Although #地缘政治冲突 (Iran/Israel) broke out yesterday, adding a hint of uncertainty to the market, the $BTC K line quickly recovered after touching $60,000, and started a small rebound today. Two scenarios are predicted:

1. Stand firm on the gray line and continue to hit the resistance line. The price is around $67,000-67,5000. Spot parties can spot in this band. Contract parties should pay attention to the risk of market conversion. #空单 can wait until there is no effective breakthrough before intervening

2. If the geopolitical environment continues to deteriorate, the BTC price is very likely to fall to around $58,000.

Since the United States has confirmed #鲍威尔谈话后市场调整降息预期 , market liquidity will be greatly improved, and BTC has not yet risen to market expectations. Bai Zhou prefers the first scenario, but considering the uncertainty of geopolitical conflicts, I will mainly adopt the strategy of "buying spot on dips". The contract needs to wait until it falls below $60,000 or rises to $67,500 to officially enter.

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