1. Trump's probability of winning has risen to 64.5%, leading Harris by nearly 30 percentage points. In the prediction market, Trump's chance of winning the U.S. presidential election has already risen to 64.5%, nearly 30 percentage points higher than Harris.
There are 14 days left until the U.S. election, and based on the current trend, unless there are unexpected developments, Trump has a higher probability of winning.
2. Trump stated: If re-elected president on November 5, he will significantly lower U.S. interest rates, but he did not specify the specific policy measures.
According to the latest data, the probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in November is 89.2%, while the probability of a 50 basis point cut is 10.8%.
3. Regardless of who wins the U.S. election, Bitcoin will rise to $80,000.
Regardless of the election results, it is good news for Bitcoin. However, how much it will rise depends on who is elected.
If Trump is elected, the price ceiling may be higher, and Bitcoin is likely to aim for $90,000 to $100,000.
If Harris is elected, the upper limit may be lower, and Bitcoin is likely to fluctuate around $80,000.
4. The total net inflow into Bitcoin spot ETFs yesterday was $294 million, marking 7 consecutive days of net inflow.
Since its launch, the cumulative net inflow into U.S. Bitcoin spot ETFs has reached $21.303 billion, setting a historical high.
This indicates that most of the current ETF investors are institutional investors, who tend to hold long-term. This will benefit the price increase of Bitcoin in the later stage.
5. Tesla still holds 11,509 Bitcoins.
Tesla still has 11,509 Bitcoins. This indicates that last week, they merely transferred these Bitcoins to a new wallet.
6. Billionaire Bill Miller stated: Considering an allocation of 1%-3% in Bitcoin.
Bill Miller stated in an interview that he expects to allocate 1% to 3% of Bitcoin in his investment portfolio over the next three to five years. He emphasized the uniqueness of Bitcoin: regardless of changes in demand or price, its supply is fixed.
This indicates that Bitcoin's status in the traditional financial market is gradually rising. More and more people are starting to see it as part of their investment portfolio.
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