on the seventh, a decision on the Fed's interest rate. It was significantly lowered in September, which provoked a growth in the crypto market, which continues to this day and will continue further. Now there are rumors that the rate may be lowered by another 25 basis points. But even if it is kept at the same level as now, it will still be positive for the market. The main thing is that it is not increased. After updating the ATH, the price may be significantly dropped, but this will not affect the trend.

Now about Notcoin. While predicting Bitcoin at 70 in October, I also mentioned that I expect NOT to be at least 0.012. Instead, we now see a price 50% lower than what I expected. Someone told me that I only write when my predictions are correct. So, I was wrong. Yes, I spoke about a price much higher than the actual one. I am not afraid to admit it. I will repeat once again that I am not a clairvoyant, not the financial director of BlackRock, and not a leader of one of the Middle Eastern countries. Therefore, I cannot know exactly what the price will be. Unlike the 'lords' of whiners and haters, who actively express their 'opinions' on CoinMarketCap, my predictions are based on facts from which I start. Someone 'predicted' a decline because NOT did not give them 10x in a month, and now they will always be offended by it, but I based my analysis on the real state of affairs. At the beginning of the month, everything indicated that Notcoin should grow. It seemed that everyone who received the drop and was not interested in further holding had already exited, and the market maker had reached what I then thought was a critically low point, allowing for liquidations on futures for all those waiting for growth. In October, the Blockchain Life conference was planned, which successfully took place, and active market growth was expected, along with updates from the team and much more. But it happened that none of this provoked growth for the assets I am considering. It is absurd that the 'predictions' of eternally whining individuals coincidentally turned out to be true. But this, I repeat, is no more than a coincidence, as there were no real signs foretelling the crash that occurred at the beginning of the month.

Now regarding the crash itself. Of course, I understand that it affected not only TON/NOT but the entire alt sector, and in general, against the backdrop of Bitcoin, altcoins continue to look completely unpresentable even today. But it was impossible not to notice that TON with Notcoin fell much more than other coins. Such a strong crash was provoked by the market maker. This led to a panic sell-off, and we saw the prices we saw. I thought a lot about this decision by the market maker, but I still did not understand why it was done. Rather, I do not understand why it was done on such a scale. Maybe Andrey Grachev's hands trembled during the transaction, and he accidentally pressed another zero at the end of the sale amount. Otherwise, I cannot explain the decision to drop the price by 18% in a couple of minutes, breaking through all possible support levels. In any case, we saw a drop after which many people became afraid to buy an asset they were previously confident in. In fact, this is why the price is currently recovering not very actively, as can be seen.

Nevertheless, we have what we have and must rely on the situation we are currently in. I really want to believe that at DWF Labs, someone still has common sense, and during the upcoming correction of Bitcoin, NOT will remain at least within the range of 0.006-0.0065$ per token. The price should be artificially raised now, because, firstly, purely for the benefit of the market maker, a lot of liquidity has accumulated at the top that needs to be taken off. Secondly, the first people of the TON blockchain need to maintain Notcoin's status as a top project in the system. The problem can be solved with little effort: a couple of artificial green candles, and people's faith will return quickly. The main thing is at the right moment.

There will be plenty of reasons for a pump in November. The Notcoin team is expected to release the promised launch pool, there will be many interesting events on the TON blockchain, and the market will continue to rise. Any of these events can be tied to a price pump, and then people will come on their own. Overall, as I said earlier, I do not see any real problems right now, except for the accusations against Pavel Durov. The TON Foundation is actively working: at the beginning of November, TON Gateway will be conducted, and already this week, a large-scale event TON Memlandia with significant prizes for participating projects is launching. Open Builders are still developing Notcoin and preparing for the upcoming listing of Not Pixel. Undoubtedly, the time on the blockchain is not the best, but I do not see any reasons for panic.

My letters in Pavel Durov's messenger - top1verunvnot.