Trump confidently leads at 33.9% in betting on Polymarket.

The elections are about to start, but I want to convey one thought to you. The probability of Trump winning is actually not 67%, but around 48 - 49, as the advantage towards any opponent on Polymarket is determined by the volume of bets, not social surveys, etc.

Almost $1,000,000,000 has been bet on Donald Trump winning, while over $618,000,000 has been bet on Kamala Harris winning. This explains the advantage.

It's hard to predict who will win, so let's just wait for the announcement of the results.